Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Pennsylvania Toss-up

Pennsylvania’s 10th District race

Portrait of Janelle Stelson

Democrat

Janelle Stelson

Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District 2026 general election features a rematch between seven-term Republican incumbent Scott Perry and Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson, a former television news anchor. The race hinges on cost of living, reproductive rights, healthcare, and congressional ethics, with Stelson outraising Perry in campaign funds while Perry relies on his conservative record and veteran background.

The pulse

updated Oct 31
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
81.0%
Republicans
19.0%
Kalshi ↗
Janelle Stelson
81.0%
Scott Perry
18.0%

All markets →

01

Cost of living, housing, and economy

high salience

Stelson targets middle-class tax relief and corporate housing restrictions, whereas Perry focuses on deregulation, tax cuts, and a Balanced Budget Amendment.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Lowers costs, cuts middle-class taxes

Stelson advocates for middle-class tax relief, eliminating taxes on tips and overtime, and repealing tariffs that inflate consumer prices. She proposes a housing plan to prohibit Wall Street firms from purchasing single-family homes and cut construction regulations to increase homeownership.

  • Supports tax breaks for the working middle class and eliminating taxes on tips and overtime
  • Proposes prohibiting Wall Street firms from purchasing single-family homes
  • Calls for repealing tariff-taxes and ending foreign military actions that inflate fuel and fertilizer costs

“I support tax breaks for the hard-working middle class, not billionaires.”

“We need bipartisan problem-solving to pass laws that lower the cost of necessities— including food, gas, housing, utility costs, prescription drugs and more.”

Republican Scott Perry

Lowers taxes and cuts regulation

Perry emphasizes cutting federal spending, reducing national debt, and lowering taxes on families and small businesses to combat inflation. He blames Biden-Harris administration policies for rising consumer costs and supports a federal Balanced Budget Amendment.

  • Supports a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U.S. Constitution
  • Advocates for lowering taxes on families and small businesses
  • Seeks to reduce federal regulations on businesses

“As a former small business owner, Scott Perry understands that excessive taxes and over-regulation prevent small businesses from creating jobs and prospering.”

02

Abortion and reproductive rights

high salience

Stelson seeks to codify Roe v. Wade protections nationwide, while Perry advocates for pro-life restrictions with limited exceptions and defunding Planned Parenthood.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Protects federal reproductive freedom

Stelson supports codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law to restore nationwide abortion protections and guarantee access to IVF treatments. She strongly criticizes Perry for sponsoring strict abortion prohibitions without exceptions.

  • Supports passing legislation to make Roe v. Wade protections federal law again
  • Opposes nationwide abortion bans and restrictions on IVF
  • Advocates for women making healthcare decisions in consultation with doctors

“In Congress, I will fight to ensure the protections guaranteed under Roe are once again the law of the land.”

Republican Scott Perry

Pro-life with limited exceptions

Perry opposes abortion while supporting exceptions for rape, incest, and saving the life of the mother. He opposes taxpayer funding for abortion and advocates reallocating Planned Parenthood funds to local health clinics.

  • Supports exceptions for rape, incest, and life of the mother
  • Opposes late-term and partial-birth abortions
  • Advocates defunding Planned Parenthood and transferring federal funds to local health centers

“Scott Perry believes firmly in the sanctity of Life – period.”

03

Health care and prescription drugs

high salience

Stelson favors regulating healthcare costs through drug negotiation and billing caps, whereas Perry calls for repealing the ACA in favor of market-driven reforms and cross-state insurance sales.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Lowers drug prices and protects coverage

Stelson favors government negotiation of prescription drug costs, banning surprise medical billing, and improving access to primary care. She opposes single-payer systems like Medicare for All while supporting reforms to eliminate medical debt from credit reports.

  • Supports Medicare drug price negotiations to lower prescription costs
  • Advocates banning surprise billing and removing medical debt from credit reports
  • Opposes single-payer healthcare systems while seeking to lower premiums

“I support lowering the price of prescription drugs by allowing the government to negotiate prices.”

Republican Scott Perry

Repeals ACA for market reforms

Perry supports repealing the Affordable Care Act and replacing it with free-market healthcare options. He advocates for protecting pre-existing conditions, expanding Health Savings Accounts, and allowing interstate insurance sales.

  • Supports replacing the ACA with free-market options
  • Advocates for cross-state insurance sales and expanding Health Savings Accounts
  • Supports protecting coverage for pre-existing conditions and lowering drug costs

“The American healthcare system must be reformed to reduce costs, improve the quality of care, and increase access to coverage.”

04

Immigration and border security

high salience

Stelson emphasizes border technology and ICE accountability alongside targeted deportations, while Perry calls for immediate border shutdowns, banning sanctuary cities, and mass deportations.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Secures border with law enforcement oversight

Stelson rejects open borders, calling for enhanced border technology and targeted deportations of violent offenders. She mandates strict law enforcement oversight, requiring ICE agents to wear unmasked uniforms with badges.

