Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Tennessee Safe R

Tennessee — 4th District

Portrait of Victoria Broderick

Democrat

Victoria Broderick

Portrait of Scott DesJarlais

Republican

Scott DesJarlais

The 2026 general election for Tennessee's 4th Congressional District features eight-term Republican incumbent Scott DesJarlais against Democratic challenger Victoria Broderick, who won the August 6, 2026 primary. Following state redistricting that reopened candidate filing through May 15, 2026, the district boundaries were updated for the 2026 cycle. Major election handicappers—including The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill—rate the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. The race hinges on stark partisan contrasts over healthcare reform, reproductive rights, federal tax and spending policy, and gun control in a heavily conservative district.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
92.5%
Democrats
7.5%
Kalshi ↗
Scott DesJarlais
97.9%
Victoria Broderick
2.0%
Kalshi ↗
Scott DesJarlais
99.0%
Rishi K Saxena
3.0%
Harold Rocky Jones
1.0%
Joshua James
1.0%
Tom Davis
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Victoria Broderick
99.0%
Joyce E Neal
1.0%
Tim Lanier
1.0%
Mike Cortese
1.0%
Cliff Huffman
1.0%

All markets →

01

Healthcare

high salience

Broderick favors establishing Universal Healthcare to cover all residents, whereas DesJarlais seeks to repeal Obamacare and rely on free-market measures like Health Savings Accounts and interstate insurance sales.

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports universal healthcare and medical privacy

Broderick considers healthcare a top public policy priority and advocates for Universal Healthcare to ensure families do not face financial ruin from medical care. Her decision to enter politics was influenced in part by navigating a high-risk pregnancy and loss during the overturning of Roe v. Wade.

  • Advocates for Universal Healthcare to prevent medical bankruptcy for working-class families
  • Identifies healthcare access and reproductive freedom as core public policy passions
  • Cites personal experience navigating surprise pregnancy and pregnancy loss as a driving force for public service

“Universal Healthcare is a must.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Opposes Obamacare and supports market competition

DesJarlais opposes Obamacare and argues that government and large insurance companies interfere in doctor-patient relationships. He supports free-market reforms including interstate insurance competition, tort reform, and expanded Health Savings Accounts (HSAs).

  • Opposes Obamacare as an overreach that increases system costs
  • Supports removing state restrictions to promote interstate health insurance competition
  • Promotes tort reform and financial incentives for Health Savings Accounts

“Americans experience the best healthcare at affordable prices when big insurance and big government aren’t meddlesome middlemen interfering in the doctor patient relationship.”

“ObamaCare is not the answer to providing better medical care or reducing costs, but rather amplifies the problems with our current system.”

02

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

high salience

Broderick champions federal pro-choice protections and reproductive rights, while DesJarlais holds conservative anti-abortion positions despite personal past scandal.

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports reproductive freedom and pro-choice policies

Broderick is a staunch defender of reproductive freedom, entering public life after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. Endorsed by Planned Parenthood-Federal, she advocates for bodily autonomy and family support services.

  • Supports constitutional protections for reproductive freedom and bodily autonomy
  • Endorsed by Planned Parenthood-Federal
  • Launched campaign outreach on social media following the overturning of Roe v. Wade

“Every person deserves the right to choice.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Opposes abortion, despite past scandal

DesJarlais maintains an anti-abortion legislative stance. However, source records document that his 2001 divorce proceedings revealed he previously encouraged his former wife and former mistress to have abortions.

  • Maintains anti-abortion voting alignment in Congress
  • Faced media scrutiny regarding 2001 divorce testimony involving personal abortion requests

“DesJarlais' 2001 divorce proceedings revealed that he asked his former wife and former mistress to have abortions.”

03

Guns & Second Amendment

high salience

Broderick advocates for gun control measures to reduce school violence, whereas DesJarlais opposes restrictions on firearm ownership and holds an 'A' NRA rating.

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports common-sense gun safety reform

Broderick, a gun owner herself, advocates for pro-gun reform legislation to reduce violence in schools and local communities. She has received the endorsement of Moms Demand Action - TN.

  • Supports common-sense gun safety legislation to protect school safety
  • Endorsed by Moms Demand Action - TN
  • Frames gun reform as a core responsibility of gun owners

“Our children’s rights are at risk. Children deserve the right to attend school without the fear of a “Bad” Guy with a gun. Our job as responsible gun owners, is to protect them.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Opposes gun control laws

DesJarlais opposes restrictions on firearm ownership and holds an 'A' rating from the National Rifle Association. He pledges to resist attempts to erode Second Amendment rights.

