2026 Midterms · U.S. House · New York Toss-up
New York — 17th District
Democratic
Cait Conley
Republican / Conservative Party
Michael Lawler
Incumbent
In New York's 17th Congressional District, Democratic nominee Cait Conley is challenging incumbent Republican Representative Michael Lawler in a crucial 2026 battleground election. Located just north of New York City, the district was won by Kamala Harris in 2024, making it one of a small number of Republican-held House seats in Biden/Harris territory. The race hinges on cost of living, energy infrastructure, abortion rights, immigration enforcement, and federal spending priorities. Major forecasters rate the matchup as Toss-up or Lean Republican.
Taxes and Cost of Living
high salienceConley calls for completely eliminating the SALT cap, whereas Lawler highlights taking on his own party to quadruple the cap to $40,000 alongside targeted tax relief on Social Security, tips, and overtime.
Cait Conley
Lower costs and repeal SALT cap
Conley focuses on lowering daily expenses for Hudson Valley families and reversing tax policies that she argues harm middle-class New Yorkers. She advocates completely ending the SALT tax cap, passing the PRO Act to level the playing field for workers, and supporting small businesses through expanded capital access.
- Ending entirely the Trump and Lawler-imposed SALT tax cap
- Passing the PRO Act and other pro-worker legislation
- Cutting red tape and expanding access to affordable capital for small businesses
“Ending entirely the Trump and Lawler-imposed SALT tax cap, which did not exist for over 100 years until Trump instituted it in 2017 to punish New Yorkers”
Michael Lawler
Deliver tax relief and raise SALT cap
Lawler highlights his record of delivering tax cuts for working families, seniors, and small businesses while capping overall government spending to fight inflation. He supported the Working Families Tax Cut, fought to raise the SALT deduction cap to $40,000, and advocates eliminating taxes on Social Security income, tips, and overtime pay.
- Voted for the new Working Families Tax Cut that saves average Hudson Valley families nearly $4,000
- Taking on his own party to quadruple the SALT deduction cap to $40,000
- Eliminating taxes on Social Security income for 88% of Hudson Valley seniors
- Slashing taxes on tips and overtime pay for workers
“Taking on his own party to quadruple the SALT deduction cap to $40,000 – delivering thousands of dollars in tax relief to over 90% of Hudson Valley residents”
Healthcare
high salienceConley supports establishing a public insurance option and expanding Medicare benefits, while Lawler favors targeted bipartisan bills to extend ACA subsidies, address rural care access, and protect local Medicaid funding.
Cait Conley
Expand public option and protect ACA
Conley advocates expanding healthcare access by allowing all Americans to opt into a public health insurance option and adding vision, dental, and hearing coverage to Medicare. She promises to defend Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act while capping insulin prices at $35 for everyone and allowing Medicare to negotiate more drug prices.
- Allowing everyone to opt in to a public insurance option regardless of age
- Defending the Affordable Care Act and Medicaid, and expanding Medicare to include vision, dental, and hearing
- Capping insulin prices at $35 for everyone and cracking down on pharmaceutical price gouging
“Allowing everyone to opt in to a public insurance option, regardless of age, expanding coverage, and driving down costs across the marketplace.”
Michael Lawler
Lower healthcare costs through targeted reforms
Lawler champions bipartisan legislation aimed at making healthcare more affordable and accessible without expanding single-payer systems. He forced a House vote to extend ACA subsidies, introduced bills to eliminate travel deductibles for care, protected local Medicaid funding, and sponsored measures to expand the physician workforce in underserved areas.
- Forced a House vote on extending Affordable Care Act subsidies to prevent premium increases
- Introduced the HEAL Act (H.R. 5277) to eliminate travel deductibles and fund patient transportation
- Introduced the Preserving Local Medicaid Access Act (H.R. 4339) to protect local Medicaid funding
- Introduced the Doctors in Our Borders Act (H.R. 4875) to expand foreign-trained doctor retention in underserved areas
“Forced a House vote on extending Affordable Care Act subsidies and helped trigger a bipartisan vote to prevent premium increases for millions of Americans.”
Abortion and Reproductive Rights
high salienceConley supports codifying Roe v. Wade nationwide and fully funding Planned Parenthood, whereas Lawler opposes a federal abortion ban while endorsing state-level restrictions like parental notification and bans on late-term procedures.
Cait Conley
Codify Roe v. Wade into law
Conley promises to codify Roe v. Wade into federal law to guarantee women's access to abortion, contraception, and IVF nationwide without political interference. She also pledges to repeal legislation cutting off Medicaid reimbursements to Planned Parenthood clinics.
