2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Pennsylvania Toss-up
Pennsylvania — 7th District
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election in 2026 features Democratic challenger Bob Brooks against freshman Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in a key battleground race. Located in the Lehigh Valley and Poconos region, the district is evenly balanced politically, having backed Joe Biden in 2020 and Donald Trump in 2024, with major rating services designating it as a Toss-up or Lean Democratic. The race hinges on working-class economic relief, healthcare costs, government ethics, federal spending, and contrasting approaches to border security and reproductive rights. Both campaigns and outside groups have invested millions in advertising, reflecting the district's pivotal role in determining overall control of the U.S. House of Representatives.
The pulse
updated Sep 16Cost of living and economy
high salienceBrooks seeks to combat living costs through billionaire taxes, minimum wage hikes, and corporate price-gouging bans, whereas Mackenzie advocates tax relief, deregulation, and reduced federal spending.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports higher wages, billionaire taxes
Brooks attributes soaring living costs to corporate price-gouging and tax breaks for the wealthy. He advocates raising the federal minimum wage tied to inflation, imposing a billionaire minimum tax, repealing the 2017 Trump tax cuts, and enforcing strict antitrust actions to protect working families.
- Enact a billionaire minimum tax to establish a baseline tax rate for the ultra-wealthy.
- Repeal the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act giveaways to corporations to raise federal revenues.
- Raise the federal minimum wage and index it directly to inflation.
- Enforce price-gouging and antitrust rules to prevent corporate market manipulation.
“The number one thing I hear from folks is how expensive life is.”
“We need to pass a billionaire minimum tax: a baseline tax rate the ultra-wealthy can’t dodge.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports tax cuts and spending cuts
Mackenzie focuses on fighting post-pandemic inflation through tax relief, spending reductions, and deregulation. He highlights passing the Working Families Tax Cuts, expanding standard tax deductions, and reducing regulatory burdens on businesses.
- Passed Working Families Tax Cuts and increased standard tax deductions for working families.
- Support the REINS Act to require congressional approval for major federal agency regulations.
- Expand mandatory E-Verify usage to protect jobs for U.S. citizens.
- Cut wasteful federal government spending that drives inflation.
“Ryan Mackenzie worked so hard to deliver tax relief for every American in his first year in Congress”
Healthcare and social safety net
high salienceBrooks advocates for Medicare for All and restoring Medicaid funding, while Mackenzie favors market-based healthcare transparency, higher Medicare Advantage rates, and supporting federal budget reconciliation bills.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports Medicare for All and Medicaid expansion
Brooks champions universal single-payer healthcare via Medicare for All and lower prescription drug costs. He campaigns strongly against cuts to social safety net programs made in federal reconciliation bills, pledging to restore funding for Medicaid and SNAP.
- Provide universal healthcare through Medicare for All.
- Restore federal Medicaid and SNAP benefit cuts passed in recent budget reconciliation legislation.
- Cap prices on essential prescription drugs such as insulin and beta-blockers.
- Expand funding for Head Start and public preschool programs.
“Restore the cuts to Medicaid and provide Medicare for All.”
“The Big Beautiful Bill was the biggest cut to benefits in U.S. history. Head Start, SNAP, Medicaid, Medicare all got slashed, and Ryan Mackenzie’s vote made it happen.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Protects Medicare and lowers prescription costs
Mackenzie emphasizes protecting Medicare without reducing benefits while targeting insurance middlemen to bring down healthcare costs. He voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act while advocating for increased Medicare Advantage reimbursement rates.
- Voted to increase Medicare funding annually and raised Medicare Advantage reimbursement rates.
- Passed transparency legislation targeting big insurance companies and pharmacy benefit managers.
- Secured over $103 million in federal funding for local healthcare providers.
- Voted for the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1).
“He also voted to invest more in Medicare every year – no cuts – while also successfully advocating for higher Medicare Advantage reimbursement rates.”
Housing
medium salienceBrooks advocates banning private equity home purchases and expanding VA-style mortgages for essential workers, while Mackenzie relies on affordable housing tax credits to incentivize developers.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports banning private equity buyers
Brooks addresses regional housing costs by proposing restrictions on institutional landlords and offering targeted financing for essential workers. He supports building more starter homes, reducing local regulatory red tape, and co-sponsoring the HELPER Act.
