2026 Midterms · U.S. House · New York Tilt D
New York — 4th District
Incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen faces Republican Jeanine Driscoll in New York's 4th Congressional District, a suburban Nassau County swing seat that has repeatedly flipped between parties. The race hinges on localized suburban economic pressures—most notably the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap—as well as immigration enforcement and public safety in a district where enrolled Democrats outnumber Republicans but swing voters decide outcomes. Forecasters rate the general election as Lean Democratic (Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball), Likely Democratic (Decision Desk), and Tilt Democratic (Inside Elections).
The pulse
updated Sep 16Taxes and Cost of Living
high salienceBoth candidates pledge to restore the full SALT deduction for Nassau County taxpayers, but Driscoll criticizes Gillen's votes against broad Republican tax packages while Gillen emphasizes her focus on targeted tax credits and anti-price-gouging measures.
Democratic Laura Gillen
Supports eliminating the SALT cap
Gillen prioritizes lowering household expenses for Long Island families by repealing the federal cap on State and Local Tax (SALT) deductions. She highlights securing over $50 million in federal investments for Nassau County while working to lower prescription drug and energy costs.
- Co-sponsored legislation and advocated for full elimination of the federal SALT deduction cap.
- Secured over $50 million in federal funding for Nassau County public safety, clean water, and local infrastructure.
- Voted against H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) and FY2025/FY2026 budget resolutions and continuing appropriations.
“She’s focused on lowering costs, protecting taxpayers and delivering results for working families. ... the choice couldn’t be clearer between common-sense leader Laura Gillen and Jeanine Driscoll, a tax-hiking insider who continues to demonstrate her loyalty is to the party bosses, not the people.”
“She has been a leader in Congress working to eliminate the SALT cap, which has led to double taxation of Long Islanders.”
“Repealing the unfair SALT tax cap that hurts New Yorkers will be an immediate priority.”
Republican Jeanine Driscoll
Supports restoring SALT and tax relief
Driscoll centers her campaign on her municipal record as Hempstead Receiver of Taxes, promising to lower the suburban tax burden by restoring the full SALT deduction. She advocates for targeted federal tax cuts, including eliminating taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security benefits for seniors.
- Pledges to restore the full State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction for Nassau County homeowners.
- Supports eliminating federal taxes on tips, overtime work, and Social Security benefits for seniors.
- Promotes expanding the Child Tax Credit for working parents.
“Jeanine is running for Congress to build upon her record of protecting Nassau taxpayers. She will continue fighting to lower the tax burden by restoring the full State and Local Tax (SALT) Deduction and providing additional relief for Nassau County families and seniors.”
“Instead of delivering the help Nassau families need, her opponent voted against quadrupling the SALT deduction, ending taxes on tips and overtime, eliminating taxes on Social Security benefits for 88% of seniors and increasing the Child Tax Credit for parents.”
Immigration and Border Security
high salienceDriscoll advocates closing the southern border and repealing state sanctuary laws, whereas Gillen combines support for specific law-enforcement measures against criminal offenders with advocacy for Haitian TPS holders.
Democratic Laura Gillen
Supports targeted enforcement and TPS protections
Gillen takes a nuanced approach to immigration by backing strict enforcement against non-citizens who commit crimes while defending humanitarian protections for established local immigrant groups. In Congress, she has supported key enforcement measures while leading efforts to preserve Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for legal residents.
- Voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) requiring detention of unauthorized immigrants arrested for theft or burglary.
- Voted Yea on H.R. 875 making driving while impaired grounds for deportation or inadmissibility.
- Led efforts in Congress to extend Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Haitian residents in Nassau County.
“She has led the charge in Congress to extend TPS for law-abiding Haitians in Nassau County and across the country. As Haitian TPS holders face the possibility of being forced to return to the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Haiti, Laura has stood shoulder to shoulder with our Haitian neighbors.”
Republican Jeanine Driscoll
Supports border closure and anti-sanctuary laws
Driscoll emphasizes national security and law enforcement cooperation, calling for strict border enforcement to prevent future migrant influxes. She opposes state-level sanctuary policies and advocates giving local police full authority to cooperate with federal immigration officials.
- Supports sealing the U.S. southern border to prevent migrant surges.
- Advocates for repealing New York's sanctuary state laws to enable local law enforcement cooperation with federal authorities.
“In Congress, Jeanine will stand up for Nassau taxpayers, support law enforcement and ensure the southern border can never be opened again.”
“Kathy Hochul’s Sanctuary State law protects violent criminals instead of law-abiding New Yorkers. ... In Congress, I will work with my colleagues, Homeland Security Committee Chair Andrew Garbarino and Congressman Nick Lalota, to undo New York’s sanctuary policies and empower local law enforcement to do their job.”
