Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Virginia Safe D

Virginia — 8th District

Portrait of Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Democrat

Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Incumbent Democrat Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr. faces Republican challenger Tony Sabio in Virginia's 8th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, following the August 4 primary. The election in this heavily federal-employee-populated Northern Virginia district largely hinges on federal workforce protections, cost of living, energy policy, and national security governance. All major election handbooks—including The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill—rate the district as Safe/Solid Democratic.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
95.7%
Republicans
2.0%
Kalshi ↗
Don Beyer
94.5%
Tony Sabio
2.0%
Kalshi ↗
Don Beyer
99.0%
Adam Dunigan
1.0%
Michael Duffin
1.0%
Jason Knapp
1.0%
Elizabeth Dempsey Beggs
1.0%
Mo Seifeldein
1.0%
Daniel Gray
1.0%

All markets →

01

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

Beyer seeks to lower costs by repealing tariffs and raising taxes on corporations and wealthy individuals, whereas Sabio focuses on tax relief for small businesses and economic deregulation.

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports tax reform and tariff repeal

Beyer focuses on strengthening the Northern Virginia economy by lowering everyday costs, repealing Trump administration tariffs, and making the tax code more progressive. He advocates for paid family leave, closing wage gaps, extending the Child Tax Credit, and expanding tax incentives for affordable housing.

  • Introduced legislation and signed amicus briefs to repeal tariffs on imports.
  • Co-authored legislation to expand universal paid leave, equal pay, and the Child Tax Credit.
  • Advocates for tax code legislation requiring corporations and high earners to pay higher taxes.

“Eliminating Trump’s tariffs is one of the most effective steps we can take to make life affordable for the American people, but it’s not the only one.”

Republican Tony Sabio

Supports small business tax relief

Sabio prioritizes economic recovery by supporting small businesses, reducing regulatory burdens, and promoting workforce development. He plans to introduce specific small business tax relief and continuity legislation on his first day in office.

  • Committed to introducing the Small Business Tax Relief & Growth Act on day one.
  • Proposes the Small Business Continuity Protection Act to help local businesses withstand economic shocks.
  • Promotes the American Jobs & Opportunity Act and Small Business First Act.

“I also focus on supporting small businesses by reducing burdens, improving tax fairness, and helping entrepreneurs grow and remain resilient during economic challenges.”

02

Federal Workforce and Governance

high salience

Beyer actively fights executive branch layoffs and champions federal employee collective rights, while Sabio emphasizes his national security background and general government accountability.

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Defends federal civil service workforce

Representing a district with tens of thousands of federal civil servants, Beyer aggressively opposes federal layoffs, agency purges, and benefit cuts. He advocates for back pay during government shutdowns, expanded paid leave, and legislation enabling the rehiring of terminated federal workers.

  • Introduced the Comprehensive Paid Leave for Federal Employees Act.
  • Joined lawsuits and public protests challenging executive agency purges and DOGE layoffs.
  • Organized district job fairs and financial resources for laid-off civil servants and contractors.

“Today, Northern Virginia is under attack, and we need a proven fighter to stand up to Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and their corrupt Trump Administration cronies to defend our community.”

Republican Tony Sabio

Emphasizes government accountability and unity

Sabio emphasizes his background as a veteran and former federal national security official to advocate for common-sense leadership and government accountability. He pledges to put constituent service and nonpartisan results ahead of Washington politics.

  • Highlights career service in the U.S. Navy, U.S. Secret Service, and CIA.
  • Pledges to restore civility, accountability, and practical problem-solving in Congress.
  • Emphasizes staying directly accessible to constituents regarding local community needs.

“We need leadership grounded in service, unity, and accountability—focused on results, not rhetoric.”

03

Energy and Climate Change

high salience

Beyer advocates for carbon pricing, clean energy subsidies, and fusion innovation, whereas Sabio prioritizes nuclear power expansion and energy grid security.

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports clean energy and carbon pricing

Beyer considers climate change an existential crisis requiring a transition away from carbon pollution through cap-and-dividend systems, clean energy incentives, and advanced research. He co-chairs the Congressional Safe Climate Caucus and Sustainable Energy and Environment Coalition and founded the Congressional Fusion Caucus.

  • Sponsors the Healthy Climate and Family Security Act establishing carbon cap-and-dividend payouts.
  • Co-authored clean energy provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act and Build Back Better Act.
  • Founded the Congressional Fusion Caucus to advance research into commercial fusion power.

