Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · New Jersey Safe D

New Jersey — 11th District

Portrait of Analilia Mejia

Democrat

Analilia Mejia

Incumbent

Incumbent Democrat Analilia Mejia faces Republican nominee Joe Hathaway in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026. Mejia took office in April 2026 after winning a special election to replace Mikie Sherrill, who resigned upon being elected governor. The race contrasts Mejia's progressive platform—centered on Medicare for All, wealth taxes, student loan cancellation, and public housing—against Hathaway's conservative approach focused on tax relief for first-time homebuyers, price transparency, capping student loan interest, and spending discipline. Major election handicappers (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, DDHQ/The Hill) rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
95.5%
Republicans
5.5%
Kalshi ↗
Analilia Mejia
94.1%
Joe Hathaway
0.2%

All markets →

01

Housing & Homeownership

high salience

Mejia seeks to construct 8.5 million public housing units and ban private equity home purchases, while Hathaway proposes federal tax freezes and refundable credits specifically for first-time homebuyers.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports public housing expansion and private equity bans

Mejia treats housing as a public right threatened by private equity firms buying residential properties. She proposes building millions of public housing units and enacting federal bans on corporate home purchases.

  • Champion the Homes for All Act to construct 8.5 million public housing units over 10 years
  • Pass a federal ban prohibiting hedge funds and private equity firms from buying homes
  • Prevent corporate commodity trading from driving up housing costs and rents

“I’ll pass a ban on hedge funds and private equity from buying homes — because corporations are not people.”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports tax freezes and credits for first-time buyers

Hathaway focuses on reducing tax burdens to make homeownership attainable for first-time buyers. His plan includes federal tax freezes during early years of ownership, refundable tax credits, and federal incentives for local property tax relief.

  • Enact a Federal First-Time Homebuyer Tax Freeze during the first years of homeownership
  • Establish a refundable federal tax credit to offset upfront closing fees and inspection costs
  • Provide federal incentives to encourage local municipalities to freeze or lower property taxes for first-time buyers

“I will fight to eliminate and cut the tax burden on first-time homebuyers so buying a home is a steppingstone, not a financial trap.”

02

Higher Education & Student Debt

high salience

Mejia calls for canceling all student loan debt and granting free public college tuition, whereas Hathaway opposes debt cancellation in favor of capping loan interest rates and investing in vocational training.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports tuition-free college and complete student debt cancellation

Mejia supports eliminating higher education costs and canceling all student loan debt. Grounded in her own experience with Pell Grants and EOF at Rutgers, she advocates tuition-free community colleges, trade schools, and public four-year universities.

  • Make tuition free at community colleges and trade schools for all students
  • Provide free tuition at four-year public colleges for working- and middle-class families
  • Cancel all existing student loan debt

“I’ll fight to make college tuition free at community colleges and trade schools for everyone, and at four-year schools for working- and middle-class families — and we’re going to cancel all student loan debt.”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports capping student loan interest and expanding vocational training

Hathaway opposes blanket debt forgiveness, proposing instead to cap student loan interest rates to prevent growing balances. He advocates for expanded federal investments in vocational schools, trade apprenticeships, and technical education.

  • Cap federal student loan interest rates while opposing mass debt forgiveness
  • Expand federal investments in vocational schools, technical programs, and employer apprenticeships
  • Elevate career and technical trade education to equal status with traditional four-year degrees

“I support capping federal student loan interest rates, so students and families aren’t punished by compounding interest long after they’ve paid back the original cost of their education.”

03

Taxes & Economic Policy

high salience

Mejia advocates for taxing fortunes over $50 million and making initial wages tax-free, while Hathaway focuses on curbing federal spending, cutting small business red tape, and enforcing pay-as-you-go rules.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports wealth taxes and higher corporate rates

Mejia proposes raising taxes on wealthy individuals and corporations while shielding lower-wage workers. She supports making the first $40,000 in wages tax-free, raising the national minimum wage to $25/hour, and enacting wealth taxes on fortunes over $50 million.

