Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Washington Safe D

Washington — 6th District

In Washington's 6th Congressional District, freshman Democratic incumbent Emily Randall faces Republican challenger Teresa Fox in the November 3, 2026 general election following the August 4 top-two primary, where Randall led with 60.3% of the vote. The race hinges on contrasting priorities between Randall's progressive record on healthcare expansion, abortion rights, and climate investment, and Fox's platform focused on tax cuts, rural police staffing, shipyard worker funding, and Title IX protections. Major election handicappers—including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill—rate the general election as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
94.5%
Republicans
4.5%
Kalshi ↗
Emily Randall
97.9%
Teresa Fox
3.6%
Kalshi ↗
Emily Randall
99.0%
Teresa Fox
99.0%
Leon Lawson
2.0%
Macy Jones
1.0%
Brian P O'Gorman
1.0%

All markets →

01

Healthcare

high salience

Randall emphasizes expanding federal insurance frameworks like the ACA and Medicaid alongside universal healthcare commission models, while Fox focuses on non-partisan rural healthcare access through telehealth and doctor recruitment incentives.

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports expanding ACA and Medicaid coverage

Randall advocates for protecting and strengthening the Affordable Care Act, lowering out-of-pocket prescription drug costs, and expanding flexible Medicaid funding. She sponsored legislation creating Washington's Universal Healthcare Commission and supports expanding affordable mental health, reproductive, and gender-affirming care.

  • Sponsored legislation establishing Washington's Universal Healthcare Commission
  • Supports protecting and strengthening the Affordable Care Act (ACA)
  • Advocates lowering out-of-pocket prescription drug costs
  • Supports expanding flexible Medicaid dollars to state healthcare programs

“No one should go bankrupt to pay for lifesaving or palliative care.”

“In Congress, I will fight to ensure healthcare, including mental health care and reproductive healthcare, is affordable, accessible, and culturally-relevant for patients.”

Republican Teresa Fox

Supports expanding rural healthcare and telehealth

Fox focuses on addressing healthcare deserts in rural areas like Clallam and Mason Counties by keeping local clinics operational. She proposes expanding telehealth services and providing federal financial incentives to recruit doctors to underserved communities.

  • Proposes federal financial incentives for doctors to practice in rural medical deserts
  • Advocates expanding telehealth services to bring specialists to rural areas
  • Focuses on keeping local community healthcare clinics open

“Whether it's the lack of OB-GYN services in Clallam County or mental health shortages in Mason County, healthcare access is a non-partisan crisis here.”

“Focus on telehealth expansion and federal incentives for doctors to practice in "medical deserts."”

02

Economy, Taxes, and Government Spending

high salience

Randall seeks to strengthen working families by increasing corporate taxes and regulating digital assets, whereas Fox advocates across-the-board tax cuts, deregulation, and spending restraint.

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports middle-out economic growth and corporate taxation

Randall advocates for an economic model centered on the middle class, requiring large corporations to pay a higher share in taxes while supporting small businesses. She refuses corporate PAC money and supports regulatory frameworks for blockchain and digital asset industries.

  • Supports requiring large corporations to pay a higher share of taxes
  • Refuses corporate PAC contributions
  • Supports comprehensive regulatory frameworks for blockchain and digital assets
  • Voted Nay on H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act reconciliation) and H.Con.Res.14 budget resolution

“I believe in an economy that works from the middle class out–not trickle down–putting working families at the center of economic policies.”

“In our country today, there is too much wealth in too few hands.”

Republican Teresa Fox

Supports tax cuts and spending restraint

Fox campaigns on stopping runaway government spending, lowering taxes, and reducing regulatory burdens on businesses. She explicitly opposes state measures such as an income tax and the Climate Commitment Act.

  • Advocates lower taxes to keep money with working families
  • Calls for reducing regulatory burdens on real businesses
  • Opposes state income taxes and the Climate Commitment Act

“Income Tax? Climate Commitment Act? Washingtonians are being burdened by big government. It's time to say enough!”