“It is the most significant existential threat of our time, with a cost in lives and financial loss that grows higher every year.”

Republican Tony Sabio

Supports nuclear energy and grid security

Sabio prioritizes grid stability and domestic power reliability, committing to introduce nuclear energy legislation on day one. His plan focuses on securing power infrastructure against emerging national security threats while lowering energy costs.

  • Committed to introducing the Nuclear-Ready Grid Zone Act on day one.
  • Committed to introducing the Nuclear Workforce Act on day one.
  • Promotes the Energy Affordability & American Power Act.

“On day one, I will introduce the Nuclear-Ready Grid Zone Act, Nuclear Workforce Act, Small Business Tax Relief & Growth Act, Workforce Apprenticeship Act, and Small Business Continuity Protection Act.”

04

Education and Workforce Development

medium salience

Beyer emphasizes federal funding, civil rights protections, and student debt relief for public education, while Sabio focuses on apprenticeship programs, vocational education, and parents' rights.

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Defends public education and student debt relief

Beyer opposes attempts to eliminate the federal Department of Education and protects funding for special education, civil rights enforcement, and low-income school districts. He also supports post-secondary student debt relief and federal student safety standards.

  • Opposes structural cuts to IDEA, Title I, and federal civil rights enforcement offices in education.
  • Introduced the Keeping All Students Safe Act to limit seclusion and physical restraint in schools.
  • Supports federal relief programs for post-secondary student loan borrowers.

“This Administration has made life worse for educators, schools, and students from kindergarten through the postgraduate level.”

Republican Tony Sabio

Supports vocational training and parents' rights

Sabio focuses on expanding vocational, trade, and apprenticeship options for non-college-bound students, planning to introduce the Workforce Apprenticeship Act on day one. Drawing from his school board candidacy, he also champions parents' rights, school safety, and expanded student mental health mentorship.

  • Pledges to introduce the Workforce Apprenticeship Act on day one.
  • Advocates expanding technical, trade, and vocational career pathways in K-12 education.
  • Supports parents' rights in curriculum decisions and expanding school security standards.

“FCPS needs to expand Vocational and Trade curriculum for students that do not want to attend college after High School.”

05

Healthcare

medium salience

Beyer supports expanding government healthcare programs like Medicare for All, whereas Sabio promotes market-based affordable options and health freedom.

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports universal healthcare and Medicare expansion

Beyer works to achieve universal healthcare by strengthening the Affordable Care Act, introducing the Choose Medicare Act, and co-sponsoring Medicare for All. He leads the House Mental Health Caucus and opposes Medicaid spending cuts and administrative changes to public health guidance.

  • Introduced the Choose Medicare Act and co-sponsors Medicare for All legislation.
  • Leads the House Mental Health Caucus and helped establish 9-8-8 as the national suicide lifeline.
  • Fights federal cuts to Medicaid and rollbacks of evidence-based public health measures.

“As a member of the House Committee on Ways and Means, which has jurisdiction over health care, I am at the heart of the fight to build on that progress and make affordable, accessible health care fully universal.”

Republican Tony Sabio

Promotes health freedom and affordable care choices

Sabio supports health policy reforms aimed at reducing healthcare costs and protecting health freedom. His platform includes the American Health Freedom Plan and market-driven solutions to lower insurance expenses.

  • Includes the American Health Freedom Plan as a pillar of his campaign platform.
  • Focuses on lowering health care costs and increasing choices for families.

“I will prioritize staying closely connected to the people of my district, understanding their concerns, and working diligently to address the real issues affecting their everyday lives—cost of living, job opportunities, safety, and economic stability.”

06

National Security and Foreign Policy

medium salience

Beyer emphasizes multilateral diplomacy, nonproliferation, and foreign aid, while Sabio focuses on defense intelligence experience, homeland security, and infrastructure protection.

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports diplomacy and foreign assistance

As a former ambassador, Beyer prioritizes diplomatic engagement over military intervention, advocating for global human rights, foreign aid, and climate agreements. He supports multilateral nonproliferation accords like the Iran nuclear deal and ending endless foreign military engagements.

  • Supported the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (Iran nuclear deal).
  • Voted to end U.S. military involvement in Yemen and supported military withdrawal from Afghanistan.
  • Advocates rejoining international climate agreements and maintaining international foreign aid.

