2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Virginia Safe D
Virginia — 10th District
In Virginia's 10th Congressional District, Democratic incumbent Suhas Subramanyam faces Republican nominee Dave Beckwith, alongside Independent candidates Steven Goforth and Omar Morsy, in the November 3, 2026 general election. The Democratic primary was canceled after Subramanyam advanced unopposed, while Beckwith won a four-way Republican primary on August 4, 2026. Major rating outlets, including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill, rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. The matchup hinges on contrasting visions regarding tax relief, federal spending, energy strategy, healthcare affordability, law enforcement, and gun safety.
The pulse
updated Sep 16Economy and Taxes
high salienceSubramanyam focuses on protecting federal workforce jobs, infrastructure investment, and utility consumer relief, whereas Beckwith emphasizes making the $40,000 SALT deduction permanent and indexing capital gains to inflation.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports small business and targeted middle-class tax relief
Subramanyam emphasizes supporting small businesses and protecting tens of thousands of federal civil servant and contractor jobs in VA-10. He highlights his record in the Virginia legislature of passing legislation to reduce costs, including refunding electric utility overcharges, capping toll rate hikes, and promoting U.S. manufacturing and infrastructure investments. In Congress, he voted against major budget reconciliation and tax restructuring legislation.
- Chief patron of HB 528, refunding $300 million to Virginia ratepayers from utility overcharges
- Chief patron of HB 1832, preventing a 40% toll hike on the Dulles Greenway Toll Road
- Supports manufacturing in the United States and infrastructure investments to strengthen the middle class
- Voted Nay on H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act)
“Suhas is a small business owner and he understands that small businesses are the backbone of our economy.”
Republican Dave Beckwith
Supports permanent SALT deduction and tax simplification
Beckwith believes the federal government should minimize tax burdens on working families and avoid over-taxation. He advocates for making the $40,000 SALT deduction permanent, indexing capital gains to inflation, and simplifying the tax code across all income levels. Additionally, he supports reducing federal regulations to lower costs for families and small businesses.
- Proposes making the $40,000 SALT deduction permanent for middle-class families
- Advocates indexing capital gains to inflation to avoid taxing phantom gains
- Supports simplifying the federal tax code and reducing regulatory burdens
“Dave Beckwith believes the government should never take more from hard-working families than it needs.”
“He will fight to keep the $40K SALT deduction permanent, to index capital gains to inflation, and to simplify the tax code so hard work is rewarded at every income level.”
Fiscal Responsibility and Budget
high salienceBeckwith advocates for strict statutory spending caps and cutting emergency spending baselines, while Subramanyam has voted against Republican federal budget resolutions and continuing appropriations bills.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Opposes Republican federal budget and appropriations proposals
Subramanyam has consistently voted against Republican-led budget resolutions and appropriations bills in the 119th Congress. He opposes proposals that tie federal debt limits to broad programmatic spending cuts or pandemic baseline rollbacks.
- Voted Nay on H.Con.Res.14 (FY2025 Congressional Budget Resolution)
- Voted Nay on H.R.1968 (Full-Year Continuing Appropriations Act, 2025)
- Voted Nay on H.R.5371 (Continuing Appropriations Act, 2026)
Republican Dave Beckwith
Supports disciplined spending caps and oversight
Beckwith views federal deficits as a spending issue rather than a revenue problem, highlighting the growing debt and interest payments exceeding the defense budget. He supports strict spending caps, opposing the permanent inclusion of pandemic-era emergency spending into baselines, and targeting waste, fraud, and abuse.
- Supports disciplined spending caps that reflect taxpayer affordability
- Opposes locking pandemic-era emergency spending into the permanent baseline
- Pledges to combat fraud costing taxpayers up to $521 billion annually and recover improper payments
“Washington collects a record $5.2T a year yet the deficit is about $1.8T. That's not an income problem, it's a spending problem.”
Public Safety and Crime
high salienceBeckwith prioritizes strict prosecution of repeat offenders and potential National Guard deployments for violent crime spikes, while Subramanyam focuses on his local first-responder experience and a more selective approach to federal criminal enforcement legislation.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports public safety with balanced criminal justice reform
Subramanyam highlights his local service as a volunteer EMT and firefighter in Loudoun County. In Congress, he has evaluated law enforcement and immigration-related criminal enforcement legislation, voting against mandatory deportation measures for certain non-violent offenses while maintaining a focus on community safety.
- Served as a volunteer EMT and firefighter in Loudoun County
- Voted Nay on H.R.875 (Protect Our Communities from DUIs Act of 2025)
Republican Dave Beckwith
Supports firm law enforcement and victim-centered justice
Beckwith emphasizes that community safety is foundational and calls for fully supporting law enforcement agencies ranging from local sheriffs to federal police. He advocates for firm justice policies that prioritize victims' rights, remove violent repeat offenders, and utilize additional resources such as the National Guard during violent crime spikes.
