Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Ohio Tilt D

Ohio — 1st District

Ohio's 1st Congressional District features Democratic incumbent Rep. Greg Landsman facing Republican challenger Eric Conroy, an Air Force veteran and former CIA case officer, in the November 2026 general election. Following state mid-decade redistricting in October 2025, all Ohio congressional districts are being contested under updated boundaries. Major race ratings—including Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—rate the seat as 'Lean Democratic,' while Inside Elections rates it 'Tilt Democratic.' The race hinges on economic conditions, cost of living, border security, public safety, and national security credentials.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
87.0%
Republicans
12.1%
Kalshi ↗
Greg Landsman
85.0%
Eric Conroy
15.0%

All markets →

01

Economy and Inflation

high salience

Landsman targets corporate price-gouging and supports labor and social investments, whereas Conroy attributes inflation to federal overspending and calls for budget cuts and deregulation.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports middle-class tax relief and corporate accountability

Landsman focuses on lowering everyday costs for families by targeting corporate price-gouging and strengthening the middle class. He advocates for raising the minimum wage, supporting labor unions, investing in job training and small businesses, and expanding affordable child care.

  • Proposes holding corporations accountable for price-gouging on gas, groceries, and housing.
  • Supports raising the minimum wage, protecting union organizing rights, and investing in workforce development.
  • Voted for the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024.

“In Congress, Greg is fighting for an economy that works for the middle class – not just millionaires, billionaires, and big corporations.”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports cutting federal spending and deregulation

Conroy argues that out-of-control federal spending drives inflation and burdens local families and small businesses. He pledges to lower costs by cutting red tape, enacting pro-growth policies, and advocating for responsible federal budgeting.

  • Advocates for responsible federal budgeting and reducing government spending to curb inflation.
  • Pledges to cut regulatory red tape and champion pro-growth policies for small businesses.
  • Emphasizes putting Ohio workers and small businesses ahead of corporate special interests.

“Out-of-control federal spending has driven inflation and made life more expensive for families and small businesses.”

02

Border Security and Immigration

high salience

Conroy demands comprehensive southern border enforcement and technology upgrades, while Landsman has taken a selective vote-by-vote approach supporting specific detainment and deportation measures while opposing H.R. 2.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports targeted enforcement and bipartisan border measures

Landsman supports specific border security and law enforcement legislation, including voting for the Laken Riley Act and DUI deportation measures. However, he opposes broader restrictive immigration proposals such as the Secure the Border Act.

  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act requiring federal detention of unauthorized immigrants arrested for theft crimes.
  • Voted for legislation making driving while impaired grounds for deportation or inadmissibility.
  • Voted against the Secure the Border Act of 2023.

“required the Department of Homeland Security to detain certain individuals residing in the United States without legal permission who have been arrested for burglary, theft, larceny, or shoplifting”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports strict border enforcement and system modernization

Conroy views border security as a vital component of national security. He advocates for stronger enforcement along the southern border, smarter security technology, and upholding federal immigration law to protect American communities.

  • Supports securing the southern border with stronger enforcement and smarter technology.
  • Advocates for modernizing the immigration system while consistently enforcing federal immigration law.
  • Emphasizes halting illegal immigration to safeguard sovereignty and local communities.

“National security and border security must be restored. A safe nation is the foundation for prosperity.”

03

Public Safety and Law Enforcement

medium salience

Both candidates back law enforcement, but Landsman emphasizes specific federal recruitment grants and local budget accomplishments, whereas Conroy focuses on opposing defunding the police and tougher criminal sentencing.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports police funding and recruitment initiatives

Landsman highlights his local and federal efforts to support law enforcement and public safety. As a former city council member and representative, he has funded police recruit classes, restored overtime pay, and introduced federal recruitment legislation.

  • Introduced bipartisan federal legislation to assist local police and fire departments with officer recruitment and retention.
  • Restored police overtime pay and funded police recruit classes while serving on Cincinnati City Council.
  • Supported establishing the local Safe and Clean Fund.

“In Congress, Greg introduced bipartisan legislation to help local law enforcement departments recruit and retain officers through federal funding programs”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports law enforcement and anti-crime measures

Conroy promises to back police forces firmly and oppose efforts to defund law enforcement. He pledges to push for strict crime policies that keep violent offenders off the streets.

  • Pledges to stand firmly with law enforcement and oppose any efforts to defund the police.
  • Supports anti-crime policies aimed at keeping violent criminals incarcerated.
  • Focuses on neighborhood safety as a core priority.

“Eric Conroy will stand with law enforcement, oppose defunding the police, and fight for policies that keep violent criminals off our streets.”

