2026 Midterms · U.S. Senate · Kansas Likely R
Kansas — U.S. Senate
The 2026 U.S. Senate race in Kansas features incumbent Republican Roger Marshall running for re-election against Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton, a pastor and church founder. The election hinges on voter sentiment regarding economic affordability, healthcare access, agricultural policy, and federal spending. Major rating outlets designate the race as Solid Republican or Safe Republican, with DDHQ/The Hill rating it Likely Republican.
The pulse
updated Sep 16Cost of living
high salienceHamilton attributes high prices to tariffs, corporate price collusion, and federal spending cuts, whereas Marshall blames federal regulation and inflation while promoting tax relief and spending restraint.
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Lowering costs by tackling tariffs and price-gouging
Hamilton emphasizes an affordability agenda focused on reducing everyday costs for Kansas families. He proposes eliminating broad tariffs, stopping landlord and grocery price collusion, and expanding housing tax credits.
- Require congressional approval before imposing new tariffs to prevent price increases on groceries, equipment, and housing.
- Ban algorithmic price-fixing by landlords and grocery chains.
- Create tax credits for first-time home buyers and public servants like teachers, police, and firefighters.
“Affordability. Kansans are working hard, but too many families are falling behind.”
“When Washington imposes sweeping tariff taxes without a vote, the bill lands on Kansas farmers, manufacturers, and families in the form of higher prices on everything from equipment and fertilizer to groceries.”
Republican Roger Marshall
Cutting taxes and reducing government regulation
Marshall advocates for free-market economic growth through reduced government intervention, deregulation, and lower taxes. He supported making the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent and exempting tips from federal income taxes.
- Voted for H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) to address debt limit and tax policy.
- Cosponsored the No Tax on Tips Act to allow deductions on tip income.
- Supported extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act tax cuts for working families.
“The less control the federal government has, the better off we will be.”
“A $4 gallon of milk is a kitchen-table problem, not an abstraction.”
Healthcare
high salienceHamilton seeks to expand Medicare negotiations and reverse federal Medicaid cuts to support rural hospitals, whereas Marshall advocates replacing the Affordable Care Act with market-driven reforms while tackling Medicare prior-authorization delays.
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Expanding public coverage and lowering prescription costs
Hamilton focuses on protecting rural hospitals and lowering out-of-pocket medical costs. He advocates for reversing Medicaid cuts, expanding Medicare drug price negotiations to private insurance, and placing caps on medical debt interest and wage garnishment.
- Reverse projected federal Medicaid cuts to preserve funding for KanCare and rural hospitals.
- Expand Medicare prescription drug price negotiation to cover private health plans.
- Limit wage garnishment and cap interest rates on unpaid medical debt.
“We must reverse the disastrous cuts to Medicaid that threaten our rural hospitals.”
“Nearly 80% of Kansans are worried about being able to afford health care in the future, and nearly three-quarters say they skipped care in the past year because of the cost.”
Republican Roger Marshall
Repealing government coverage mandates and improving transparency
Marshall, an OB-GYN physician, opposes government-controlled healthcare systems like the ACA while advocating for patient choice, price transparency, and prior-authorization reform. He sponsored bills capping prior-authorization delays for seniors and improving Medicare Advantage oversight.
- Lead sponsor of the Improving Seniors' Timely Access to Care Act (S. 1816) to cap Medicare prior-authorization decision times.
- Voted to repeal the ACA individual mandate, Cadillac tax, and medical device tax.
- Sponsored the Patients Deserve Price Tags Act (S. 2355) to enforce healthcare price transparency.
“For health care delivery to thrive in America and rural Kansas, we must repeal and replace these broken systems.”
“82 of Kansas's 124 hospitals are Critical Access. We protect them.”
Agriculture
high salienceHamilton prioritizes removing trade tariffs, expanding export promotion funding, and passing a long-term farm bill, while Marshall focuses on phosphate fertilizer cost relief, Ogallala Aquifer sustainability, and work requirements for food assistance.
