Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · New Jersey Likely

New Jersey — 3rd District

Portrait of Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Democratic

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Incumbent

Portrait of Michael McGuire

Republican

Michael McGuire

Incumbent Democratic Representative Herbert C. Conaway Jr. faces Republican challenger Michael McGuire in the 2026 general election for New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District. The matchup hinges on economic affordability, healthcare and prescription drug costs, reproductive rights, and government accountability. Major race rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball) or Likely Democratic (DDHQ/The Hill).

01

Cost of living and economy

high salience

Conaway advocates for targeted tax credits and corporate price controls to support middle-class families, whereas McGuire emphasizes reducing inflation by cutting federal spending, taxes, and business regulations.

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Supports middle-class tax relief and corporate price regulation

Conaway focuses on lessening the tax burden on middle-class families by expanding the Child Tax Credit and SALT deduction while curbing corporate price gouging. In the state legislature, he supported economic recovery relief for small businesses and property tax credit programs.

  • Advocates expanding the Child Tax Credit and the state and local tax (SALT) deduction.
  • Supports the Shrinkflation Reduction Act of 2024 to prohibit corporate size reductions without price cuts.
  • Supported the NJ Economic Recovery Act of 2020 and Stay NJ property tax credit program.

“In Congress, I have continued my fight for middle-class families and their financial security because they need all the help that they can get.”

“This is why I support the “Shrinkflation Reduction Act of 2024”, which would prohibit corporations from deceptively decreasing the sizes of their products without lowering the price commensurately.”

Michael McGuire

Advocates cutting government spending and tax reduction

McGuire frames New Jersey as ground zero for an affordability crisis caused by high taxes and excessive government spending. He proposes lowering taxes, reducing regulation, and cutting wasteful federal spending to curb inflation.

  • Prioritizes cutting wasteful and ineffective federal spending to reduce inflation.
  • Advocates lowering taxes and reducing regulation to relieve working families.
  • Focuses on supporting small business growth and restoring economic security.

“New Jersey, with the highest tax burden per person, is ground zero of the affordability crisis.”

“My top priority is restoring affordability and economic security for working families. That starts with cutting wasteful and ineffective government spending that fuels inflation and drives up costs for everyone.”

02

Healthcare and prescription drug costs

high salience

Conaway champions federal legislative caps on prescription drug co-pays and state-run health insurance exchanges, while McGuire calls for general market relief to lower costs without specifying legislative mandates.

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Supports drug price caps and expanded coverage

Drawing on his medical background, Conaway advocates taking New Jersey's co-pay caps on insulin and asthma inhalers to the federal level. He established New Jersey's health insurance marketplace and championed pharmaceutical industry transparency.

  • Supports federal co-pay caps for 30-day supplies of insulin, epinephrine, and asthma inhalers.
  • Established New Jersey's state health insurance marketplace, Get Covered.
  • Led state initiatives to increase pharmaceutical industry transparency regarding drug access and controlled substances.

“As a doctor, I find it outrageous that the prices of prescription drugs in the United States are exponentially higher than they are anywhere else in the world.”

“Because these issues are so dear to my heart, I will support efforts that take New Jersey’s life-saving drug cost caps to the national level.”

Michael McGuire

Supports lowering healthcare costs for families

McGuire identifies lowering healthcare costs as a main public policy priority so working families can retain more of their earnings.

  • Advocates policy solutions to lower healthcare costs for everyday families.
  • Emphasizes placing consumer interests above special interests in healthcare policymaking.

“lowering healthcare costs so families can keep more of what they earn and invest in their communit”

03

Reproductive rights and abortion

high salience

Conaway advocates codifying Roe v. Wade and statutory contraception rights into federal law, whereas McGuire has aligned with anti-abortion groups by securing the New Jersey Right to Life PAC endorsement.

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Supports codifying federal abortion rights

As a physician, Conaway supports codifying Roe v. Wade in federal law and protecting access to contraception nationwide. In the NJ Assembly, he co-sponsored measures protecting patient privacy and out-of-state access to reproductive services.

  • Pledges to codify Roe v. Wade into national law.
  • Supports the Right to Contraception Act to protect statutory access to birth control.
  • Co-sponsored NJ Assembly bill A3975 protecting out-of-state patients seeking abortion services.

“It is of the utmost importance that we codify Roe v. Wade into national law so that we can protect the women of this country and their right to choose.”

“He knows that the government has no place in the exam room.”

Michael McGuire

Endorsed by anti-abortion political committee

McGuire earned the endorsement of the New Jersey Right to Life PAC in his 2026 congressional run and lists constitutional rights protection among his core policy priorities.

  • Endorsed by the New Jersey Right to Life PAC for the NJ-03 race.
  • Emphasizes protecting constitutional rights as part of his core values.

“MICHAEL MCGUIRE RECEIVES ENDORSEMENT BY NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE PAC FOR NJ-03”

04

Military and veterans affairs

medium salience

Conaway emphasizes expansion of VA healthcare locations in New Jersey and state contracting preferences, while McGuire stresses military modernization and structural overhaul of the VA.

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Supports expanding VA services and veteran business opportunities

A former Air Force Captain, Conaway serves on the House Veterans' Affairs Committee and focuses on expanding healthcare access for veterans. In state government, he sponsored legislation aiding veteran-owned business access to government contracts.

