Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Wisconsin Safe R

Wisconsin — 7th District

Portrait of Michael Alfonso

Republican

Michael Alfonso

The election for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District features Democrat Fred Clark and Republican Michael Alfonso competing for an open seat created by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's run for governor. Clark, a former state representative and forester, is campaigning on a rural coalition platform focused on affordability, healthcare access, and environmental oversight. Alfonso, a podcast producer endorsed by Donald Trump, is running on a hardline America First agenda emphasizing border security, total anti-abortion protections, and government deregulation. Major political rating services—including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill—rate the race as Solid/Safe Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
92.5%
Democrats
4.4%
Kalshi ↗
Michael Alfonso
94.9%
Fred Clark
6.8%
Kalshi ↗
Michael Alfonso
99.0%
Jessi Ebben
1.0%
Cheryl Ann Runkel
1.0%
Kevin Hermening
1.0%
Niina Threlfall-Baum
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Fred Clark
99.0%
Chris Armstrong
2.0%
Ginger Murray
1.0%

All markets →

01

Economy & Cost of Living

high salience

Clark focuses on addressing long-term wage and affordability gaps while rejecting corporate PAC funding, whereas Alfonso pledges to rein in government spending, cut red tape, and lower costs in partnership with Donald Trump.

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports lowering costs and rebuilding rural economy

Clark criticizes both major parties for decades of affordability failures that allowed housing, healthcare, childcare, and education costs to outpace wages. He focuses on building a rural economic coalition that serves working families rather than wealthy elites.

  • Implement a Real Affordability Agenda targeting housing, healthcare, childcare, and education costs.
  • Rebuild the northern Wisconsin economy to foster prosperity for local workers and small businesses.
  • Refuse corporate PAC money to remain independent from special interest influence.

“In the last 50 years the costs of housing, healthcare, childcare, transportation, and college or post-high school education have all risen dramatically faster than wages.”

“Now more than ever, people across the political spectrum want our elected representatives to represent ALL of us, not the billionaires and elites whose influence captures politicians of both parties.”

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports reining in spending and cutting red tape

Alfonso advocates reining in federal government spending and cutting regulations to lower the costs of energy, food, and housing. He aims to restore homeownership opportunities for young families and bring high-paying jobs to the district.

  • Cut red tape and curb federal spending to lower housing and living costs for young families.
  • Partner with President Trump to reduce energy, food, and housing costs.
  • Focus on bringing high-paying jobs to northern Wisconsin.

“Young Americans shouldn’t be priced out of homeownership. Michael Alfonso will rein in spending, cut red tape, and make it possible for young families to own homes again and build secure, hopeful futures.”

“I'll work with President Trump to reform government, keep us safe, and bring down the cost of energy, food, and housing.”

02

Immigration & Border Security

high salience

Clark supports a balanced approach pairing border security with humane entry for legal immigrants, while Alfonso opposes mass immigration and seeks to restrict programs like H-1B visas to protect American workers.

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports smart border security and humane legal entry

Clark advocates for a balanced immigration policy that secures the border and deters criminal activity while establishing legal, humane entry channels. He argues that legal immigration is necessary to meet the needs of American businesses and sustain cross-border commerce.

  • Strengthen border security to address criminal activity.
  • Provide safe, humane legal entry for immigrants to support American business workforce needs.

“We need a smarter immigration policy that keeps our border secure and addresses criminal activity, while allowing safe entry and humane treatment for legal immigrants to help meet the demands of American businesses and allow for a prosperous cross-border economy.”

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports strict immigration controls and curbing H-1B visas

Alfonso calls for strict limits on immigration to protect domestic workers, raise wages, and preserve national identity. He opposes mass immigration and specifically targets worker programs like H-1B visas for undercutting American labor.

  • Restrict mass immigration and curtail visa programs like H-1B to protect American wages.
  • Secure the border to defend American workers and national identity.

“Immigration policy must serve the people of this country — not corporations. Mass immigration, including programs like H-1B, hurts American workers and undercuts wages.”

“Not only is illegal immigration driving down wages, but we have some legal immigration doing it.”

03

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

high salience

Clark supports protecting reproductive freedom and access to healthcare, whereas Alfonso opposes abortion entirely from conception and rejects mail-in abortion medication.

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports abortion access and full reproductive healthcare

Clark strongly supports protecting women's choices regarding reproductive healthcare in consultation with their healthcare providers. His platform supports broad access to and funding for reproductive healthcare, including contraception.

  • Protect women's rights to make reproductive healthcare choices with doctors.
  • Ensure funding and access for comprehensive reproductive health services, including contraception.

“As a candidate and as a former legislator I have firmly supported women’s freedom to make choices about reproductive care with their doctors, and I have consistently supported funding and access to a full range of reproductive health care for women of all ages including contraception.”

