2026 Midterms · U.S. Senate · Maine Toss-up
Maine Senate race
The 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election features incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins against Democratic nominee Troy Dale Jackson, who was selected at a July 2026 nominating convention after primary winner Graham Platner withdrew following sexual assault allegations. Jackson, a logger and former Maine Senate President, is running an economic populist campaign centered on working-class issues and institutional reform. Collins emphasizes her long Senate tenure and influential position as Chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee.
The pulse
updated Oct 31Economy and Taxes
high salienceJackson proposes raising taxes on corporations and billionaires to aid working-class families, whereas Collins focuses on using her Appropriations Committee chairmanship to direct federal spending to Maine.
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson
Supports taxing billionaires and corporations
Jackson runs an economic populist campaign focused on relief for working families. He advocates for higher taxes on billionaires and large corporations to fund working-class tax cuts and public services.
- Tax the billionaires and greedy corporations
- Deliver tax cuts for the working class
- Promote a working-class movement against a rigged economic system
“Working people are getting crushed while billionaires and corporations buy power in Washington. I’ve spent my life fighting that same rigged system—from the logging woods to the Maine Senate.”
Republican Susan Collins
Focuses on federal funding delivery
Collins emphasizes her seniority and leadership as Chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee to secure federal funding for infrastructure, defense, and job training in Maine. In 2025, she supported the No Tax on Tips Act by unanimous consent and voted against the H.R.1 reconciliation bill.
- Leverages role as Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman to direct federal investment to Maine
- Supported No Tax on Tips Act (S.129) by unanimous consent in 2025
- Voted Nay on H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) reconciliation bill
“This committee decides how federal dollars are spent each year, from national defense and infrastructure to medical research, education, and public safety. Susan’s position gives Maine an outsized voice at the table when critical decisions are made which allows her to deliver serious results for Maine.”
Healthcare
high salienceJackson advocates replacing the private insurance system with Medicare for All, while Collins supports targeted reforms such as permanent telehealth flexibilities and increased medical research funding.
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson
Supports Medicare for All
Jackson supports enacting Medicare for All to eliminate out-of-pocket healthcare expenses like premiums and deductibles. He also supports direct negotiation to lower prescription drug costs.
- Pass Medicare for All to eliminate premiums, deductibles, and medical debt
- Lower the cost of prescription drugs
- End private insurance corporation authority to deny care
“I will vote for Medicare for All so every American can receive the care they need without premiums, deductibles, medical debt or fear of bankruptcy.”
Republican Susan Collins
Supports expanding rural healthcare access
Collins focuses on practical healthcare improvements, particularly expanding rural access, making Medicare telehealth flexibilities permanent, and funding research for Alzheimer's and diabetes.
- Authored the Kay Hagan Tick Reauthorization Act signed into law in 2026
- Led efforts to make Medicare telehealth flexibilities permanent
- Founded the Senate Diabetes Caucus and co-chairs the Congressional Alzheimer's Task Force
“She has led efforts to expand access to care including legislation to make key telehealth flexibilities permanent through Medicare so patients can connect with providers from home, reducing barriers for patients and providers.”
Immigration and Border Security
medium salienceJackson calls to dismantle ICE and shift immigration duties to a civilian agency, whereas Collins voted for the Laken Riley Act requiring DHS to detain certain undocumented immigrants.
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson
Supports abolishing ICE
Jackson advocates for dismantling ICE and transferring immigration management to a civilian agency focused on due process and family unity. He supports comprehensive immigration reform while leaving cross-border criminal law enforcement to federal agencies.
- Dismantle and abolish ICE
- Create a humane civilian agency for immigration services that respects due process
- Pass comprehensive immigration reform and end masked raids and detention quotas
“Immigration services should be handled by a humane, civilian agency that respects due process and keeps families together; serious cross-border crime can be investigated by accountable federal law enforcement.”
Republican Susan Collins
Supports stricter enforcement laws
Collins supports enforcement measures to hold undocumented immigrants accountable when charged with crimes and voted to compel federal detentions.
- Voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S.5) requiring DHS to detain certain undocumented immigrants arrested for theft crimes and enabling state lawsuits against federal enforcement failures
Foreign Policy and Israel-Gaza
medium salienceJackson opposes U.S. military aid to Israel and calls to end the conflict in Gaza, while Collins is endorsed by AIPAC and supports traditional U.S.-Israel defense ties.
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson
Opposes military aid to Israel
Jackson calls for an immediate end to the conflict in Gaza and demands a full stop to U.S. military aid to Israel.
- End the genocide in Gaza
- Prohibit U.S. tax dollars from funding Israel's military
“End the genocide in Gaza. No U.S. tax dollars to Israel’s military.”
Republican Susan Collins
Supports alliance with Israel
Collins maintains a pro-Israel foreign policy stance and is endorsed by major pro-Israel advocacy organizations.
- Endorsed by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)
Civil Rights and LGBTQ+ Issues
medium salienceJackson supports passing federal civil rights legislation protecting LGBTQ+ individuals, while Collins signed a Maine initiative petition to limit transgender student access in school sports.
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson
Supports expanded LGBTQ+ protections
Jackson advocates for comprehensive federal civil rights legislation to shield LGBTQ+ individuals from discrimination.
- Pass comprehensive civil rights legislation protecting the LGBTQ+ community from discrimination
“Pass comprehensive civil rights legislation protecting the LGBTQ+ community from discrimination.”
Republican Susan Collins
Supported by Log Cabin Republicans
Collins is endorsed by LGBTQ+ Republican groups but signed a state petition seeking to restrict transgender students' access to school sports facilities based on birth sex.
- Endorsed by Log Cabin Republicans
- Signed petition supporting Maine Birth Certificate Sex Requirement for Public School Sports Initiative (2026)
Abortion and Reproductive Rights
high salienceJackson commits to passing a statutory federal right to abortion, whereas Collins' campaign materials in the provided sources do not articulate an abortion platform line, though Democrats attack her judicial vote record.
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson
Supports federal abortion rights
Jackson advocates for passing federal legislation to establish a nationwide statutory right to abortion.
- Pass a federal right to abortion
“Pass a federal right to abortion.”
Government Reform and Ethics
low salienceJackson proposes banning congressional stock trading and overturning Citizens United, whereas Collins' campaign platform in the sources does not list specific government reform measures.
Democratic Troy Dale Jackson
Supports congressional stock trading ban
Jackson promotes campaign finance and political ethics reform aimed at curbing the power of money in Washington.
- Ban members of Congress from trading stock
- Overturn Citizens United and eliminate dark money in politics
- Protect voting and union organizing rights for all Americans
“Ban members of Congress from trading stock.”
Senior Issues and Social Security
low salienceCollins highlights her authorship of the 2025 Social Security Fairness Act, while Jackson's platform in the provided sources does not highlight a specific Social Security initiative.
Republican Susan Collins
Supports protecting Social Security
Collins highlights her legislative record on senior issues and entitlement protection, including authoring the Social Security Fairness Act.
- Authored the Social Security Fairness Act signed into law in 2025
- Former Chairman of the Senate Special Committee on Aging
“As the author of the Social Security Fairness Act which was signed into law in 2025, Susan is the leader in the Senate for Social Security.”
Polls 4
updated Oct 31Source: RealClearPolling · Collins vs. Platner ↗
| Pollster | Date | Sample | Result | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOX News | Jun 27 | 1003 RV | Platner 47% / Susan Collins 50% | Collins +3.0 |
| NY Times/Siena | Jun 26 | 608 LV | Platner 49% / Susan Collins 47% | Platner +2.0 |
| Next Up/Wick | Jun 14 | 1008 LV | Platner 48% / Susan Collins 45% | Platner +3.0 |
| Quantus Insights | Jun 11 | 870 LV | Platner 46% / Susan Collins 45% | Platner +1.0 |
Prediction markets 2
updated Oct 31Polymarket ↗
Maine Senate Election Winner
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