04

Energy and Environment

medium salience

Landsman supports clean energy investments and holding polluters accountable, whereas Conroy focuses on boosting domestic oil/gas production and slashing environmental regulations.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports renewable energy and climate action

Landsman supports expanding clean energy infrastructure and combating climate change. He helped advance municipal solar and environmental policy in Cincinnati and advocates for federal investments in green infrastructure and pollution accountability.

  • Supported the Green Cincinnati Plan and major municipal solar projects while on Cincinnati City Council.
  • Advocates for federal investments under the Inflation Reduction Act and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law for clean energy.
  • Voted against the Lower Energy Costs Act (H.R. 1).

“In Congress, Greg is fighting to protect access to clean air and water and hold polluters accountable.”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports domestic energy independence and deregulation

Conroy emphasizes domestic energy independence as vital for economic strength and low utility costs. He supports expanding domestic energy production, reducing regulatory burdens, and reshoring critical supply chains.

  • Supports policies expanding domestic energy production to ensure reliable, affordable energy.
  • Advocates for cutting unnecessary environmental regulations on energy producers.
  • Promotes reshoring energy and industrial supply chains away from foreign adversaries.

“I support policies that expand domestic energy production, reduce unnecessary regulations, and bring supply chains back to the United States so we are not dependent on foreign adversaries.”

05

Education

medium salience

Landsman advocates for increased direct public school and early childhood funding, while Conroy emphasizes parental control, local oversight, and career-focused education.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports public school funding and early education

Landsman, a former teacher, emphasizes strong public education funding from early childhood through higher education. He spearheaded the Cincinnati Preschool Promise and advocates for increased teacher pay and reduced college debt.

  • Led the creation of the Cincinnati Preschool Promise, expanding preschool access for three- and four-year-olds.
  • Advocates for increased federal funding for public schools and higher compensation for teachers.
  • Supports expanding technical education and lowering college tuition debt burdens.

“In Congress, Greg will continue to fight for increased public school funding and better teacher pay.”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports parental rights and career-focused education

Conroy advocates for empowering parents in educational decision-making and maintaining local school board control. He also supports expanding vocational and career-focused training to prepare students for the workforce.

  • Pledges to empower parents and defend local community control over public schools.
  • Supports expanding career-focused and technical education pathways.
  • Focuses on preparing students for real-world career success.

“Eric Conroy will empower parents, support local control, and expand career-focused education to prepare students for real-world success.”

06

Infrastructure and Transportation

medium salience

Landsman points to federal funding allocations from major legislative packages for specific regional projects, while Conroy emphasizes cost restraint and congestion reduction.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports federal infrastructure funding for local projects

Landsman highlights federal infrastructure investments secured for Southwest Ohio projects like the Brent Spence Bridge, water line upgrades, and Central Parkway improvements, aiming to modernize regional transport and create union jobs.

  • Pushed to direct federal funding from the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law to regional projects like the Brent Spence Bridge.
  • Supported infrastructure investments for roads, bridges, waterlines, and community centers across Hamilton and Warren counties.
  • Highlighted past local transit and infrastructure reforms on Cincinnati City Council.

“From water lines and community centers in Warren County, to the Brent Spence Bridge and Central Parkway projects in Hamilton County, Greg is fighting to bring home tens of millions of dollars in funding”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports fiscal responsibility in infrastructure spending

Conroy supports targeted investments in physical infrastructure like roads and bridges to reduce traffic congestion. He emphasizes spending taxpayer dollars efficiently and avoiding wasteful federal overhead.

  • Supports smart infrastructure investments that focus on improving roads and bridges.
  • Pledges to reduce traffic congestion across Southwest Ohio.
  • Emphasizes fiscal oversight to ensure infrastructure taxpayer dollars are spent wisely.

“Eric Conroy will fight for smart infrastructure investments that reduce congestion, improve roads and bridges, and ensure taxpayer dollars are spent wisely.”

07

Veterans Affairs

medium salience

Both candidates prioritize fixing the VA, with Landsman pointing to his committee work and the PACT Act, and veteran Conroy emphasizing systemic administrative reform.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports VA funding expansion and PACT Act implementation

Landsman serves on the House Veterans' Affairs Committee and focuses on modernizing VA healthcare services. He works to ensure local veterans access benefits under the PACT Act and supports comprehensive military family resources.

  • Serves on the House Veterans' Affairs Committee.
  • Works to ensure local veterans utilize benefits expanded by the PACT Act.
  • Advocates for increased funding for VA medical care and administrative efficiency.