“Lower Taxes: Keep money in family pockets, not bureaucrat budgets”

04

Public Safety and Law Enforcement

medium salience

Fox champions a federal funding floor to boost rural police hiring, while Randall relies on firefighter labor endorsements while voting against expanded federal law enforcement mandates tied to immigration detentions.

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports community public safety and firefighter labor

Randall emphasizes grassroots community support and maintains endorsements from local firefighter unions. In Congress, she voted against immigration enforcement bills that linked law enforcement detentions or deportations to non-violent offenses or DUIs.

  • Endorsed by South Kitsap Professional Firefighters IAFF Local 2876
  • Voted Nay on S.5 (Laken Riley Act) regarding mandatory detention for noncitizens arrested for theft/burglary
  • Voted Nay on H.R.875 making driving while impaired grounds for deportation

“We don't accept corporate PAC money. We're powered by working folks like you to bring change where it matters most!”

Republican Teresa Fox

Supports federal funding floor for police hiring

Fox highlights Washington state's low police staffing rank and proposes a 'Federal Public Safety Floor' offering direct incentives to hire and retain officers in rural counties such as Mason, Jefferson, and Clallam.

  • Proposes a 'Federal Public Safety Floor' providing direct federal incentives for local police hiring and retention
  • Focuses on reducing 911 response times in rural counties like Mason, Jefferson, and Clallam
  • Targets Washington's low nationwide ranking in police staffing

“It's unacceptable that Washington ranks last in police staffing.”

“A 911 call should be answered just as fast in Port Angeles as it is in Seattle.”

05

Gender Rights and Title IX

medium salience

Fox supports Title IX restrictions that prohibit biological males from competing in women's sports and using female locker rooms, whereas Randall voted against federal legislation banning transgender women from female sports.

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports LGBTQ+ inclusion and gender-affirming care

Randall advocates for protecting LGBTQ+ rights and expanding access to gender-affirming healthcare. In the 119th Congress, she voted against H.R. 28, the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act.

  • Voted Nay on H.R. 28 (Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025)
  • Endorsed by Equality PAC
  • Supported state policies protecting access to gender-affirming care

“How it feels when the Republicans don’t have the votes to do more damage to LGBTQ people and voting rights this week, so they send us home 💁🏽‍♀️”

“...ensuring that people have more than just theoretical access to essential healthcare including comprehensive reproductive healthcare and gender affirming care.”

Republican Teresa Fox

Supports restricting biological males from women's sports

Fox advocates protecting Title IX by barring biological males from competing in female sports divisions. She focuses on maintaining athletic fairness and privacy in women's locker rooms.

  • Advocates restricting biological males from competing in women's athletic events
  • Focuses on basic privacy and safety in school facilities under Title IX

“Title IX was created to ensure biological women had a fair playing field. Allowing biological males to compete effectively erases the progress of the last 50 years.”

“Most voters in the 6th District believe that girls should not be forced to undress in front of biological males.”

06

Climate Change and Energy

medium salience

Randall supports transitioning away from fossil fuels through investments in clean energy and grid updates, whereas Fox opposes green mandates like the Climate Commitment Act and experimental green maritime requirements.

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports clean energy transition and climate investment

Randall champions transitioning away from fossil fuels through federal investments in clean energy infrastructure, electrical grid adaptation, and green transportation. She stresses a 'just transition' that retrains workers while protecting vulnerable communities from climate impacts.

  • Advocates for a just transition away from fossil fuels into clean energy jobs
  • Supports adapting the electrical grid and modernizing green transportation systems
  • Endorsed by League of Conservation Voters Action Fund and Washington Conservation Voters

“We must make a just and fair transition away from fossil fuels and invest in clean energy jobs and infrastructure.”

“This is why I have been a leader in ensuring a just transition to a greener transportation system and adapting our electrical grid to the needs of a greener economy.”

Republican Teresa Fox

Opposes green mandates and Climate Commitment Act

Fox opposes federal and state green mandates, specifically criticizing Washington's Climate Commitment Act and experimental electrification mandates in maritime and shipyard operations. She advocates for 'blue-collar environmentalism' that prioritizes current economic and security needs.