  • Serves on the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs.
  • Advocates locating additional VA healthcare facilities in New Jersey.
  • Sponsored state legislation granting veteran-owned businesses enhanced access to state contracts.

“He has long advocated for the VA to locate additional healthcare services in New Jersey and sponsored numerous bills to improve veterans' healthcare.”

Michael McGuire

Advocates military readiness and VA system reform

As a Marine Corps veteran and Navy Reservist, McGuire emphasizes military readiness, equipment modernization, and thorough training. He advocates for VA reforms to deliver quality healthcare and mental health services to veterans.

  • Prioritizes funding military readiness, rigorous training, and equipment modernization.
  • Calls for repairing broken systems within the Department of Veterans Affairs.
  • Focuses on delivering accessible healthcare and mental health services to veterans and military families.

“A strong military equals a strong nation.”

“Honoring our commitment to service members means delivering high-quality, accessible healthcare, including mental health services, for veterans and their families. It means fixing broken systems at the VA.”

05

Voting rights and democracy

medium salience

Conaway focuses democracy reform on expanding voting protections and establishing an Election Day holiday, whereas McGuire centers his reform agenda on imposing congressional term limits.

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Supports federal voting rights legislation and Election Day holiday

Conaway supports the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, establishing Election Day as a federal holiday, and researching blockchain technology to secure election data. In the 119th Congress, he voted against the SAVE Act.

  • Supports passage of the John Lewis Voting Rights Act to restore sections of the Voting Rights Act.
  • Voted NAY on the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) regarding voter proof-of-citizenship requirements.
  • Advocates making Election Day a federal holiday and exploring blockchain technology for elections.

“No other bill would strengthen these rights more than the John Lewis Voting Rights Act introduced by Rep. Terri Sewell.”

Michael McGuire

Supports term limits for members of Congress

McGuire champions term limits for Members of Congress to end career politics, rebuild public trust, and restore accountability between citizens and elected officials.

  • Proposes federal term limits for Members of Congress.
  • Focuses on eliminating careerism in elected office to restore government accountability.

“Term limits are about restoring accountability and rebuilding trust between citizens and their government.”

06

Immigration and border security

medium salience

Conaway opposed mandatory DHS detention under the Laken Riley Act while supporting DUI-based deportation measures, whereas McGuire emphasizes strict enforcement of existing immigration laws.

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Voted against certain strict federal immigration measures

In the 119th Congress, Conaway voted against the Laken Riley Act requiring DHS detention for individuals arrested for theft offenses. However, he voted in favor of legislation making DUI offenses grounds for deportation or inadmissibility.

  • Voted NAY on the Laken Riley Act (S.5).
  • Voted YEA on the Protect Our Communities from DUIs Act of 2025 (H.R.875).

“Nay”

Michael McGuire

Supports strengthening border security through existing law enforcement

McGuire advocates strengthening border security by enforcing existing immigration laws and maintaining consistent rule-of-law enforcement.

  • Calls for strengthening border security through enforcement of existing immigration statutes.
  • Emphasizes fair and consistent enforcement of the rule of law.

“strengthening border security through enforcement of existing laws”

07

Public safety and criminal justice

medium salience

Conaway frames public safety around consumer regulations and youth mental health protections, while McGuire highlights his law enforcement background to support police officers and strict law enforcement.

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Focused on youth safety and health protection measures

Conaway's public safety record centers on consumer and child protections, including raising the smoking age to 21, banning flavored tobacco, requiring school mental health screenings, and regulating social media risks for children.

  • Raised the smoking age to 21 and eliminated flavored tobacco products.
  • Enacted age-appropriate mental health screenings in schools and youth safety laws.
  • Leads legislative efforts regarding the harms of social media use on children.

“Herb raised the smoking age to 21 and eliminated flavors from numerous tobacco products to protect our children from a life-long addiction to nicotine.”

Michael McGuire

Supports law enforcement, first responders, and public safety

Drawing on his experience as a former law enforcement officer, McGuire emphasizes supporting first responders, enhancing public safety, and upholding the rule of law.

  • Prioritizes enhancing public safety so families feel secure in their communities.
  • Supports law enforcement officers, military personnel, and first responders.
  • Advocates enforcing the rule of law consistently.

“As a veteran and former law enforcement officer, I am deeply committed to public safety, supporting our military, veterans, and first responders, and ensuring the rule of law is enforced fairly and consistently.”

08

Environment and climate policy

medium salience

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Supports clean energy incentives and environmental preservation

Conaway supports sustainable environmental research and legislation expanding electric vehicle charging infrastructure. In the state assembly, he introduced zero-emission equipment tax credit bills and backed Paris Climate Accord standards.

  • Supports federal legislation expanding access to electric vehicle charging infrastructure.
  • Introduced state legislation providing income tax credits for zero-emission lawn equipment.
  • Led state initiatives screening for persistent chemicals in groundwater.

“On the national level, I continue to endorse policies aimed at making us more environmentally secure. This includes funding research aimed at maintaining sustainable environmental practices and supporting legislation to expand access to electric vehicle charging infrastructure in our district.”

Michael McGuire No documented position in our sources
09

Transgender sports policy

low salience

Herbert C. Conaway Jr.

Opposes federal prohibition of transgender women in female sports

In the 119th Congress, Conaway voted against the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025 (H.R. 28), which sought to bar male-sex individuals from competing in female sports programs.

  • Voted NAY on the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025 (H.R. 28).

“Nay”

Michael McGuire No documented position in our sources