Republican Michael Alfonso

Opposes abortion completely and supports restrictions on mail-in pills

Alfonso maintains a firm pro-life position, asserting that life begins at conception and lasts until natural death. He praises the overturning of Roe v. Wade, opposes mail-in abortion medication, rejects assisted suicide, and has received the endorsement of the Pro-Life Wisconsin Victory Fund PAC.

  • Oppose abortion from conception to natural death and endorse state restrictions.
  • Oppose the expansion of mail-in abortion pills and reject assisted suicide.
  • Earned endorsement from the Pro-Life Wisconsin Victory Fund PAC.

“Like our Founding Fathers, Michael believes every person has an inherent right to life—from conception to natural death.”

“Michael strongly opposes Democrats’ efforts to expand dangerous mail-in abortion pills.”

04

Healthcare

high salience

Clark advocates for expanding affordable healthcare access and addressing corporate insurance profits, while Alfonso focuses on market-based transparency and reducing federal regulatory involvement.

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports affordable comprehensive healthcare coverage

Clark criticizes the high cost of medical care and insurance industry profits, advocating for policies that guarantee comprehensive, affordable healthcare to all citizens. In the state legislature, he urged state action to ensure universal access when federal reforms stalled.

  • Expand access to affordable, comprehensive healthcare coverage for all residents.
  • Reduce insurance company profit barriers in the healthcare system.

“There is no reason the wealthiest country in the world should live with the most expensive health care in the world, that leaves millions without coverage, while insurance companies reap record profits.”

“Since the federal government is failing to lead in one of the most pressing issues facing our country, Wisconsin must step up to ensure that every Wisconsin citizen has access to affordable, comprehensive health care.”

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports market-based healthcare cost reduction and transparency

Alfonso advocates for reducing healthcare costs for working families by increasing market transparency and prioritizing patient choices. He seeks to minimize federal bureaucratic influence and reduce insurer leverage.

  • Lower medical costs and mandate price transparency.
  • Prioritize patient needs over federal bureaucrats and insurance companies.

“Too many working families can’t afford medical care. Michael Alfonso will lower costs, increase transparency, and prioritize patients — not bureaucrats and insurers.”

05

Agriculture & Forestry

medium salience

Clark emphasizes sustainable forest management and revenue diversification for rural land owners, while Alfonso calls for cutting agricultural regulations and promoting healthy food through the 'Make America Healthy Again' initiative.

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports sustainable agriculture, forestry, and conservation

Drawing on his career as a forester, Clark considers farms and forests to be the foundation of northern Wisconsin's economy. He supports helping land owners adapt to economic changes, develop new revenue streams, and advance conservation initiatives.

  • Help farmers and forest owners adapt and create new sources of revenue.
  • Promote conservation and public land stewardship.
  • Leverage professional forestry experience in policy creation.

“The farms and forests of Northern Wisconsin are the backbone for our economy and our way of life. Today more than ever, our farmers and forest owners need opportunities to adapt to changing times and develop new sources of revenue.”

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports cutting agricultural regulations and promoting Make America Healthy Again

Alfonso focuses on strengthening local agriculture by cutting regulations on family farms and ensuring domestic food stability. Aligning with the Make America Healthy Again movement, he connects affordable, healthy local food with preventing chronic illness.

  • Reduce regulatory restrictions on local farms and agricultural producers.
  • Promote affordable healthy food to fight chronic illness under the #MAHA initiative.

“Strong farms mean strong families, and strong families mean a strong America. Michael Alfonso will cut burdensome restrictions, support local agriculture, and make healthy food affordable so we can fight chronic illness and prevent childhood obesity. #MAHA”

06

Education & School Choice

medium salience

Clark advocates for public school finance reform to ensure baseline adequacy across districts, while Alfonso supports expanding school choice, protecting homeschooling, and banning perceived classroom indoctrination.

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports public school finance reform

During his legislative career, Clark supported overhaul of Wisconsin's primary school funding system. He advocated for funding mechanisms that ensure every public school district receives adequate funding to meet state educational standards.

  • Reform primary school financing to ensure adequate funding across all public school districts.

“Wisconsin needs a complete reform of our primary school financing system. We need to fund schools using methods that will allow EVERY school district to meet our state’s own standards for adequacy in education.”

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports school choice, homeschooling, and ending classroom indoctrination

Alfonso emphasizes parental authority in education, backing school choice vouchers and protections for homeschooling families. He pledges to eliminate what he describes as Marxist race and gender indoctrination in public school curricula.

  • Expand school choice options and protect homeschooling rights.
  • End Marxist race and gender indoctrination in school classrooms.

“Parents — not bureaucrats — should decide what’s best for their children. Michael Alfonso will support school choice, boost homeschooling protections, and end Marxist race and gender indoctrination in classrooms.”

07

Governance, Ethics & Anti-Corruption

medium salience

Clark targets money in politics by rejecting corporate PAC money and backing campaign finance reform, while Alfonso proposes banning congressional stock trading and returning federal power to state governments.

