Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Pennsylvania Lean R

Pennsylvania — 1st District

Portrait of Brian Fitzpatrick

Republican

Brian Fitzpatrick

The general election for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District features incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick against Democratic nominee Bob Harvie on November 3, 2026. Fitzpatrick ran unopposed in the Republican primary, while Harvie won the Democratic primary on May 19, 2026, with 65.1% of the vote. PA-01 is a competitive suburban district that Kamala Harris carried in 2024 (49.7% to 49.4%) and carries a Cook PVI of D+1. The Cook Political Report rates the race as Likely Republican, while Decision Desk, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Lean Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
57.5%
Democrats
40.5%
Kalshi ↗
Brian Fitzpatrick
62.0%
Bob Harvie
44.0%

All markets →

01

Healthcare & Prescription Drug Costs

high salience

Harvie advocates expanding ACA tax credits and lowering the Medicare buy-in age to 55, while Fitzpatrick favors market reforms, Right to Try laws, and repealing ACA regulatory bodies.

Democratic Bob Harvie

Supports lower healthcare and prescription costs

Harvie considers healthcare a right and advocates lowering the Medicare buy-in age to 55 while permanently restoring and expanding ACA premium tax credits. He pledges to expand Medicare's authority to negotiate prescription drug prices and cap insulin costs.

  • Lower the age Americans can buy into Medicare from 65 to 55
  • Permanently restore and expand ACA premium tax credits to prevent monthly premium increases
  • Expand Medicare's authority to negotiate prescription drug prices and cap insulin costs

“Millions of Americans rely on Affordable Care Act premium tax credits to keep their health insurance within reach. I’ll fight to permanently restore and expand those tax credits so families don’t wake up to hundreds of dollars in higher monthly premiums simply because Congress failed to act.”

“I believe we need to lower the age that Americans can buy into Medicare from 65 to 55.”

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Supports market-based healthcare and research

Fitzpatrick opposes Obamacare's bureaucratic structures while advocating for affordable health insurance through tort reform, protecting Medicare Advantage, and supporting access to experimental treatments. He authored Right to Try legislation and advocated doubling women's health research funding at NIH.

  • Authored Right to Try legislation giving terminally ill patients access to experimental treatments
  • Proposed doubling women's health funding at the National Institutes of Health from $4B to $8B annually
  • Voted to repeal Obamacare's Independent Payment Advisory Board and supports tort reform

“Every man, woman, and child should have affordable health insurance.”

“Author of RIGHT TO TRY legislation like that supported by the President in the State of the Union, that would give those suffering from a terminal disease the chance to try potentially lifesaving treatments.”

02

Government Reform & Campaign Finance

high salience

Harvie focuses on overturning Citizens United, banning corporate PAC money, banning stock trading, and setting age limits, whereas Fitzpatrick emphasizes congressional term limits, eliminating member pensions, and enforcing fiscal discipline.

Democratic Bob Harvie

Supports campaign finance and ethics reform

Harvie pledges to overturn Citizens United, ban corporate PAC contributions, and prohibit Members of Congress from trading individual stocks. He also advocates for a lifetime lobbying ban on former lawmakers, an age limit of 80 for federal officeholders, and independent redistricting commissions.

  • Overturn Citizens United and permanently ban corporate PAC contributions
  • Enact a complete ban on congressional stock trading for lawmakers, judges, and executive officials
  • Establish a lifetime lobbying ban for former Members of Congress and an age limit of 80 for lawmakers
  • Ban partisan gerrymandering through independent redistricting commissions

“In Congress I’ll fight to overturn Citizens United and permanently ban corporate PAC contributions because the voice of Americans shouldn’t be drowned out by a corporate check.”

“I’ll support a complete ban on congressional stock trading because Americans deserve to know their representatives are working for them, not their investment portfolios.”

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Supports congressional term limits and anti-corruption

Fitzpatrick proposed a government reform package advocating congressional term limits, ending congressional pensions, and enacting 'No Budget, No Pay' rules. He supports a Balanced-Budget Amendment, zero-based budgeting, and single-issue voting rules.

  • Proposes congressional term limits and abolishing congressional pensions
  • Authored 'No Budget, No Pay' legislation and returned his salary during government shutdowns
  • Supports a Balanced-Budget Amendment, zero-based budgeting, and single-issue voting to end non-related earmarks

“On my first day in office, I introduced a sweeping government reform package to challenge the entrenched status quo: term limits for Congress, an end to congressional pensions, and real accountability for career politicians.”