  • Make the first $40,000 in earned wages federal tax-free and raise national minimum wage to $25/hour
  • Support Elizabeth Warren's Ultra-Millionaires Tax (> $50M) and a 25% minimum tax on billionaires including unrealized gains
  • Tax investment income at the same rate as earned wages and eliminate offshore corporate tax loopholes
  • Break up corporate monopolies and block anti-competitive corporate mergers

“If you work 40 hours a week, you should make at least $40,000 a year, and you shouldn’t pay a dime in federal taxes on that first $40,000.”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports spending controls, small business tax relief, and fiscal discipline

Hathaway blames federal overspending for inflation and advocates for fiscal restraint. He favors reducing regulatory red tape for small businesses, targeted tax relief for local job creators, and enforcing pay-as-you-go budgeting rules.

  • Oppose inflationary spending and enforce pay-as-you-go rules for new federal initiatives
  • Streamline licensing, permitting, and tax reporting to cut red tape for small businesses
  • Provide targeted tax credits and Opportunity Tax Credits for local businesses hiring residents
  • Protect Social Security and Medicare for current retirees by rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse

“Washington’s record of out-of-control spending has driven inflation, piled on debt, and put our next generation at risk.”

04

Childcare & Family Support

high salience

Mejia supports direct federal caps on childcare expenses funded by corporate wealth taxes, whereas Hathaway advocates expanding the Child Tax Credit and dedicated family tax breaks.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports federally funded child care and guaranteed paid sick days

Mejia advocates capping childcare expenses for working families funded by taxes on corporations and wealth. She also supports making paid sick leave a federal requirement for all workers.

  • Re-introduce the Child Care for Every Community Act to cap costs at $10/day or 7% of family income
  • Guarantee national paid sick leave by federal law for every worker
  • Fund universal childcare through fair taxation of billionaires and corporations

“In Congress, I’ll fairly tax billionaires and corporations — and we’ll use the money to pay for child care for every American.”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports expanding the Child Tax Credit and online child protections

Hathaway supports tax relief for parents through an expanded Child Tax Credit and childcare tax credits. He also prioritizes child mental health by establishing federal guardrails on social media algorithms and AI targeting.

  • Expand the Child Tax Credit outlined in the Working Families Tax Cut Act
  • Introduce and expand a dedicated childcare tax credit for working parents
  • Establish federal guardrails on social media and AI algorithms to protect children online

“In Washington, I will fight to expand the Child Tax Credit to a larger amount.”

05

Infrastructure & Transportation

high salience

Both candidates prioritize fully funding the Gateway Tunnel, but Mejia focuses on direct NJ Transit funding increases while Hathaway emphasizes One Seat Ride options and highway corridor repairs.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports Gateway Tunnel funding and NJ Transit expansion

Mejia focuses on boosting federal rail and transit investments across North Jersey. She commits to restoring frozen Gateway Tunnel funding and securing increased federal grants for NJ Transit.

  • Restore federal funding for the Gateway Tunnel project
  • Secure increased federal funding for NJ Transit to expand rail capacity and reduce delays

“I’ll fight to restore funding for the Gateway Tunnel that Trump illegally froze, and I’ll fight for more federal dollars for NJ Transit”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports fully funding Gateway, One Seat Ride expansion, and highway repair

Hathaway prioritizes regional transportation infrastructure through fully funded rail projects and road repair. He advocates completing the Gateway Tunnel, expanding One Seat Ride transit to NYC, and fixing key corridors like I-80 in Morris County.

  • Ensure the Gateway Tunnel is fully funded while preventing cost overruns and construction delays
  • Expand direct One Seat Ride rail options to and from New York City
  • Secure federal infrastructure investments to repair major highways, including sections of I-80 built over abandoned mines

“The Gateway Tunnel is the single most important infrastructure project in the Northeast. It is essential not just for New Jersey, but for the entire national economy.”

06

Energy & Climate

medium salience

Mejia advocates for clean energy investments and a moratorium on AI data centers, whereas Hathaway supports an all-of-the-above policy expanding oil and gas while opposing offshore wind turbines.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports clean energy investment and AI data center moratorium

Mejia promotes clean energy development while holding technology companies accountable for energy usage. She supports a moratorium on new AI data centers until tech firms cover their energy consumption costs.

  • Co-sponsor Bernie Sanders' moratorium on new AI data centers
  • Require Big Tech companies to pay for the energy used by massive AI data infrastructure
  • Invest in clean energy expansion to lower utility bills and reduce emissions

“I’ll co-sponsor Bernie’s moratorium on new AI data centers, and make sure they pay for the energy they use.”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports all-of-the-above energy independence and opposes offshore wind

Hathaway supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy incorporating nuclear, natural gas, solar, and onshore wind to lower costs. He opposes offshore wind turbines off the Jersey Shore and advocates expanding domestic oil and gas reserves.