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports campaign finance reform, legislative revolving door bans, and ending corporate PAC influence

Clark focuses on institutional integrity and oversight, refusing corporate PAC contributions for his campaign. During his legislative tenure, he sponsored legislation banning former lawmakers from lobbying for 12 months after leaving office and advocated for campaign finance reform.

  • Refuse corporate PAC contributions.
  • Support campaign finance reform to protect 'one person, one vote.'
  • Previously sponsored AB-245 to ban former legislators from lobbying for 12 months post-office.

“The Clark for Wisconsin Campaign does not accept contributions from corporate Political Action Committees.”

“We continue to believe in the democratic principle of one person-one vote. Yet Wisconsin’s regulation of campaign financing is not up the task of protecting that promise.”

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports congressional stock trading bans and returning power to states

Alfonso proposes ending corruption in Congress by barring lawmakers from trading individual stocks while in office. He also advocates reducing the scale of the federal government and returning decision-making authority to state governments.

  • Ban members of Congress from trading stocks.
  • Shrink federal government size and restore power to the states.

“Public service should be about serving, not getting rich. Michael Alfonso will fight to ban members of Congress from trading stocks.”

“The Founders never intended for the federal government to become a bloated, dysfunctional monstrosity. Michael Alfonso will return power to the states and reduce the size of government.”

08

Foreign Policy & Foreign Aid

medium salience
Democratic Fred Clark No documented position in our sources

Republican Michael Alfonso

Opposes foreign aid and forever wars; supports America First

Alfonso champions an America First foreign policy, arguing that federal spending on foreign aid and foreign conflicts should be halted. He advocates redirecting federal tax dollars to fix domestic problems like homelessness.

  • End wasteful foreign spending and foreign conflict participation.
  • Redirect resources to domestic issues, including homelessness in Wisconsin.

“Instead of helping Americans at home, Washington poured billions of dollars into forever wars and foreign aid. Meanwhile, thousands of people are homeless and suffering in Wisconsin alone. Michael Alfonso will put America First, fix problems here, and stop wasteful foreign spending.”

09

AI, Technology & Data Centers

medium salience

Democratic Fred Clark

Supports public oversight and regulations on AI and data centers

Clark acknowledges the potential of artificial intelligence while warning of risks without federal guardrails. He supports government oversight on AI development and public regulation regarding data center construction.

  • Establish federal guardrails and public oversight for artificial intelligence.
  • Enforce public oversight and regulatory controls on data center expansion.

“We can only capture the opportunities and benefits of AI with effective government oversight and that needs to happen now.”

“We can only realize those benefits however by taking a strong public oversight of this technology and how it is built out.”

Republican Michael Alfonso No documented position in our sources
10

Gun Rights & Second Amendment

medium salience
Democratic Fred Clark No documented position in our sources

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports constitutional carry and gun rights protection

Alfonso treats Second Amendment rights as non-negotiable and pledges to oppose any legislation restricting firearm ownership. He explicitly endorses constitutional carry laws and self-defense rights.

  • Oppose federal gun control legislation.
  • Support constitutional carry laws.

“Our right to bear arms is non-negotiable. Michael Alfonso will protect the Second Amendment against any attempt to weaken it. He backs constitutional carry and our right to defend ourselves.”

11

Religious Freedom & Social Values

low salience
Democratic Fred Clark No documented position in our sources

Republican Michael Alfonso

Supports protecting religious freedom and empowering Gen Z conservative values

Alfonso pledges to safeguard religious liberty against government interference, referencing pandemic-era restrictions on worship services. He positions himself as a voice for Gen Z conservative and Christian values.

  • Prevent government restrictions on religious worship.
  • Represent conservative and Christian values among younger generations.

“During the pandemic, politicians trampled on our right to worship. This must never happen again. Michael Alfonso will hold the line on religious liberty and block government overreach.”

“Gen Z is shifting right in record numbers. More conservative. More Christian. But Washington doesn’t represent them right now.”

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

WI-07 House Election Winner

92.5% Republicans
4.4% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 92.5DEMOCRATS 4.4

Kalshi ↗

WI-07 House winner?

94.9% Michael Alfonso
6.8% Fred Clark
255075100AUG 2AUG 15AUG 26SEP 6SEP 16ALFONSO 94.9PARTY 91.6PARTY 9.3CLARK 6.8

Kalshi ↗

WI-07 Republican nominee?

99.0% Michael Alfonso
1.0% Jessi Ebben
1.0% Cheryl Ann Runkel

+2 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16ALFONSO 99.0EBBEN 1.0HERMENING 1.0THRELFALL-BAUM 1.0RUNKEL 1.0

Kalshi ↗

WI-07 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Fred Clark
2.0% Chris Armstrong
1.0% Ginger Murray
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16CLARK 99.0ARMSTRONG 2.0MURRAY 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.