Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Virginia Safe D

Virginia — 4th District

Portrait of Jennifer McClellan

Democrat

Jennifer McClellan

RM

Republican

Robert Murray Jr.

Incumbent Democratic Representative Jennifer McClellan faces Republican nominee Robert Murray Jr. in the general election for Virginia's 4th Congressional District on November 3, 2026. McClellan, who has served in the U.S. House since 2023 following seventeen years in the Virginia General Assembly, brings an extensive legislative record on healthcare, clean energy, voting rights, and education. The race takes place in a strongly Democratic district with a Cook PVI of D+17, where McClellan won over 67% of the vote in 2024. Major election handbooks rate the contest as Solid Democratic (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections) and Safe Democratic (Sabato's Crystal Ball, Decision Desk).

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
96.4%
Republicans
2.2%
Kalshi ↗
Jennifer McClellan
95.6%
Robert Murray
3.0%

All markets →

01

Healthcare and abortion access

high salience

McClellan supports expanding Medicaid, protecting ACA exchanges, and codifying abortion access, while Murray has no documented healthcare platform.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Expand healthcare and protect abortion access

McClellan supports expanding access to affordable healthcare, preventative services, mental health, and reproductive healthcare. In the Virginia General Assembly, she authored legislation creating Virginia's state health exchange under the Affordable Care Act and voted to expand Medicaid to over 400,000 residents. She also led the passage of the Reproductive Health Protection Act, which removed major state-level abortion restrictions in Virginia.

  • Led passage of the Reproductive Health Protection Act, eliminating mandatory ultrasounds, 24-hour waiting periods, and TRAP laws
  • Passed the law creating Virginia's health benefits exchange under the Affordable Care Act
  • Supported expanding Medicaid coverage to more than 400,000 Virginians
  • Carried legislation making Virginia the first Southern state to remove bans on abortion coverage in health exchange plans

“Jenn has been a fierce advocate for protecting access to reproductive care and supports for new mothers.”

“Jenn will continue to make access to a high-quality, affordable, comprehensive health care system available to everyone”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
02

Economy and labor

high salience

McClellan champions raising the minimum wage and expanding workplace mandates, whereas Murray has not outlined an economic platform.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Supports inclusive economic growth and worker rights

McClellan advocates for economic policies aimed at fostering worker protections, raising wages, and supporting small business growth. Her state legislative record includes expanding collective bargaining rights, establishing paid family and sick leave, and repeatedly patroning legislation to raise the minimum wage to $15. She also sponsored laws eliminating historic minimum wage exemptions for domestic and eldercare workers.

  • Patroned legislation to raise the minimum wage to $15 and eliminate exemptions for domestic workers and older employees
  • Passed the Domestic Workers Bill of Rights, Pregnant Worker Fairness Act, and Virginia Values Act
  • Cosponsored bills expanding collective bargaining rights to public employees and mandating paid family and medical leave

“Jenn will advocate for a strong, inclusive, affordable and resilient economy that gives everyone an opportunity for prosperity while meeting the changing demands of technology and the marketplace and protecting workers’ rights.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
03

Education and childcare

high salience

McClellan advocates for major public investments in K-12 education, public school construction, and childcare assistance, while Murray has no stated education policy.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Fully fund public education and childcare

McClellan views education as a foundation for economic opportunity and advocates for full state and federal funding of public K-12 education and early childcare. She chief-sponsored legislation to increase Virginia K-12 funding by $2 billion and passed bills creating state funds for school construction and modernization. She also supports making community college tuition-free for high-demand occupations and extending in-state tuition to DACA recipients.

  • Chief-sponsored legislation to increase Virginia public school funding by $2 billion
  • Created the School Construction Fund and Program, helping secure $1.2 billion for school infrastructure in 2022
  • Passed the Child Care Stabilization and Quality Care Act to stabilize early childhood education providers
  • Cosponsored tuition-free community college for middle- and low-income students entering high-demand fields

“Jenn’s parents taught her that a good education is the key to economic opportunity, thriving communities, and a healthy democracy.”

