Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · New York Likely

New York — 22nd District

Portrait of John Mannion

Democratic

John Mannion

Incumbent

Portrait of Kailee Buller

Republican

Kailee Buller

The general election for New York's 22nd Congressional District features freshman Democratic incumbent John Mannion facing Republican challenger Kailee Buller, a former USDA official. The race hinges on voters' views on energy and climate policy, rising utility costs, inflation, and public safety. Drafted rating agencies classify the seat as favoring the incumbent, with Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rating it Solid Democratic, Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Safe Democratic, and DDHQ/The Hill rating it Likely Democratic.

01

Energy and Environment

high salience

Buller opposes state green energy mandates and advocates expanding nuclear and natural gas infrastructure to cut utility bills, whereas Mannion supports transitioning the regional economy toward green energy and clean technology.

John Mannion

Supports clean energy transition

Mannion advocates for transitioning toward a clean-energy economy while maintaining economic growth. As a New York State Senator, he supported the 2021 Environmental Rights Amendment.

  • Advocates transitioning to green energy and clean technology
  • Supported New York Proposal 2 (Environmental Rights Amendment) in 2021

“While maintaining a robust economy, I want to assist in transitioning towards a greener one. Our region is a leader in technology, innovation and the generation of clean energy.”

Kailee Buller

Opposes state climate mandates

Buller advocates repealing New York's state climate laws, stopping wind and solar mandates on rural land, fast-tracking nuclear power, and reforming natural gas pipeline permitting. She promotes an all-of-the-above energy strategy to reduce utility bills.

  • Calls for repealing New York's Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act
  • Supports fast-tracking nuclear energy and permitting natural gas pipelines
  • Opposes forced wind and solar development on rural agricultural lands

“Democrats in New York are putting their pet projects over our pocketbooks. No more.”

“John Mannion owns this costly climate agenda”

02

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

Buller seeks to lower household costs through spending reductions, tax cuts, and deregulation, while Mannion focuses on job retention, regional business investment, and opposing Republican budget reconciliation measures.

John Mannion

Prioritizes middle-class affordability

Mannion emphasizes job retention and business attraction in Central New York alongside affordability measures. In the 119th Congress, he voted against Republican budget reconciliation and tax bills.

  • Lists affordability as a core pillar of his campaign platform
  • Voted Nay on H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act reconciliation) and H.Con.Res.14 budget resolution

“I want to assure that we keep the good jobs we have in the region and attract new businesses.”

Kailee Buller

Supports tax cuts and deregulation

Buller focuses on curbing inflation by lowering taxes, cutting regulations, balancing the federal budget, and expanding tax credits for childcare and working parents.

  • Supports expanding the Child Care Tax Credit and Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit
  • Advocates balancing the federal budget and cutting federal deficit spending
  • Proposes employer childcare tax incentives to involve private businesses

“I’ll work with anyone to lower costs, protect our communities, and bring real results to Central New York.”

03

Education and Workforce Development

medium salience

Mannion emphasizes direct public school funding and labor union support, whereas Buller calls for outcome-based educational reforms, curriculum transparency, and expanding Pell Grants to trade programs.

John Mannion

Supports public education and labor unions

As a former public school science teacher and teachers' union president, Mannion prioritizes robust public school funding. In Congress, he serves on the House Education and the Workforce Committee.

  • Serves on the House Committee on Education and the Workforce
  • Advocates strong funding for public education as a vehicle for economic mobility
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 28 (Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025)

“As a former AP Biology Teacher and Teacher Association President, I vow to always stand up for working people and support our public education system. A good education is the pathway out of poverty.”

Kailee Buller

Advocates trade education and school choice

Buller supports tying school funding to educational outcomes, expanding trade and vocational apprenticeships, increasing cost transparency for higher education, and expanding Pell Grant eligibility to trade schools.

  • Supports expanding Pell Grants to cover vocational and workforce training programs
  • Advocates curriculum transparency for parents in public schools
  • Promotes vocational training and apprenticeships tied to local employer demand

“New York spends more per student than almost any state in the nation — yet test scores fall below national averages. More money into a broken system is not the answer.”

04

Healthcare

medium salience

Buller proposes market-based price transparency, expanded HSAs, and rural provider incentives, while Mannion centers his platform on protecting healthcare access and funding addiction services.

John Mannion

Supports expanding healthcare access

Mannion highlights healthcare access and addiction treatment options as key issues on his campaign platform.

  • Lists healthcare access and addiction services as platform priorities

Kailee Buller

Supports market transparency and rural access

Buller proposes mandatory price transparency for hospitals, faster generic drug approvals, HSA expansion, enforcing mental health parity, and incentivizing doctors to practice in rural communities.

