Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · New Hampshire Lean D

New Hampshire — 1st District

Portrait of Stefany Shaheen

Democrat

Stefany Shaheen

Portrait of Anthony DiLorenzo

Republican

Anthony DiLorenzo

In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, open following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas's decision to run for U.S. Senate, Democratic nominee Stefany Shaheen faces Republican nominee Anthony DiLorenzo in the November 2026 general election. Shaheen, a healthcare advocate and former Portsmouth city councilor, advanced from a competitive Democratic primary, while business owner DiLorenzo won the Republican primary with Donald Trump's endorsement. Major political forecasters rate the general election as Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, though Republicans view the seat as competitive after Donald Trump lost the district by only two percentage points in 2024. The race hinges on healthcare reform, economic inflation and tariffs, housing affordability, border security, and federal abortion policy.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
89.4%
Republicans
11.5%
Kalshi ↗
Stefany Shaheen
92.9%
Anthony DiLorenzo
6.9%
Kalshi ↗
Anthony DiLorenzo
99.0%
Melissa Bailey
1.0%
Brian Cole
1.0%
Hollie Noveletsky
1.0%

All markets →

01

Healthcare

high salience

Shaheen advocates for systemic healthcare reform including Medicare for All and expanded medical research, while DiLorenzo emphasizes making healthcare affordable, supporting Medicare, and tackling the opioid crisis.

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Supports Medicare for All and cost controls

Shaheen advocates for comprehensive healthcare reform, supporting Medicare for All and a public option to curb corporate monopolies. She calls for capping prescription drug prices, expanding Medicare to cover vision, hearing, and dental care, prohibiting AI from making coverage decisions, and doubling federal investment in medical research.

  • Support Medicare for All and a public option.
  • Stop drug companies from charging Americans more than Canadians for prescription medications.
  • Expand Medicare coverage to dental, vision, and hearing care.
  • Prohibit AI algorithms from making coverage denial decisions for Medicare patients.
  • Double federal investment in medical research at the NIH, FDA, and CDC.

“I’m with Bernie Sanders and support Medicare for All. We need a public option in this country, which means keeping every option to on the table to deliver necessary change.”

“When I see Donald Trump crushing medical research, and Republicans in Congress slashing Medicaid, and health care for kids, seniors, and veterans – all to give big tax breaks to billionaires and corporations — I know it’s not enough to just get mad.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo

Supports Medicare and lower healthcare costs

DiLorenzo pledges to protect Social Security and Medicare for citizens while seeking to make healthcare more affordable and accessible. He also calls for addressing the opioid crisis on all fronts.

  • Fully support Social Security and Medicare for citizens.
  • Make healthcare more affordable and increase access.
  • Attack the opioid crisis on all fronts.

“Make healthcare more affordable and increase access.”

“Fully support Social Security and Medicare for our citizens.”

02

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

Shaheen opposes federal tariffs as illegal price increases on consumers and small businesses, while DiLorenzo focuses on wage growth, cost reduction, and cryptocurrency regulation.

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Opposes tariffs and corporate price gouging

Shaheen argues that federal tariffs are illegal and drive up inflation for Granite State consumers and small businesses. She pledges to roll back tariffs and secure refunds for local small businesses impacted by import costs.

  • Roll back and refund illegal tariffs affecting New Hampshire small businesses.
  • Hold corporate monopolies accountable for inflating consumer prices.
  • Provide financial relief to small businesses and consumers affected by trade disruptions.

“The Supreme Court said clearly: Trump’s tariffs are illegal. Worse, they’re increasing the price of everything, straining family budgets already stretched thin, crushing small businesses, alienating our allies, and disrupting tourism and trade.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo

Supports wage growth and cost reduction

DiLorenzo places economic relief at the top of his campaign agenda, aiming to reduce costs, increase wages, and improve quality of life. He also supports establishing clear, common-sense regulatory practices for digital asset markets.