“Not only proposed “No Budget, No Pay” legislation so legislators who fail to pass a budget on time do not get paid, but lived up to the standard, returning his pay for the period of a government shutdown.”

03

Economic Policy & Taxes

high salience

Harvie seeks a $15 minimum wage, middle-class tax cuts paid by corporations, and tariff rollbacks, while Fitzpatrick emphasizes corporate tax simplification, trade reform, and deregulation.

Democratic Bob Harvie

Supports middle-class tax cuts and higher minimum wage

Harvie advocates for middle-class tax cuts funded by ensuring large corporations and high earners pay their fair share. He supports raising the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour, rolling back tariffs that raise consumer costs, and banning AI-driven price manipulation.

  • Raise the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour
  • Deliver middle-class tax cuts while raising taxes on corporations and the ultra-wealthy
  • Roll back tariffs that increase costs on food and household essentials
  • Ban AI-driven surveillance pricing on essential goods and crack down on corporate price gouging

“I’ll fight for a middle class tax cut while ensuring large corporations and the ultra-wealthy pay their fair share so middle class Americans get a much needed tax cut.”

“I believe we need to raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour.”

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Supports tax simplification, manufacturing, and trade reform

Fitzpatrick supported tax reform aimed at boosting hiring and higher take-home pay, along with policies prioritizing domestic manufacturing. He supports reforming trade deals to protect American workers and reducing federal regulations on small businesses.

  • Supported tax code simplification to spur hiring and worker bonuses
  • Voted for the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024
  • Supports reforming unfair trade deals and reviewing outdated federal regulations holding back small businesses

“Supported a simpler, fairer tax code. Across our communities, small businesses are already hiring more while their workers receive bonuses and higher take-home pay.”

“Puts American workers first by reforming unfair trade deals that put the American worker at a disadvantage through no fault of their own.”

04

Energy & Infrastructure

medium salience

Harvie advocates strict regulations on data centers and expanded clean energy mandates, while Fitzpatrick highlights securing federal infrastructure dollars and earning bipartisan environmental group endorsements.

Democratic Bob Harvie

Supports clean energy investment and data center regulation

Harvie supports expanding clean energy, modernizing the power grid, and investing in roads, bridges, and public transit to create good-paying union jobs. He advocates strict regulations on data center overdevelopment so local utility ratepayers are not burdened with higher costs.

  • Expand clean energy, modernize the electric grid, and fund public transit, roads, and bridges
  • Impose strict regulations on data centers requiring clean energy, local labor, and self-generated power
  • Rapidly build housing for younger workers and retirees

“That’s why I’ll fight to expand clean energy, modernize our electric grid, and build resilient roads, bridges, and public transit systems that keep our economy moving.”

“All data centers should be under strict regulations to ensure that our environment is protected, our water is clean, they’re built with local labor, and that they create their own power so ratepayers aren’t paying a dime more in utility costs.”

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Supports bipartisan infrastructure funding and clean energy

Fitzpatrick supported securing over $600 million in local infrastructure projects for roads, bridges, and mass transit. Endorsed by Environmental Defense Fund Action and Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions, he supports clean water protections while balancing domestic energy needs.

  • Supported securing over $600 million in local infrastructure projects across Southeastern PA
  • Endorsed by Environmental Defense Fund Action and Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions
  • Voted against the Lower Energy Costs Act (H.R. 1 in 118th Congress)

“Brian Fitzpatrick’s support of more than $600 million in local infrastructure projects, ensures our roads, bridges, and mass transit systems provide an environment for business to grow, create jobs and improve our quality of life.”

05

Transparency & Epstein Files

medium salience

Harvie makes releasing the Epstein files a core transparency priority, while Fitzpatrick highlights his Yea vote on the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act.

Democratic Bob Harvie

Supports immediate release of Epstein files

Harvie calls for the immediate release of all federal files related to Jeffrey Epstein, asserting that restoring public trust requires equal justice and full transparency regardless of wealth or status. He criticizes Fitzpatrick for previously voting to block their disclosure.

  • Demands the immediate public release of all federal Epstein investigative files
  • Asserts no individual should escape accountability due to wealth, political party, or status

“The American people deserve the truth. If there are individuals who committed crimes or abused their positions of power, they should be held fully accountable regardless of their wealth, political party, or status.”

“Brian Fitzpatrick has voted to block the release of the Epstein Files and continues to do nothing about releasing them.”

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Voted to mandate DOJ publication of Epstein records

Fitzpatrick voted in favor of the Epstein Files Transparency Act (H.R. 4405) in the 119th Congress to require the Department of Justice to publish all unclassified records and investigative materials.

