Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Tennessee Safe R

Tennessee — 3rd District

Portrait of Charles J. Fleischmann

Republican

Charles J. Fleischmann

Incumbent Republican Representative Charles J. Fleischmann faces Democratic challenger Anna Golladay in the general election for Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, following a mid-decade redistricting that reopened candidate filing through May 15, 2026. The matchup hinges on Fleischmann's 15-year conservative voting record emphasizing tax cuts, border enforcement, and energy independence versus Golladay's grassroots platform prioritizing Medicaid expansion, federal minimum wage increases, and rejection of corporate PAC funds. Major nonpartisan election handicappers—including The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill—rate this race as Solid Republican or Safe Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
94.5%
Democrats
5.5%
Kalshi ↗
Chuck Fleischmann
97.4%
Anna Golladay
5.0%
Kalshi ↗
Anna Golladay
99.0%
Bryan Martin
1.0%

All markets →

01

Healthcare

high salience

Golladay views healthcare as a human right requiring Medicaid expansion and federal hospital stabilization, while Fleischmann opposes government-run healthcare programs in favor of market-based reforms.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports expanding Medicaid and protecting ACA

Golladay views healthcare as a fundamental human right and campaigns to expand Medicaid in Tennessee to assist over 300,000 uninsured residents and stabilize at-risk rural hospitals. She supports defending the Affordable Care Act (ACA), securing federal stabilization funding for rural health systems, and curbing prescription drug costs.

  • Expand Medicaid in Tennessee
  • Protect the Affordable Care Act (ACA)
  • Secure federal stabilization funding for rural hospitals
  • Reduce prescription drug costs

“I believe healthcare is a human right — not a privilege reserved for those who can afford it.”

“For healthcare, first I will fight to expand Medicaid, protect the ACA, and secure federal stabilization funding for at-risk rural hospitals.”

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Opposes government-run healthcare, supports patient choice

Fleischmann opposes government-run healthcare, arguing it deprives patients of choice and takes control away from physicians. He advocates for market-based healthcare reforms that lower costs while preserving employer-sponsored insurance and doctor-patient decisions.

  • Opposes government-run healthcare and Medicare-for-all proposals
  • Advocates lowering healthcare costs while retaining private and employer-sponsored coverage
  • Supports patient-driven decision making over federal mandates

“A government run health insurance program is not the answer. It would take control away from the doctors.”

“Chuck will continue to fight for a health care system lower costs and provides patients with the care that they need, want and deserve.”

02

Economy and wages

high salience

Golladay calls for raising the federal minimum wage and expanding labor union rights, whereas Fleischmann champions business deregulation and reduced tax burdens to drive growth.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports raising federal minimum wage

Golladay advocates for an economy centered on working families and local small businesses rather than corporate shareholders. She supports raising the federal minimum wage, protecting workers' right to unionize and bargain collectively, and closing wage suppression loopholes.

  • Raise the federal minimum wage
  • Strengthen workers' rights to organize and bargain collectively
  • Close corporate loopholes that suppress rural wages

“I believe our economy should be built to support working families, small businesses, and local communities — not just corporate shareholders.”

“I will fight to raise the federal minimum wage, strengthen workers' right to organize, and close loopholes that allow corporations to suppress wages in rural communities with limited competition.”

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Supports deregulation and business investment

Fleischmann argues that small businesses, not government spending, drive true economic growth and job creation. He advocates for cutting regulatory burdens, promoting private business investment, and lowering taxes to foster economic expansion.

  • Reduce federal regulatory burdens on private enterprise
  • Promote business investment to spur job growth
  • Support small business creation as the engine of the economy

“The adoption of policies that promote business investment, lower taxes and reduce the regulatory burdens on business will create the strong economic force needed to turn our economy around.”

“He knows firsthand that the government does not create jobs; small businesses create jobs.”

03

Taxes and budget

high salience

Golladay seeks higher taxes on corporations and high earners, while Fleischmann champions lower taxes and a constitutional balanced budget amendment.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports tax fairness on wealthy

Golladay advocates for structuring taxation so that the wealthiest corporations and individuals carry the primary tax load rather than vulnerable citizens. She rejects campaign contributions from corporate PACs and AIPAC to remain independent of donor pressure.

  • Shift tax burdens to wealthy individuals and corporations
  • Protect Social Security equity
  • Refuse corporate PAC and AIPAC campaign contributions

“I also pay special attention to focusing on environmental clean up measures, making sure social security is fair, and that taxation lays on the wealthiest rather than the most vulnerable.”