- Supports strong funding for law enforcement, including the Loudoun County Sheriff's Office and U.S. Capitol Police
- Advocates removing violent repeat offenders from neighborhoods through strict judicial enforcement
- Supports strategic deployment of the National Guard to restore order in areas experiencing violent crime spikes
“Dave stands steadfastly with our men and women in uniform who protect our communities.”
“He believes in firm, fair justice that prioritizes law-abiding citizens and victims' rights and removes violent repeat offenders from our neighborhoods.”
Energy and Environment
medium salienceSubramanyam frames climate change as an emergency requiring green energy incentives, whereas Beckwith supports ending market-distorting subsidies and focusing on nuclear power reinvestment.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports renewable energy transition and climate action
Subramanyam views climate change as an urgent emergency threatening future generations and local economies. He advocates for bold agendas promoting conservation and renewable energy while simultaneously expanding economic opportunities and jobs for small businesses.
- Treats climate change as a national emergency requiring immediate resource deployment
- Promoted conservation and green energy initiatives in the Virginia State Senate and House of Delegates
- Chief patron of legislation returning over $300 million in overcharges to ratepayers from electric utilities
“Suhas believes we are facing a climate emergency that poses a grave threat to the future of our planet.”
Republican Dave Beckwith
Supports all-of-the-above energy and nuclear power
Beckwith supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy designed to eliminate market-distorting subsidies and spur technological innovation. He places a strong emphasis on reinvesting in nuclear power as a clean, job-creating energy source for Virginia's future, while opposing infrastructure placements like powerlines in residential backyards.
- Backs an all-of-the-above energy policy freeing innovation from regulatory red tape
- Calls for ending market-distorting energy subsidies
- Supports bold reinvestment in nuclear power for Virginia
- Opposes powerline construction in residential backyards
“On energy, Dave backs an all-of-the-above strategy that frees innovation from red tape, ends market-distorting subsidies, and supports reinvestment in nuclear power as a clean, proven, job-creating source for Virginia’s future.”
Gun Policy
medium salienceSubramanyam supports enacting gun safety legislation to curb gun violence, whereas Beckwith opposes gun restrictions and emphasizes defending Second Amendment rights.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports common-sense gun safety measures
Subramanyam advocates for common-sense gun safety legislation to prevent mass shootings and safeguard schools. In the Virginia General Assembly, he championed several gun violence prevention measures, maintaining that meaningful progress can be achieved while respecting the constitutional rights of responsible gun owners.
- Pushed multiple gun violence prevention measures through the Virginia General Assembly
- Focuses on school safety measures to prevent active shooter scenarios
- Supports gun safety laws while respecting Second Amendment rights
“Suhas believes we can achieve serious progress on this issue while respecting the Second Amendment, and without undermining the rights of responsible gun owners.”
Republican Dave Beckwith
Defends Second Amendment firearm rights
Beckwith advocates for upholding the constitutional right to bear arms for law-abiding citizens. He considers personal defense a fundamental right rather than a privilege granted by the federal government.
- Opposes restrictions on law-abiding citizens' constitutional right to keep and bear arms
- Views self-defense and personal safety as inherent constitutional rights
“Dave will defend the constitutional right to bear arms for every law-abiding citizen.”
Healthcare
medium salienceSubramanyam favors federal drug price negotiations and expanded public healthcare access, while Beckwith focuses on healthcare price transparency and expanding Health Savings Accounts.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports lowering prescription drug costs and expanding care
Subramanyam supports expanding healthcare access, lowering prescription drug prices, and authorizing Medicare to negotiate pricing. He advocates for price transparency from pharmaceutical companies, expanding mental health provider access, and providing federal relief for home-based long-term care for elderly and disabled individuals.
- Chief co-patron of HB 2007 in Virginia, requiring price transparency in prescription drugs
- Supports Medicare's authority to negotiate prescription drug prices
- Advocates expanding mental health care access and long-term home care support for families
“In Congress, I will take steps to expand access to mental health care providers and advocate for increasing research into preventative steps for our communities to support their neighbors.”
Republican Dave Beckwith
Supports price transparency and Health Savings Accounts
Beckwith advocates for market-driven healthcare reforms that reduce federal government interference. His platform focuses on requiring full price transparency across healthcare providers and expanding Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) so patients maintain decision-making control over insurance companies.
- Pushes for mandatory healthcare price transparency
- Supports expanding Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) for families
- Advocates for patient-centered care models with minimal regulatory interference
“Across regulation, education, and healthcare, he will support less interference, more family power; cutting red tape; expanding school choice and vocational education and training; requiring health care price transparency; and expanding HSAs.”
Education
medium salienceBeckwith supports school choice and parental rights, whereas Subramanyam emphasizes funding public schools and is endorsed by major teachers' unions.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports public school funding and safety
Subramanyam prioritizes fully funding public education and improving school safety for students. Endorsed by the National Education Association, he focuses on ensuring robust state and federal investment in public schools and supporting teachers.