“In Congress, Greg serves on the House Veterans’ Affairs Committee, where he is working to increase investment in veterans’ medical care and improve the Department of Veterans Affairs”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports VA reform and healthcare expansion

Conroy, a military veteran, emphasizes overhaul of the Department of Veterans Affairs. He pledges to fix administrative bottlenecks, expand care options, and protect veteran earned benefits.

  • Pledges to reform the VA system to eliminate bureaucratic obstacles for veterans.
  • Supports expanding healthcare services and disability benefits for military veterans.
  • Emphasizes ensuring veterans receive proper respect and earn-based care.

“Eric Conroy will fight to fix the VA, expand care and benefits, and ensure every veteran gets the respect and support they’ve earned.”

08

Defense and Foreign Policy

medium salience

Landsman explicitly highlights aid to Ukraine and a two-state Middle East solution alongside defense funding, while Conroy emphasizes military modernization and robust support for Israel.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports strong alliances, Ukraine aid, and Israel

Landsman favors a foreign policy grounded in international alliances, democracy protection, and strong defense. He supports military aid to Ukraine against Russian aggression and robust security assistance for Israel, alongside pursuing an ultimate two-state solution.

  • Advocates for continued U.S. aid to Ukraine to defend democracy against Russian aggression.
  • Supports U.S. security assistance for Israel while advocating for long-term Middle East peace and a two-state solution.
  • Voted Yea on the FY2024 National Defense Authorization Act.

“In Congress, Greg will continue to advocate for support for Ukraine to fight back against Putin’s unjust and horrific war, preserve democracy, and avoid a larger-scale war in Eastern Europe.”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports military modernization and steadfast support for Israel

Conroy, a former Air Force officer and CIA case officer, advocates for robust national defense and military modernization. He supports strong foreign alliances, specifically identifying as a steadfast ally of Israel against national security threats.

  • Supports strengthening the U.S. military and investing in next-generation defense technologies.
  • Pledges steadfast support for Israel as a core national security ally.
  • Cites CIA and Air Force background as grounding for national security leadership.

“Eric Conroy will strengthen America’s military, invest in next-generation defense, and be a steadfast ally of Israel and our national security.”

09

Voting Rights and Government Integrity

medium salience

Landsman focuses on federal voting rights legislation and banning congressional stock trading, while Conroy attacks Landsman's stock disclosure record and emphasizes constitutional governance.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports voting rights protection and congressional stock trading ban

Landsman supports expanding access to the ballot box, banning congressional stock trading, and preventing discriminatory voting laws. He co-sponsors the John R. Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act and supports national independent redistricting.

  • Co-sponsored the John R. Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act to protect voting access.
  • Supports nationwide independent redistricting to eliminate gerrymandering.
  • Voted against the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) and opposes 60% constitutional amendment thresholds in Ohio.
  • Advocates for banning stock trading by members of Congress.

“In Congress, Greg is a cosponsor of the John R. Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act that would restore and strengthen the Voting Rights Act of 1965”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports strict voter verification and ethical oversight

Conroy emphasizes constitutional governance and strict federal law enforcement. He criticized Landsman over congressional stock trading practices, calling for high ethical accountability in office.

  • Emphasizes constitutional governance and strict adherence to federal law.
  • Criticized opponent Landsman over congressional stock trading disclosures.

“ICYMI: Landsman Wants to Ban Stock Trading in Congress — After He Got Caught Trading Stocks”

10

LGBTQ+ Rights and Women's Sports

medium salience

Landsman advocates for broad LGBTQ+ protections and equality, whereas Conroy focuses on restricting female athletic competitions to biological females.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports LGBTQ+ non-discrimination and marriage equality

Landsman, a member of the Congressional Equality Caucus, advocates for full civil rights protection for LGBTQ+ individuals. He supports codifying marriage equality and protecting individuals from discrimination in housing, employment, and public services.

  • Serves as a member of the Congressional Equality Caucus.
  • Supports federal legislation codifying marriage equality.
  • Pledges to oppose discriminatory laws targeting sexual orientation or gender identity.

“Greg is a proud member of the Congressional Equality Caucus, which works to repeal discriminatory laws and expand equal rights for LGBTQI+ individuals.”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports restricting women's sports to biological females

Conroy supports federal legislation reserving women's sports exclusively for biological females. He frames this position as necessary to maintain fairness and equal opportunity in athletic competition.

  • Supports federal legislation restricting participation in women's sports to biological females.
  • Frames policy as essential for protecting fairness and athletic opportunities for female athletes.

