Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Nevada Lean D

Nevada’s 3rd District race

The 2026 general election for Nevada's 3rd Congressional District features Democratic incumbent Susie Lee against Republican challenger Marty O'Donnell and Independent American Party candidate Jon Kamerath. The race hinges on economic concerns including inflation, housing affordability, and job stability, alongside contrasting visions on border security, national debt, reproductive freedom, and campaign finance.

The pulse

updated Oct 31
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
94.5%
Republicans
5.1%
Kalshi ↗
Susie Lee
94.0%
Marty O'Donnell
4.5%

All markets →

01

Economy and cost of living

high salience

Lee focuses on federal supply chain reshoring and curbing corporate price gouging, whereas O'Donnell emphasizes protecting American workers from AI displacement and reducing government intervention in business.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports supply chain reshoring and cost reduction

Lee focuses on lowering everyday costs for working families by bringing supply chains back to America, stopping corporate greed, and lowering prescription drug prices. She emphasizes her background growing up in a large working-class family and highlights her bipartisan track record on economic initiatives.

  • Proposes bringing supply chains back to America to reduce everyday consumer costs.
  • Supports cracking down on corporate price gouging and corporate greed.
  • Advocates middle-class tax relief and economic diversification initiatives in Southern Nevada.

“From combating the drought, to bringing supply chains back to America to lower costs, to ensuring our veterans get the benefits they deserve, Susie Lee has effectively worked with both parties and delivered for Nevadans.”

“I grew up in a working family of ten that had to stretch every dollar – I understand the pressures facing Nevada families right now. Our community needs a fighter who will roll up her sleeves to lower costs, protect health care, and stop corporate greed.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports worker protections and small business growth

O'Donnell argues that the economy is tilted against working families and small businesses due to government-created inflation and corporate influence. He advocates for policies that ensure one good job is sufficient to support a family while establishing safeguards for workers facing disruption from AI and automation.

  • Advocates for investments and safeguards to protect blue-collar and white-collar workers from automation and AI displacement.
  • Pledges to reduce government regulatory and tax burdens on small businesses.
  • Promotes policies to restore an economy where a single income can support a household.

“One good job should be enough; it used to be enough. And it can be again. I'm tired of seeing our leaders influenced by special interests and big corporations, rigging the system against working people and making it too difficult for families to make ends meet.”

“As your congressman, I will fight to secure an economy that prioritizes American workers and protects livelihoods. While we invest in technologies that increase efficiency and productivity, we must include additional investments, safeguards and protections for American workers.”

02

Border security and immigration

high salience

O'Donnell demands strict enforcement, barrier construction, and benefit rollbacks for undocumented immigrants, while Lee pairs border security with earned pathways to citizenship for DREAMers and established residents.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports comprehensive reform and earned citizenship

Lee advocates for comprehensive immigration reform that combines border security with a lawful pathway to citizenship for long-term residents. She supports protecting DREAMers and Temporary Protected Status recipients while opposing family separations at the border.

  • Supports comprehensive immigration reform including border security funding.
  • Advocates providing a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants and protecting DREAMers and TPS holders.
  • Opposes family separation policies at the southern border while calling for accountability at federal enforcement agencies.

“We must continue to welcome immigrants, while at the same time reforming our broken immigration system by securing our borders and providing a path to citizenship for the immigrants who strengthen our communities.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports immediate enforcement and border wall construction

O'Donnell considers border security a constitutional mandate and criticizes the Biden administration for lax enforcement. He calls for completing physical border infrastructure, cutting off public benefits to illegal immigrants, and targeting human and drug trafficking networks.

  • Demands immediate enforcement of existing border laws and continued construction of physical border barriers.
  • Pledges to eliminate federal and state benefit programs that act as magnets for illegal immigration.
  • Calls for aggressive federal targeting of human trafficking and drug cartel networks.

“Securing our borders is mandated in our constitution as a duty of the federal government. The Biden Administration allowed millions of people to come in without accounting for who they are, what they intend to do, or what they bring with them.”

“By ending the magnets that cause illegal immigration, we can ensure our border stays secure. Additionally, we must continue to build what is needed to ensure we have proper control over our border and we must aggressively target the exploitation of human and drug trafficking in our country.”

03

Special interest influence and campaign finance

medium salience

O'Donnell rejects corporate PAC money and advocates congressional term limits, while Lee focuses on her bipartisan legislative record and working across party lines.

Democratic Susie Lee

Emphasizes bipartisan record and fighting corporate greed

Lee highlights her recognition as one of the top ten most bipartisan members of Congress. She emphasizes her opposition to corporate greed in prescription drug pricing and her willingness to work across the aisle.

  • Highlights ranking as one of the top 10 most bipartisan Members of Congress.
  • Pledges to challenge corporate greed in healthcare and energy markets.

“In fact, she was recognized as one of the top 10 most bipartisan Members of Congress, out of over 400 Members across the country.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Refuses corporate PAC money and supports term limits

O'Donnell pledges not to accept corporate PAC contributions, arguing that special interest influence corrupts Washington. He advocates for congressional term limits and diminishing federal authority.

  • Refuses all corporate PAC contributions for his congressional campaign.
  • Supports congressional term limits to prevent career politicians.
  • Advocates reducing federal power to eliminate special interest lobbying hubs.

“My pledge is not to accept one penny of corporate PAC money. We currently have too many politicians who rail against the big entities and experts that got us into this mess but turn around and vacuum up corporate donations for their campaigns.”

“Congress should have term limits.”