- Endorsed by the National Education Association (NEA)
- Prioritizes state and federal funding for public school systems
- Focuses on enhancing infrastructure safety within local schools
Republican Dave Beckwith
Supports parental rights and school choice
Beckwith advocates for expanding parental rights in education, including support for school choice initiatives. He emphasizes expanding access to vocational training and technical apprenticeships as viable career pathways without incurring student debt.
- Advocates for parental rights in public education
- Supports school choice policies for families
- Pledges to expand vocational education and apprenticeship programs
“Dave will advocate for parental rights and work to expand access to vocational training and apprenticeships, ensuring every student has a path to a high-paying career.”
Defense and Veterans Affairs
medium salienceBeckwith draws on 30 years of military and Pentagon executive leadership to advocate for defense budget funding, while Subramanyam highlights legislative drafting for veterans and oversight committee duties.
Democratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports veteran support programs and oversight
Subramanyam serves on the House Oversight Subcommittee on Military and Foreign Affairs. Earlier in his career as a Capitol Hill policy aide, he drafted legislation aimed at expanding job opportunities and funding for veterans, military personnel, and seniors.
- Assigned to the House Oversight Subcommittee on Military and Foreign Affairs in the 119th Congress
- Drafted congressional legislation to increase job opportunities and resources for military veterans
Republican Dave Beckwith
Supports military modernization and veteran healthcare
Drawing from 30 years in the Air Force and managing a $500 billion Pentagon portfolio, Beckwith supports peace through strength. He advocates for a fully funded military, maintaining technological superiority, requiring efficiency from the Department of Defense, and ensuring veterans receive timely healthcare and mental health services.
- Served 30 years in the U.S. Air Force, retiring as Colonel, and as Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense
- Supports a fully funded defense budget prioritizing technological edge and DoD accountability
- Advocates for streamlined, timely VA healthcare and mental health benefits for military veterans
“He will fight for a fully funded, well-equipped military, which is the single greatest deterrent to those who wish to do us harm.”
Reproductive Rights
medium salienceDemocratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports legal abortion access and IVF
Subramanyam strongly opposes the Dobbs ruling and supports federal legislation to codify reproductive healthcare access. In the Virginia legislature, he sponsored a constitutional amendment to safeguard reproductive freedom and pledges to protect access to in-vitro fertilization (IVF) and abortion rights.
- Sponsored a constitutional amendment in Virginia to protect reproductive freedom
- Endorsed by Planned Parenthood Action Fund and Virginia NOW PAC
- Supports federal protections for in-vitro fertilization (IVF) and abortion rights
“The Supreme Court’s decision in Dobbs was a devastating blow to women across the country and their ability to make their own health care decisions.”
Democracy and Campaign Finance
low salienceDemocratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports campaign finance reform and voting access
Subramanyam advocates for reducing corporate influence in politics, signing the Big Money Out VA pledge and banning stock trading for Members of Congress. He opposes restrictive voter ID laws and gerrymandering, supporting expanded early voting. In Congress, he voted against strict citizenship verification bills for voter registration.
- Signed the Big Money Out VA pledge to limit corporate campaign contributions
- Supports banning Members of Congress from trading individual stocks
- Voted Nay on H.R.22 (SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of citizenship to vote in federal elections)
- Voted Nay on H.R.1526 (No Rogue Rulings Act / NORRA of 2025)
“Suhas proudly signed the Big Money Out VA pledge to limit the influence of corporate money in our politics.”
Immigration and Border Security
low salienceDemocratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports selective enforcement and immigration reform
Subramanyam helped build bipartisan coalitions for immigration reform as a congressional aide. In the 119th Congress, he voted in favor of the Laken Riley Act to detain undocumented immigrants arrested for theft or burglary, while opposing broader deportation mandates for DUI convictions.
- Voted Yea on S.5 (Laken Riley Act requiring DHS detention for theft/burglary arrests)
- Voted Nay on H.R.875 (making DUI arrests grounds for mandatory deportation)
- Helped build bipartisan coalitions supporting immigration reform during his tenure as a Capitol Hill policy aide
Technology and Emerging Innovation
low salienceDemocratic Suhas Subramanyam
Supports balanced regulation of AI and blockchain
Subramanyam brings experience as a White House technology policy advisor under President Obama. He serves on the House Science, Space, and Technology Committee, advocating for clear regulations that protect consumers from AI risks while encouraging responsible innovation in artificial intelligence and stablecoin digital assets.
- Served as White House technology policy advisor in the Obama administration
- Assigned to the House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology and Cybersecurity Subcommittee
- Voted Yea on S.1582 (GENIUS Act establishing stablecoin regulatory frameworks)
“AI has the potential to fuel our economic growth for the coming decades but also presents a host of potential downsides, from classroom cheating all the way up to job loss and significant economic and political disruption.”
Prediction markets 3
updated Sep 16Polymarket ↗
VA-10 House Election Winner
Kalshi ↗
VA-10 House winner?
Kalshi ↗
VA-10 Republican nominee?
+1 more outcomes
Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.