  • Reduce consumer costs and support wage growth.
  • Bring clarity and common-sense regulations to digital asset markets.

“Reduce costs, increase wages, and improve quality of life.”

“Promote policies that bring clarity and common-sense practices to digital asset markets.”

03

Immigration and Border Security

high salience

Shaheen focuses on reforming ICE accountability and banning masked raids, while DiLorenzo emphasizes securing both northern and southern borders and passing immigration reform.

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Supports ICE reform and accountability

Shaheen calls for a comprehensive overhaul of ICE, requiring agents to wear body cameras, banning masks, and ending warrantless searches. She opposes ICE raids in schools, churches, and hospitals, and promises to block ICE detention warehouses in New Hampshire.

  • Mandate body cameras and ban masks for ICE agents.
  • End warrantless searches and raids in schools, churches, and hospitals.
  • Prevent ICE warehouses from being established in New Hampshire.
  • Prosecute individuals who commit crimes against Americans.

“ICE must be completely overhauled. Agents must adhere to the same basic standards we demand from our local police departments here in New Hampshire.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo

Supports strict border security and immigration reform

DiLorenzo supports securing both the southern and northern U.S. borders against illegal crossings, drug smuggling, and human trafficking. He also supports passing common-sense immigration reform.

  • Secure southern and northern borders against illegal crossings, human trafficking, and drug smuggling.
  • Pass common-sense immigration reform.

“Secure the southern AND northern borders from illegal crossings, drug smuggling, and human trafficking.”

“Pass common sense immigration reform.”

04

Abortion and Reproductive Rights

high salience

Shaheen advocates for federal protection of abortion rights based on her personal medical history, while DiLorenzo opposes federal abortion legislation and supports respecting New Hampshire state laws.

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Supports federal abortion rights protections

Shaheen strongly defends abortion access, drawing on her personal experience receiving a D&C procedure following a severe miscarriage. She promises to tirelessly oppose federal abortion restrictions and restore national reproductive rights.

  • Protect federal abortion access and reproductive freedom.
  • Oppose federal abortion bans and restrictions on reproductive healthcare.

“You can know from my experience, exactly where I stand on abortion access and reproductive rights. I will always and tirelessly fight for both.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo

Opposes federal abortion laws, respects state law

DiLorenzo opposes federal abortion legislation and states that federal policy should respect New Hampshire's state laws regarding abortion.

  • Oppose federal abortion legislation.
  • Respect New Hampshire's existing state abortion laws.

“Oppose federal abortion legislation and respect New Hampshire's laws.”

05

Government Ethics and Democracy

high salience

Shaheen proposes extensive ethics reforms including stock trading bans, dark money disclosure, and lobbying limits, while DiLorenzo advocates for securing elections and balancing the federal budget.

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Supports anti-corruption and campaign finance reform

Shaheen proposes sweeping government ethics measures, including overturning Citizens United, banning stock trading by members of Congress and SCOTUS justices, enacting lifetime lobbying bans for former top federal officials, and creating criminal penalties for presidential profiteering.

  • Overturn Citizens United and eliminate dark money in elections.
  • Ban stock trading for members of Congress, Supreme Court justices, and senior executive officials.
  • Establish a lifetime ban on lobbying for former presidents, members of Congress, and cabinet secretaries.
  • Instate criminal penalties for presidential profiteering and empower an independent Office of Government Ethics.

“Donald Trump and his family are lining their own pockets to the tune of $4 billion through gifts from foreign governments, meme coin and investment scams, selling pardons, sweetheart contracts and more.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo

Supports secure elections and fiscal discipline

DiLorenzo emphasizes election integrity, calling for policies to ensure safe and secure elections. He also advocates for fiscal discipline through a constitutional Balanced Budget Amendment.

  • Ensure federal and state elections are safe and secure.
  • Support a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.

“Ensure our elections are safe and secure.”

