Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Washington Safe D

Washington — 7th District

Portrait of Pramila Jayapal

Democrat

Pramila Jayapal

Five-term Democratic incumbent Pramila Jayapal faces Republican challenger Nirav Sheth in the 2026 general election for Washington's 7th Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The district, encompassing Seattle and surrounding King County, is rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by all major political handicappers. The race pits Jayapal's progressive national record on single-payer healthcare, clean energy, and labor rights against Sheth's platform focused on public safety, border enforcement, lower energy taxes, and local control over schools.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
95.8%
Republicans
2.3%
Kalshi ↗
Pramila Jayapal
97.5%
Nirav Sheth
2.0%
Kalshi ↗
Nirav Sheth
99.0%
Pramila Jayapal
99.0%
Gwen Kirkland
8.0%
David W Blomstrom
1.0%

All markets →

01

Immigration and border security

high salience

Jayapal champions humane immigration policies and pathways to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, whereas Sheth prioritizes border security and strict enforcement of legal immigration channels.

Democratic Pramila Jayapal

Supports humane immigration reform and path to citizenship

Jayapal advocates for humane immigration reform that creates a clear pathway to citizenship and stops the criminalization of asylum seekers. Drawing on her history as founder of OneAmerica, she opposes strict enforcement-only measures and anti-immigrant legislation.

  • Supports comprehensive immigration reform with clear pathways to citizenship.
  • Opposes the criminalization of asylum seekers and immigration-related detentions.
  • Founded OneAmerica to advocate for civil rights and inclusion for immigrant communities.

“I have always said that immigration is not just about policy and borders – it is about what we as a nation stand for.”

Republican Nirav Sheth

Supports border security and legal immigration reform

Sheth advocates for securing national borders and upholding national sovereignty while streamlining legal immigration. As an immigrant from India, he stresses that legal channels are the only viable pathway for integration and workforce participation.

  • Secure U.S. borders and uphold national sovereignty.
  • Streamline the legal immigration process to support economic workforce needs.
  • Provide integration resources specifically for vulnerable legal immigrants.

“Legal immigration has been and will continue to be the only way for successful integration into our great nation.”

“I will advocate for a balanced policy that upholds the nation’s sovereignty and ensures safety by securing the borders, while also recognizing the essential role of immigrants in the U.S. workforce.”

02

Public safety and law enforcement

high salience

Sheth advocates for increasing police funding and law enforcement equipment, while Jayapal focuses on systemic criminal justice reform and racial equity.

Democratic Pramila Jayapal

Supports criminal justice reform and equity

Jayapal focuses on addressing racial and social inequities through systemic criminal justice reform. She has consistently voted against measures that expand mandatory detention or deportations for minor criminal offenses.

  • Promotes racial equity through comprehensive criminal justice reform.
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 875, which made driving while impaired grounds for immigration detention and deportation.

“I will continue my 25-year track record of fighting for equality at every level, including: racial and social justice equity through criminal justice reform”

Republican Nirav Sheth

Supports increased funding for law enforcement

Sheth calls for strict law enforcement and fully funding emergency services to restore safety in Washington communities. Drawing on his experience as a former police officer and Marine veteran, he advocates providing police and fire departments with enhanced funding and equipment.

  • Increase funding and equipment for police and fire departments.
  • Focus policy on making crime illegal again in Washington State.
  • Leverage personal experience as a police officer and Marine to strengthen public safety response.

“We must make crime illegal in Washington State again and support our emergency services to the fullest.”

03

Education and local control

medium salience

Sheth seeks to restore school governance authority to local parents and communities, while Jayapal supports expanding federal higher education funding and opposing restrictions on school curricula.

Democratic Pramila Jayapal

Supports tuition-free college and early education

Jayapal advocates for expanding federal investments in public education, from early childhood care to tuition-free higher education through her College For All legislation. She opposes state initiatives that restrict public school curricula or limit transgender student participation.

  • Authored College For All legislation to eliminate student loan debt and ensure tuition-free college.
  • Supported state funding for early childhood education through the Early Start Act.
  • Opposed state ballot initiatives regarding parental opt-outs for sexual education and sports sex verification requirements.

“Part of this includes passing my College For All legislation, which would ensure that our workers who chose to attain a higher education can begin their careers without being crippled by student debt.”

Republican Nirav Sheth

Supports local community control and parental authority

Sheth advocates for returning authority over public schools to parents and local communities while prioritizing fundamental academics and critical thinking over current public school curricula.

  • Restore decision-making authority over public schools to local communities and parents.
  • Refocus public school education on fundamental academics and critical thinking.
  • Foster direct collaboration between parents, educators, and local leaders.

“My aim is to restore authority over schools to the very communities that they cater to.”