“Eric Conroy supports legislation to ensure women’s sports are reserved for biological females, protecting fairness and equal opportunity.”

11

Social Security and Senior Benefits

low salience

Both candidates explicitly oppose cuts to Social Security and Medicare, with Landsman voting for specific legislation to increase benefit payouts for retired public workers.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports protecting Social Security and expanding benefit fairness

Landsman supports protecting Social Security and Medicare benefits for seniors. He voted for the Social Security Fairness Act to eliminate government pension offsets that reduce benefit payouts.

  • Voted for the Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 to eliminate benefit reductions for public pension recipients.
  • Supports safeguarding Medicare and Social Security against benefit cuts.

“reduced Social Security benefits for individuals who received other pensions from state or local governments.”

Republican Eric Conroy

Opposes Social Security and Medicare benefit cuts

Conroy pledges to protect Social Security and Medicare entitlement programs from cuts. He focuses on ensuring the long-term solvency of these programs for current and future retirees.

  • Pledges to protect Social Security and Medicare from benefit cuts.
  • Focuses on maintaining program stability for future generations of retirees.

“Eric Conroy will protect Social Security and Medicare, oppose benefit cuts, and ensure these vital programs remain strong for generations to come.”

12

Cryptocurrency and Technology

low salience

Landsman supported legislative oversight for payment stablecoins via the GENIUS Act, while Conroy emphasizes pro-growth policies to promote blockchain innovation.

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports regulatory frameworks for digital assets

Landsman supported establishing federal regulatory oversight for digital assets, voting in favor of the GENIUS Act to regulate payment stablecoins.

  • Voted for the GENIUS Act (S.1582) to create a federal regulatory framework for payment stablecoins.

“created a regulatory framework for payment stablecoins, digital assets with a fixed redeemable value.”

Republican Eric Conroy

Supports pro-growth crypto and blockchain policies

Conroy advocates for clear, pro-growth policies to foster innovation in cryptocurrency and blockchain technologies, framing financial technology as a driver of economic freedom.

  • Promotes clear, pro-growth policies for cryptocurrency and blockchain technologies.
  • Emphasizes defending financial innovation and individual financial freedom.

“Eric Conroy will defend innovation and financial freedom by promoting clear, pro-growth policies for cryptocurrency and blockchain technologies.”

13

Healthcare and Prescription Drug Costs

high salience

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports capping drug costs and protecting ACA

Landsman focuses on lowering healthcare costs and expanding access by protecting the Affordable Care Act and lowering prescription drug prices. He has introduced legislation to cap insulin prices for children and increase transparency for pharmacy benefit managers.

  • Introduced legislation to cap the cost of insulin for children.
  • Authored bipartisan legislation requiring transparency from Pharmacy Benefit Managers to lower senior drug costs.
  • Supports protecting the ACA, lowering health premiums, and holding insurance companies accountable.

“From medication to gas, groceries, and housing, Greg will continue to fight to lower costs and deliver relief to families.”

Republican Eric Conroy No documented position in our sources
14

Reproductive Rights

high salience

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports federal abortion rights and IVF protection

Landsman strongly defends reproductive freedom and bodily autonomy. He supports codifying Roe v. Wade, protecting access to contraception, and safeguarding fertility treatments like IVF.

  • Supports federal legislation to codify Roe v. Wade into law.
  • Pledges to protect nationwide access to birth control and IVF treatments.
  • Supported Ohio's 2023 Issue 1 constitutional amendment guaranteeing reproductive freedom.

“In Congress, Greg is working to codify Roe v. Wade, ensure access to birth control, and protect IVF treatment so that reproductive health decisions remain between women and their doctors.”

Republican Eric Conroy No documented position in our sources
15

Gun Safety

medium salience

Democratic Greg Landsman

Supports universal background checks and assault weapon bans

Landsman advocates for stricter federal gun control measures to combat community and school gun violence. He supports universal background checks, red flag laws, age restrictions on firearm sales, and an assault weapons ban.

  • Supports enacting universal background checks on all firearm purchases.
  • Advocates for federal red flag laws and minimum age restrictions for purchasing firearms.
  • Supports passing a federal ban on assault weapons.

“In Congress, Greg will fight for universal background checks, red flag laws, age restrictions, and to ban assault weapons.”

Republican Eric Conroy No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 2

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

OH-01 House Election Winner

87.0% Democrats
12.1% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 87.0REPUBLICANS 12.1

Kalshi ↗

OH-01 House winner?

85.0% Greg Landsman
15.0% Eric Conroy
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16LANDSMAN 85.0CONROY 15.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.