“In Congress, Jenn will support major federal investments to improve access to child care”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
04

Climate and clean energy

medium salience

McClellan supports clean energy mandates and electric vehicle infrastructure expansion, whereas Murray has documented no energy or climate positions.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Transition to clean energy with environmental justice

McClellan treats climate change as an economic, health, and civil rights issue, prioritizing rapid clean energy deployment alongside environmental justice protections. In the Virginia Senate, she led the passage of the Virginia Clean Economy Act to establish a 100% Clean Energy Standard for the Commonwealth. In Congress, she supports implementing federal climate investments from the Inflation Reduction Act and transitioning to zero-emission vehicle fleets.

  • Led Senate passage of the Virginia Clean Economy Act, establishing a 100% Clean Energy Standard in Virginia
  • Passed the Solar Freedom Act to eliminate restrictions on local solar energy usage
  • Cosponsored clean vehicle standards and legislation to expand electric vehicle charging station infrastructure
  • Introduced Environmental Justice legislation requiring public outreach for individual environmental permits

“Jenn recognizes that climate change is an environmental issue, an economic issue, a health issue and a racial justice issue that we must take action to address.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
05

Voting rights and democracy

medium salience

McClellan champions state and federal voting rights legislation and expanded absentee voting, while Murray has taken no documented position on election administration.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Expand ballot access and voting protections

McClellan makes protecting and expanding voting rights a central platform issue. She authored and passed the Voting Rights Act of Virginia, making Virginia the first Southern state to enact a comprehensive state voting rights act modeled on federal legislation. She opposes strict voter ID mandates and supports federal voting protections, no-excuse absentee voting, and ending prison gerrymandering.

  • Authored and passed the Voting Rights Act of Virginia to prevent voter suppression, discrimination, and intimidation
  • Sponsored Virginia's law banning prison gerrymandering
  • Cosponsored measures establishing no-excuse absentee voting and repealing restrictive photo voter ID requirements

“Jenn knows voting is the most precious right and fundamental act in our democracy.”

“The Virginia Voting Rights Act is modeled after the federal Voting Rights Act of 1965 and will protect voters in the Commonwealth from suppression, discrimination, and intimidation”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
06

Justice reform and policing

medium salience

McClellan supports comprehensive police accountability reforms and ending mandatory minimum sentences, while Murray has no documented public safety platform.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Transform criminal justice and law enforcement

McClellan advocates for transforming the criminal justice system to emphasize rehabilitation, equity, and accountability over incarceration. Her record includes cosponsoring police accountability measures, ending no-knock warrants, abolishing the death penalty, and reforming mandatory minimum sentences. She also patroned legislation protecting defendants with mental illness or intellectual disabilities during court proceedings.

  • Cosponsored police reform legislation requiring de-escalation tactics and banning chokeholds and no-knock warrants
  • Cosponsored the law abolishing the death penalty in Virginia
  • Patroned legislation allowing evidence of mental health or developmental conditions to be presented during trial
  • Supported raising the felony larceny threshold and expanding parole eligibility

“Jenn is committed to transforming justice throughout the Commonwealth to create a generational cycle of restoration and re-entry rather than one of inequity.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
07

Gun violence prevention

medium salience

McClellan advocates for universal background checks and firearm purchasing limits, whereas Murray has not published a stance on gun laws.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Enact comprehensive gun control measures

McClellan advocates for comprehensive gun safety legislation to prevent firearm-related injuries and deaths. In the Virginia General Assembly, she led passage of a law requiring reporting of lost or stolen firearms and supported universal background checks and one-gun-a-month purchasing limits. In Congress, she supports federal background check requirements and closing firearm sales loopholes.

