Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. Senate · Georgia Toss-up

Georgia — U.S. Senate

The 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia features Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff defending his seat against Republican Representative Mike Collins in what is expected to be one of the nation's most competitive and expensive races. As the only Democratic senator seeking re-election in a state carried by Donald Trump in 2024, Ossoff's campaign hinges on highlighting his legislative accomplishments, anti-corruption record, and economic investments for Georgia. Collins is running as an 'America First' conservative workhorse, emphasizing his business background, alignment with Trump's policies, and legislative victories such as the Laken Riley Act. Major rating outlets view the contest as leaning toward Democrats, with Cook Political Report classifying it as 'Lean Democratic,' Sabato's Crystal Ball and Decision Desk rating it 'Likely Democratic,' and Inside Elections setting it at 'Tilt Democratic.'

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
93.0%
Republicans
6.7%
Kalshi ↗
Jon Ossoff
93.8%
Mike Collins
6.9%
InsiderAdvantage ↗ Aug 17 · Ossoff +7.0 · via RCP
Jon Ossoff
50%
Mike Collins
43%

All 11 polls → All markets →

01

Immigration and Border Security

high salience

Collins champions strict enforcement, mass deportations, and the Laken Riley Act, whereas Ossoff advocates strengthening border security alongside legal pathways for undocumented immigrants and immigration enforcement reform.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports border security and legal pathways

Ossoff advocates for strong border security measures paired with human rights protections and earned legal status for undocumented immigrants who follow the law, particularly Dreamers. He also supports reforming federal immigration agencies to ensure enforcement is handled with competence and humanity.

  • Supports earned pathways to legal status for undocumented immigrants and Dreamers
  • Advocates reforming DHS and ICE to ensure humane treatment and competent enforcement
  • Voted to strengthen border security while opposing child separation policies

“I’ll support an immigration policy that strengthens our borders, puts American workers first, respects human rights, and creates a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants who are already here and otherwise follow the law, especially those brought here as children.”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports strict border security and mass deportations

Collins emphasizes strict border enforcement, authoring the Laken Riley Act to detain undocumented immigrants arrested for theft crimes. He supports mass deportations, completing the border wall, ending birthright citizenship, and eliminating welfare incentives for undocumented immigrants.

  • Authored and passed the Laken Riley Act requiring DHS to detain illegal immigrants arrested for theft crimes
  • Supports mass deportations, finishing the border wall, and reinstating 'Remain in Mexico'
  • Calls for ending birthright citizenship, chain migration, and welfare incentives for undocumented immigrants

“I didn't just talk about securing the border and deporting illegal immigrants. I wrote the Laken Riley Act and got it signed into law.”

02

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

Collins focuses on deregulation, making corporate tax cuts permanent, and reshoring jobs, while Ossoff focuses on capping drug costs, reshoring manufacturing, and boosting middle-class relief.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports capping drug prices and reshoring manufacturing

Ossoff emphasizes lowering essential costs for families, pointing to his success in capping insulin prices for seniors at $35 a month. He advocates reshoring manufacturing jobs, strengthening domestic supply chains, and preventing Wall Street short-term speculation.

  • Highlighted capping insulin costs for seniors at $35 per month
  • Supported bringing thousands of manufacturing jobs to Georgia and expanding job training
  • Advocates reinstating Glass-Steagall to curb Wall Street speculation and supporting middle-class tax relief

“Senator Ossoff has relentlessly delivered for the state of Georgia – fighting to: Cap insulin prices for seniors at $35/month”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports deregulation and permanent tax cuts

Collins favors free-market solutions, cutting corporate tax rates, and making the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent to spur economic growth. He also passed the Aviation Workforce Development Act to allow 529 savings plans to be used for technical and career education.

  • Supports making Tax Cuts and Jobs Act tax cuts permanent and slashing corporate tax rates
  • Authored Aviation Workforce Development Act allowing 529 plans for technical education
  • Advocates cutting federal regulations and reshoring American jobs

“In the Senate, I'll fight to cut regulations, unleash the free market, and create an economy where businesses can grow, workers can thrive, and families can get ahead again.”

03

Government Spending and Fiscal Policy

high salience

Collins advocates for a Balanced Budget Amendment and sweeping spending cuts, whereas Ossoff supports targeted investments in infrastructure and safety nets while opposing corporate bailouts.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports infrastructure investment and ending corporate subsidies

Ossoff opposes Wall Street bailouts and unconstrained corporate subsidies, advocating instead for direct economic relief to working families. He supports funding for infrastructure and clean energy investments to drive long-term economic growth.

  • Refuses corporate PAC and federal lobbyist contributions
  • Supports large-scale federal infrastructure and clean energy investments
  • Opposes Wall Street bailouts and supports direct financial relief for working families

“Rather than relying on subsidies for Wall Street as economic stimulus and hoping the benefits trickle down, I’ll support policies that help Georgia’s families make and save more money”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports spending cuts and balanced budget amendment

Collins considers out-of-control federal spending and the national debt as primary threats to national stability. He advocates passing a Balanced Budget Amendment, eliminating government fraud, and limiting the scope of federal spending.