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Supports tax cuts, balanced budget amendment

Fleischmann voted for the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017 and supports constitutional limits on federal spending. He views taxation as an invasion of privacy and voted for major budget reconciliation legislation to curb national debt.

  • Supported the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017
  • Advocates for a constitutional balanced budget amendment
  • Voted for H.R. 1 One Big Beautiful Bill Act reconciliation bill in 2025
  • Voted for Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023

“The federal government should be prohibited from spending more money than it collects each year, and a constitutional amendment is needed in order to force Congress to live within its means.”

“Chuck believes that taxation is an invasion of privacy, and he’ll keep fighting to lower taxes.”

04

Energy and environment

medium salience

Golladay emphasizes environmental justice and expanding Oak Ridge research into clean technology, whereas Fleischmann favors an all-of-the-above approach that includes domestic fossil fuel drilling and nuclear power expansion.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports clean tech and environmental justice

Golladay treats environmental protection as a public trust, calling for clean air, safe water, and ecological restoration. She supports expanding scientific research and workforce investments at Oak Ridge into clean technology and environmental science alongside defense projects.

  • Invest in responsible research and workforce development for clean technology
  • Support Oak Ridge research for environmental protection and restoration
  • Focus on environmental cleanup measures and clean air and water access

“Environmental justice means protecting our mountains, farmland, and waterways while ensuring every community — rural, working-class, and historically overlooked — has access to clean air, safe water, and a healthy future.”

“All TN 3, and especially Oak Ridge's federal investment, should serve our community, our science, and our environment, not just the defense industry.”

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Supports all-of-the-above energy, nuclear expansion

Fleischmann champions an all-of-the-above national energy policy aimed at complete energy independence. As Chair of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development, he promotes nuclear energy initiatives in Oak Ridge and supports domestic oil drilling in ANWR.

  • Supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy for US energy independence
  • Promotes nuclear power development at Oak Ridge in Anderson County
  • Supports drilling in ANWR and the Outer Continental Shelf
  • Voted for the Lower Energy Costs Act (H.R. 1 in 118th Congress)

“When it comes to energy policy, Chuck supports an all-of-the-above approach. It is imperative to our national security that the United States becomes energy independent.”

“I believe that environmentally safe energy exploration in Alaska’s Arctic National Wildlife Reserve (ANWR) and the Outer Continental Shelf is an important component of this comprehensive energy legislation.”

05

Abortion and reproductive rights

medium salience

Golladay supports protecting reproductive freedom and LGBTQ+ rights, while Fleischmann opposes abortion and holds that life begins at conception.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports reproductive freedom and social equality

Golladay supports reproductive freedom as a core aspect of personal moral leadership. She champions bodily autonomy, LGBTQ+ rights, and equal dignity for all constituents.

  • Protect reproductive freedom
  • Defend LGBTQ+ rights and dignity
  • Promote social freedom and personal autonomy

“Moral leadership means trusting people with their own lives. That means protecting reproductive freedom, defending LGBTQ+ lives, and honoring the sacred worth of every single person — without exception.”

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Opposes abortion, defends pro-life policies

Fleischmann maintains a strongly pro-life platform, holding that life begins at conception. Endorsed by National Right to Life, he opposes taxpayer funding for abortion services and Planned Parenthood.

  • Endorsed by National Right to Life
  • Believes human life begins at conception
  • Opposes taxpayer funding for abortion and Planned Parenthood
  • Voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act

“All human life has value and is sacred, and Chuck believes that life begins at conception.”

“He strongly opposes using taxpayer money to fund abortions, and Planned Parenthood.”

06

Gun policy

medium salience

Golladay advocates for common-sense gun safety reform, whereas Fleischmann strongly opposes gun control laws and defends Second Amendment rights.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports gun safety regulations

Golladay earned the Moms Demand Action Gun Sense Candidate distinction. Drawing from her experience as a protest chaplain focused on community safety, she supports common-sense gun safety reforms.

  • Recognized as a Moms Demand Action Gun Sense Candidate
  • Supports gun safety legislation to protect communities

“She served as a protest chaplain for many years, working to keep our community safe while they were making their voices heard.”

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Opposes gun control, defends Second Amendment

Fleischmann opposes gun control measures, viewing firearm restrictions as unconstitutional encroachments on liberty. Endorsed by the NRA, he advocates addressing public safety concerns through mental health system reform.

