Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Nevada Lean D

Nevada — 3rd District

Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee faces Republican Marty O'Donnell and Independent American Party candidate Jon Kamerath in Nevada's 3rd Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026. The race is a high-profile battleground rated Lean Democratic by major forecasters, situated in a Las Vegas-area district where Donald Trump won 49.5% to 48.8% in 2024 while Lee secured re-election 51.4% to 48.6%. As of June 30, 2026, campaign fundraising remains close, with Lee bringing in $4.4 million and O'Donnell raising $4.1 million. The election hinges on economic stability, inflation, border security, and reproductive rights, contrasting Lee's pragmatic record as a top-10 bipartisan lawmaker with O'Donnell's outsider campaign focused on border enforcement, debt control, and rejecting corporate PAC funds.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
93.5%
Republicans
6.5%
Kalshi ↗
Susie Lee
94.7%
Marty O'Donnell
4.8%

All markets →

01

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

Lee highlights legislative results like bringing supply chains to the U.S. and lowering prescription costs, whereas O'Donnell blames government-driven inflation and special interests, focusing on worker protections against AI automation and refusing corporate PAC money.

Democratic Susie Lee

Focuses on lowering costs and supply chain resilience

Lee emphasizes her work to bring supply chains back to the United States to reduce daily living costs for Nevada families. She advocates for middle-class tax relief, workforce development, economic diversification in Southern Nevada, and curbing corporate greed.

  • Pushed for bipartisan legislation to return supply chains to America and lower everyday family costs.
  • Passed landmark legislation authorizing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug pricing to lower healthcare costs.
  • Supports middle-class tax relief, job training, and protecting service industry workers who rely on tips.

“From combating the drought, to bringing supply chains back to America to lower costs, to ensuring our veterans get the benefits they deserve, Susie Lee has effectively worked with both parties and delivered for Nevadans.”

“Our community needs a fighter who will roll up her sleeves to lower costs, protect health care, and stop corporate greed.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports worker protections and middle-class economic growth

O'Donnell contends that government-created inflation and corporate special interests have squeezed working families and small businesses over the past two decades. He pledges to protect American jobs against labor market disruptions from automation and artificial intelligence while refusing corporate PAC funding.

  • Pledges to refuse all corporate PAC contributions to represent working families rather than corporate lobbyists.
  • Advocates balancing technology investments in AI and automation with protections for blue-collar and white-collar workers.
  • Seeks to restore free-market capitalism and diminish centralized economic planning in Washington.

“One good job should be enough; it used to be enough. And it can be again. I'm tired of seeing our leaders influenced by special interests and big corporations, rigging the system against working people and making it too difficult for families to make ends meet.”

“As your congressman, I will fight to secure an economy that prioritizes American workers and protects livelihoods. While we invest in technologies that increase efficiency and productivity, we must include additional investments, safeguards and protections for American workers.”

02

Border Security and Immigration

high salience

O'Donnell calls for strict border enforcement, physical barriers, and ending immigrant benefit magnets, while Lee advocates comprehensive immigration reform pairing border security with pathways to citizenship for DREAMers.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports comprehensive reform and protecting Dreamers

Lee advocates for comprehensive immigration reform that secures the border while providing earned pathways to citizenship for undocumented residents. She supports protections for DREAMers and TPS recipients, opposes family separation, and calls for strict congressional oversight of ICE.

  • Supports comprehensive immigration reform combining border security with pathways to citizenship.
  • Opposes border family separations and supports legal protections for DREAMers and TPS recipients.
  • Opposes abolishing ICE while advocating for strict federal oversight and agency accountability.

“We must continue to welcome immigrants, while at the same time reforming our broken immigration system by securing our borders and providing a path to citizenship for the immigrants who strengthen our communities.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports strict border enforcement and ending magnets

O'Donnell views border security as a constitutional requirement and sharply criticizes previous federal border management. He calls for completing physical border infrastructure, enforcing existing immigration laws, ending illegal immigrant benefits, and targeting trafficking cartels.

  • Calls for building necessary border barriers and aggressively targeting human and drug trafficking networks.
  • Supports ending illegal immigrants' access to government benefits and public assistance magnets.
  • Praises President Donald Trump's enforcement measures for bringing border crossings to historic lows.

“Mandated in our constitution, as a duty of our federal government, is securing our border. Right now, this is an epic failure. Millions of people come in without accounting for who they are, what they intend to do, or what (or who) they bring with them.”

“By ending the magnets that cause illegal immigration, we can ensure our border stays secure.”

03

Gun Safety

medium salience

Lee advocates for federal gun safety measures including universal background checks and red flag laws, while O'Donnell emphasizes protecting constitutional rights against government overreach.

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports universal background checks and red flag laws

Impacted by the October 1 Las Vegas shooting, Lee advocates for universal background checks, red flag laws, and bans on bump stocks. She supports federal measures to target illegal gun trafficking and keep firearms out of the hands of violent offenders.

  • Supports national background check legislation and enforcement of Nevada's voter-approved background check law.
  • Advocates for red flag laws and federal restrictions on bump stocks and weapon conversion accessories.
  • Calls for federal penalties against illegal straw purchasing and gun trafficking.