  • Voted for the Limit, Save, Grow Act to cap federal spending and raise the debt ceiling
  • Pushes for a Balanced Budget Amendment to restrict federal expenditures
  • Advocates curbing waste, fraud, and unnecessary administrative programs in government

“In Congress, I will work to enact a balanced budget amendment, cut federal spending, reduce the national debt and limit the size and scope of government.”

04

Housing Affordability

medium salience

Collins attributes high housing costs to over-regulation and population demand, proposing the PERMIT Act and deportations, whereas Ossoff focuses on legislative measures to lower housing prices.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports federal action to lower housing costs

Ossoff identifies lowering housing prices as a central priority for his Senate tenure. He backs federal initiatives aimed at expanding affordable housing supply and supporting first-time buyers.

  • Lists lowering housing prices as a core legislative goal in the Senate
  • Supports federal initiatives to expand affordable housing accessibility

“Senator Ossoff has relentlessly delivered for the state of Georgia – fighting to: ... Lower housing prices”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports permitting reform and deportations to cut housing costs

Collins argues housing prices are inflated due to excessive red tape, low supply, and high immigration demand. He introduced the PERMIT Act to streamline environmental reviews and building permits to lower construction costs.

  • Authored the PERMIT Act to streamline construction permitting and lower building costs
  • Links housing demand to immigration and supports mass deportations to reduce market pressures
  • Advocates lowering interest rates and removing federal red tape

“Housing costs are too high because supply is too low and demand has exploded. We need mass deportations, lower interest rates, and less government red tape driving up construction costs.”

05

Government Ethics and Corruption

medium salience

Ossoff focuses on banning congressional stock trading and rejecting corporate PAC money, while Collins emphasizes term limits and eliminating federal bureaucracy.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports stock trading ban and ethics reform

Drawing on his background as an investigative journalist, Ossoff prioritizes rooting out government corruption. He introduced legislation to ban members of Congress from trading stocks and refuses contributions from corporate PACs and federal lobbyists.

  • Pushed a Congressional stock trading ban through a Senate committee
  • Refuses corporate PAC and federal lobbyist campaign contributions
  • Led investigations into abuses in foster care, military housing, and federal prisons

“Jon is one of few United States Senators whose campaigns refuse to accept campaign contributions from corporate PACs or federal lobbyists.”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports congressional term limits and reducing bureaucracy

Collins positions himself as a business outsider fighting political careerism. He signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge and focuses on draining bureaucratic waste in Washington agencies.

  • Signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge
  • Advocates reducing administrative inefficiencies and bureaucratic overreach
  • Positions himself as a private sector outsider unbeholden to Washington insiders

“Career politicians are bad for policy and not what our Founding Fathers intended.”

06

Healthcare

medium salience

Ossoff supports expanding Medicaid, protecting the ACA, and introducing a public option, while Collins advocates market-based choices and entitlement reforms.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports Medicaid expansion and public option

Ossoff supports protecting and expanding the Affordable Care Act, adding a non-profit public option, and fully expanding Medicaid in Georgia. He also advocates strengthening protections for pre-existing conditions and expanding health clinics in rural areas.

  • Supports Medicaid expansion in Georgia and adding a public option to the ACA
  • Prioritizes funding for rural healthcare facilities and expanding the U.S. Public Health Service
  • Advocates cracking down on price gouging by pharmaceutical companies

“In the U.S. Senate, I’ll work to make quality health care a simple, affordable, and reassuring reality for ​all of us by supporting​ Medicaid expansion, a crackdown on price gouging, expansion of the U.S. Public Health Service, and federal investment in health clinics.”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports entitlement reform and private health choices

Collins favors market-driven healthcare reforms and restructuring entitlement programs to ensure long-term solvency. He opposes government-controlled healthcare plans and supports allowing individuals more private choices.

  • Advocates entitlement program reform to incorporate private-sector solutions and choices
  • Opposes federal takeover of healthcare and government-mandated insurance programs
  • Supports preventing federal taxpayer funds from financing abortions

“Americans should be allowed to make their own health care and retirement decisions, not special interest groups, politicians and unelected bureaucrats.”

07

Abortion and Reproductive Rights

medium salience

Ossoff is pro-choice and vows to confirm judges who protect Roe v. Wade, whereas Collins is pro-life and opposes taxpayer-funded abortions.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports federal abortion rights

Ossoff is pro-choice, holding that reproductive choices belong to women rather than the government. He pledges to confirm federal judges who support Roe v. Wade and defend access to reproductive healthcare.

  • Pledges to only confirm federal judges who commit to upholding Roe v. Wade
  • Defends women's access to contraception and full reproductive healthcare choices
  • Opposes government bans or restrictions on abortion access

“I am pro-choice. I believe that women, not the government, should control the private, personal, and complex decision whether to terminate a pregnancy.”

