Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Texas Lean R

Texas’ 35th District race

Portrait of Carlos De La Cruz

Republican

Carlos De La Cruz

The general election for Texas' 35th Congressional District features Democrat Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County Sheriff's deputy and hostage negotiator, facing Republican Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and small business owner. Following mid-decade redistricting in August 2025, the seat features no incumbent candidate. The contest hinges on economic cost of living, law enforcement, border enforcement, and healthcare policy.

The pulse

updated Oct 31
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
75.0%
Republicans
26.0%
Kalshi ↗
Johnny Garcia
74.0%
Carlos De La Cruz
25.0%

All markets →

01

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

De La Cruz advocates applying small-business fiscal discipline and conservative policies to curb inflation, while Garcia promises to lower costs by confronting corporate interests and billionaires.

Democratic Johnny Garcia

Lower costs for working families

Garcia centers his platform on providing economic relief to working families in TX-35. He vows to stand up to billionaires and corrupt politicians who drive up prices and to work across party lines to lower everyday costs.

  • Lower living costs and expand economic opportunities for working families
  • Confront billionaires and special interests making life more difficult
  • Engage in bipartisan cooperation to deliver economic results for Texas

“Johnny is fighting for the working families in TX-35 — for lower costs, affordable healthcare, and the chance to get ahead.”

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Lower costs through conservative fiscal policies

De La Cruz blames federal Democratic policies and Biden administration spending for inflation. He advocates bringing Texas conservatism and small-business budgeting discipline to Washington to lower costs and bring back jobs.

  • Bring back jobs and lower consumer costs in alignment with President Trump
  • Apply personal experience as a San Antonio business owner to federal spending
  • Cut red tape and wasteful spending to protect working-family budgets

“I’ll fight alongside President Trump to bring back jobs, lower costs, and rebuild an economy that works for working families.”

02

Public Safety and Law Enforcement

high salience

De La Cruz focuses on backing law enforcement against left-wing attacks, whereas Garcia highlights his 20-year career as a sheriff's deputy to promote bipartisan street safety.

Democratic Johnny Garcia

Enhance street safety using law enforcement background

Garcia emphasizes his nearly two decades of experience as a Bexar County Sheriff's Deputy and SWAT hostage negotiator. He pledges to work across party lines to improve neighborhood safety and support local law enforcement.

  • Leverage nearly 20 years in law enforcement as a deputy and hostage negotiator
  • Pursue bipartisan solutions to make community streets safer
  • Protect neighborhoods while building trust between law enforcement and citizens

“Johnny will work with anyone to make life more affordbale and our streets safer.”

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Support police and restore order

De La Cruz pledges unyielding support for law enforcement officers against political attacks from progressive groups. He promises to ensure police departments have full resources to maintain law and order in local communities.

  • Provide full funding and equipment to law enforcement officers
  • Push back against left-wing criticism and political attacks on police
  • Restore law and order to protect local neighborhoods

“I will stand shoulder to shoulder with the brave men and women of law enforcement who risk their lives for us every day.”

03

Government Corruption and Accountability

medium salience

Garcia focuses on fighting corruption by confronting billionaires and special interests, while De La Cruz targets Washington political elites and lobbyists.

Democratic Johnny Garcia

End corruption and corporate influence

Garcia positions himself as a reformer dedicated to standing up against corrupt politicians and wealthy special interests. He promises an independent, pragmatic approach in Congress to serve district residents.

  • Confront corrupt politicians and billionaires influencing public policy
  • Work across party lines to deliver results for Texas families
  • Reduce special-interest control over political decision-making

“He'll always stand up to the billionaires and corrupt politicians who are making life more difficult, and work with anybody — Democrat or Republican — to deliver for Texas.”

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Fight Washington corruption and political elites

De La Cruz campaigns as a political outsider aiming to clean up federal bureaucracy. He pledges to bring Texas common sense and military integrity to Washington to hold career politicians and lobbyists accountable.

  • Fight corruption and hold career politicians accountable
  • End lobbyist enrichment at the expense of working families
  • Apply military discipline and outsider leadership to federal governance

“In Congress, he'll bring that same leadership, integrity, and Texas common sense to fight corruption and hold Washington accountable.”

04

Border Security and Immigration

high salience

De La Cruz promotes hardline border enforcement and cartel resistance based on his Air Force border deployment, while Garcia provides no documented position on immigration.

Democratic Johnny Garcia No documented position in our sources

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Secure border and defeat cartels

De La Cruz highlights his military deployment to the U.S.-Mexico border, emphasizing firsthand experience combating cartel exploitation. He advocates supporting Border Patrol with increased resources and stopping criminal cross-border activity.

  • Increase manpower, equipment, and support for Border Patrol agents
  • Confront drug cartels exploiting vulnerabilities on the southern border
  • Support legal immigration while blocking illegal entry and criminal networks

“I’m the only candidate in this race who’s actually been deployed to the southern border. I’ve seen firsthand how the cartels exploit every weakness. We need to continue securing our border and ensure our Border Patrol agents have the tools, manpower, and support they deserve.”

05

Healthcare

medium salience

Garcia explicitly campaigns on expanding affordable healthcare access for families, whereas De La Cruz offers no documented general healthcare platform in the provided sources.