  • Supports funding border security technology to intercept illegal drugs
  • Prioritizes deportation for individuals who commit violent crimes
  • Requires federal law enforcement, including ICE, to wear unmasked uniforms with visible badges

“I support deporting every violent illegal immigrant and oppose taxpayer benefits for anyone in the country illegally.”

Republican Scott Perry

Strictly enforces borders and deportations

Perry demands strict border security, the deportation of violent criminals, and an immediate end to sanctuary cities. He attributes the influx of illegal border crossings to Biden-Harris administration policies.

  • Supports full border enforcement and providing resources to Border Patrol agents
  • Advocates for deporting violent criminals, drug dealers, and terrorists
  • Supports banning sanctuary cities nationwide

“Under Biden, over 5 million illegals have flooded into our Country and communities – many of whom are drug dealers, human traffickers, and violent criminals.”

05

Government reform and congressional ethics

medium salience

Stelson calls for stock trading and lobbying bans alongside a 12-year term limit, whereas Perry emphasizes term limits pledges and withholding congressional pay for missing budget deadlines.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Enforces term limits and ban stock trading

Stelson champions strict congressional ethics, proposing a 12-year term limit for House members, a stock trading ban, and a lifetime ban on lobbying for former members. She promises to limit her own tenure regardless of congressional action.

  • Pledges self-imposed 12-year term limit for her House service
  • Supports banning members of Congress and immediate families from trading individual stocks
  • Proposes lifetime lobbying ban for former members of Congress

“Even if Congress does not act to require term limits, I will limit my own terms and will not serve more than 12 years.”

Republican Scott Perry

Supports term limits and fiscal accountability

Perry signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge and supports withholding congressional pay if a budget is not passed. He consistently opposes congressional pay raises and backs measures to open federal financial checkbooks.

  • Signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge
  • Supports 'No Budget, No Pay' legislation for members of Congress
  • Opposed congressional pay raises

“Scott Perry has now had 13 years in Congress to do something about it.”

06

Energy, environment, and utility costs

medium salience

Stelson demands local veto power over energy-draining data centers to reduce utility bills, whereas Perry champions expanding Pennsylvania's natural gas and fossil fuel production.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Protects rate-payers and community approval

Stelson targets high utility bills, opposing tax breaks and unchecked expansion for data centers that increase local electricity rates. She insists local communities have approval rights over data center placements to safeguard resources.

  • Demands local approval rights for data center construction to prevent rising electricity rates
  • Opposes federal tax breaks for corporate data center developers
  • Advocates for utility rate oversight and lowering home energy bills

“Families in our area are already struggling with the rising cost of everything and are watching their electric and utility bills climb faster than their paychecks.”

Republican Scott Perry

Promotes energy independence and fossil fuels

Perry advocates for American energy independence through an all-of-the-above approach that includes Pennsylvania natural gas, nuclear, and hydro power. He blames Biden-Harris energy regulations for driving up inflation and energy costs.

  • Supports expanding Pennsylvania natural gas development alongside nuclear and hydro power
  • Opposes restrictions on domestic energy production
  • Promotes energy independence to lower costs and strengthen national security

“Pennsylvania plays a critical role in returning America to energy independence by supporting our vast natural gas reserves and harnessing hydroelectric and nuclear power.”

07

Veterans affairs

medium salience

Stelson focuses on expanding federal VA health and housing programs, while Perry, a military veteran, emphasizes VA structural accountability and expanding private healthcare choices.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Expands veteran healthcare and benefits

Stelson supports expanding access to VA healthcare, job training, and education benefits for returning military personnel. She attacks Perry for opposing major federal veteran healthcare expansions and homeless housing assistance.

  • Supports expanding VA health benefits, continuing education, and job training
  • Advocates for federal housing support for homeless veterans
  • Promises to fully fund veteran support services in local communities

“In Congress, I will vote to ensure that those who serve our country in the Armed Forces receive the benefits they have earned.”

Republican Scott Perry

Reforms VA accountability and healthcare

Perry, a combat veteran and former Brigadier General, supports reforming the VA to increase accountability and choice. He advocates expanding private healthcare options, education benefits, and PTSD treatments for service members.

  • Supports VA reform to increase agency accountability and veteran healthcare choices
  • Advocates for expanding cutting-edge treatments for veterans suffering from PTSD
  • Promotes enhanced educational benefits for military veterans

“As a Combat Veteran who served for nearly 40 years in uniform, Scott Perry knows and understands firsthand the sacrifices made by Veterans and their families to protect our safety, security, freedom, and liberty.”

08

Agriculture and rural communities

medium salience

Stelson advocates for antitrust enforcement against large agricultural processing firms and right-to-repair laws, while Perry focuses on deregulation for farm owners.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Supports small farms and market competition

Stelson prioritizes passing a 5-year Farm Bill that lowers input costs, mitigates avian flu impacts, and grants farmers the right to repair their equipment. She supports antitrust measures to break up meatpacking monopolies.