“I'll advocate for national background check legislation, and limiting the ability to modify legal firearms with devices like bump stocks that make them military-grade weapons capable of causing the carnage that we witnessed in our community.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports protecting constitutional rights

O'Donnell lists protecting constitutional rights as a core priority of his platform, emphasizing individual freedoms and limiting federal government encroachment.

  • Pledges to defend constitutional rights and limit government interference in citizens' lives.

“From securing our border to protecting constitutional rights, every one of Marty's priorities is grounded in his commitment to defend our freedoms, strengthen our economy, and ensure a better future for Nevada families.”

04

Governance and Family Values

low salience

O'Donnell emphasizes congressional term limits, rejecting corporate PAC money, and traditional family structure, whereas Lee highlights her ranking as a top-10 bipartisan member delivering practical results across party lines.

Democratic Susie Lee

Highlights bipartisan problem-solving record

Lee centers her campaign on her record as one of the top 10 most bipartisan members of the House. She emphasizes working across party lines to solve local issues in Nevada rather than engaging in partisan bickering.

  • Ranked among the top 10 most bipartisan members of Congress.
  • Emphasizes delivering pragmatic local solutions for Southern Nevada families across party lines.

“In fact, she was recognized as one of the top 10 most bipartisan Members of Congress, out of over 400 Members across the country.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports family values and term limits

O'Donnell emphasizes traditional family values as vital to children's development and societal health. He calls for congressional term limits, an end to career politicians, and a total ban on accepting corporate PAC funds.

  • Pledges not to accept corporate PAC money to remain free from special interest influence.
  • Promotes support for two-parent and kinship households to strengthen children's wellbeing.
  • Supports congressional term limits to prevent political careerism.

“My pledge is not to accept one penny of corporate PAC money. We currently have too many politicians who rail against the big entities and experts that got us into this mess but turn around and vacuum up corporate donations for their campaigns.”

“I will champion the family as critical for children's development and success.”

05

Government Spending and National Debt

medium salience
Democratic Susie Lee No documented position in our sources

Republican Marty O'Donnell

Supports balanced budget and spending cuts

O'Donnell warns that national debt exceeding $35 trillion drives up mortgage interest rates and erodes family purchasing power through inflation. He advocates for a constitutionally balanced budget, federal tax cuts, reduced regulatory burdens, and spending reductions.

  • Proposes bending the government cost curve and prioritizing essential federal spending to balance the budget.
  • Links national debt directly to higher mortgage borrowing costs and inflation on necessities like food and housing.
  • Calls for reducing federal taxes and deregulation to diminish Washington D.C.'s economic power.

“As the national debt moves past $35 trillion, we must begin making choices on which spending is critical, which can be delayed, and which can be cut.”

“The federal government should be held to a balanced budget. Taxes and regulations should be decreased.”

06

Reproductive Rights

medium salience

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports codifying federal abortion rights

Lee is a staunch defender of abortion access who actively opposes national restrictions on abortion. She supports federal legislation to codify abortion rights nationwide following the Supreme Court's decision overturning Roe v. Wade.

  • Supports codifying federal protections for abortion rights into statutory law.
  • Opposes efforts by congressional Republicans to institute a nationwide abortion ban.
  • Advocates for protecting access to contraception and women's healthcare options.

“Susie Lee will continue to be a fierce advocate for our rights, and supports legislation to codify the right to choose that is now in jeopardy across the country.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell No documented position in our sources
07

Healthcare

medium salience

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports ACA and lowering drug costs

Lee focuses on improving healthcare affordability and expanding access to medical and mental health services. She champions legislation enabling Medicare to negotiate lower prescription drug prices and opposes attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act.

  • Supported landmark legislation allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices.
  • Fights to protect Affordable Care Act provisions, including pre-existing condition protections.
  • Advocates for expanding mental health access and long-term care options.

“Lee also took on pharmaceutical companies and won, passing the most significant legislation to bring down prescription drug costs in decades.”

“We must focus on lowering prescription drug prices by advocating increased transparency in pharmaceutical pricing and allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell No documented position in our sources
08

Education

medium salience

Democratic Susie Lee

Supports public education funding and apprenticeships

Drawing on her career as a nonprofit leader in dropout prevention, Lee prioritizes federal investments in public schools, early childhood education, and college affordability. She strongly supports career technical education and union apprenticeship programs.

  • Led Nevada nonprofits Communities In Schools and After-School All-Stars to support vulnerable students and raise graduation rates.
  • Pushes for expanded funding for Early Head Start, Pell Grants, and early childhood education.
  • Supports funding vocational training and union apprenticeships so workers can earn middle-class livelihoods without a four-year degree.

“Under Susie's leadership, CIS has grown to serve over 64,000 students in 63 schools in Nevada.”

“Congress should help fund training and apprenticeship programs, so that our workforce has the skills needed to compete in the 21st century.”

Republican Marty O'Donnell No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 2

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

NV-03 House Election Winner

93.5% Democrats
6.5% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 93.5REPUBLICANS 6.5

Kalshi ↗

NV-03 House winner?

94.7% Susie Lee
4.8% Marty O'Donnell
255075100AUG 4AUG 15AUG 26SEP 6SEP 16LEE 94.7O'DONNELL 4.8

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.