  • Opposes federal restrictions on gun ownership and firearm sales
  • Maintains an 'A' rating from the National Rifle Association (NRA)

“The right to bear arms is a constitutionally protected right and we will fight to make sure those rights are not eroded.”

“Congressman DesJarlais has an “A” rating from the National Rifle Association (NRA) and will always vote to protect those cherished rights.”

04

Economy, Taxation & Budget

high salience

Broderick advocates for higher taxes on billionaires to fund working-family relief, while DesJarlais supports deregulation, spending reductions, tax cuts, and a constitutional balanced budget amendment.

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports fair taxation and economic affordability

Broderick centers her campaign on economic relief for working families, calling for tax reforms where billionaires pay higher shares, alongside programs to expand affordable housing.

  • Supports reforming the federal tax system so high-net-worth individuals pay their fair share
  • Promotes affordable housing initiatives for middle-class taxpayers
  • Focuses campaign priorities on affordability, safety, freedom, and equity

“A tax system where billionaires pay their fair share because the rest of us already are.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports spending cuts and tax reductions

DesJarlais supports a constitutional Balanced Budget Amendment, federal tax cuts, and deregulation to stimulate job growth. He signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge and voted for conservative reconciliation legislation.

  • Supports a constitutional amendment requiring a balanced federal budget annually
  • Signed Americans for Tax Reform's Taxpayer Protection Pledge
  • Voted for major spending cut and tax reform measures including H.R. 1 (119th Congress) and the Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023

“Congressman DesJarlais is a firm supporter of an amendment to the Constitution that would require a balanced budget each year.”

“The economy works best when people and businesses get to keep more of their money and government gets out of the way.”

05

Education

medium salience

Broderick prioritizes increasing public school funding and teacher salaries while opposing vouchers, whereas DesJarlais focuses on federal restrictions regarding transgender student participation in female athletics.

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports public school funding and teacher pay

Broderick emphasizes strong public education, advocating for increased teacher salaries and school funding. She opposes giving public money to private schools unless they comply with public educational standards.

  • Advocates for increased funding and better pay for public school teachers
  • Opposes public funding for private voucher programs that bypass public standards
  • Promotes equal educational opportunities across public school districts

“Teachers deserve proper funding, better pay & students have a right to equal and equitable education.”

“Private schools are private for a reason, if they want public funding, they’ll need to meet public education standards.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports restricting transgender sports participation

DesJarlais voted in favor of federal legislation aimed at regulating school sports rules regarding biological sex.

  • Voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025 (H.R. 28) to prohibit biological males from competing in female sports programs
06

Democracy, Governance & Voting Rights

medium salience

Broderick prioritizes expanding voter access, implementing term limits, and campaign finance reform, whereas DesJarlais supported challenging 2020 presidential election results and voting for strict proof-of-citizenship requirements.

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports voter access protections and term limits

Broderick supports enacting federal legislation to protect voting rights, implementation of term limits for elected officials, and taking corporate money out of political campaigns.

  • Supports federal legislation to expand and safeguard voting access
  • Advocates for term limits across elected government offices
  • Endorsed by LGBTQ+ Victory Fund and The Equity Alliance

“I believe in term limits for all elected officials for all offices.”

“Protection of voter rights and access.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports voter proof-of-citizenship laws and challenged 2020 certification

DesJarlais voted against certifying the 2020 electoral votes for Arizona and Pennsylvania following the January 6 Capitol event, and has supported strict voter registration requirements like documentary proof of citizenship.

  • Voted against certifying the 2020 presidential election results from Arizona and Pennsylvania on January 6-7, 2021
  • Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring proof of citizenship to register for federal voting

“DesJarlais voted against certifying the electoral votes from Arizona and Pennsylvania.”

07

Energy & Environment

medium salience

Broderick supports environmental sustainability and protection measures, while DesJarlais advocates for expanded domestic oil, gas, coal, and nuclear production via federal deregulation.

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports environmental sustainability

Broderick lists environmental sustainability and protecting democratic institutions among her policy goals.

  • Supports environmental stewardship and sustainable development policies

“Sustainable and our democracy being safe.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports domestic fossil fuel expansion and deregulation

DesJarlais favors an 'all-of-the-above' domestic energy strategy that expands oil, gas, nuclear, coal, and hydro production while reducing Washington environmental regulations.