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Expanding agricultural exports and farm labor reforms
Hamilton emphasizes stability for Kansas agricultural producers through free trade, disease control funding, and workforce reform. He supports passing a five-year farm bill, expanding H-2A guest-worker visas, and expanding USDA export promotion programs.
- Double funding for USDA export promotion programs to generate agricultural trade.
- Reform the H-2A guest-worker program to offer year-round visas and legal status pathways.
- Supercharge domestic fertilizer production to reduce input costs caused by foreign conflicts.
“Farmers in Kansas are being hit hard from all sides –hundreds of farms closed last year, in large part because tariffs drove up the cost of equipment and hurt exports of Kansas products.”
“Congress needs to finish the job and give agriculture five years of certainty.”
Republican Roger Marshall
Reducing input costs and protecting water infrastructure
Marshall targets regulatory burdens on Kansas producers, securing input cost relief and water conservation resources. He introduced legislation providing phosphate fertilizer relief, supported interstate state-inspected beef sales, and championed Ogallala Aquifer preservation.
- Introduced the Lowering Input Costs for American Farmers Act (S. 4418) for phosphate fertilizer relief.
- Supported EQIP Water Conservation Act (S. 2696) to mitigate Ogallala Aquifer decline.
- Advocated for crop insurance and SNAP work requirements in farm legislation.
“Agriculture is the lifeblood of Kansas, and we Kansans know our land better than federal bureaucrats.”
“The aquifer under Kansas wheat country is dropping more than a foot a year.”
Energy
medium salienceHamilton advocates an all-of-the-above energy strategy with clean energy tax credits and ratepayer protections for data centers, whereas Marshall champions traditional fossil fuels, wind, and ethanol deregulation alongside repealing EPA methane fees.
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Supporting all-of-the-above energy with ratepayer protections
Hamilton advocates protecting domestic energy production tax credits and enforcing competitive bidding on transmission projects. He also calls for binding rules requiring AI data centers to cover their electricity infrastructure costs.
- Restore energy production tax credits to protect clean energy jobs and investment.
- Require binding rules so AI data centers cover their own electricity costs rather than passing costs to consumers.
- Enforce competitive bidding processes on large power transmission lines.
“We need a comprehensive, all of the above strategy that creates jobs and increases energy independence while bringing down costs for consumers today.”
Republican Roger Marshall
Deregulating domestic oil, gas, and renewable fuels
Marshall promotes an energy policy based on expanding domestic oil, natural gas, wind, and ethanol production. He cosponsored legislation for year-round E15 fuel sales, supported repealing natural gas taxes, and voted to nullify EPA methane-fee regulations.
- Cosponsored the Nationwide Consumer & Fuel Retailer Choice Act (S. 593) for year-round E15 ethanol.
- Cosponsored H.J.Res. 35 to void the EPA methane-fee rule.
- Cosponsored the Natural Gas Tax Repeal Act (S. 143).
“Oil, gas, wind, and Kansas-grown ethanol — no apologies for any of them.”
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
medium salienceHamilton supports codifying abortion rights and contraception access into federal law, while Marshall is staunchly pro-life and supports federal restrictions on abortion procedures and defunding Planned Parenthood.
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Codifying federal abortion and contraception protections
Hamilton supports protecting reproductive freedom against government intervention. He advocates codifying abortion access and contraception protections into federal law while requiring insurance coverage for over-the-counter birth control.
- Codify a woman's right to choose into federal law.
- Protect access to contraception and mandate insurance coverage for non-prescription birth control.
“Protect a woman’s right to choose and prevent further government interference into personal decisions by codifying the access to contraception into law.”
Republican Roger Marshall
Opposing taxpayer-funded abortion and restricting procedures
Marshall, who delivered over 5,000 babies as an OB-GYN, believes life begins at conception. He has cosponsored federal legislation to eliminate taxpayer funding for abortion, defund Planned Parenthood, and ban abortion after 20 weeks.
