Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Nevada Lean D

Nevada’s 1st District race

The 2026 general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District features long-serving Democratic incumbent Dina Titus facing Republican challenger Carrie Buck, alongside two independent candidates, on November 3, 2026. National party organizations have targeted the district, with the NRCC selecting Buck for its MAGA Majority program and the DCCC designating Titus for its Frontline incumbent defense program. The election hinges on voter sentiment around inflation, gas prices, tip taxation, housing affordability, parental involvement in education, and public safety.

The pulse

updated Oct 31
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
95.9%
Republicans
4.5%
Kalshi ↗
Dina Titus
95.4%
Carrie Buck
6.0%

All markets →

01

Cost of Living and Economic Policy

high salience

Titus proposes pairing tip-tax elimination with a minimum wage hike and corporate housing caps, whereas Buck pledges to work with Donald Trump to eliminate taxes on tips and overtime while curbing federal government spending.

Democratic Dina Titus

Supports tip relief and corporate housing caps

Titus focuses her platform on reducing high living costs for Las Vegas families, emphasizing the burden of elevated gas prices and inflation. She advocates for eliminating federal taxes on tips alongside an increase in the non-tipped minimum wage, opposes Republican budget reconciliation measures, and proposes federal caps and penalties on corporate ownership of single-family homes.

  • Campaigning heavily on economic affordability and reducing high energy and gas prices in Las Vegas.
  • Supports eliminating taxes on tips paired with a federal minimum wage increase for non-tipped workers.
  • Proposes federal legislation imposing caps and penalties on corporate buyers holding residential housing properties.
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act reconciliation measure).

“When conflict disrupts oil supply, it drives up energy prices, and this is not just at the pump. We have seen it in Las Vegas – in just one month, the price of gas has gone up $1 per gallon. These high oil prices push inflation higher, slow economic growth and directly feed into affordability for families.”

“I support a real elimination of tax on tips along with an increase in the minimum wage for non-tip earners. Not the half-hearted, very limited, temporary relief like Trump's proposal in the 2,000-page big beautiful bill that Carrie Buck supports — which also cuts food assistance, student loans, Medicaid and renewable energy credits.”

“put some caps on that and also some penalties if you hold those properties for too long, because it shouldn't be a corporate issue. It should be a personal issue.”

Republican Carrie Buck

Supports tip/overtime exemptions and spending cuts

Buck focuses on combatting soaring inflation and skyrocketing housing costs by supporting complete tax exemptions on tips and overtime pay in coordination with Donald Trump. Her economic approach includes cutting federal spending, reducing regulatory burdens on small businesses, and advancing occupational licensing reform.

  • Pledges to work with Donald Trump to advance full tax exemptions on tips and overtime pay.
  • Promises to hold federal agencies accountable for taxpayer spending to curb inflation.
  • Sponsored state legislation reforming occupational licensing rules and state unemployment processing.
  • Identifies affordable housing shortages and regulatory delays as major hurdles for Nevada families.

“work to protect parents' rights, secure the border, fully fund our police, ensure tips are never taxed, and work with the President to hold Washington accountable for every taxpayer dollar.”

“No Tax on Tips and Overtime made one thing clear: we can do better. When I get to Congress, I’ll work with President Trump to advance policies that reward hard work, not punish it. Nevada families deserve that.”

02

Border Security and Voter Eligibility

medium salience

Buck advocates for strict border security enforcement and voter ID laws, while Titus voted against federal legislation requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register for federal elections.

Democratic Dina Titus

Opposes federal citizenship proof requirements

Titus opposes federal measures that add new citizenship proof requirements to voter registration processes. In the 119th Congress, she voted against legislation requiring voters to submit documentary proof of U.S. citizenship to register for federal elections.

  • Voted Nay on H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal election registration.

Republican Carrie Buck

Supports securing border and voter ID

Buck supports federal border enforcement as a core national security goal. She also supports state voter ID initiatives and strict election integrity requirements.

  • Campaign website lists border security as a core federal priority.
  • Endorses voter ID requirements for elections to ensure voting integrity.

“work to protect parents' rights, secure the border, fully fund our police, ensure tips are never taxed, and work with the President to hold Washington accountable for every taxpayer dollar.”

