Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Missouri Safe R

Missouri — 7th District

Portrait of Eric Burlison

Republican

Eric Burlison

Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison faces Democratic nominee Missi Hesketh in the general election for Missouri's 7th Congressional District on November 3, 2026. Burlison, who won his August 4 primary with 73.8% of the vote, is running on his record of cutting federal spending, defending Second Amendment rights, and enforcing border security. Hesketh, a teacher and former mayor of Forsyth, campaigns on government accountability, protecting public education, expanding healthcare access, codifying abortion rights, and agricultural reforms. Major race ratings—including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill—classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
94.5%
Democrats
5.5%
Kalshi ↗
Republicans
92.8%
Democrats
4.7%
Kalshi ↗
Eric Burlison
98.0%
Grayson Hunt
1.0%
John Casey
1.0%

All markets →

01

Government accountability and D.C. reform

high salience

Both candidates support congressional term limits and releasing the Epstein files, but Hesketh additionally champions stock trading and lobbying bans while accusing Burlison of prioritizing party loyalty over transparency.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports federal ethics reforms and transparency

Hesketh advocates for significant structural and ethics reforms in Washington, including congressional term limits, bans on stock trading and lifetime lobbying for members, and ending dark money. She also calls for auditing the Pentagon and fully releasing the Jeffrey Epstein investigative files.

  • Proposes banning congressional stock trading and imposing a lifetime lobbying ban on former members of Congress.
  • Supports congressional term limits and ending dark money by overturning Citizens United.
  • Calls for auditing the Pentagon and full release of the Jeffrey Epstein investigative files.

“Ban Congressional Stock Trading. Audit the Pentagon. Lifetime lobbying ban for members of Congress. Ban dark money, end Citizens United. Congressional term limits.”

“The people of SWMO strongly condemn pedophiles, yet Congressman Burlison turned down the opportunity of being the 218th signature needed to release the files because doing so would have "stabbed his party in the eye."”

Republican Eric Burlison

Supports term limits and D.C. accountability

Burlison emphasizes draining the swamp by reducing government waste, fraud, and abuse and increasing accountability to voters over lobbyists. He supports federal term limits and voted in favor of the Epstein Files Transparency Act.

  • Signed the U.S. Term Limits pledge and advocates for enacting federal term limits.
  • Voted for H.R.4405, the Epstein Files Transparency Act, requiring the Department of Justice to publish Epstein investigative records.
  • Campaigns on ending earmarks, lobbyist spending, and insider D.C. projects.

“Enacting federal term limits”

“Drain the swamp of waste, fraud, and abuse — and answer to the people, not the political class.”

02

Taxes and federal spending

high salience

Burlison advocates for broad tax reductions and cutting $2 trillion in federal spending, whereas Hesketh favors closing tax loopholes on high earners and enacting federal price gouging bans.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports taxing billionaires and stopping price gouging

Hesketh advocates for closing tax loopholes to end corporate tax relief and funding social support systems. She supports banning junk fees, prohibiting price gouging in grocery stores, and enacting paid family and medical leave.

  • Calls for closing tax loopholes to end corporate and billionaire tax relief.
  • Proposes legislation to stop price gouging in grocery stores and ban junk fees.
  • Supports paid family and medical leave alongside community investments to assist low-income families.

“Close Tax Loopholes to End Billionaire Welfare. Fund and protect Social Security. Paid Family and Medical Leave. Stop Price Gouging in Grocery Stores. Ban Junk Fees.”

Republican Eric Burlison

Supports tax cuts and spending reductions

Burlison focuses on curbing inflation and reducing the national debt by eliminating wasteful federal spending. He signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge and highlights his votes to cut spending and maintain tax cuts.

  • Signed Americans for Tax Reform's Taxpayer Protection Pledge committing to oppose tax increases.
  • Helped lead efforts to reduce federal spending by $2 trillion, targeting waste and fraud.
  • Voted for major fiscal legislation including H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) and the Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023.

“Cut wasteful government spending and let hardworking Missourians keep more of what they earn.”

“Controlling spending, stopping inflation, & reducing the national debt”

03

Gun policy and the Second Amendment

high salience

Hesketh supports an assault weapons ban, red flag laws, and expanded background checks, while Burlison actively opposes gun restrictions and eliminated the federal gun tax stamp.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports stricter gun safety measures

Hesketh advocates for common-sense gun safety regulations to curb mass shootings while respecting traditional firearm ownership. Her proposals include red flag laws, universal background checks, waiting periods, safe storage accountability, and an assault weapons ban.