- Co-sponsored the Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act and Heartbeat Bill.
- Supported the 2022 Kansas constitutional amendment to regulate abortion.
- Voted Nay on the Right to IVF Act (S. 4445).
“Doc committed his professional life to bringing life into this world, and he knows a child is a living creation of God from the moment of conception.”
“I will never waiver in my support for life in Congress.”
Immigration & Border Security
medium salienceHamilton prioritizes agricultural workforce stabilization through guest-worker visa reforms, while Marshall advocates physical border wall construction, strict border enforcement, and mandatory detention laws.
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Reforming guest-worker programs and legal workforce pathways
Hamilton addresses immigration primarily through an economic lens, calling for overhaul of the H-2A guest-worker program to support Kansas agricultural producers. He supports year-round visas and legal status pathways for existing workers.
- Permit year-round H-2A visas for agricultural workers on farms and dairies.
- Provide legal status pathways for existing agricultural workers.
“Congress must reform the broken H-2A guest-worker program — permitting year-round visas that reflect modern needs, lowering compliance costs, and giving existing workers a path to legal status.”
Republican Roger Marshall
Enforcing strict border security and mandatory detention
Marshall views southern border security as a vital national security priority. He advocates completing the border wall, ending legal magnets for illegal entry, and mandating detention for undocumented immigrants arrested for property crimes.
- Cosponsored the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) requiring detention of illegal immigrants arrested for theft or burglary.
- Cosponsored the Build the Wall Act (S. 42).
- Voted Nay on the bipartisan Border Act of 2024.
“I know it is a crisis, and President Trump is right: we must build a wall and fix our broken immigration system, and we have to turn off the magnets that attract, promote, encourage and allow migrants to enter our country under false pretenses.”
Government Reform & Ethics
low salienceHamilton promotes institutional reform through stock trading bans, term/age limits, and shutdown pay freezes, whereas Marshall has backed selective transparency measures while taking controversial votes on electoral certification.
Democratic Adam Hamilton
Banning congressional stock trading and enacting term limits
Hamilton puts government reform at the center of his campaign ethics platform. He calls for banning members of Congress from trading individual stocks or crypto, instituting 18-year term limits and age caps across all three branches, and withholding congressional pay during shutdowns.
- Ban stock, cryptocurrency, and prediction market trading for members of Congress.
- Enact 18-year term limits and age limits for Congress and the Supreme Court.
- Withhold member pay during federal government shutdowns.
“It’s time for term limits and age limits for all three branches of government.”
“Prohibit members of Congress and their households from buying or selling individual stocks while in office.”
Republican Roger Marshall
Supporting select transparency and election integrity measures
Marshall supported the Epstein Files Transparency Act passed by unanimous consent. On election administration, he voted against certifying the 2020 electoral votes from Arizona and Pennsylvania.
- Allowed unanimous consent passage of the Epstein Files Transparency Act (H.R. 4405).
- Voted against certifying 2020 electoral vote results for Arizona and Pennsylvania.
“The bill was passed with unanimous consent in the Senate, avoiding the three-fifths majority vote requirement.”
Defense & Veterans Affairs
low salienceRepublican Roger Marshall
Funding Kansas defense infrastructure and expanding veterans' healthcare
Marshall prioritizes national defense funding, military facility upgrades at Fort Riley, and support for Kansas aerospace manufacturing. He also supported major veteran healthcare expansion legislation such as the PACT Act.
- Supported NDAA FY2026 funding for Fort Riley ATC tower and training infrastructure.
- Cosponsored Supporting Veterans in STEM Careers Act (signed into law in 2020).
- Voted Yea on the PACT Act in 2022 to expand toxic exposure benefits.
“We must get our federal government back to its core functions – chief among them is national defense.”
“Supporting Veterans in STEM Careers Act — signed into law.”
Prediction markets 4
updated Sep 16Polymarket ↗
Kansas Senate Election Winner
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Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
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Kansas Senate winner?
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Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?
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