  • Supports expanding domestic oil, gas, coal, nuclear, and hydro energy resources
  • Voted for the Lower Energy Costs Act (H.R. 1) to ease permitting restrictions and increase fossil fuel exports
  • Advocates for approving domestic pipelines including Keystone

“An “all of the above” responsible approach should utilize our domestic oil and gas supplies, nuclear energy capabilities, coal and hydroelectric production as well as renewable energy efforts.”

“Our energy producers should not be overburdened with regulations that drive up prices and limit supply.”

08

Immigration & Border Security

medium salience
Democratic Victoria Broderick No documented position in our sources

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports physical border barriers and strict enforcement

DesJarlais advocates for securing the southern border with physical barriers and strict law enforcement to protect national security. He voted for strict border enforcement laws, including mandatory detention and voter citizenship verification.

  • Supports constructing physical barriers along the southern U.S. border
  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act (S.5) requiring detention of undocumented individuals arrested for certain crimes
  • Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register for federal elections

“Illegal immigration burdens taxpayers, compromises national security, increases criminal activity, and erodes the significance of being an American citizen.”

“We must secure our border with physical barriers to illegal entry and devote resources to enforcing current immigration law, which includes partnering with state and local law enforcement organizations.”

09

Social Security & Medicare

low salience
Democratic Victoria Broderick No documented position in our sources

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports entitlement reform for younger generations

DesJarlais warns that entitlement programs like Medicare and Social Security face impending financial insolvency. He advocates incremental reform for younger workers while guaranteeing benefits for current retirees 55 and older.

  • Warns of fiscal insolvency in entitlement spending over the next decade
  • Supports phasing in structural reforms for younger generations while protecting current beneficiaries aged 55 and older

“We must phase in incremental solutions to give younger generations an opportunity to participate in these programs and to secure their futures, while keeping the promises made to our current seniors 55 and older.”

10

Agriculture

low salience
Democratic Victoria Broderick No documented position in our sources

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports refocusing Farm Bill spending on farmers

DesJarlais, who serves on the House Committee on Agriculture, advocates focusing Farm Bill legislation directly on the needs of agricultural producers rather than non-agricultural special interests.

  • Serves on the House Committee on Agriculture
  • Advocates refocusing Farm Bill funding specifically on agricultural producers

“As a member of the House Agriculture Committee, Congressman DesJarlais is consistently recognized as a supporter of returning the committee to a focus on the needs of farmers.”

11

Defense & Foreign Affairs

low salience
Democratic Victoria Broderick No documented position in our sources

Republican Scott DesJarlais

Supports strong defense funding and strategic caution

DesJarlais serves as Chair of the Armed Services Subcommittee on Strategic Forces and supports strong defense funding. In past foreign policy votes, he expressed caution against unbudgeted military intervention without clear strategic goals.

  • Serves as Chair of the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Strategic Forces
  • Voted for the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for FY 2024
  • Opposed 2013 military strikes in Syria citing lack of clear strategic endgame

“Our military must always be a top priority of the Congress.”

12

Artificial Intelligence & Technology

low salience

Democratic Victoria Broderick

Supports safeguards on artificial intelligence

Broderick supports federal regulations surrounding the development of artificial intelligence to safeguard worker jobs, privacy, and children.

  • Advocates for government oversight of artificial intelligence development to protect working families and children

“We should ensure our taxpayers, our children, and their jobs are protected.”

Republican Scott DesJarlais No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

TN-04 House Election Winner

92.5% Republicans
7.5% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 92.5DEMOCRATS 7.5

Kalshi ↗

TN-04 House winner?

97.9% Scott DesJarlais
2.0% Victoria Broderick
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16DESJARLAIS 97.9PARTY 94.8PARTY 7.0BRODERICK 2.0

Kalshi ↗

TN-04 Republican nominee?

99.0% Scott DesJarlais
3.0% Rishi K Saxena
1.0% Harold Rocky Jones

+2 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DESJARLAIS 99.0SAXENA 3.0DAVIS 1.0JAMES 1.0JONES 1.0

Kalshi ↗

TN-04 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Victoria Broderick
1.0% Joyce E Neal
1.0% Tim Lanier

+2 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16BRODERICK 99.0CORTESE 1.0LANIER 1.0HUFFMAN 1.0NEAL 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.