- Ban private equity companies from purchasing single-family residential homes.
- Co-sponsor the HELPER Act to extend VA-style home loans to teachers, nurses, and first responders.
- Build more market-rate starter homes and streamline municipal construction permitting.
“Increase the amount of market-rate housing, ban private equity companies from buying up tons of houses and driving up costs, and pass the HELPER Act”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports affordable housing tax credits
Mackenzie focuses on market incentives to increase housing supply, highlighting his role in passing expansions to affordable housing tax credits aimed at spurring nationwide housing construction.
- Passed an expansion of affordable housing tax credits projected to support over one million new units nationwide.
- Brought $3.7 million in federal funding home for local housing redevelopment and blight removal.
- Partnered on bipartisan housing permitting and development initiatives.
“was successful in passing the largest-ever expansion of affordable housing tax credits, which will help to create over one million new affordable housing units nationwide.”
Border security and immigration
medium salienceBrooks pairs border security with humane treatment and citizenship pathways, whereas Mackenzie champions physical border barriers, defunding sanctuary cities, and strict deportation policies.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports humane enforcement and citizenship pathways
Brooks favors an immigration system that secures borders and deters illegal entry while establishing fair pathways to legal status and citizenship. He emphasizes humane treatment and strongly criticizes aggressive federal enforcement tactics.
- Secure the border and deter illegal immigration entry.
- Establish humane pathways to legal status and citizenship for law-abiding undocumented residents.
- Oppose aggressive immigration enforcement operations involving masked agents.
“We need an immigration system that deters illegal entry and secures our border, while treating people humanely and give law-abiding folks a shot at earning citizenship.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports border wall and enforcement
Mackenzie prioritizes border security, physical barriers, and strict enforcement against illegal entry. He voted for bills requiring documentary proof of citizenship to vote, detaining noncitizens charged with theft, and deporting individuals convicted of DUIs.
- Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) to mandate documentary proof of citizenship for voting in federal elections.
- Voted for the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) to require detention of noncitizens arrested for burglary or theft.
- Voted for H.R. 875 to make driving while impaired grounds for deportation.
- Support completing the border wall, restoring Remain in Mexico, and withholding grants from sanctuary cities.
“Ryan Mackenzie finally secured America’s border from illegal immigration through his work on the Homeland Security Committee.”
Government reform and ethics
medium salienceWhile both candidates back congressional stock trading bans and term limits, Brooks goes further by calling to overturn Citizens United and ban corporate PAC money.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports stock ban and overturn Citizens United
Brooks positions government reform as central to his campaign, taking aim at money in politics and insider trading. He supports banning stock trading for members of Congress, passing term limits, overturning Citizens United, and barring corporate PAC contributions.
- Ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks.
- Pass a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United.
- Enact congressional term limits.
- Refuse corporate PAC money.
“We need to take money out of politics, end stock trading in Congress, enforce term limits, and make the wealthy pay their fair share.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports stock ban and term limits
Mackenzie campaigns on bipartisan ethics reforms, highlighting his leadership in banning congressional stock trading and establishing term limits. He signed the U.S. Term Limits pledge and received good governance accolades.
- Leading efforts to ban congressional stock trading based on insider knowledge.
- Signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge to restrict legislative tenure.
- Earned the Center Forward Good Governance Award for bipartisan leadership.
“That’s why he is leading the charge to crack down on congressional stock trading. He has also backed legislation to establish congressional terms limits”
Labor and unions
medium salienceBrooks seeks to expand unionization and pass the PRO Act, whereas Mackenzie focuses workforce policy on technical education, domestic manufacturing grants, and mandatory E-Verify.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports PRO Act and union rights
As a former union president, Brooks advocates for organized labor as the pillar of the middle class. He supports passing the PRO Act to strengthen collective bargaining rights, protect workers from employer retaliation, and secure union pensions.
- Pass the Richard L. Trumka Protecting the Right to Organize (PRO) Act.
- Protect collective bargaining rights for first responders and public sector employees.
- Penalize employers who retaliate against workers attempting to organize.
“I’ll make it easier to join a union by passing the PRO Act, crack down on bosses who punish workers, and make sure every worker can fight for a better future.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports technical education and manufacturing
Mackenzie focuses labor policy on expanding vocational apprenticeships and protecting domestic manufacturing jobs. Having chaired the state House Labor & Industry Committee, he emphasizes fair trade policies and workforce development.