Republican Mike Collins

Opposes abortion access and funding

Collins believes human life begins at conception and opposes abortion access. He fights to ensure no federal taxpayer funds are used for abortion services.

  • Believes life begins at conception and supports pro-life legislation
  • Opposes taxpayer funding for abortion and supports reinstating federal funding restrictions
  • Backed measures strengthening restrictions on abortion access

“I believe that life is a gift from God that begins at the moment of conception.”

08

Foreign Policy and National Security

medium salience

Collins promotes an 'America First' approach that demands accountability and burden-sharing from foreign allies, while Ossoff supports smart diplomacy, strong international alliances, and targeted defense funding.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports strong alliances and smart defense policy

Ossoff advocates a tough, smart foreign policy that protects American security through strong alliances and scientific diplomacy. He voted in favor of the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act to fund national security operations.

  • Voted Yea on the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026
  • Supports strong alliances, diplomacy, and re-entering global climate agreements
  • Emphasizes national security experience from his work on Capitol Hill and investigative work

“In Congress, Jon will push for a tough, smart foreign policy that protects our national security while avoiding reckless, destabilizing missteps like the Iraq War.”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports America First foreign policy and ally burden-sharing

Collins supports an 'America First' foreign policy centered on peace through strength, standing with allies, and opposing foreign aid without accountability. He argues that tax dollars should prioritize domestic needs and veterans over foreign spending.

  • Supports 'America First' policy projecting global strength without writing blank checks
  • Demands greater financial burden-sharing from international allies
  • Prioritizes funding and support for domestic veterans over foreign aid

“It's unacceptable that American veterans are struggling at home while politicians send billions overseas without accountability.”

09

Education and Workforce Development

low salience

Collins supports school choice, banning Critical Race Theory, and using 529 plans for technical training, whereas Ossoff advocates debt-free public college, free trade school, and increased HBCU funding.

Democratic Jon Ossoff

Supports debt-free college and free vocational training

Ossoff supports making vocational trade schools free for all Americans and public four-year college degrees 100% debt-free. He also champions federal funding increases for teachers and Georgia's Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs).

  • Proposes making trade school and vocational training free for all Americans
  • Supports 100% debt-free four-year public college degrees and student loan relief
  • Delivered record funding for Georgia's HBCUs and advocates higher teacher pay

“That’s why in the Senate I’ll work to make trade school and vocational training free for every American. And I’ll work to make four-year degrees at our public colleges 100% debt-free.”

Republican Mike Collins

Supports school choice, technical training, and banning CRT

Collins supports expanding school choice for parents and banning Critical Race Theory in K-12 classrooms. He authored the Aviation Workforce Development Act to expand 529 plan usages to cover technical and career education.

  • Passed Aviation Workforce Development Act enabling 529 plans for technical/career training
  • Advocates expanding school choice so taxpayer funding follows the student
  • Supports banning Critical Race Theory in K-12 education

“My bipartisan Aviation Workforce Development Act allows families to use 529 plans for technical and career training, helping more young people build successful careers without taking on massive debt.”

Polls 11

updated Sep 16
204060OCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOSSOFF 50COLLINS 43

Source: RealClearPolling · Ossoff vs. Collins ↗ · Ossoff vs. Carter ↗

Pollster Date Sample Result Spread
Quantus Insights Sep 12 624 RV Carter 37% / Jon Ossoff 40% Ossoff +3.0
InsiderAdvantage Aug 17 800 LV Jon Ossoff 50% / Mike Collins 43% Ossoff +7.0
TIPP Aug 1 2956 RV Carter 40% / Jon Ossoff 44% Ossoff +4.0
Fabrizio/Anzalone Jul 16 1060 LV Jon Ossoff 52% / Mike Collins 43% Ossoff +9.0
Wick Jun 30 1175 LV Jon Ossoff 47% / Mike Collins 43% Ossoff +4.0
FOX News Jun 27 1002 RV Jon Ossoff 56% / Mike Collins 43% Ossoff +13.0
Cygnal May 17 800 LV Carter 42% / Jon Ossoff 46% Ossoff +4.0
Echelon Insights Apr 9 407 LV Jon Ossoff 51% / Mike Collins 44% Ossoff +7.0
Emerson Mar 2 1000 LV Jon Ossoff 48% / Mike Collins 43% Ossoff +5.0
Emerson Mar 2 1000 LV Carter 44% / Jon Ossoff 47% Ossoff +3.0
Quantus Insights Sep 12 624 RV Carter 37% / Jon Ossoff 40% Ossoff +3.0

Prediction markets 2

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

Georgia Senate Election Winner

93.0% Democrats
6.7% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 93.0REPUBLICANS 6.7

Kalshi ↗

Georgia Senate winner?

93.8% Jon Ossoff
6.9% Mike Collins
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16OSSOFF 93.8COLLINS 6.9

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.