“While I believe in maintaining a strong military, I will always see diplomatic engagement as the first, second, and third option, with force as a true last resort.”

Republican Tony Sabio

Prioritizes homeland defense and critical infrastructure protection

Sabio draws on decades of military, Secret Service, and CIA experience to advocate for strong national security and homeland protection. His platform focuses on hardening national power grids, protecting critical infrastructure, and safeguarding local communities.

  • Highlights over two decades of experience across the U.S. Navy, Secret Service, and CIA.
  • Sponsors the Safe Communities & Secure America Act to enhance national and local security.
  • Focuses on securing power grid infrastructure against physical and cyber threats.

“I’m passionate about national security and protecting the homeland, shaped by my service in the U.S. military, the Secret Service, and the CIA.”

07

Immigration

medium salience

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports humane immigration reform

Beyer supports a humane immigration policy that treats immigrants with dignity and protects vulnerable individuals from aggressive enforcement. He opposes mass deportations, travel bans, and ICE operations near sensitive community locations like schools and hospitals.

  • Authored the Protecting Sensitive Locations Act to limit ICE activities at schools, churches, and hospitals.
  • Co-led the ICE Visibility Act and Dignity for Detained Immigrants Act.
  • Conducted oversight visits to ICE detention facilities in Virginia to inspect conditions.

“That is why I support a humane approach to immigration that treats people with dignity while advancing our national interest...”

Republican Tony Sabio No documented position in our sources
08

Gun Violence Prevention

medium salience

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports strict gun safety laws and assault weapon bans

Beyer advocates for strict gun violence prevention legislation to stop mass shootings and gun suicides. He supports universal background checks, closing sale loopholes, red flag laws, and bans on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines.

  • Lead co-sponsor of the bipartisan Extreme Risk Protection Order Act.
  • Voted for the Bipartisan Background Checks Act and closing the Charleston and boyfriend loopholes.
  • Co-sponsors the Assault Weapons Ban and legislation banning high-capacity magazines and bump stocks.

“Firm in my belief that weapons of war have no place in American communities, I am a long-time co-sponsor of the Assault Weapons Ban, and of measures to ban high capacity ammunition magazines and bump-stocks.”

Republican Tony Sabio No documented position in our sources
09

Housing

medium salience

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports expanding affordable housing tax credits

Beyer addresses Northern Virginia's housing shortage by pushing federal tax incentives to construct and preserve affordable rental units. He co-leads major federal legislation expanding Low-Income Housing Tax Credits.

  • Co-lead of H.R. 2573, the Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act, to build 2 million affordable units.
  • Co-led the Save Affordable Housing Act to enforce 30-year affordability commitments.
  • Secured federal community project funding for local affordable housing developments.

“In Congress, I have championed expansion of the Affordable Housing Tax Credit to spur the construction of new homes and bring down housing prices.”

Republican Tony Sabio No documented position in our sources
10

Women's Rights and Reproductive Freedom

medium salience

Democratic Donald Sternoff Beyer Jr.

Supports federal abortion rights and equal pay

Beyer advocates for codifying abortion access into federal law and defending bodily autonomy following the Supreme Court's Dobbs decision. He also champions women's economic security through equal pay legislation, universal paid leave, and workplace accommodations.

  • Consistently votes for the Women's Health Protection Act to enshrine abortion rights in federal law.
  • Introduced legislation guaranteeing paid family leave and supported the Pregnant Workers Fairness Act.
  • Advocates for legislation closing gender and racial pay gaps.

“Reproductive care and abortion rights are essential health care, and I have voted repeatedly for the Women’s Health Protection Act to enshrine that right in federal law.”

Republican Tony Sabio No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

VA-08 House Election Winner

95.7% Democrats
2.0% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 95.7REPUBLICANS 2.0

Kalshi ↗

VA-08 House winner?

94.5% Don Beyer
2.0% Tony Sabio
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16PARTY 97.0BEYER 94.5SABIO 2.0PARTY 2.0

Kalshi ↗

VA-08 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Don Beyer
1.0% Adam Dunigan
1.0% Michael Duffin

+4 more outcomes

255075100AUG 2AUG 15AUG 27SEP 8SEP 16BEYER 99.0SEIFELDEIN 1.0KNAPP 1.0GRAY 1.0DUFFIN 1.0BEGGS 1.0DUNIGAN 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.