- Secured $47 million in federal funding for local manufacturing in the district.
- Expand career and technical education and vocational apprenticeships.
- Require mandatory E-Verify usage to protect domestic job opportunities for American citizens.
“Promote American manufacturing by requiring fair trade practices, and focusing on and investing in career and technical education.”
Abortion and reproductive rights
medium salienceBrooks pledges to codify Roe v. Wade federally and overturn state bans, while Mackenzie advocates for abortion restrictions, maternal care, and expanded adoption.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports codifying Roe v. Wade
Brooks strongly supports reproductive freedom, advocating for federal protections for abortion access. He pledges to codify Roe v. Wade into law and pass legislation overriding state-level abortion restrictions.
- Codify Roe v. Wade into the U.S. Constitution and federal law.
- Pass federal legislation to override state-level abortion bans.
- Protect universal access to reproductive healthcare services.
“We need to codify Roe v. Wade in the constitution and pass legislation to overturn Trump abortion bans in red states.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports abortion restrictions and adoption
Mackenzie opposes abortion access expansions, taking a pro-life stance endorsed by anti-abortion organizations. He emphasizes reducing overall abortions through increased adoption support and maternal healthcare.
- Support measures to reduce the number of abortions performed nationwide.
- Improve federal support for maternal healthcare and streamline adoption processes.
- Received endorsements from prominent pro-life political action organizations.
“Provide a clear alternative by supporting efforts to reduce the number of abortions, improve maternal healthcare, and ease pathways to adoption.”
Childcare and early education
medium salienceBrooks favors direct public investments in universal pre-K and Head Start, whereas Mackenzie focuses on Child Tax Credits, parental school choice, and restricting curriculum content.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports universal pre-K and Head Start funding
Brooks calls for expanding public investments in early childhood education. He proposes restoring Head Start funding, expanding childcare subsidies for working parents, providing universal pre-K, and opposing private school voucher programs.
- Restore and expand federal funding for the Head Start program.
- Provide universal preschool and kindergarten programs for all children.
- Increase federal childcare subsidies for working families.
- Oppose using federal funds for private school vouchers.
“I support expanded childcare subsidies, restoring and expanding funding to Headstart, and providing universal kindergarten and pre-k.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports Child Tax Credit and parents' rights
Mackenzie emphasizes financial tax relief for families alongside parental control in education. He introduced tax proposals expanding Child Tax Credits, voted for bans on trans athletes in female sports, and supports banning Critical Race Theory.
- Introduced legislation expanding the Child Tax Credit and childcare tax credits.
- Voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act (H.R. 28).
- Support a Parents' Bill of Rights and ban Critical Race Theory and gender ideology in public schools.
- Empower parents through expanded school choice options.
“The very first package of bills Ryan introduced in Congress included proposals to the Child Tax Credit, childcare tax credits, and more.”
Energy and environment
low salienceBrooks advocates combining renewable energy growth with new nuclear and natural gas facilities, while Mackenzie focuses on expanding traditional domestic energy production and opposing cap-and-tax rules.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports renewables, nuclear, and natural gas
Brooks outlines an energy strategy combining clean energy job creation with nuclear and natural gas baseline capacity. He promises strict EPA oversight of regional environmental hazards like sewage sludge and mine refuse in Carbon County.
- Invest in clean energy union jobs across solar, wind, and modern grid infrastructure.
- Approve new nuclear power plants and natural gas capacity to ensure grid reliability.
- Crack down on price-gouging utility monopolies.
- Strengthen EPA oversight regarding sewage sludge and mine refuse pollution.
“Nuclear power is clean, safe and underutilized. I’ll work to approve new nuclear and natural gas power plants while we build up renewables.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports domestic energy and opposes cap-and-tax
Mackenzie advocates unleashing domestic oil, gas, and energy exploration to lower consumer utility rates. He opposes federal cap-and-tax systems and streamlined permitting reform.
- Promote American energy independence through domestic exploration and extraction.
- Oppose cap-and-tax schemes and federal mandates that increase energy costs.
- Support energy permitting legislation to accelerate project approvals.