03

Reproductive Rights and Healthcare Access

medium salience

Titus actively campaigns on constitutional abortion protections and healthcare expansion, while Buck's platform references general improvements to healthcare access.

Democratic Dina Titus

Supports constitutional abortion rights and expanded healthcare

Titus supports expanding federal healthcare access and defending reproductive freedom. She endorsed Nevada's 2024 constitutional amendment establishing a right to abortion and maintains endorsements from major pro-choice advocacy groups.

  • Endorsed Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion Initiative 2024).
  • Endorsed by EMILY's List.
  • Advocates for expanding affordable healthcare access for working families.

Republican Carrie Buck

Supports general healthcare access expansion

Buck included increasing access to healthcare among her foundational campaign themes during her Nevada legislative campaigns.

  • Listed increasing healthcare access as a key goal in campaign materials.
04

Education and Parental Rights

medium salience

Buck actively campaigns on expanding school choice vouchers and establishing statutory parental rights over school curricula, while Titus does not present a detailed education policy platform in the provided sources.

Democratic Dina Titus No documented position in our sources

Republican Carrie Buck

Supports parental rights and school choice

Buck, a long-time educator and former principal, makes parental rights and educational choice central to her platform. She advocates for expanding Opportunity Scholarships for low-income families, providing parents direct access to school curricula, and establishing state receivership for persistently failing public schools.

  • Advocates expanding funding for Opportunity Scholarships to assist underprivileged students in attending choice schools.
  • Introduced legislation allowing state receivership for Nevada's lowest-performing schools.
  • Champions statutory parental access to curriculum and decision-making authority in public education.

“I believe in education transparency and parental rights. That means curriculum access, clear communication, and a seat at the table for every family. Nevada’s kids belong to their parents, not the government.”

“I believe firmly in exanded funding of Opportunity Scholarships which would allow more underprivileged families to send their children to schools that are the best fit for them.”

05

Social Security

medium salience

Titus explicitly pledges to prevent the privatization of Social Security to preserve guaranteed benefits, whereas Buck's documented platform does not include a position on Social Security.

Democratic Dina Titus

Opposes Social Security privatization

Titus strongly opposes privatizing Social Security, framing it as an earned entitlement that guarantees retirement security. She argues that replacing guaranteed federal benefits with private market investments exposes seniors to severe financial volatility during economic downturns.

  • Opposes any proposals or legislation that introduce private investment mechanisms into Social Security.
  • Pledges to protect Social Security as a guaranteed federal safety net.

“Social security is a guaranteed safety net that you've earned. [...] But if you rely on private companies, they can go up, they can go down, and in good times, you might have a good retirement, and in bad times, you might be left with nothing.”

Republican Carrie Buck No documented position in our sources
06

Public Safety and Law Enforcement

medium salience

Buck emphasizes fully funding law enforcement and increasing criminal penalties for drug and human trafficking, whereas Titus has no specific public safety proposals documented in the provided source materials.

Democratic Dina Titus No documented position in our sources

Republican Carrie Buck

Supports fully funding police and anti-trafficking

Buck places public safety at the forefront of her policy platform, committing to fully fund law enforcement and crack down on crime. In the Nevada Senate, she sponsored legislation targeting human trafficking and fentanyl distribution, while promoting specialized victim training for first responders.

  • Pledges to fully fund police departments and defend law enforcement officers in federal policy.
  • Sponsored state legislation raising penalties for human traffickers and fentanyl dealers.
  • Pushed for mandatory victim interaction and human trafficking intervention training for EMS personnel.

“My husband served as a deputy police chief, and I saw what happens when politicians turn their backs on the men and women who wear the badge. In Congress, I’ll fight to fully fund our police, crack down on crime, and back the blue without apology, because Nevada families deserve safe homes, safe schools, and safe streets.”

Prediction markets 2

updated Oct 31

Polymarket ↗

NV-01 House Election Winner

95.9% Democrats
4.5% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31DEMOCRATS 95.9REPUBLICANS 4.5

Kalshi ↗

NV-01 House winner?

95.4% Dina Titus
6.0% Carrie Buck
255075100AUG 4AUG 27SEP 19OCT 12OCT 31TITUS 95.4BUCK 6.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.