Crime and Public Safety
medium salienceDriscoll focuses on empowering law enforcement by rolling back sanctuary restrictions, while Gillen combines federal law enforcement funding with support for red flag laws and universal background checks.
Democratic Laura Gillen
Supports gun safety laws and police funding
Gillen positions gun violence prevention and law enforcement support as complementary public safety goals. She advocates for common-sense gun legislation like universal background checks while securing federal grant funding for local police and emergency services.
- Secured direct federal funding investments in Nassau County public safety programs.
- Supports federal universal background checks and extreme risk protection orders (red flag laws).
- Advocates treating gun violence as a public health crisis and funding federal research.
“Contrary to what some may say responsible gun ownership and sensible gun legislation are not mutually exclusive. We need universal background checks and extreme risk protection orders (red flag laws) to address the ever-escalating rise in gun violence.”
Republican Jeanine Driscoll
Supports law enforcement and police empowerment
Driscoll makes public safety a pillar of her platform, prioritizing full support for law enforcement agencies. She focuses on repealing policies she argues impede police work, such as state sanctuary mandates.
- Pledges unwavering support for local law enforcement officers and departments.
- Advocates rolling back state laws that limit local police involvement in immigration enforcement.
“In Congress, Jeanine will stand up for Nassau taxpayers, support law enforcement and ensure the southern border can never be opened again.”
Reproductive Rights
medium salienceGillen explicitly supports federal legislation protecting abortion rights, whereas Driscoll has no documented position on reproductive freedom in the provided sources.
Democratic Laura Gillen
Supports federal abortion rights
Gillen strongly supports codifying abortion access and protecting reproductive healthcare choices nationwide following the overturning of Roe v. Wade. She pledges to defend women's healthcare autonomy and block federal restrictions on family planning.
- Supports codifying federal protections for reproductive rights and abortion access.
- Opposes state-level bans and federal restrictions on women's healthcare and family planning services.
“I will relentlessly fight to protect American families from this governmental invasion into their personal lives. Women must have autonomy over their healthcare decisions.”
Voting Rights and Democracy
medium salienceGillen actively opposes voter ID restriction bills like the SAVE Act and supports federal voting rights legislation, while Driscoll offers no documented stance on election laws in the provided source material.
Democratic Laura Gillen
Supports federal voting rights legislation
Gillen advocates for expanding voter participation and protecting ballot access against federal and state restriction attempts. She supports key federal reform bills like the John Lewis Voting Rights Act and opposes strict mandatory proof-of-citizenship filing laws.
- Supports passing the John Lewis Voting Rights Act to strengthen federal ballot access protections.
- Voted Nay on the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register for federal elections.
“In Congress, I will join the fight to protect and expand voting rights by advocating for legislation like the John Lewis Voting Rights Act that will secure access to the ballot box and strengthen our constitutional right to vote.”
Healthcare and Prescription Drugs
medium salienceGillen has a detailed healthcare agenda centered on ACA tax credits and Medicare drug price negotiation, while Driscoll's platform in the available sources does not include healthcare policy.
Democratic Laura Gillen
Supports lowering drug costs and expanding ACA
Gillen prioritizes lowering healthcare expenses for seniors and families by expanding Affordable Care Act premium tax credits and giving Medicare authority to negotiate prescription prices. She opposes federal cuts to Medicaid and supports regulating insurance intermediaries.
- Supports extending ACA premium tax credits to reduce monthly health insurance premiums.
- Backs reforms targeting pharmacy benefit managers and insurance middlemen driving up drug prices.
- Supports empowering Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices directly with pharmaceutical companies.
“She has stood up against historic Medicaid cuts and helped pass reforms to crack down on insurance middlemen who are unfairly raising the cost of prescriptions. She has fought to restore critical ACA premium tax credits to lower the cost of health insurance by up to thousands of dollars a month for working families.”
Environment and Water Infrastructure
low salienceGillen highlights local litigation against corporate polluters and federal clean water funding, while Driscoll presents no documented environmental platform in the source material.
Democratic Laura Gillen
Supports clean water and environmental protection
Gillen highlights her local track record as Hempstead Supervisor taking legal action against corporate polluters responsible for contaminating Long Island's water table. In Congress, she prioritizes securing federal grants for clean water systems and coastal infrastructure resilience.
- Secured direct federal funding for clean water projects in Nassau County.
- Initiated litigation against polluters over 1,4-dioxane and PFOS contaminants in Long Island drinking water as town supervisor.
- Expanded shellfish hatcheries to filter local waterways and improve coastal water quality.
“As Supervisor, I took on the big polluters and commenced litigation to help defer the huge cost of the filtration systems needed to remove contaminants. As a Member of Congress, I will continue these efforts to preserve and protect our shorelines and our Earth.”
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