- Passing Roe v. Wade into law to restore access to abortion, contraception, and IVF
- Restoring federal funding for Planned Parenthood by repealing Medicaid reimbursement cuts
“Passing Roe v. Wade into law to restore a woman’s right to make personal healthcare decisions without interference from politicians — including access to abortion, contraception, and IVF.”
Michael Lawler
Oppose federal ban; support exceptions and IVF
Lawler opposes a federal abortion ban and supports legal access in cases involving rape, incest, or serious health issues. He supports access to IVF treatments and fertility tax credits, while opposing late-term abortions and supporting parental notification rules.
- Opposes a federal ban on abortion
- Protects legal abortion access for cases involving serious health issues, rape, or incest
- Sponsored legislation for federal fertility treatment tax credits and stood up to his party to protect IVF
- Opposes late-term abortions and supports parental notification for minors
“Opposes a federal ban on abortion”
Immigration and Border Security
high salienceConley advocates reining in ICE, ending 287g agreements, and creating pathways to citizenship, while Lawler focuses on strict border security, ending sanctuary policies, and prosecuting drug traffickers.
Cait Conley
Reform system and rein in ICE
Conley advocates comprehensive immigration reform that combines border security with a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants and Dreamers. She focuses enforcement strictly on violent criminals, seeking accountability for ICE, the revocation of 287g agreements, and faster visa processing through USCIS staffing.
- Creating a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants and Dreamers
- Reining in ICE by requiring body cameras, standardized uniforms, and prohibiting masked agents
- Revoking 287g agreements so local police focus on local community safety
- Modernizing USCIS technology and staffing to cut backlogs and expedite asylum claims
“Creating a pathway to citizenship for the millions of undocumented immigrants and Dreamers who are already part of our communities, paying taxes, and contributing to our economy.”
Michael Lawler
Secure border and oppose sanctuary policies
Lawler emphasizes securing the border, ending sanctuary state and city policies, and cracking down on illegal drug trafficking. He cosponsored the bipartisan Dignity Act to reform legal immigration while visiting the border and introducing legislation to charge fentanyl traffickers with attempted murder.
- Cosponsored the Dignity Act for bipartisan border security and immigration reform
- Introduced the Fentanyl Kills Act to charge fentanyl traffickers with attempted murder
- Opposed Sanctuary State, County, and City policies in New York
- Expanded CONRAD 30 medical visa programs to retain foreign medical graduates in the U.S.
“Cosponsored the Dignity Act – the first serious, bipartisan immigration reform effort in decades – because the current system is broken for everyone”
Energy and Environment
high salienceConley opposes reopening Indian Point in favor of rapid renewable energy investments, whereas Lawler champions reopening Indian Point alongside expanding natural gas and nuclear power.
Cait Conley
Invest in renewables and stop Indian Point
Conley treats climate change as a national security crisis, prioritizing clean energy investments in wind, solar, hydro, and geothermal power to lower utility bills. She explicitly opposes reopening the Indian Point nuclear plant and pledges to address PFAS water contamination and rejoin the Paris Climate Agreement.
- Expanding federal investments in wind, solar, hydro, and geothermal energy
- Stopping efforts to reopen the Indian Point nuclear facility
- Increasing testing, cleanup, and corporate accountability for PFAS toxic contamination in water
- Pressuring the administration to rejoin the Paris Climate Agreement
“Stopping Mike Lawler’s drive to reopen Indian Point.”
Michael Lawler
Reopen Indian Point and all-of-the-above energy
Lawler advocates an all-of-the-above energy strategy, including reopening and rebuilding the Indian Point Nuclear Energy Center to provide clean baseload power and reduce electricity bills. He opposes state energy mandates like the CLCPA while co-leading the NJ-NY Watershed Protection Act to clean the Hudson River.
- Advocating to reopen and rebuild the Indian Point Nuclear Energy Center for carbon-free baseline power
- Supporting an all-of-the-above strategy including natural gas, nuclear, and renewables
- Calling for the repeal or overhaul of New York's CLCPA climate mandates
- Co-led the NJ-NY Watershed Protection Act establishing a $20 million annual fund for the Hudson River
“Advocating to reopen and rebuild the Indian Point Nuclear Energy Center, a clean, reliable, carbon-free source that supplied over 25% of New York City’s electricity before Albany politicians shut it down.”
Housing Affordability
medium salienceConley emphasizes zero-down-payment loans for public servants and restricting corporate landlords, while Lawler focuses on deregulation, construction incentives, and expanding voucher programs.
Cait Conley
Expand public service loans and curb hedge funds
Conley proposes creating a public service housing loan program offering zero down payments and competitive interest rates to teachers, nurses, and first responders. She supports cutting zoning red tape for affordable housing, expanding federal community block grants, and cracking down on corporate landlords buying up housing stock.
