2026 Midterms · U.S. House · North Carolina Toss-up
North Carolina — 1st District
North Carolina's 1st Congressional District features Democratic incumbent Donald Davis facing Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout in a high-stakes 2026 battleground matchup. Mid-decade redistricting enacted in October 2025 significantly shifted the district's partisan makeup from D+0.3 to R+8, increasing its competitiveness for Republicans. The election hinges on economic affordability, border security, agricultural interests, and national defense in rural and coastal eastern North Carolina. Forecasters rate the general election as a Toss-up or Lean Republican.
The pulse
updated Sep 16Economy and Cost of Living
high salienceDavis focuses on federal assistance to lower household costs and raise wages, whereas Buckhout emphasizes tax cuts, spending rollbacks, and deregulation to spur growth.
Democratic Donald Davis
Supports targeted inflation relief and workforce investment
Davis prioritizes lowering day-to-day living expenses for eastern North Carolina families, including grocery, fuel, housing, and healthcare costs. He supports creating good-paying jobs, expanding workforce training, helping small businesses grow, and raising the minimum wage.
- Advocates lowering prescription drug prices and expanding access to affordable housing.
- Voted against the 2025 reconciliation bill (H.R. 1) and the Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023.
- Supports minimum wage increases and federal investment in rural job creation.
“Families across eastern North Carolina are feeling the pain of increased gas prices, higher grocery bills, and rising healthcare costs. Don Davis is working to make life more affordable, expand opportunity, and deliver real results for our coastal and rural communities.”
Republican Laurie Buckhout
Supports tax cuts and reduced government spending
Buckhout blames Democratic policies for inflation and high cost of living. She pledges to cut taxes, curb government spending, balance the federal budget, and cut regulations to spur private-sector job growth in rural communities.
- Signed the Americans for Tax Reform Taxpayer Protection Pledge.
- Proposes reducing federal spending to curb inflation and lower gas and grocery prices.
- Promotes bringing outsourced manufacturing jobs back to rural North Carolina.
“Laurie will fight to cut taxes so hardworking families can get ahead. Eastern North Carolina Families deserve a fighter who will work to pass policies that directly impact their pocketbooks and reduce their cost of living.”
Border Security and Immigration
high salienceDavis supports specific law-enforcement measures against undocumented immigrants charged with crimes, while Buckhout advocates building the border wall and reinstating 'Remain in Mexico'.
Democratic Donald Davis
Supports targeted border enforcement and law enforcement tools
Davis has voted for selective bipartisan enforcement bills in Congress, including measures to detain undocumented immigrants arrested for theft crimes or impaired driving, while opposing broader voting eligibility restrictions.
- Voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) to require detention of undocumented immigrants arrested for theft or burglary.
- Voted Yea on H.R. 875 to make driving while impaired grounds for deportation or inadmissibility.
- Voted Nay on the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) regarding documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration.
Republican Laurie Buckhout
Supports building border wall and strict immigration enforcement
Buckhout calls border enforcement a critical component of national security. She advocates completing the southern border wall, reinstating border policies from the Trump administration, and curbing illicit fentanyl entry.
- Supports building the southern border wall.
- Advocates reinstating the 'Remain in Mexico' policy.
- Calls for fully resourcing Border Patrol agents to stop drug trafficking.
“Laurie Buckhout is a STRONG advocate for securing our border by building the wall and reimplementing the “Remain in Mexico” policies of the Trump Administration.”
Military and National Defense
medium salienceDavis relies on his legislative work on the House Armed Services Committee, while Buckhout highlights her background as an Army combat commander to advocate for expanded military force.
Democratic Donald Davis
Supports military readiness and legislative oversight
As an Air Force veteran, Davis serves on the House Armed Services Committee, including the Readiness and Military Personnel subcommittees, focusing on funding defense operations and supporting military members.
- Serves on the House Armed Services Committee.
- Voted Yea on the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for Fiscal Year 2024.
Republican Laurie Buckhout
Supports expanding defense budget and military deterrence
A retired Army Colonel and combat commander, Buckhout emphasizes military strength to deter international adversaries like China, Russia, and Iran, and to protect foreign allies.
- Supports increasing defense investments to maintain military dominance.
- Advocates strong stance against threats from China, Russia, and Iran.
- Pledges explicit support for key foreign allies, including Israel.
“The United States must have the strength by all means necessary to protect us from countries like China, Iran, and Russia and to defend our allies like Israel.”
Veterans Affairs
medium salienceBoth military veterans prioritize reform, with Davis pointing to funding wins for PTSD/TBI treatment and legislative committee roles, and Buckhout making generalized commitments to veteran care.
Democratic Donald Davis
Supports expanding VA healthcare and benefit services
Davis draws on his military background to advocate for better VA healthcare, reduced benefit processing delays, and expanded support programs for military families and post-service transition.
- Secured $150,000 for PTSD and traumatic brain injury support during state legislative service.
- Focuses on reducing delays in VA benefit processing and military transition programs.