“Balance the federal budget by supporting a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.”

06

Taxes and Federal Budget

medium salience

Shaheen opposes tax cuts for corporations and Wall Street investors, while DiLorenzo supports extending the 2017 tax cuts and eliminating taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security.

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Opposes corporate and billionaire tax cuts

Shaheen criticizes tax policies that benefit corporations, hedge funds, and high earners at the expense of public programs. She calls for ending tax breaks for institutional investors purchasing residential real estate.

  • Eliminate tax breaks for Wall Street private equity firms purchasing single-family homes.
  • Oppose tax breaks for corporations and high earners that reduce funding for healthcare and veterans.

“Hedge funds and private equity firms can claim tax breaks when buying homes that aren’t available to the rest of us. The tax code is helping Wall Street buy up Main Street and turn the middle class into forever renters.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo

Supports tax cuts and balanced budget amendment

DiLorenzo supports extending the 2017 tax cuts and eliminating federal taxes on tips, overtime work, and Social Security benefits. He also pledges to support a constitutional Balanced Budget Amendment.

  • Protect the 2017 tax cuts.
  • Eliminate federal taxes on tips, overtime pay, and Social Security benefits.
  • Support a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.

“Protect the 2017 tax cuts and the elimination of taxes on tips, overtime, and social security.”

“Balance the federal budget by supporting a Balanced Budget Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.”

07

Energy and Environment

medium salience

Shaheen advocates for clean energy investments, grid modernization, and PFAS water cleanup, while DiLorenzo supports U.S. energy independence across all sources without federal subsidies.

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Supports clean energy and PFAS cleanup

Shaheen promotes expanding local clean energy production (solar, wind, hydro, biofuels), upgrading the electrical grid, retrofitting buildings, and holding polluters accountable for PFAS chemical contamination in drinking water.

  • Increase local renewable energy generation and upgrade the electric grid.
  • Support building retrofits to cut home energy costs.
  • Enforce strict PFAS water safety standards and hold corporate polluters accountable.

“Action is needed now to seriously tackle climate change, increase clean local energy production, and reduce energy costs.”

“I will hold the federal government and corporate polluters accountable for the damage they’re causing to our water and our health, and enact stronger safeguards to prevent PFAS chemicals from leaching into our drinking water.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo

Supports energy independence without subsidies

DiLorenzo supports achieving U.S. energy independence by utilizing all energy development options without relying on federal subsidies.

  • Ensure American energy independence utilizing all energy options.
  • Eliminate federal energy subsidies.

“Ensure America's energy independence by utilizing all options without subsidies.”

08

Housing Affordability

medium salience

Democratic Stefany Shaheen

Supports limits on corporate buyers and assistance

Shaheen proposes ending tax breaks for institutional investors buying single-family homes, expanding the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, cutting construction red tape, and utilizing surplus public land to expand affordable housing stock.

  • End tax deductions for hedge funds buying residential property.
  • Expand support for first-time and middle-class homebuyers.
  • Invest in vocational training for skilled trades to accelerate house building.
  • Convert surplus federal and public properties into housing.

“Ten years ago a first time home buyer was 31 years old. Today, they are 40 – almost a whole decade older. The American dream of owning your own home is slipping away for an entire generation of young people.”

Republican Anthony DiLorenzo No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

NH-01 House Election Winner

89.4% Democrats
11.5% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 89.4REPUBLICANS 11.5

Kalshi ↗

NH-01 House winner?

92.9% Stefany Shaheen
6.9% Anthony DiLorenzo
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16SHAHEEN 92.9PARTY 90.0PARTY 8.7DILORENZO 6.9

Kalshi ↗

NH-01 Republican nominee?

99.0% Anthony DiLorenzo
1.0% Melissa Bailey
1.0% Brian Cole

+1 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DILORENZO 99.0COLE 1.0NOVELETSKY 1.0BAILEY 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.