- Creating a public service housing loan program with no down payment or PMI for first responders and teachers
- Cutting outdated red tape and zoning rules that slow down affordable housing development
- Cracking down on corporate landlords and Wall Street hedge funds purchasing local residential properties
- Expanding federal community block grants and tax credits for mixed-income developments
“Creating a public service housing loan program for teachers, nurses, and first responders to expand access to affordable homeownership in the communities they serve.”
Michael Lawler
Reduce regulations and expand housing supply
Lawler approaches housing affordability by introducing supply-focused legislation to cut regulatory hurdles for developers and expand homeownership opportunities. He introduced the Revitalizing America's Housing Act, helped pass the Housing for the 21st Century Act, and backed the Choice in Affordable Housing Act to expand rental voucher access.
- Introduced the Revitalizing America’s Housing Act to incentivize construction and reduce regulatory barriers
- Helped pass the bipartisan Housing for the 21st Century Act to boost housing supply
- Introduced the Choice in Affordable Housing Act to expand access to rental vouchers
“Introduced the Revitalizing America’s Housing Act, a broad package designed to incentivize construction, reduce regulatory barriers, and expand homeownership opportunities”
Public Safety and Crime
medium salienceConley advocates focusing police resources strictly on violent crime and ending 287g agreements, whereas Lawler leads efforts to repeal cashless bail laws and expand funding for law enforcement.
Cait Conley
Focus enforcement on violent crime
Conley advocates focusing law enforcement resources directly on violent criminals and human traffickers. She supports local police concentrating on community protection rather than federal immigration enforcement, advocating the revocation of 287g agreements.
- Focusing law enforcement efforts on dangerous criminals and human traffickers
- Revoking 287g agreements to allow local police to focus on community protection
“Keeping the focus of enforcement where it belongs — on dangerous criminals and human traffickers, not on long-standing community members.”
Michael Lawler
Repeal cashless bail and support law enforcement
Endorsed by numerous police unions, Lawler campaigns to repeal cashless bail laws and establish dangerousness standards for pretrial detention. He has secured federal funding for local law enforcement, introduced the SWAT Act against school swatting, and supported housing and childcare initiatives for police and firefighters.
- Fighting to repeal cashless bail laws and establish a dangerousness standard for pretrial detention
- Introduced the Schools Want Accountability for Threats (SWAT) Act to penalize swatting attacks
- Introduced the Housing for Heroes Act and Providing Child Care for Police Officers Act
- Delivered millions in federal funding for local police departments and first responders
“Fighting to repeal dangerous cashless bail laws and instill a dangerousness standard when determining bail or pretrial release to prevent dangerous criminals from repeatedly being allowed to walk free”
Education
medium salienceConley opposes voucher programs to keep funds in public schools, while Lawler cosponsors school choice legislation supporting public, private, charter, and religious options.
Cait Conley
Fund public schools and cap student loan interest
Conley supports fully funding public education, expanding Head Start and pre-K programs, and modernizing aging school infrastructure while opposing voucher programs that divert public funds. She also advocates capping interest rates on federal student loans and expanding BOCES, CTE, and union apprenticeship opportunities.
- Capping interest rates on federal student loans so borrowers do not pay exorbitant long-term interest
- Opposing voucher programs that strip funding from the public education system
- Expanding BOCES, Career & Technical Education (CTE), and community college union apprenticeships
- Modernizing school infrastructure and fully funding school lunch programs
“Capping interest rates on federal student loans so people aren’t paying off $200,000 on a $50,000 loan 20 years later.”
Michael Lawler
Support school choice and cap student loan interest
Lawler advocates school choice policies that give parents options among public, private, charter, homeschooling, or religious schools, while protecting parental rights in curriculum decisions. He introduced legislation to cap federal student loan interest rates at 2% and raise loan caps for graduate degrees in critical fields like nursing and teaching.
- Cosponsored legislation supporting school choice options including public, private, charter, and religious schools
- Introduced legislation to create a 2% cap on federal student loan interest rates
- Supported parental rights regarding age-appropriate school curricula
- Introduced legislation to raise graduate student loan caps for professions like nursing, teaching, and social work
“Cosponsored legislation that would give parents access to the best educational options for their child – public, private, charter, homeschooling, or religious”
Democracy, Government Ethics, and Corruption
medium salienceConley focuses on banning congressional stock trading, overturning Citizens United, and expanding federal voting protections, whereas Lawler emphasizes 48-hour campaign donation disclosures and constitutional term limits.
Cait Conley
Ban stock trading and protect election infrastructure
Conley champions government ethics reforms, including banning members of Congress from trading stocks, instituting Congressional term limits, overturning Citizens United, and prohibiting post-office lobbying. Drawing on her CISA experience, she supports restoring federal election security resources, passing the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, and protecting election workers.
