Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Wisconsin Safe R

Wisconsin — 5th District

Portrait of Scott Fitzgerald

Republican

Scott Fitzgerald

The 2026 general election for Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District features Republican incumbent Scott Fitzgerald seeking re-election against Democratic challenger Andrew Beck. Fitzgerald emphasizes his conservative legislative record in the Wisconsin Senate and U.S. House, prioritizing tax relief, spending limits, border security, and labor deregulation. Beck, a sales manager and former healthcare technician running as a non-politician, centers his campaign on protecting democratic institutions, expanding healthcare access, and addressing climate change. Major election analysts, including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill, rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
96.1%
Democrats
4.0%
Kalshi ↗
Scott Fitzgerald
97.8%
Andrew Beck
2.6%
Kalshi ↗
Andrew Beck
99.0%
Ben Steinhoff
1.0%

All markets →

01

Democracy and Election Law

high salience

Beck prioritizes protecting democratic institutions and reforming campaign finance, whereas Fitzgerald voted against certifying 2020 electoral results and supports stricter voter registration requirements.

Democratic Andrew Beck

Supports protecting democracy and campaign finance reform

Beck identifies protecting democracy as the single most critical challenge facing the nation. He advocates for campaign finance transparency to eliminate dark money and supports reasonable term limits for elected officials alongside bipartisan compromise.

  • Considers protecting democracy the single most important challenge facing the nation over the next decade.
  • Calls for financial transparency in election financing to eliminate dark money in campaigns.
  • Supports reasonable term limits for elected officials to encourage fresh perspectives in Congress.

“Protecting our democracy is the single most important issue we need to address today.”

Republican Scott Fitzgerald

Supports stricter voter proof-of-citizenship and voter ID laws

Fitzgerald voted against certifying the 2020 presidential election results for Arizona and Pennsylvania. He supported state voter ID laws while serving in the Wisconsin Senate and voted for federal legislation requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register to vote.

  • Voted against certifying 2020 presidential electoral votes from Arizona and Pennsylvania.
  • Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring proof of citizenship to register for federal elections.
  • Supported Wisconsin voter ID legislation during his tenure as state Senate majority leader.

“I think that there’s enough isolated incidents over the years that anyone who casts a vote has to have the full faith in the idea that their vote counts and it’s not going to be canceled out by some other person in another part of the state involved in some shenanigans.”

02

Abortion and Healthcare

high salience

Beck advocates for federal protection of abortion rights and expanded mental healthcare access, while Fitzgerald holds a pro-life stance and favors market-based healthcare reforms.

Democratic Andrew Beck

Supports reproductive freedom and expanded mental healthcare

Beck advocates for protecting a woman's right to decide her own healthcare choices and expanding access to affordable health services. He places a primary campaign focus on increasing mental health treatment resources and reducing social stigma.

  • States that a woman's right to decide her own healthcare choices is paramount.
  • Focuses on expanding access to mental health treatment to reduce societal tragedies and crimes.
  • Advocates for affordable healthcare pricing and easy public access.

“In addition, a Woman's right to decide her own healthcare choices is paramount.”

Republican Scott Fitzgerald

Opposes abortion and supports free-market healthcare reform

Fitzgerald maintains a pro-life platform and has earned the endorsement of anti-abortion advocacy groups. On healthcare policy, he supports market-driven reforms and consumer choice.

  • Endorsed by the Pro-Life Wisconsin Victory Fund PAC.
  • Maintains a pro-life stance on abortion policy.
  • Supports healthcare reform utilizing free-market principles and consumer choice.
03

Taxes, Spending, and Budget

high salience

Beck emphasizes budget deficit elimination and financial transparency, whereas Fitzgerald signed a tax-pledge commitment and consistently votes for tax cuts and spending caps.

Democratic Andrew Beck

Supports fiscal responsibility and deficit reduction

Beck views reducing or eliminating budget deficits as a core duty of the House's revenue-raising authority. He calls for financial transparency in federal spending bills and the elimination of unrelated earmarks.

  • Views reducing or eliminating budget deficits through spending and tax bills as a solemn duty.
  • Calls for transparency in federal spending bills and the elimination of unrelated earmarks.
  • Advocates making the economy thrive for individual citizens rather than special interests.

“I will find it a solemn duty to perform within the House in response to spending bills and taxation bills, reducing or the elimination budget deficits.”

Republican Scott Fitzgerald

Supports tax cuts and capping government spending

Fitzgerald signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge and consistently supports tax cuts and spending reductions. In Congress, he voted for budget reconciliation legislation, debt limit frameworks, and spending restraint bills.

  • Signed the Americans for Tax Reform Taxpayer Protection Pledge.
  • Voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1) reconciliation bill in 2025.
  • Voted for the Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023 and the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023.
04

Climate and Energy

medium salience

Beck calls for reducing greenhouse gases to fight climate change, while Fitzgerald supports boosting domestic fossil fuel production and cutting energy permitting regulations.