  • Voted Yea on the Epstein Files Transparency Act (H.R. 4405), which passed the House 427-1 in November 2025
06

Social Security & Medicare

medium salience

Harvie seeks structural expansion by allowing 55-year-olds to buy into Medicare, whereas Fitzpatrick focuses on protecting current benefit structures and repealing Social Security pension offsets.

Democratic Bob Harvie

Supports protecting Medicare and lowering buy-in age

Harvie pledges to protect Social Security and Medicare from cuts while lowering the Medicare eligibility buy-in age to 55 and expanding Medicare's drug price negotiation authority.

  • Lower the Medicare buy-in age from 65 to 55
  • Expand Medicare price negotiation for prescription drugs
  • Protect seniors' retirement and health benefits from cuts

“Retirement is now something that sparks worry rather than a well deserved reward for a life’s worth of hard work.”

“I’ll expand Medicare’s authority to negotiate prescription drug prices, cap insulin costs, and take on pharmaceutical companies that put profits ahead of patients.”

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Supports strengthening Social Security and Medicare

Fitzpatrick opposes cuts to Medicare and Social Security, advocating to protect and strengthen both programs. He voted for the Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 to eliminate pension offsets and defended Medicare Advantage benefits.

  • Voted Yea on the Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 (H.R. 82) to eliminate benefit offsets for public pension recipients
  • Fought to defend Medicare Advantage benefits for seniors
  • Pledges to oppose cuts to Medicare and Social Security

“Like you, my parents worked a lifetime to earn their Medicare and Social Security. Some politicians seek to cut these programs. I will fight to protect and strengthen these programs for all of our seniors.”

“Spoke out to defend Medicare Advantage benefits for seniors.”

07

Border Security & Immigration

medium salience

Fitzpatrick supports physical border barriers, mandatory proof of citizenship for voting, and strict deportation enforcement, while Harvie has no detailed immigration platform documented in the sources.

Democratic Bob Harvie No documented position in our sources

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Supports physical border barriers and strict enforcement

Fitzpatrick supports securing the border through physical barriers, aerial surveillance, and National Guard task forces, alongside mandatory e-verify and tougher penalties for gang members and repeat illegal entrants. In Congress, he voted for the SAVE Act, the Laken Riley Act, the Secure the Border Act, and DUI deportation legislation.

  • Supports physical border barriers, aerial surveillance, and Federal agent/National Guard Task Forces
  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act (S.5) to detain unauthorized immigrants arrested for theft or burglary
  • Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register to vote
  • Voted for the Secure the Border Act of 2023 (H.R. 2) and DUI deportation legislation (H.R. 875)

“Securing the border through a physical barrier, aerial surveillance, enhanced human intelligence program, and the formation of a Federal agent / National Guard Task Force.”

“Supported tougher penalties for repeat illegal immigration offenders and illegal immigrants who are members of a criminal gang.”

08

Public Safety & Opioid Epidemic

medium salience

Fitzpatrick highlights his law enforcement background, authorship of anti-fentanyl legislation, and union police endorsements, while Harvie has no standalone public safety platform in the sources.

Democratic Bob Harvie No documented position in our sources

Republican Brian Fitzpatrick

Supports law enforcement tools and anti-fentanyl measures

As a former FBI special agent, Fitzpatrick authored the INTERDICT Act to provide law enforcement with resources to detect illegal fentanyl trafficking. As Vice Chair of the Bipartisan Heroin Task Force, he supports enhanced benefits for families of fallen officers and tougher penalties for targeting first responders.

  • Authored the INTERDICT Act signed into law to detect illicit fentanyl at borders and ports
  • Served as Vice Chair of the Bipartisan Heroin Task Force to combat opioid addiction
  • Supports tougher penalties for targeting first responders and expanded benefits for fallen officers' children

“Author of the INTERDICT Act signed into law by the President, providing greater resources to law enforcement to stop the flow of deadly fentanyl from Mexico into communities such as our own.”

“Vice Chair of the Bipartisan Heroin Task Force: Brian Fitzpatrick is a nationally-recognized, award-winning leader in uniting families, communities, law enforcement, and healthcare providers to fight back against the scourge of addiction.”

Prediction markets 2

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

PA-01 House Election Winner

57.5% Republicans
40.5% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 57.5DEMOCRATS 40.5

Kalshi ↗

PA-01 House winner?

62.0% Brian Fitzpatrick
44.0% Bob Harvie
255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16FITZPATRICK 62.0HARVIE 44.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.