  • Led Senate passage of a bill requiring the reporting of lost or stolen firearms
  • Cosponsored reinstatement of Virginia's 'one-gun-a-month' rule and universal background check requirements
  • Supported giving localities authority to prohibit firearms in public spaces
  • Led a Senate bill establishing the Center for Firearm Violence Intervention and Prevention

“All of Virginia’s 1,000 annual gun deaths are preventable. As a member of Congress, Jenn will work to close loopholes and protect Virginians from gun violence.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
08

Civil rights and LGBTQ+ equality

medium salience

McClellan champions statutory protections for LGBTQ+ individuals and anti-discrimination legislation, whereas Murray has documented no civil rights platform.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Advance civil rights and LGBTQ+ protections

McClellan's legislative platform centers on advancing civil rights, combating systemic discrimination, and ensuring LGBTQ+ equality. She introduced the resolution making Virginia the 38th state to ratify the Equal Rights Amendment and co-patroned the Virginia Values Act. She also led efforts repealing constitutional bans on same-sex marriage and banning conversion therapy for minors.

  • Introduced and passed the Senate resolution ratifying the Equal Rights Amendment in Virginia
  • Co-patroned the Virginia Values Act prohibiting discrimination based on sexual orientation or gender identity
  • Repealed Virginia's ban on same-sex marriage and helped ban the gay/trans-panic defense
  • Cosponsored legislation banning conversion therapy for minors in Virginia

“Jenn has spent her career dismantling the legacy of slavery and Jim Crow that still impacts communities today.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
09

Affordable housing

low salience

McClellan proposes expanding housing vouchers and tenant rights, while Murray has not stated a position on housing policy.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Expand affordable housing and tenant protections

McClellan advocates for state and federal policies to lower housing costs, prevent evictions, and expand affordable housing stock. In Virginia, she passed the Tenants Bill of Rights to give renters legal recourse against substandard property conditions and supported anti-foreclosure protections. Her platform includes creating statewide housing voucher programs and expanding eviction diversion resources.

  • Passed the Tenants Bill of Rights empowering tenants against neglected rental property conditions
  • Carried the Preserving the American Dream Act to protect homeowners facing foreclosure
  • Proposed creating a Virginia Statewide Housing Voucher system and an Equity Home Ownership Fund
  • Supported expanding eviction diversion pilot programs and funding the Housing Trust Fund

“Jenn is committed to providing and maintaining affordable and stable housing for all Virginians, free from discrimination, because everyone deserves a safe place to call home.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
10

Transportation infrastructure

low salience

McClellan promotes federal funding for passenger rail and transit electrification, while Murray has provided no transportation platform.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Invest in multimodal transit and clean infrastructure

McClellan supports substantial public investments in multimodal transportation, combining highway improvements with public transit and passenger rail expansion. She served on the Central Virginia Transportation Authority Board and Senate Transportation Committee. Her legislative record includes initiating regional passenger rail studies and funding electric vehicle charging networks.

  • Initiated a study for the Commonwealth Corridor passenger rail service connecting Hampton Roads, Richmond, and the New River Valley
  • Supported sustainable transportation funding allocations for WMATA and VRE regional transit systems
  • Passed legislation to expand electric vehicle charging station infrastructure across Virginia

“In Congress, Jenn will support a multimodal transportation system that provides for the most efficient, accessible travel options for people and products while also protecting and preserving the environment.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources
11

Veterans and military personnel

low salience

McClellan supports workforce transition programs and voting protections for military veterans, while Murray has no published policy on military affairs.

Democratic Jennifer McClellan

Expand employment and support for veterans

McClellan emphasizes supporting military service members and veterans through targeted workforce transition programs and healthcare integration. In the state legislature, she supported programs helping military medical personnel transition into civilian health careers and expanded absentee voting rights for overseas service members.

  • Supported creation of the Virginia Values Veterans (V3) program assisting veterans with post-service job training
  • Supported the Military Medics and Corpsmen (MMAC) program facilitating civilian medical employment for veterans
  • Supported implementation of the Uniform Military and Overseas Voters Act to safeguard voting access

“Jenn believes it is essential to protect and support those Virginians who have defended our freedom by serving in our military.”

Republican Robert Murray Jr. No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 2

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

VA-04 House Election Winner

96.4% Democrats
2.2% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 96.4REPUBLICANS 2.2

Kalshi ↗

VA-04 House winner?

95.6% Jennifer McClellan
3.0% Robert Murray
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16PARTY 97.1MCCLELLAN 95.6PARTY 3.0MURRAY 3.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.