04

Economy, labor, and cost of living

medium salience

Sheth focuses on curbing gas taxes and government regulations to reduce inflation, whereas Jayapal focuses on empowering labor unions and raising minimum wages.

Democratic Pramila Jayapal

Supports union rights and federal minimum wage increases

Jayapal advocates for worker protections, expanding labor unions, raising the federal minimum wage, and guaranteeing paid family and sick leave. She consistently votes against Republican spending cuts and debt ceiling restrictions.

  • Supports legislation to strengthen labor union organizing rights.
  • Advocates raising the federal minimum wage and enforcing gender pay equity.
  • Voted Nay on the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 and the 2025 Reconciliation bill (H.R. 1).

“Workers are the backbone of our country and I will always stand up for the right to organize unions, which have helped us to build the middle class as we know it.”

Republican Nirav Sheth

Opposes high gas taxes and inflation-driving regulations

Sheth criticizes progressive state policies like gas taxes and climate regulations for driving up inflation and harming working families. He emphasizes small business growth, entrepreneurship, and infrastructure to foster economic opportunity.

  • Opposes state fuel taxes and clean energy regulations that increase fuel costs.
  • Promotes small business growth and job creation based on personal experience as an entrepreneur.
  • Criticizes incumbent policies for contributing to higher living costs for working families.

“Meanwhile, right here at home, she supports state Democrats as their policies—like the Climate Commitment Act and soaring gas taxes—add over a dollar extra to every gallon of fuel, driving up inflation and crushing working families.”

05

Energy and climate change

medium salience

Jayapal advocates for a rapid transition to clean energy and prohibiting new pipelines, while Sheth opposes fuel regulations and focuses infrastructure efforts on electric grid resilience.

Democratic Pramila Jayapal

Supports 100% clean energy transition

Jayapal co-authored the 100 By '50 Act to mandate a full transition to renewable energy and halt new fossil fuel infrastructure. She opposes initiatives that roll back natural gas policies or clean energy requirements.

  • Co-authored the 100 By '50 Act to transition the U.S. to clean energy and halt new oil and gas pipelines.
  • Opposed Washington Initiative 2066 regarding natural gas policies.
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 1 (Lower Energy Costs Act).

“That's why I have co-authored the 100 By '50 Act to take on climate change, move to renewable clean energy, prevent new pipelines, and ensure that workers and families benefit as we transition away from fossil fuels.”

Republican Nirav Sheth

Opposes gas taxes and supports electric grid resilience

Sheth opposes carbon regulations and fuel taxes that increase consumer energy prices. His environmental and infrastructure platform focuses on strengthening the reliability and resilience of the electric grid.

  • Criticizes state climate regulations for adding over a dollar per gallon to fuel prices.
  • Advocates investing in electric grid resilience to support economic growth.

“Infrastructure is a critical foundation for a thriving economy. By investing in stronger and safer transportation systems, ensuring the resilience of our electric grid, and providing support for small businesses, we can create a conducive environment for economic growth.”

06

Healthcare

medium salience

Democratic Pramila Jayapal

Supports Medicare for All single-payer healthcare

Jayapal views healthcare as a basic human right and serves as co-chair of the Medicare for All Caucus. She advocates for expanding Medicare into a universal, single-payer program that guarantees coverage and lowers prescription drug costs.

  • Co-founded and co-leads the Medicare for All Caucus in the House of Representatives.
  • Founded the Medicare for All PAC to advocate for universal single-payer health coverage.
  • Pushes to lower prescription drug costs and eliminate out-of-pocket medical debt.

“Health care is a human right and we must make it more affordable and accessible for every American.”

Republican Nirav Sheth No documented position in our sources
07

Infrastructure

low salience
Democratic Pramila Jayapal No documented position in our sources

Republican Nirav Sheth

Supports transportation and energy grid investments

Sheth emphasizes that infrastructure investments in safer transportation networks and a resilient electrical grid are essential foundations for small business expansion and overall economic growth.

  • Invest in safer, stronger transportation systems.
  • Strengthen the electrical grid to ensure energy reliability for businesses.

“Infrastructure is a critical foundation for a thriving economy. By investing in stronger and safer transportation systems, ensuring the resilience of our electric grid, and providing support for small businesses, we can create a conducive environment for economic growth.”

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

WA-07 House Election Winner

95.8% Democrats
2.3% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 95.8REPUBLICANS 2.3

Kalshi ↗

WA-07 House winner?

97.5% Pramila Jayapal
2.0% Nirav Sheth
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16PARTY 98.0JAYAPAL 97.5PARTY 4.0SHETH 2.0

Kalshi ↗

WA-07 primary: who will advance?

99.0% Nirav Sheth
99.0% Pramila Jayapal
8.0% Gwen Kirkland

+1 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16SHETH 99.0JAYAPAL 99.0KIRKLAND 8.0BLOMSTROM 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.