Democratic Andrew Beck

Supports reducing greenhouse gases and counteracting climate change

Beck identifies combating global warming as one of the country's main challenges over the next decade. He supports reducing greenhouse gas emissions and strengthening environmental agencies to protect climate stability and agriculture.

  • Identifies combating global warming as a top national challenge for the next decade.
  • Supports policies reducing greenhouse gases to protect agriculture and prevent extreme weather events.
  • Expresses personal interest in serving on the House Natural Resources Committee.

“We need to continue to work on policies that will reduce the effects of global warming.”

Republican Scott Fitzgerald

Supports expanding domestic oil and gas production

Fitzgerald advocates for increasing domestic energy output and lowering regulatory hurdles for energy production. He voted for legislation to expand oil, natural gas, and coal development and streamline pipeline permitting.

  • Voted for the Lower Energy Costs Act (H.R. 1) to increase production of oil, natural gas, and coal.
  • Supports reducing permitting restrictions for energy pipelines, refineries, and mineral projects.
05

Border Security and Immigration

medium salience

Beck advocates for equal rights under the law for immigrants, whereas Fitzgerald supports mandatory detention for certain non-citizens and strict border enforcement legislation.

Democratic Andrew Beck

Supports legal equality and protections for immigrants

Beck advocates for policy ensuring that immigrants are treated equally under government laws alongside other protected groups. He also expresses interest in serving on the House Homeland Security Committee.

  • Supports federal policies guaranteeing equal rights under the law for immigrants.
  • Lists the House Homeland Security Committee as one of his preferred assignments.

“The policies that I would like to affect while in Congress would be equality amongst all those in the United States, LGBTQ+, minorities, women, and immigrants, so that we can all be equal in the eyes of the government and laws.”

Republican Scott Fitzgerald

Supports strict border enforcement and mandatory detention

Fitzgerald supports rigorous enforcement of immigration laws and mandatory detention policies. He voted for the Laken Riley Act, the Secure the Border Act of 2023, and legislation making DUI offenses grounds for deportation, while voting to impeach the Homeland Security Secretary.

  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) requiring detention of undocumented immigrants arrested for theft offenses.
  • Voted for the Secure the Border Act of 2023 (H.R. 2) and the DUI deportation bill (H.R. 875).
  • Voted to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas (H.Res. 863).
06

Civil Rights and Social Issues

medium salience

Beck emphasizes government protections for LGBTQ+ equality, while Fitzgerald opposes same-sex marriage and voted to restrict transgender females from female sports.

Democratic Andrew Beck

Supports full legal equality for LGBTQ+ and minorities

Beck prioritizes achieving equality under government laws for LGBTQ+ individuals, racial minorities, women, and immigrants. He centers his public policy passion on extending civil protections to all Americans.

  • Advocates for equal rights and protections under government law for LGBTQ+, minority, and women communities.
  • Emphasizes expanding personal freedoms and peace for all citizens.

“The policies that I would like to affect while in Congress would be equality amongst all those in the United States, LGBTQ+, minorities, women, and immigrants, so that we can all be equal in the eyes of the government and laws.”

Republican Scott Fitzgerald

Opposes same-sex marriage and supports female sports restrictions

Fitzgerald opposes same-sex marriage on his historical campaign platform. In the 119th Congress, he voted for legislation restricting transgender females from participating in female athletic programs.

  • Maintains a campaign theme opposing same-sex marriage.
  • Voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025 (H.R. 28) to restrict school athletic participation by biological sex.
07

Labor and Union Rights

low salience

Beck is endorsed by organized labor and supports working families, while Fitzgerald led state legislative efforts to pass Right to Work and restrict public sector collective bargaining.

Democratic Andrew Beck

Supports organized labor and working families

Beck campaigns on traditional working-class values and has secured endorsements from major state labor organizations.

  • Endorsed by the Wisconsin State AFL-CIO.
  • Emphasizes a hardworking Midwest work ethic and working-class background.

Republican Scott Fitzgerald

Supports right-to-work laws and public union restrictions

During his tenure as Wisconsin Senate Majority Leader, Fitzgerald led legislative efforts to limit public sector collective bargaining rights and enact right-to-work laws.

  • Led the passage of Wisconsin Act 10, restricting public union collective bargaining.
  • Led the enactment of Right to Work legislation in Wisconsin.

“Scott Fitzgerald led the fight—and won—on Act 10, Right to Work, and years of balanced budgets for Wisconsin taxpayers.”

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

WI-05 House Election Winner

96.1% Republicans
4.0% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 96.1DEMOCRATS 4.0

Kalshi ↗

WI-05 House winner?

97.8% Scott Fitzgerald
2.6% Andrew Beck
255075100AUG 2AUG 15AUG 27SEP 8SEP 16FITZGERALD 97.8PARTY 91.5PARTY 8.6BECK 2.6

Kalshi ↗

WI-05 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Andrew Beck
1.0% Ben Steinhoff
255075100AUG 2AUG 15AUG 26SEP 6SEP 16BECK 99.0STEINHOFF 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.