  • Opposes Washington state's Climate Commitment Act
  • Rejects rapid electrification mandates on naval and support vessels
  • Promotes 'blue-collar environmentalism' over unproven technological mandates

“Income Tax? Climate Commitment Act? Washingtonians are being burdened by big government. It's time to say enough!”

“Federal mandates that prioritize unproven 'Green' maritime technologies over the immediate maintenance needs of the existing fleet put both national security and local jobs at risk.”

07

Democracy, Elections, and Government Reform

medium salience

Randall focuses government reform on protecting ballot access and rejecting corporate PAC dollars, while Fox centers her reform agenda on enacting congressional term limits.

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports voter access and campaign finance reform

Randall emphasizes removing barriers to voting and expanding access to the ballot box for all eligible citizens. She refuses corporate PAC money and voted Nay on the SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which required documentary proof of citizenship for federal voting registration.

  • Refuses corporate PAC money for campaign funding
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) requiring proof of citizenship documentation for federal voting registration
  • Advocates removing voting barriers to protect access for eligible voters

“This starts with ensuring that all eligible voters have access to the ballot box. I will continue to fight to remove barriers to voting and ensure every citizen’s voice is heard.”

“...one thing that I consistently hear is that they appreciate the stand I’ve taken against taking corporate PAC money since I started running for office.”

Republican Teresa Fox

Supports congressional term limits

Fox advocates for congressional term limits to end career politics and restore citizen government. She signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge and positions herself as an outsider fighting political corruption in Washington, D.C.

  • Signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge
  • Advocates ending career politics in favor of citizen public service

“Congress should be a service, not a career.”

“Signing the U.S. Term Limits Pledge distinguishes real public servants from career politicians in the making.”

08

Abortion and Reproductive Rights

medium salience

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports federal and state abortion rights

Randall is a strong supporter of abortion access with a 100% lifetime pro-choice voting record. In the state legislature, she sponsored measures blocking hospital mergers that restrict reproductive access, expanding postpartum care, preserving mifepristone access, and regulating crisis pregnancy centers.

  • Maintains a 100% lifetime pro-choice voting record
  • Sponsored state laws preserving mifepristone access and requiring coverage for contraception
  • Supported legislation regulating crisis pregnancy centers (CPCs) in 2024
  • Endorsed by Planned Parenthood Action Fund

“From passing Reproductive Health Access for All in 2019, to working to ensure student health plans covered abortion care, to ending cost sharing, to preserving access to mifepristone, I have been a leader on reproductive health policy in Washington...”

“In Congress, 6th District voters can be sure that I will fight as hard for abortion rights as I do in Washington State.”

Republican Teresa Fox No documented position in our sources
09

Education

low salience

Democratic Emily Randall

Supports funding public education and apprenticeships

Having served as Chair of the Washington State Senate Higher Education and Workforce Development Committee, Randall focuses on making college affordable and expanding trade apprenticeships. She supports well-compensated teachers and accessible pathways from pre-K through post-secondary education.

  • Served as Chair of WA Senate Higher Education & Workforce Development Committee
  • Expanded state college affordability and career apprenticeship programs
  • Supported initiatives expanding diversity in medical school admissions
  • Endorsed by National Education Association

“Every student deserves a quality education from pre-K to post-high school. And that post-high school path might be college and it might be an apprenticeship, but it should prepare students for tomorrow’s job market without saddling them with insurmountable debt.”

Republican Teresa Fox No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

WA-06 House Election Winner

94.5% Democrats
4.5% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 94.5REPUBLICANS 4.5

Kalshi ↗

WA-06 House winner?

97.9% Emily Randall
3.6% Teresa Fox
255075100AUG 2AUG 15AUG 27SEP 8SEP 16RANDALL 97.9PARTY 96.4PARTY 3.6FOX 3.6

Kalshi ↗

WA-06 primary: who will advance?

99.0% Emily Randall
99.0% Teresa Fox
2.0% Leon Lawson

+2 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16FOX 99.0RANDALL 99.0LAWSON 2.0JONES 1.0O'GORMAN 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.