  • Supports an assault weapons ban and banning bump stocks.
  • Proposes red flag laws, expanded background checks, and mandatory waiting periods.
  • Advocates holding gun owners accountable when unsecured firearms are used in crimes.

“Red flag laws”

“Assault weapons ban”

“No one is coming for your guns, we just want to make sure you lock your piece up”

Republican Eric Burlison

Opposes gun control and defended 2A rights

Burlison strongly opposes federal gun control measures, characterizing them as infringements on the Second Amendment. In Congress, he successfully led legislative efforts to repeal the federal gun tax stamp.

  • Eliminated the $200 federal gun tax stamp for firearm owners.
  • Pledges to oppose federal gun control legislation and executive actions.

“Fighting Biden's gun grab”

“Eliminated the $200 federal gun tax stamp — defending the Second Amendment rights of every American.”

04

Healthcare

high salience

Hesketh advocates for a public Medicare option and federal price caps on healthcare services, whereas Burlison supports market-driven reforms that eliminate federal regulations.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports Medicare public option and price caps

Hesketh advocates for a 'Medicare for all who want it' option and federal caps on healthcare services, prescription drugs, and insurance premiums. She also prioritizes stabilizing rural hospitals, expanding veterans' healthcare, and authorizing Medicare drug price negotiations.

  • Proposes creating a optional public Medicare system ('Medicare for all who want it').
  • Supports caps on healthcare service costs, prescription prices, and insurance premiums.
  • Advocates for Medicare drug price negotiation and financial stabilization for rural hospitals.

“Our healthcare system is broken. We need caps on services, prescriptions, and premiums.”

“Medicare for all who want it. Veterans' Healthcare Access. Rural hospital stabilization. Politicians out of your Doctor's Office. Medicare Drug Price Negotiation.”

Republican Eric Burlison

Supports market-based healthcare reform

Burlison supports free-market healthcare reform designed to lower costs by increasing choice and removing federal regulations. He opposes government intervention and favors placing healthcare decisions directly between patients and doctors.

  • Advocates market-driven solutions to make healthcare affordable.
  • Opposes federal healthcare mandates, focusing on patient-centered control over bureaucratic regulation.

“Make healthcare affordable and put patients — not bureaucrats — back in charge of their care.”

05

Abortion and reproductive rights

high salience

Hesketh supports codifying Roe v. Wade to protect reproductive autonomy, while Burlison holds a pro-life stance endorsed by Missouri Right to Life PAC.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports codifying Roe v. Wade

Hesketh strongly supports reproductive rights and advocates codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law. She argues that medical decisions regarding pregnancy, birth control, and family planning belong to women and their doctors without government interference.

  • Advocates codifying Roe v. Wade in federal law.
  • Supports protecting access to reproductive healthcare, family planning, and birth control.
  • Opposes government restrictions on abortion access.

“We need to codify Roe and give women and their partners the autonomy they need and deserve.”

Republican Eric Burlison

Opposes abortion rights

Burlison maintains a firm pro-life stance, opposing abortion rights and supporting restrictions on abortion access. His anti-abortion record earned him the endorsement of the Missouri Right to Life PAC.

  • Endorsed by the Missouri Right to Life PAC.
  • Opposes federal protection for abortion rights and supports pro-life legislation.

“Missouri Right to Life PAC”

06

Immigration and border security

high salience

Burlison emphasizes strict law enforcement, mandatory detentions, and deportations, while Hesketh focuses on humane processing, reimbursing local communities, and foreign aid to address migration root causes.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports humane processing and root-cause remedies

Hesketh proposes a multi-pronged border framework combining humane care for migrants, federal financial reimbursement for impacted local communities, and diplomatic aid to address violence and poverty in Latin America.

  • Proposes reimbursing border communities for law enforcement, shelter, and medical expenses.
  • Advocates working with Central and South American leaders to address root causes of migration like poverty and violence.
  • Supports humane treatment for migrants undergoing legal processing.

“The humanitarian crisis at our southern border is in need of a multi- pronged approach.”

“What won't solve the crisis at our southern border is a bunch of politicians intentionally stalling a fix for political gain”

Republican Eric Burlison

Supports strict border enforcement and deportations

Burlison emphasizes strict border enforcement and increased immigration restrictions. In the 119th Congress, he voted for the Laken Riley Act to detain undocumented immigrants arrested for theft crimes and supported legislation making DUI convictions deportable offenses.