“unleash American energy to reduce utility rates”
Guns and Second Amendment
low salienceBrooks advocates universal background checks, waiting periods, and closing loopholes, whereas Mackenzie opposes new gun restrictions and supports constitutional carry.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports universal background checks
As a firefighter and gun owner, Brooks supports common-sense firearm regulations to curb gun violence. His proposals include universal background checks, closing the gun show loophole, and mandatory waiting periods.
- Enact universal background checks for all gun purchases.
- Close the gun show loophole.
- Enforce mandatory waiting periods for firearm purchases.
“We need common-sense laws: universal background checks, closing the gun show loophole, and enforcing waiting periods so dangerous people don’t get their hands on guns.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports 2nd Amendment and constitutional carry
Mackenzie strongly defends Second Amendment rights, opposing red flag laws and firearm confiscation without due process. He supports constitutional carry and emphasizes addressing mental health and law enforcement rather than gun restrictions.
- Protect the Second Amendment according to its original intent.
- Support constitutional carry legislation.
- Oppose firearm confiscation efforts and red flag laws lacking due process.
- Endorsed by the National Rifle Association (NRA-PVF) and Firearms Owners Against Crime (FOAC).
“Defend the 2nd Amendment in its original intent to protect Americans against a tyrannical government.”
Foreign policy and defense
low salienceBrooks supports robust aid to Ukraine and international NATO alliances, while Mackenzie emphasizes peace through strength, ending forever wars, and confronting China.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports Ukraine and NATO alliances
Brooks advocates for a internationalist foreign policy centered on international alliances. He supports aid to Ukraine, backing NATO partners, and strategically countering Russia and China without entangling the nation in endless wars.
- Maintain strong diplomatic and military commitments to NATO allies.
- Provide military and economic assistance to Ukraine against Russian aggression.
- Exercise restraint to avoid protracted foreign military interventions.
“That means supporting Ukraine and our NATO allies, paying attention to Asia, and rebuilding trust with the international community.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports peace through strength and countering China
Mackenzie supports a foreign policy focused on national defense, ending forever wars, and countering the Chinese Communist Party. He advocates banning CCP-linked entities from buying U.S. farmland and infrastructure while prohibiting TikTok on government devices.
- Ban sales of American agricultural land, infrastructure, and property near military bases to CCP-linked entities.
- Prohibit TikTok on all government devices and public school networks.
- End involvement in foreign forever wars while ensuring military readiness.
- Re-shore critical medical, technological, and national defense supply chains.
“Implement a comprehensive plan to take on China.”
Veterans
low salienceBrooks pledges to reverse VA staff firings and block budget cuts, whereas Mackenzie highlights legislative efforts raising active-duty pay and expanding private care choices for veterans.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Opposes VA funding cuts and firings
Brooks promises to protect healthcare, mental health, job training, and housing services for veterans. He opposes budget cuts to the Department of Veterans Affairs and calls for reversing staff firings at VA facilities.
- Ensure full federal funding for VA healthcare, mental health, and housing assistance.
- Halt mass administrative firings at the VA and reinstate terminated personnel.
- Oppose Republican budget proposals that reduce veteran service funding.
“I’ll also work to stop the disastrous mass firings at the VA and bring those people back.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports active duty pay and VA service reform
Mackenzie highlights his legislative efforts to support military personnel and improve VA services. He backed pay increases for active-duty troops, expanded childcare options for military families, and introduced bipartisan bills to streamline VA customer service.
- Passed legislation raising pay for active duty service members and expanding military family childcare access.
- Introduced bipartisan legislation to improve early intervention for distressed veterans and streamline VA customer service.
- Expand private healthcare options and choices for veterans receiving care.
“Ryan passed legislation that raises pay for active duty service members, expands their access to childcare, and improves their quality of life.”
Public safety and first responders
low salienceBrooks draws on his background as a firefighter to champion first responder collective bargaining and mental health resources, while Mackenzie emphasizes law enforcement funding grants and anti-fentanyl drug enforcement.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports first responder resources and collective bargaining
Drawing on his 20-year career as a firefighter, Brooks advocates for direct federal funding for emergency equipment, infrastructure, and staff training. He supports mental health and addiction services and protects first responder collective bargaining rights.
- Direct federal resources to police, fire, and EMT equipment, staffing, and training.