  • Supports passing a 5-year Farm Bill to provide stability for poultry and dairy farmers
  • Advocates for right-to-repair legislation for farm equipment
  • Supports legislative efforts to break up consolidation in agricultural processing

“In Congress, I would support legislative efforts to break up consolidation in the marketplace.”

Republican Scott Perry

Cuts regulations on agribusiness

Perry emphasizes cutting federal regulations that burden Pennsylvania farm families and agribusinesses. Drawing on his childhood experience working on a local farm, he treats agriculture as a core economic pillar.

  • Works to eliminate unnecessary federal regulations on farmers
  • Supports Pennsylvania farm families and agribusinesses
  • Promotes local agricultural production

“He’s worked with the agricultural community to reduce unnecessary and crippling federal regulations that impede their ability to farm.”

09

Social Security and Medicare

medium salience

Stelson emphasizes protecting benefits against retirement age increases or cuts, while Perry highlights preserving current senior benefits while blocking benefits for non-citizens and opposing Medicare for All.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Protects earned senior benefits

Stelson vows to protect Social Security and Medicare benefits against any proposed benefit cuts or retirement age increases. She criticizes Perry for proposing benefit reductions and raising the retirement age.

  • Pledges to protect full Social Security benefits and oppose raising the retirement age
  • Opposes benefit cuts for public servants, nurses, and firefighters
  • Supports preserving Medicare and Medicaid funding

“You earned your Social Security, and I will always fight to protect it.”

Republican Scott Perry

Preserves benefits and opposes single-payer

Perry vows to protect Medicare and Social Security for current seniors while opposing socialist single-payer proposals like Medicare for All. He opposes extending Social Security or Medicare benefits to undocumented immigrants.

  • Opposes single-payer healthcare and 'Medicare for All' proposals
  • Supports protecting Social Security benefits for current seniors
  • Opposes offering Social Security or Medicare benefits to non-citizens

“Scott Perry knows that we must keep our promise to our Seniors, by preserving and protecting Medicare and Social Security.”

10

Jobs, wages, and education

medium salience

Stelson demands a higher minimum wage and increased vocational school investment, whereas Perry relies on deregulation and tax cuts to drive private sector job creation.

Democratic Janelle Stelson

Raises minimum wage and vocational training

Stelson strongly opposes Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage, advocating for a federal raise to ensure family-sustaining incomes. She favors expanded vocational and technical training for skilled trades and robust funding for public education.

  • Supports raising Pennsylvania's $7.25 minimum wage
  • Advocates for expanding vocational and technical trade training that does not require a college degree
  • Supports public school educators and investing in manufacturing through the CHIPS and Science Act

“The minimum wage of $7.25 in Pennsylvania is outrageous. It’s lower than any surrounding state, including West Virginia.”

Republican Scott Perry

Creates jobs through small business tax cuts

Perry focuses on private sector job growth through tax cuts and deregulation, drawing on his background as a small business owner. He opposes government intervention in wage setting and federal spending hikes.

  • Supports small business growth through tax cuts and regulatory reduction
  • Opposes federal wage mandates and government spending increases
  • Promotes private sector employment expansion

“As a former small business owner, Scott Perry understands that excessive taxes and over-regulation prevent small businesses from creating jobs and prospering.”

11

Second Amendment

low salience
Democratic Janelle Stelson No documented position in our sources

Republican Scott Perry

Staunchly protects gun rights

Perry is a strong supporter of Second Amendment rights, opposing restrictions on gun ownership or civil liberties. He promises to remain vigilant against federal efforts to limit firearm ownership.

  • Staunchly defends Second Amendment constitutional rights
  • Opposes new federal gun control regulations or restrictions on firearm owners
  • Protects individual rights to self-defense

“Scott Perry remains a staunch advocate of our Constitution’s Second Amendment, and the rights of all Americans to protect themselves and their families.”

12

Title IX and women's sports

low salience
Democratic Janelle Stelson No documented position in our sources

Republican Scott Perry

Bars males from female sports

Perry opposes allowing transgender women to compete in female sports under Title IX, arguing it undermines fairness and safety for women and girls. He criticizes Biden-Harris policy updates to federal civil rights laws.

  • Opposes allowing males who self-identify as female to compete in women's athletics
  • Supports original Title IX intent to promote biological female sports
  • Cites safety, privacy, and fair athletic opportunities for women

“As the father of two daughters, Scott opposes any attempt to allow males to compete against females in women’s sports.”

Prediction markets 2

updated Oct 31

Polymarket ↗

PA-10 House Election Winner

81.0% Democrats
19.0% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31DEMOCRATS 81.0REPUBLICANS 19.0

Kalshi ↗

PA-10 House winner?

81.0% Janelle Stelson
18.0% Scott Perry
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31STELSON 81.0PERRY 18.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.