  • Voted for S.5, the Laken Riley Act, requiring detention of unauthorized immigrants arrested for burglary or theft.
  • Voted for H.R.875, making driving while impaired grounds for deportation and inadmissible status.
  • Identifies border security as a vital national security priority.

“Secure our southern border and defend the constitutional rights of every law-abiding American.”

07

Agriculture and natural resources

medium salience

Hesketh emphasizes environmental conservation, Right-to-Repair, and blocking foreign acquisition of farmland, whereas Burlison focuses on defending landowners against federal regulations and eminent domain.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports environmental protection and farmer rights

Hesketh advocates for agricultural reforms including Right-to-Repair laws, crop insurance reform, and restricting foreign ownership of U.S. farmland. She also opposes AI data center expansion and environmental deregulation that threatens local water and soil quality.

  • Supports Right-to-Repair legislation for farmers and crop insurance reform.
  • Advocates restricting foreign adversaries from purchasing U.S. farmland.
  • Opposes AI data centers and environmental deregulation to safeguard soil, air, and water resources.

“Right-to-repair. Protect U.S. farmland from foreign adversaries. Oppose AI Data Centers. Crop Insurance Reform.”

“The health of our resources is the health of us, and in SWMO, it is also the health of our ecotourism and farming industries.”

Republican Eric Burlison

Supports property rights against federal overreach

Burlison focuses on protecting agricultural land and private property from federal agency overreach and eminent domain abuse. He highlights leading efforts to protect Missouri farmers and lake landowners from federal regulation.

  • Led opposition against eminent domain abuse affecting Missouri farmers and farmland.
  • Defended Table Rock Lake property owners against Army Corps of Engineers regulatory overreach.

“Protected Missouri Farmland: Led the fight against eminent domain abuse threatening Missouri farmers and their land.”

“Defended Table Rock Lake: Protected Table Rock Lake families from Army Corps of Engineers overreach into their property.”

08

Education

medium salience

Hesketh emphasizes raising teacher pay and protecting public school funding from vouchers, while Burlison has focused legislatively on restricting transgender athletes in female school sports.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports funding public schools and raising teacher pay

As an educator, Hesketh prioritizes preserving public education and opposes diverting public funds to private school vouchers. She supports raising teacher salaries, expanding rural workforce training, and protecting student data privacy.

  • Advocates raising teacher pay and providing administrative support for educators.
  • Supports protecting public education funding against voucher initiatives.
  • Proposes comprehensive data privacy protections for children and rural workforce training.

“Invest in rural education and workforce training. Comprehensive Data Privacy for Children. Raise Teacher Pay.”

“We need to REMAIN DEDICATED to our Public Education system.”

Republican Eric Burlison

Supports restrictions on transgender participation in school sports

Burlison served on the House Committee on Education and the Workforce. In the 119th Congress, he voted for legislation barring biological males from participating in school athletic programs designated for women and girls.

  • Assigned to the House Committee on Education and the Workforce.
  • Voted for H.R. 28, the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025.

“Committee on Education and the Workforce”

09

Elections and voting rights

medium salience

Hesketh advocates for ending gerrymandering and protecting mail-in voting access, while Burlison supports stricter registration rules such as mandatory proof of citizenship.

Democratic Missi Hesketh

Supports expanded voting access and ending gerrymandering

Hesketh champions fair elections, ending partisan gerrymandering, and protecting voting access through mail-in and absentee ballots. She also stresses securing election infrastructure against hacking threats.

  • Advocates for fair elections and ending gerrymandering.
  • Supports preserving absentee and mail-in voting access.
  • Focuses on securing voting machinery against cyber threats.

“Fair Elections and Ending Gerrymandering.”

“I believe strongly in continuing absentee voting and mail-in ballots for those unable to participate on election day.”

Republican Eric Burlison

Supports strict voter proof of citizenship

Burlison focuses on election integrity and federal oversight. In the 119th Congress, he voted for the SAVE Act to mandate documentary proof of citizenship when registering for federal elections.

  • Voted for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal election registration.
  • Campaigns on enhancing election integrity and federal oversight.

“Election integrity & oversight”

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

MO-07 House Election Winner

94.5% Republicans
5.5% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 94.5DEMOCRATS 5.5

Kalshi ↗

MO-07 House winner?

92.8% Republicans
4.7% Democrats
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16BURLISON 98.3REPUBLICANS 92.8DEMOCRATS 4.7HESKETH 4.7

Kalshi ↗

MO-07 Republican nominee?

98.0% Eric Burlison
1.0% Grayson Hunt
1.0% John Casey
255075100AUG 2AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16BURLISON 98.0CASEY 1.0HUNT 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.