04

Gun safety

medium salience

Lee promotes universal background checks, Red Flag laws, and bump stock bans, while O'Donnell opposes federal restrictions in favor of protecting constitutional rights.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports strict gun safety and Red Flag laws

Lee supports universal background checks, bans on bump stocks, Red Flag laws, and stiffer penalties for straw purchasing to reduce gun violence following the October 1 mass shooting in Las Vegas.

  • Advocates national universal background checks on all firearm sales.
  • Supports Red Flag laws and federal restrictions on bump stocks.
  • Calls for stiffer federal penalties for illegal straw purchases and gun trafficking.

“Congress should also take concrete steps to keep guns out of the hands of domestic abusers, felons, and individuals on the no fly list.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports defending constitutional Second Amendment rights

O'Donnell lists defending constitutional rights as a core principle of his campaign platform, taking a traditional conservative approach to constitutional protections.

  • Pledges to defend constitutional rights against federal overreach.

“From securing our border to protecting constitutional rights, every one of Marty’s priorities is grounded in his commitment to defend our freedoms, strengthen our economy, and ensure a better future for Nevada families.”

05

Government spending and debt

high salience

O'Donnell makes curbing national debt through spending cuts and a balanced budget a primary platform pillar, while Lee's platform focuses on investments in middle-class relief.

Democratic Susie Lee No documented position in our sources

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports spending cuts and constitutional balanced budget

O'Donnell warns that national debt exceeding $35 trillion threatens mortgage rates, fuels inflation, and destabilizes social safety nets. He advocates for a constitutional balanced budget requirement and cutting non-essential government spending.

  • Supports a constitutional balanced budget amendment for the federal government.
  • Calls for auditing federal expenditures to cut or delay non-critical government spending.
  • Warns that escalating interest payments on national debt divert funds from essential safety nets.

“As the national debt moves past $35 trillion, we must begin making choices on which spending is critical, which can be delayed, and which can be cut.”

“I believe acting now, in a responsible fashion, to bend the cost curve on government programs and working toward a balanced budget will secure a bright future for our children and grandchildren.”

06

Abortion and reproductive rights

high salience

Lee explicitly pledges to codify federal abortion rights and protect reproductive care, whereas O'Donnell does not detail an explicit abortion platform in the provided sources.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports codifying federal abortion rights

Lee is a staunch proponent of reproductive freedom and opposes a national abortion ban. She advocates for federal legislation to codify Roe v. Wade protections and protect access to contraception.

  • Supports federal legislation to codify abortion rights nationwide.
  • Opposes Republican efforts to enact a national abortion ban.
  • Advocates protecting access to reproductive healthcare services and contraception.

“With the Supreme Court overturning protections for a woman’s right to choose, Republicans are already moving to ban abortion nationally, including here in Nevada. Susie Lee will continue to be a fierce advocate for our rights, and supports legislation to codify the right to choose that is now in jeopardy across the country.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell No documented position in our sources
07

Healthcare and prescription drug costs

medium salience

Lee highlights her legislative record enabling Medicare drug price negotiation and protecting the ACA, while O'Donnell presents no detailed healthcare proposals in the sources.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports ACA protection and Medicare price negotiation

Lee champions strengthening the Affordable Care Act, protecting coverage for pre-existing conditions, and lowering prescription costs. She highlights her vote enabling Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices.

  • Supported legislation allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices.
  • Defends Affordable Care Act protections for pre-existing conditions.
  • Advocates expanding federal support for mental health treatment and long-term care.

“Lee also took on pharmaceutical companies and won, passing the most significant legislation to bring down prescription drug costs in decades.”

“We must focus on lowering prescription drug prices by advocating increased transparency in pharmaceutical pricing and allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell No documented position in our sources
08

Family and traditional values

medium salience

O'Donnell explicitly prioritizes traditional two-parent and kinship family structures in social policy, whereas Lee does not adopt a cultural family values framing in her campaign text.

Democratic Susie Lee No documented position in our sources

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports traditional two-parent family structures

O'Donnell places family structure at the center of social policy, arguing that strong families are crucial for child development. He criticizes modern cultural trends that demean traditional values like faith, fidelity, and self-sacrifice.

  • Promotes policy support for two-parent and kinship households.
  • Champions foundational values including faith, integrity, fidelity, and self-sacrifice.
  • Rejects government-mandated moral obligations in favor of freely chosen family responsibility.

“We can ensure our children get the best start in life - “follow the science,” as my liberal friends say - by supporting two-parent and kinship households that help love and nurture them.”

“I want to champion the family as critical for a child’s development and success. My approach, however, is inclusive, recognizing all who step up to provide for their children. It doesn’t take a village to raise a child, it takes a family; and it takes families to make a village.”

09

Education

medium salience

Lee leverages her nonprofit leadership background to propose expanding federal education and apprenticeship spending, while O'Donnell offers no specific education platform.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports increased public school and vocational funding

Drawing on her career leading education nonprofits Communities In Schools of Nevada and After-School All-Stars, Lee advocates for increased funding for public schools, early childhood education, Pell Grants, and union apprenticeship programs.

  • Advocates increased federal funding for Early Head Start and K-12 public education.
  • Supports expanding Pell Grants and college affordability initiatives.
  • Promotes funding for vocational training and union apprenticeship programs.

“In Congress, I will work to increase funding for early childhood education and programs that assist students living in poverty. I will also fight to ensure that every classroom in America has a great teacher with the resources he or she needs to succeed.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 2

updated Oct 31

Polymarket ↗

NV-03 House Election Winner

94.5% Democrats
5.1% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31DEMOCRATS 94.5REPUBLICANS 5.1

Kalshi ↗

NV-03 House winner?

94.0% Susie Lee
4.5% Marty O'Donnell
255075100AUG 4AUG 27SEP 19OCT 12OCT 31LEE 94.0O'DONNELL 4.5

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.