Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Rhode Island Safe D

Rhode Island — 2nd District

Portrait of Victor Mellor

Republican

Victor Mellor

Incumbent Democratic Representative Seth Magaziner faces Republican nominee Victor Mellor in Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026. The matchup contrasts Magaziner's record on clean energy investment, reproductive rights, and prescription drug cost negotiations against Mellor's platform centered on fossil fuel energy expansion, parental authority in schools, and border enforcement. Major nonpartisan race raters—including The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ—uniformly rate the contest as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
96.7%
Republicans
1.3%
Kalshi ↗
Seth Magaziner
92.8%
Victor Mellor
7.9%
Kalshi ↗
Victor Mellor
99.0%
Stephen Skoly
1.0%

All markets →

01

Economy and Manufacturing

high salience

Magaziner emphasizes federal support for green infrastructure, union rights, and child tax credits, whereas Mellor focuses on deregulation, bringing back traditional manufacturing, and developing Rhode Island's marine economy.

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Supports domestic manufacturing and labor

Magaziner advocates for middle-class economic expansion by restoring domestic manufacturing, extending child tax credits, and protecting union organization rights. He supports expanding career technical training and apprenticeship opportunities to boost local workforce capacity.

  • Proposes returning big oil company profits to consumers to lower fuel costs.
  • Supports bringing manufacturing back to the U.S. to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains.
  • Advocates extending the child tax credit and defending worker organization rights.

“bringing manufacturing jobs back to America, and reducing our dependence on foreign supply chains.”

Republican Victor Mellor

Supports tax relief and business deregulation

Mellor argues that Rhode Island's economic climate is hostile to business growth and drives graduate outmigration. He proposes cutting regulations, growing state manufacturing and boat-building, and bringing overseas jobs back to the United States.

  • Focuses on creating high-paying manufacturing jobs to stem youth outmigration.
  • Advocates reducing business regulations and lowering state utility barriers.
  • Seeks to expand Rhode Island's boat-building and shipbuilding industries.

“The real path to affordability is bringing those jobs back to the United States.”

“Rhode Island has the resources and potential to build a strong boat-building sector and reignite manufacturing across the state.”

02

Energy and Environmental Policy

high salience

Magaziner champions offshore wind and solar development to reduce emissions, while Mellor opposes renewable projects and calls for building a natural gas pipeline and increasing fossil fuel output.

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Supports clean energy and climate action

Magaziner supports investments in offshore wind and solar infrastructure to combat climate change and lower long-term energy prices. He voted against the Lower Energy Costs Act (H.R. 1) and advocates holding oil companies accountable for windfall profits.

  • Assigned to the House Committee on Natural Resources.
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 1, the Lower Energy Costs Act.
  • Supports clean energy investments in Rhode Island's offshore wind sector.

“Investing in clean energy infrastructure that will lower energy prices, reduce America’s dependence on foreign oil and create thousands of good-paying jobs”

Republican Victor Mellor

Supports fossil fuels and natural gas expansion

Mellor advocates restoring reliable fossil fuel production and constructing a new natural gas pipeline in Rhode Island. He opposes solar and wind energy developments, calling renewable projects expensive, unreliable, and damaging to local fishing and tourism.

  • Proposes constructing a new natural gas pipeline to lower state electric bills.
  • Calls for ending solar and offshore wind projects in Rhode Island.
  • Criticizes renewable energy sources as intermittent, costly, and environmentally destructive.

“I also support an energy policy that restores reliable fossil fuel production and use.”

“make electricity more affordable by building a new natural gas pipeline and ending expensive, destructive solar and wind projects;”

03

Healthcare and Prescription Drugs

high salience

Magaziner seeks to lower health costs by expanding the Affordable Care Act and empowering Medicare negotiations, whereas Mellor focuses on billing transparency, Most Favored Nation pricing, and medical freedom.

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Supports ACA protection and Medicare drug negotiation

Magaziner advocates expanding the Affordable Care Act and granting Medicare the power to negotiate lower prescription drug prices. He proposes extending Medicare-negotiated drug prices to private health insurance policies.

  • Supports protecting and expanding the Affordable Care Act.
  • Advocates letting Medicare negotiate prescription drug prices for all policyholders.
  • Proposes student loan forgiveness and tuition support to ease healthcare staffing shortages.

“Protect the Affordable Care Act against Republican attempts to repeal it”

“Fight to lower the cost of prescription drugs by allowing Medicare to negotiate prices so all Americans are able to afford life-saving medications”

Republican Victor Mellor

Supports Most Favored Nation drug pricing and transparency

As a founding member of the Great American Health Alliance, Mellor supports market-focused healthcare reforms centered on price transparency and medical freedom. He proposes codifying executive orders for Most Favored Nation drug purchases and healthcare billing transparency into federal law.

  • Co-founded the Great American Health Alliance (GAHA) to push health reforms.
  • Pledges to codify Most Favored Nation drug pricing and billing transparency into law.
  • Partners with health officials to promote nutrition and preventative health.