- Invest in community mental health and addiction treatment to alleviate emergency room pressure.
- Protect and defend the collective bargaining rights of first responders.
“Public safety is about making sure our neighborhoods are safe, our families are looked after, and our firefighters, EMTs, and police have the resources to do the job.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Supports law enforcement funding and anti-drug enforcement
Mackenzie campaigns on backing law enforcement and fighting illegal drug trafficking. He highlights bringing over $5 million home for first responder facilities and equipment while supporting border enforcement targeting fentanyl cartels.
- Secured over $5 million in federal funding for local first responder buildings and equipment.
- Pass legislation targeting international drug cartels and fentanyl trafficking corridors.
- Increase federal funding for police and explicitly oppose defunding the police.
“In just his first term, he has secured millions of dollars to better support law enforcement and first responders”
Infrastructure and regional development
low salienceBrooks prioritizes passenger rail expansion to Philadelphia and warehouse growth restrictions, while Mackenzie emphasizes securing federal earmarks and grants for airport and municipal infrastructure.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports SEPTA passenger rail and warehouse limits
Brooks focuses regional infrastructure plans on expanding passenger transit and curbing commercial sprawl. He advocates re-establishing SEPTA passenger rail service between Philadelphia and the Lehigh Valley, expanding the local airport, and restricting warehouse expansion near homes in Carbon County.
- Electrify and double-track the SEPTA right-of-way to restore passenger rail between Lansdale and Bethlehem.
- Expand runway and parking capacity at Lehigh Valley International Airport.
- Implement stricter federal oversight and local controls to restrict warehouse and data center sprawl near residential neighborhoods.
“SEPTA still owns the right-of-way between Lansdale and Bethlehem, which could be double-tracked and electrified with the right investment.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Delivering federal infrastructure grants
Mackenzie highlights his track record of securing federal grant funding for local infrastructure projects, including municipal blight removal, airport upgrades, and local transportation improvements.
- Secured $2 million to support expansions at Lehigh Valley International Airport.
- Delivered $3.7 million for local housing redevelopment, blight removal, and community revitalization.
- Brought back over $1 million for municipal infrastructure improvements across the district.
“In less than two years as a member of Congress, Ryan Mackenzie has brought tens of millions of dollars back to the Lehigh Valley and the Poconos”
LGBTQ+ rights
low salienceBrooks advocates defending LGBTQ+ anti-discrimination laws and marriage equality, whereas Mackenzie focuses on prohibiting biological males from competing in women's sports.
Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports anti-discrimination and marriage equality
Brooks pledges to protect civil rights for LGBTQ+ individuals, advocating for non-discrimination laws and marriage equality while criticizing Republican culture war legislation.
- Protect federal LGBTQ+ anti-discrimination protections.
- Defend legal marriage equality.
- Oppose state and federal legislation targeting LGBTQ+ youth.
“I’ll always stand up for LGBTQ people by protecting anti-discrimination laws, defending marriage equality, and making sure everyone can live comfortably as themselves.”
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Opposes transgender participation in women's sports
Mackenzie opposes transgender women competing in female sports categories and campaigns against radical social policies in schools and workplaces. He voted for federal legislation restricting athletic participation based on biological sex.
- Voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025 (H.R. 28) to prohibit biological males from competing in female school sports.
- Oppose far-left gender policies in public schools, workplaces, and local governments.
“opposing men in women’s sports, and standing up to radical policies that push us to the extreme instead of finding common ground.”
Prediction markets 2
updated Sep 16Polymarket ↗
PA-07 House Election Winner
Kalshi ↗
PA-07 House winner?
Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.
Social Security
medium salienceBrooks wants to preserve Social Security by eliminating the payroll tax cap on wealthy earners, whereas Mackenzie opposes tax increases and highlights eliminating income taxes on benefits for seniors.
D Democratic Bob Brooks
Supports removing payroll tax cap
Brooks promises to defend Social Security solvency by co-sponsoring the Medicare and Social Security Fair Share Act. His proposal eliminates the payroll tax cap on high earners and raises investment income taxes on wealthy individuals.
R Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Opposes benefit cuts and senior taxes
Mackenzie pledges to safeguard Social Security by refusing to support budget plans that cut baseline benefits. He highlights passing tax relief that eliminated federal income taxes on Social Security for nearly 90% of senior citizens.