Democratic Johnny Garcia

Expand access to affordable healthcare

Garcia emphasizes making healthcare affordable for families as a core component of his legislative platform. He pledges to lower out-of-pocket medical expenses and challenge special interests in the healthcare industry.

  • Lower medical and healthcare costs for working families in TX-35
  • Expand access to affordable healthcare services
  • Confront corporate interests in the healthcare sector

“Johnny is fighting for the working families in TX-35 — for lower costs, affordable healthcare, and the chance to get ahead.”

Republican Carlos De La Cruz No documented position in our sources
06

Energy Policy

medium salience

De La Cruz advocates for Texas energy dominance through deregulation of fossil fuels, while Garcia provides no documented stance on energy.

Democratic Johnny Garcia No documented position in our sources

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Achieve American energy dominance

De La Cruz supports expanding Texas energy production by rolling back green energy regulations. He contends that energy dominance strengthens national security, lowers consumer fuel prices, and creates local jobs.

  • Roll back federal green energy regulations
  • Achieve energy independence to reduce prices for Texas consumers
  • Protect oil and gas sector jobs against foreign competitors

“Together with President Trump, I’ll roll back radical green regulations and make sure Texans—not foreign dictators—control our energy future.”

07

Veterans Affairs

medium salience

De La Cruz pledges to eliminate VA red tape based on his personal military background, whereas Garcia has no documented position on veterans affairs.

Democratic Johnny Garcia No documented position in our sources

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Streamline care and eliminate VA bureaucracy

Leveraging his 20-year Air Force career and his wife's background as a VA nurse practitioner, De La Cruz demands faster healthcare for veterans. He pledges to eliminate VA bureaucracy and streamline access to care.

  • Cut red tape and administrative bureaucracy within the VA
  • Deliver fast medical care and services to military veterans
  • Fulfill federal promises made to service members and their families

“Veterans don’t need another speech or another layer of bureaucracy — they need results. Fast care, no red tape, no excuses.”

08

Agriculture and Water Rights

low salience

De La Cruz promises to enforce water treaties with Mexico and cut farm regulations, whereas Garcia presents no documented agricultural platform.

Democratic Johnny Garcia No documented position in our sources

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Protect farmers and enforce water treaties

De La Cruz promises to champion Texas farmers and ranchers by enforcing international water delivery obligations owed by Mexico. He also aims to cut federal regulations and shield domestic agriculture from foreign undercutting.

  • Enforce Mexican water delivery obligations under international treaties
  • Reduce federal regulatory constraints on local farmers and ranchers
  • Shield domestic agricultural producers from foreign competition

“I will keep fighting to hold the Mexican government accountable and ensure they deliver the water they owe our agricultural communities.”

09

Senior Care and Entitlements

low salience

De La Cruz promises to safeguard Social Security and Medicare against wasteful spending, while Garcia takes no documented stance on senior care.

Democratic Johnny Garcia No documented position in our sources

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Protect Social Security and Medicare

De La Cruz vows to protect Social Security and Medicare from wasteful government spending and spending expansion for unearned benefits. He emphasizes ensuring seniors can retire with security.

  • Protect Social Security and Medicare benefits for retirees
  • Stop government spending initiatives that risk entitlement funding
  • Prevent benefits from being provided to unearned recipients

“I will fight to protect Social Security and Medicare from the radical left politicians who want to put their benefits at risk with wasteful spending and handouts for those who haven’t earned them.”

10

Social and Cultural Issues

low salience

De La Cruz actively campaigns on defending traditional values against progressive ideology, whereas Garcia takes no documented stance on social issues.

Democratic Johnny Garcia No documented position in our sources

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Defend traditional values against radical ideology

De La Cruz pledges to defend faith, family, and freedom against left-wing cultural policies. He opposes progressive agendas targeting children in schools and aims to protect conservative expression.

  • Defend faith, family, and freedom in federal policy
  • Oppose radical left agendas targeting children in education
  • Protect conservative values and freedom of speech

“In Congress, I’ll fight alongside President Trump to defend faith, family, and freedom, and give America’s children the future they deserve.”

11

Trade and Domestic Manufacturing

low salience

De La Cruz advocates for reshoring manufacturing and countering Chinese trade, while Garcia provides no documented trade platform.

Democratic Johnny Garcia No documented position in our sources

Republican Carlos De La Cruz

Bring manufacturing home and counter China

De La Cruz supports reshoring manufacturing jobs and taking a tough stance against unfair trade practices by China. He pledges to put American workers and families ahead of global elites.

  • Bring manufacturing jobs back to the United States
  • Counter economic competition and trade practices from communist China
  • Prioritize domestic workers over international agreements

“That means securing our border, bringing manufacturing back home, and stopping communist China from ripping us off.”

Prediction markets 2

updated Oct 31

Polymarket ↗

TX-35 House Election Winner

75.0% Democrats
26.0% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31DEMOCRATS 75.0REPUBLICANS 26.0

Kalshi ↗

TX-35 House winner?

74.0% Johnny Garcia
25.0% Carlos De La Cruz
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31GARCIA 74.0CRUZ 25.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.