“The President has already issued executive orders establishing Most Favored Nation status for drug purchases and requiring billing transparency for all healthcare facilities. I will work to codify these executive orders into law.”

04

Immigration and Border Security

high salience

Magaziner opposes strict Republican border enforcement and detention measures, whereas Mellor calls for fully securing and sealing the border.

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Opposes restrictive Republican border legislation

Magaziner consistently votes against House Republican enforcement legislation on immigration and border security. He opposes mandatory border detention expansion and efforts to impeach executive branch officials over border enforcement policies.

  • Assigned to the House Committee on Homeland Security.
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 2 (Secure the Border Act of 2023) and S. 5 (Laken Riley Act).
  • Voted Nay on H.Res. 863 impeaching Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas.

Republican Victor Mellor

Supports sealing the southern border

Mellor emphasizes border enforcement as a core campaign priority. He supports fully securing and sealing the southern border to restore national security and legal order.

  • Pledges to support legislation that secures and seals the U.S. southern border.
  • Frames border enforcement as vital to community safety and law enforcement support.

“I believe in continuing to secure and seal the border”

05

Gun Policy

medium salience

Magaziner advocates federal bans on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, while Mellor opposes new gun restrictions and promises to safeguard Second Amendment access.

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Supports ban on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines

Magaziner supports strict firearm restrictions, including federal bans on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines. As state treasurer, he divested state funds from companies manufacturing assault weapons for non-military use.

  • Supports federal legislation banning assault weapons and high-capacity magazines.
  • Supported state laws establishing gun-free school zones during his tenure as state treasurer.
  • Named a 'Gun Sense Candidate' by Moms Demand Action and endorsed by Rhode Island Coalition Against Gun Violence.

“Seth supports banning assault weapons and high capacity magazines, the weapons of war most often used in mass shootings.”

Republican Victor Mellor

Supports strong Second Amendment protections

Mellor emphasizes protecting the Second Amendment rights of law-abiding citizens. He opposes new firearm restrictions and supports ensuring firearm access for self-defense and personal safety.

  • Pledges to defend Second Amendment rights against new gun restrictions.
  • Endorsed by the Rhode Island Fraternal Order of Police.

“ensuring the Second Amendment remains strong so every law-abiding citizen can access and use firearms.”

06

Education and Parental Rights

medium salience

Magaziner supports universal early education funding and trans-inclusive school policies, whereas Mellor champions parental control over health decisions and opposes school secrecy regarding gender transitions.

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Supports pre-school expansion and gender inclusion in sports

Magaziner advocates expanding federal funding for universal pre-school and affordable childcare. He voted against the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act (H.R. 28) to protect trans-inclusive school athletic policies.

  • Voted Nay on H.R. 28 (Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025).
  • Advocates free universal pre-school and expanded childcare support.

Republican Victor Mellor

Supports parental authority over school health decisions

Mellor opposes school district interference in students' physical and mental health care, placing supreme decision-making authority with parents. He strongly criticizes transgender policies in schools that conceal medical or social choices from parents.

  • Advocates parental authority over all student health and mental healthcare decisions.
  • Criticizes school districts for withholding transgender-related choices from parents.
  • Supported by Moms for America.

“Ensuring parental control over their children’s physical and mental health is fundamental.”

“Parents must remain the supreme authority in their child’s life.”

07

Abortion and Reproductive Rights

high salience

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Supports federal abortion rights protections

Magaziner advocates codifying abortion rights into federal law to restore Roe v. Wade protections nationwide. As Rhode Island General Treasurer, he backed the state's Reproductive Privacy Act to safeguard legal access locally.

  • Supports codifying Roe v. Wade into federal statute.
  • Supported Rhode Island's Reproductive Privacy Act.
  • Endorsed by the National Organization for Women.

“Seth will continue to fight for a woman’s right to choose and will support codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law.”

Republican Victor Mellor No documented position in our sources
08

Social Security and Medicare

medium salience

Democratic Seth Magaziner

Opposes Social Security privatizing or benefit cuts

Magaziner promises to defend Social Security and Medicare from benefit reductions, retirement age increases, or privatization efforts. He voted Yea on the Social Security Fairness Act (H.R. 82) to reduce pension offsets.

  • Voted Yea on H.R. 82 (Social Security Fairness Act of 2023).
  • Opposes privatization of Social Security or raising the eligibility retirement age.
  • Supports expanding Medicare benefits and prescription cost caps.
Republican Victor Mellor No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

RI-02 House Election Winner

96.7% Democrats
1.3% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 96.7REPUBLICANS 1.3

Kalshi ↗

RI-02 House winner?

92.8% Seth Magaziner
7.9% Victor Mellor
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16PARTY 95.7MAGAZINER 92.8MELLOR 7.9PARTY 7.3

Kalshi ↗

RI-02 Republican nominee?

99.0% Victor Mellor
1.0% Stephen Skoly
255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16MELLOR 99.0SKOLY 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.