  • Endorsed by the National Rifle Association (NRA)
  • Opposes firearm restrictions and gun control bills
  • Supports mental health reform to address societal violence

“Chuck strongly opposes any legislation that threatens the Second Amendment rights of Tennesseans and Americans.”

“He knows that violence in our culture is a problem, and he’s committed to reforming our mental health system.”

07

Democracy and governance

medium salience

Golladay calls for campaign finance reform and fair redistricting maps, while Fleischmann voted against 2020 election certification and supported federal proof-of-citizenship voting requirements.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports fair maps, campaign finance reform

Golladay emphasizes democratic reform, advocating for fair redistricting maps and holding elected officials accountable to constituents. She rejects corporate PAC and AIPAC donations to remain independent of corporate political influence.

  • Refuses corporate PAC and AIPAC campaign money
  • Supports fair elections and fair redistricting maps
  • Criticizes incumbent's lack of public town halls

“District 3 deserves a representative who answers to the people — not to Washington power brokers or corporate PACs.”

“Democracy means fair elections, fair maps, and the courage to hold the powerful accountable even when it's costly.”

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Supports election integrity, voted against certification

Fleischmann supports federal voter identification requirements, voting for the SAVE Act to mandate citizenship proof for federal voter registration. On January 6, 2021, he voted against certifying the 2020 presidential electoral votes from Arizona and Pennsylvania.

  • Voted for the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act
  • Voted against certifying 2020 electoral votes for Arizona and Pennsylvania
  • Voted for the Epstein Files Transparency Act (H.R. 4405)
08

Education

low salience

Golladay advocates for fully funding rural public schools, whereas Fleischmann focuses on eliminating federal educational mandates to return control to local teachers.

Democratic Anna Golladay

Supports fully funding public schools

Golladay calls for strong, fully funded public schools across rural counties to ensure children in District 3 receive high-quality educational opportunities.

  • Fully fund public schools across rural counties

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Opposes federal educational mandates, supports local control

Fleischmann opposes federal educational mandates, advocating for removing federal bureaucracy from classrooms so teachers and local school boards control education.

  • Opposes federal educational mandates and bureaucracy in classrooms
  • Supports local control for teachers and school districts
  • Focuses education on fundamental skills for global competitiveness

“The federal government needs to get out of the classroom and let our good teachers do what they do best.”

“We must place emphasis on the individual students, not on federal educational mandates from bureaucrats.”

09

Immigration and border security

medium salience

Fleischmann strongly supports southern border wall construction and strict immigration enforcement, whereas Golladay has no documented position on the issue.

Democratic Anna Golladay No documented position in our sources

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Supports southern border wall, strict enforcement

Fleischmann considers border security fundamental to national security. He opposes amnesty for undocumented immigrants, supports building a southern border wall, and voted for immigration enforcement laws like the Laken Riley Act and SAVE Act.

  • Opposes amnesty for undocumented immigrants
  • Supports constructing the southern border wall
  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act (S.5)
  • Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22)

“Chuck strongly opposes amnesty for illegal immigrants, and he believes immigration reform begins with building the wall on our southern border.”

“Our country’s border security is paramount to our nation’s security.”

10

Law enforcement and veterans

low salience

Fleischmann actively supports funding law enforcement officers and expanding veterans' care quality, whereas Golladay has no documented position on law enforcement or veterans.

Democratic Anna Golladay No documented position in our sources

Republican Charles J. Fleischmann

Supports law enforcement funding, VA reforms

Fleischmann supports funding law enforcement and addressing the opioid epidemic through federal and local coordination. He advocates for quality healthcare for military veterans, citing personal experience with his father's struggles with the VA.

  • Supports providing tools and funding for law enforcement officers
  • Commitment to combating the opioid epidemic
  • Advocates for improving healthcare access and quality for veterans

“Chuck deeply appreciates our law enforcement officers and their families, and he will always work to ensure they have the tools they need to keep our communities safe.”

“We are deeply indebted to the men and women who answer the call to service, and we must ensure they have the care they have earned.”

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

TN-03 House Election Winner

94.5% Republicans
5.5% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 94.5DEMOCRATS 5.5

Kalshi ↗

TN-03 House winner?

97.4% Chuck Fleischmann
5.0% Anna Golladay
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16FLEISCHMANN 97.4PARTY 94.0GOLLADAY 5.0PARTY 4.3

Kalshi ↗

TN-03 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Anna Golladay
1.0% Bryan Martin
255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16GOLLADAY 99.0MARTIN 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.