  • Supports upfront price transparency requirements for hospitals and health insurers
  • Advocates expanding Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)
  • Protects coverage for pre-existing conditions and urges mental health parity enforcement

“Healthcare should work for patients — not insurance companies, not hospitals, not bureaucrats, YOU”

05

Crime and Public Safety

medium salience

Buller explicitly campaigns against New York's cashless bail system and defunding police, while Mannion supports public safety through targeted bipartisan legislation such as DUI-related law enforcement measures.

John Mannion

Supports law enforcement and targeted public safety legislation

Mannion lists public safety on his campaign platform and voted in favor of bipartisan legislation making drunk driving grounds for deporting non-citizens.

  • Lists public safety as a campaign platform priority
  • Voted Yea on H.R. 875 (Protect Our Communities from DUIs Act of 2025)

Kailee Buller

Opposes cashless bail and supports law enforcement

Buller strongly supports law enforcement, opposes cashless bail and efforts to defund police departments, and advocates for victim-focused criminal justice policies.

  • Opposes state cashless bail laws and defunding law enforcement
  • Advocates for increased funding, training, and resources for police officers

“She strongly opposes cashless bail policies and any effort to defund the police.”

06

Agriculture and Rural Development

medium salience

Buller draws on her executive experience as USDA Chief of Staff to advocate for agricultural deregulation, while Mannion addresses agricultural policy through his committee position in the House.

John Mannion

Supports agricultural policy and rural development

Mannion serves on the House Committee on Agriculture, focusing on subcommittees overseeing rural development, commodity markets, and conservation research.

  • Assigned to the House Committee on Agriculture
  • Serves on subcommittees for Rural Development and Conservation Research

Kailee Buller

Advocates cutting agricultural red tape

Leveraging her experience as former Chief of Staff at the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Buller advocates for reducing regulatory burdens on farmers, protecting family farms, and strengthening rural economies.

  • Former USDA Chief of Staff under the Trump administration
  • Pledges to cut federal regulations and lower input costs for farmers

“In Congress, Kailee will fight to protect family farms, reduce red tape, and ensure agriculture remains a strong and viable industry in Central New York.”

07

Government Reform and Voting Rights

low salience

Mannion focuses on legislative ethics and campaign finance reform, whereas Buller defines government reform as enforcing federal budget limits and spending transparency.

John Mannion

Supports government transparency and ethics reform

Mannion has consistently identified ethics reform and reducing campaign money influence as key priorities. In the 119th Congress, he voted for releasing Jeffrey Epstein records and supported expanding state mail voting.

  • Voted Yea on H.R. 4405 (Epstein Files Transparency Act)
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 1526 (NORRA of 2025 limiting federal injunctions)
  • Supported New York Proposal 4 (No-Excuse Absentee Voting Amendment) in 2021

“Ethics reform is important to me. Without enough oversight into the use of publicly funded projects and other uses, we have see. abuse and corruption that has led to a lack of trust in government officials, particularly in New York.”

Kailee Buller

Supports fiscal transparency and spending limits

Buller focuses government reform proposals on fiscal accountability, advocating for full spending transparency at all levels of government and balancing the federal budget.

  • Advocates full online transparency of federal spending
  • Supports a balanced budget amendment and restoring fiscal discipline

“It’s time that our federal and state governments balance their budgets and live within their means just like we do.”

08

Disability Rights and Senior Care

low salience

Mannion focuses heavily on disability equity and funding based on his state legislative chair experience, while Buller emphasizes protecting Social Security and Medicare benefits from cuts and fraud.

John Mannion

Advocates for disability rights and entitlement protections

As the former chair of the NY State Senate Committee on Disabilities, Mannion advocates for equity, funding, and employment for individuals with disabilities. He also lists protecting Social Security on his House campaign platform.

  • Former Chair of the NY State Senate Committee on Disabilities
  • Focuses policy efforts on employment and funding access for disabled individuals

“As the first ever chair of the Senate Committee on Disabilities, I work each day to help end the stigma and discrimination that still exists for this community.”

Kailee Buller

Protects Social Security and Medicare

Buller pledges to preserve Social Security and Medicare benefits without cuts for seniors, while strengthening program oversight to prevent fraud.

  • Pledges full protection for Social Security and Medicare benefits
  • Focuses on program integrity to eliminate fraud and abuse

“Social Security and Medicare are not political bargaining chips. They are promises.”

09

Immigration and Border Security

medium salience

John Mannion

Supports enforcement for criminal offenses

Mannion voted for border enforcement measures tied to criminal behavior, including the Laken Riley Act and DUI deportation laws, though he voted against voter citizenship verification requirements.

  • Voted Yea on S.5 (Laken Riley Act) authorizing detention of non-citizens arrested for theft or burglary
  • Voted Yea on H.R.875 making DUI offenses grounds for deportation
  • Voted Nay on H.R.22 (SAVE Act) requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voting
Kailee Buller No documented position in our sources