  • Support a balanced energy mix including nuclear, natural gas, solar, and land-based wind
  • Oppose offshore wind projects and billion-dollar contracts for foreign offshore wind companies
  • Expand domestic oil and natural gas production to restore American energy independence

“I support a balanced, all-of-the-above energy policy that includes nuclear, natural gas, solar, and land-based wind.”

07

Government Reform, Ethics & Democracy

medium salience

Mejia advocates for constitutional campaign finance amendments and Supreme Court term limits, while Hathaway emphasizes cutting federal agency redundancy and curbing government spending growth.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports campaign finance limits, Supreme Court reform, and stock bans

Mejia champions structural democratic reforms to limit corporate money in politics and enforce judicial ethics. She supports overturning Citizens United, banning congressional stock trading, and establishing Supreme Court ethics standards.

  • Support a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United and establish publicly financed elections
  • Ban stock trading by federal officials and prohibit post-office lobbying by elected officials
  • Support articles of impeachment against Justices Thomas and Alito, Supreme Court term limits, and binding ethics rules
  • Bar insurrectionists from holding public office under the 14th Amendment

“I support a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United to ban billionaires from buying elections, as well as publicly financed elections to limit the influence of big money in politics.”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports cutting government redundancy and bureaucratic oversight

Hathaway focuses on streamlining federal agencies and reducing bureaucratic expansion. He emphasizes bringing practical, municipal executive experience to eliminate government redundancy and resist special interest influence.

  • Reduce federal regulatory burdens and eliminate redundant agency paperwork
  • Bring a parent and local leader perspective to Congress to resist growing government dependency
  • Demand independent program audits and fiscal accountability for taxpayer spending

“Career politicians in Washington have spent too long catering to special interests. And most times, they are focused on making government bigger.”

08

Public Safety, Border Security & Foreign Policy

medium salience

Mejia calls for abolishing ICE and protecting due process rights, whereas Hathaway supports funding law enforcement, securing the border, and supporting allies like Israel and Ukraine.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports abolishing ICE and protecting 14th Amendment rights

Mejia takes a progressive approach to civil rights and immigration enforcement. She advocates for abolishing ICE and ensuring 14th Amendment due process and equal protection rights across all communities.

  • Abolish Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)
  • Guarantee 14th Amendment due process and equal protection rights
  • Pass federal non-discrimination protections and preserve bodily autonomy

“It’s Time to Abolish ICE”

Republican Joe Hathaway

Supports law enforcement funding, border enforcement, and foreign allies

Hathaway supports traditional law enforcement funding, border security, and strong foreign policy leadership. He advocates increasing Border Patrol resources to stop fentanyl trafficking and backing allies like Israel and Ukraine.

  • Secure funding for police training, equipment, and technology alongside expanded Border Patrol presence
  • Combat international trafficking networks at the source to prevent fentanyl from reaching communities
  • Stand firmly with foreign allies Israel and Ukraine while holding China and Russia accountable

“I will fully support law enforcement at the local, state, and federal levels to keep our communities safe.”

09

Healthcare

high salience

Mejia advocates replacing private insurance with universal Medicare for All, whereas Hathaway opposes government-run healthcare in favor of price transparency, PBM reform, and expanded Health Savings Accounts.

Democratic Analilia Mejia

Supports Medicare for All

Mejia advocates for a single-payer Medicare for All system that provides universal healthcare coverage regardless of employment status. She opposes recent cuts to healthcare subsidies and calls for comprehensive coverage with zero out-of-pocket costs.

  • Establish universal coverage under Medicare for All regardless of employment status
  • Eliminate all out-of-pocket medical costs for patients
  • Provide comprehensive coverage including hospital, preventive, mental health, dental, vision, maternity, and long-term care

“We need Medicare for All, now — no exceptions”

Republican Joe Hathaway No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 2

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

NJ-11 House Election Winner

95.5% Democrats
5.5% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 95.5REPUBLICANS 5.5

Kalshi ↗

NJ-11 House winner?

94.1% Analilia Mejia
0.2% Joe Hathaway
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16MEJIA 94.1HATHAWAY 0.2

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.