- Pledges to improve rural healthcare access for aging veterans.
“In Congress, he's fighting to improve veterans' healthcare, reduce delays in benefits, support military families, and strengthen VA services. He believes that honoring our veterans means more than words, it means keeping our promises to those who have served our great nation.”
Republican Laurie Buckhout
Supports reforming and guaranteeing veteran care
Buckhout commits to ensuring service members receive top-tier physical and mental healthcare after completing their service missions.
- Promises dedicated advocacy for combat veterans and post-service care.
- Pledges to reform administrative barriers in veteran healthcare systems.
“Laurie’s promise to fellow veterans does not end when they return home, she will not rest until our veterans receive the proper care they deserve.”
Agriculture and Rural Infrastructure
medium salienceDavis favors direct federal funding for rural infrastructure and broadband, whereas Buckhout prioritizes deregulation to support agricultural and seafood industries.
Democratic Donald Davis
Supports federal infrastructure funding and agricultural support
Davis serves on the House Agriculture Committee and focuses on securing federal funding for high-speed broadband, rural hospitals, and assistance for family farms facing climate impacts.
- Member of the House Committee on Agriculture.
- Secured funding to expand broadband internet and rural infrastructure in eastern North Carolina.
- Supports USDA resources to help farmers adapt to changing climate conditions.
“He's working to support rural hospitals, strengthen family farms, and expand reliable high-speed internet so families, students, and businesses can succeed in every corner of our region.”
Republican Laurie Buckhout
Supports deregulation for agriculture and seafood industries
Buckhout emphasizes her upbringing on a farm to advocate cutting federal regulations that affect multigenerational agricultural and seafood producers in eastern North Carolina.
- Advocates cutting burdensome federal regulations on farmers and commercial fishermen.
- Focuses on protecting local agricultural businesses from federal administrative oversight.
“She’s committed to cutting unnecessary regulations and ensuring these communities have the resources they need to thrive for generations to come.”
Technology and Artificial Intelligence
medium salienceDavis supports legislative regulatory guardrails for digital assets like stablecoins, while Buckhout calls for deregulation and domestic energy expansion to dominate AI and digital innovation.
Democratic Donald Davis
Supports bipartisan digital asset regulation
Davis supports establishing clear federal oversight for digital financial assets, voting in favor of regulatory frameworks for stablecoins.
- Voted Yea on the GENIUS Act (S. 1582) establishing a regulatory framework for payment stablecoins.
Republican Laurie Buckhout
Supports deregulation to advance U.S. leadership in AI and crypto
Drawing on her background in cyber policy and service in the Trump administration, Buckhout advocates slashing regulations to outpace China in artificial intelligence and digital assets while expanding domestic energy for tech.
- Promotes slashing tech regulations to ensure U.S. dominance over China in AI.
- Advocates unleashing domestic energy to power technological infrastructure.
- Supports pro-growth regulations for digital assets and cryptocurrency.
“We need to slash the regulations strangling American innovation and unleash American energy to power our tech sector. Under my watch, America will dominate AI, not China.”
Abortion and Reproductive Rights
medium salienceDavis advocates codifying Roe v. Wade at the federal level, whereas Buckhout campaigns on protecting the right to life.
Democratic Donald Davis
Supports codifying abortion rights federally
Davis supports protecting reproductive rights nationwide and codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law while addressing maternal health disparities.
- Advocates codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law.
- Pledges to protect women's constitutional healthcare decisions.
- Supports programs addressing maternal mortality disparities among minority women.
“Congress must take action to codify Roe v. Wade and protect women’s constitutional rights across the country. He knows that a woman’s health decisions should be between her and her doctor.”
Republican Laurie Buckhout
Opposes abortion and supports restrictions
Buckhout includes protecting the right to life as a core platform element within her conservative agenda.
- Explicitly listed 'Protect the right to life' as a platform pledge.
“Protect the right to life”
Gun Rights and Second Amendment
medium salienceRepublican Laurie Buckhout
Opposes gun control restrictions
Buckhout opposes new gun control legislation and red tape, citing her military background and support for hunting heritage.
- Opposes red tape and regulatory restrictions on law-abiding gun owners.
- Defends hunting rights and gun ownership under the Second Amendment.
“As a combat veteran, Laurie understands the vital importance of the right to keep and bear arms. She will stand strong against the extremists who mock our hunting heritage and would punish law-abiding gun owners with additional red tape.”
Education
low salienceDemocratic Donald Davis
Supports increased funding for public education and HBCUs
As an educator of over two decades, Davis supports expanding early childhood education, funding public schools, supporting HBCUs, and making vocational training and college affordable.
- Secured over $140 million for Elizabeth City State University during state legislative tenure.
- Advocates heavy investment in Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs).
- Supports expanding early childhood education and college affordability.
“In Congress, he's fighting to strengthen our schools, expand early childhood education, make college and workforce training more affordable, and invest in the next generation of North Carolina's leaders.”
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