- Banning members of Congress from trading stocks while in office and requiring divestment
- Enacting Congressional term limits and banning former members from lobbying
- Overturning Citizens United to end unlimited anonymous campaign funding
- Restoring CISA election security missions and passing the John Lewis Voting Rights Act
“Banning members of Congress from trading stocks while in office, and requiring personal divestment from holdings.”
Michael Lawler
Support term limits and campaign donation transparency
Lawler signed the U.S. Term Limits pledge and supports a constitutional amendment imposing Congressional term limits. He advocates financial transparency in politics, calling for all campaign contributions to be reported within 48 hours.
- Signed the U.S. Term Limits pledge supporting a constitutional amendment
- Advocates requiring all campaign donations to be reported within 48 hours of receipt
- Voted to eliminate waste and cap federal spending growth
“I think all campaign donations should have to be reported within 48 hours of receipt - folks need to show who’s funding their campaigns directly.”
Foreign Policy, Defense, and Israel
medium salienceConley emphasizes diplomacy with Iran, restoring USAID funding, and a two-state solution, while Lawler highlights 'peace through strength', authoring Iranian petroleum sanctions, and leading Middle East subcommittee policy for Israel.
Cait Conley
Support Ukraine, two-state solution, and diplomacy with Iran
Drawing on her 16-year Army career, Conley advocates strong support for Ukraine against Russian aggression, diplomacy to prevent a nuclear Iran, and restoring USAID foreign aid capacity. She supports a two-state solution to ensure Israel's security as a Jewish state alongside legitimate Palestinian self-determination.
- Recommitting support for Ukraine against Russian aggression
- Pursuing diplomacy to end military escalation and ensure Iran never acquires nuclear weapons
- Supporting a two-state solution for Israel and Palestine
- Restoring USAID funding to maintain foreign aid capacity
“Supporting a two-state solution as the only viable long-term path to ensure Israel remains a secure, democratic Jewish state while Palestinians achieve legitimate aspirations for self-determination.”
Michael Lawler
Peace through strength, support Israel and Ukraine
Lawler serves as Chairman of the Middle East and North Africa Subcommittee, advocating a foreign policy based on 'peace through strength.' He passed sanctions targeting the illegal Iranian oil trade, authored the Antisemitism Awareness Act, and supported Ukraine's defense against Russia despite opposition from within his party.
- Serves as House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee Chairman on the Middle East and North Africa
- Passed the Stop Harboring Iranian Petroleum (SHIP) Act and Iran-China Energy Sanctions Act
- Introduced the Antisemitism Awareness Act to combat campus discrimination
- Supported Ukraine's defense against Vladimir Putin's invasion
“Stood up to members of his own party to strongly support Ukraine’s defense against Vladimir Putin’s illegal invasion”
Veterans Affairs
low salienceConley focuses on strengthening local medical centers like the Montrose VA facility, whereas Lawler points to specific legislative proposals like the HEAL Act and VET PFAS Act to reform travel reimbursements and toxic exposure care.
Cait Conley
Strengthen VA system and Montrose VA Center
As an Army combat veteran, Conley pledges to strengthen the VA healthcare system and ensure local facilities like the Montrose VA Medical Center receive full federal funding and support.
- Investing in veterans' healthcare by strengthening the VA system
- Ensuring local facilities like the Montrose VA Medical Center receive full federal support
“Investing in veterans’ care by strengthening the VA system so facilities like the Montrose VA Medical Center get the funding and support they need.”
Michael Lawler
Expand VA travel reimbursement and toxic exposure coverage
Lawler introduced the HEAL Act to eliminate travel deductibles and raise mileage reimbursements for veterans living far from VA facilities. He also advanced the VET PFAS Act to address toxic chemical exposure risks for military families.
- Introduced the HEAL Act (H.R. 5277) to eliminate out-of-pocket travel deductibles for VA care
- Advanced the VET PFAS Act to treat veterans exposed to harmful chemicals
- Consistently voted for additional veterans healthcare funding and assistance
“Introduced the HEAL Act (H.R. 5277) to expand access to VA care by increasing travel reimbursement rates, eliminating out-of-pocket deductibles”
Artificial Intelligence and Technology Regulation
low salienceCait Conley
Regulate AI safety and protect workers
Conley advocates federal guardrails on AI technology, strict age verification for youth, data privacy protections, and regulation of data centers to protect local residents from power rate hikes and environmental risks. She also supports job retraining programs to protect workers from AI displacement.
- Requiring stricter age verification and parental consent standards for AI tools
- Passing clear national data privacy laws
- Regulating data centers to protect residents from utility rate increases and water depletion
- Investing in community colleges and job retraining programs for displaced workers
“Regulating Data Centers to guarantee they pay their fair share through binding agreements that protect residents from utility rate hikes and harmful impacts to our water supply”