Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Minnesota Safe R

Minnesota — 7th District

Portrait of Michelle Fischbach

Republican

Michelle Fischbach

Incumbent Republican Michelle Fischbach faces Democratic challenger Erik Osberg in the general election for Minnesota's 7th Congressional District on November 3, 2026. The matchup centers on conservative agricultural priorities, border enforcement, gun rights, and opposition to federal healthcare regulations in western Minnesota. Major election handicappers, including The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill, unanimously rate the contest as Solid or Safe Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
94.5%
Democrats
5.5%
Kalshi ↗
Michelle Fischbach
97.9%
Erik Osberg
2.4%
Kalshi ↗
Michelle Fischbach
99.0%
Dave Hughes
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Erik Osberg
99.0%
Steve Carlson
4.0%
Jared Adams
2.0%
Heather Keeler
1.0%

All markets →

01

Agriculture & Rural Infrastructure

high salience
Democratic Erik Osberg No documented position in our sources

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Supports farmers and rural infrastructure

Fischbach emphasizes supporting farmers and ranchers as the economic foundation of western Minnesota. She advocates rebuilding rural infrastructure, securing trade agreements, and reducing regulatory burdens on agricultural producers.

  • Rebuild rural Minnesota's infrastructure to facilitate crop and livestock transportation
  • Support trade deals that expand international markets for local farmers
  • Invest in rural workforce development programs

“We must support our farmers and ranchers, who are the backbone of our economy, and rebuild our outdated infrastructure in western Minnesota to create greater rural prosperity.”

02

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

high salience
Democratic Erik Osberg No documented position in our sources

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Opposes abortion and supports restrictions

Fischbach maintains a strict pro-life stance, advocating for the protection of unborn life at all stages. She opposes federal funding for abortion services and supports legislative restrictions on reproductive procedures.

  • Protect the fundamental right to life for the unborn at all developmental stages
  • Oppose taxpayer-funded abortions and federal funding to abortion providers
  • Support pro-life federal legislation

“We must protect the unborn, who have the fundamental right to life, and defend the sanctity of innocent human life at all stages.”

“I am proudly pro-life and will always support legislation that protects innocent human life and defends the sanctity of life at all stages.”

03

Border Security & Immigration

high salience
Democratic Erik Osberg No documented position in our sources

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Supports border wall and enforcement

Fischbach advocates for strong border enforcement measures, including completing the southern border wall and increasing resources for federal law enforcement. She strongly opposes sanctuary cities and attempts to restrict Immigrations and Customs Enforcement (ICE).

  • Finish construction of the southern border wall
  • Support ICE agents in enforcing federal immigration laws and deporting unlawful entrants
  • Oppose sanctuary city policies and efforts to abolish ICE

“We must secure our borders and build the southern border wall.”

04

Gun Rights & Second Amendment

medium salience
Democratic Erik Osberg No documented position in our sources

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Opposes gun control restrictions

Fischbach takes a firm stance in defense of the Second Amendment, viewing gun ownership as a fundamental constitutional right. She vows to oppose firearm restriction bills and gun confiscation efforts.

  • Oppose federal gun control legislation and firearm restrictions
  • Protect the constitutional right of law-abiding citizens to keep and bear arms

“The United States Constitution is unambiguous: our right to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed. Period.”

05

Healthcare

medium salience
Democratic Erik Osberg No documented position in our sources

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Supports repealing Obamacare for market-based reforms

Fischbach favors replacing the Affordable Care Act with market-driven reforms intended to lower costs and increase choices. She pledges to safeguard health protections for individuals with pre-existing conditions and protect senior healthcare programs.

  • Repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act with patient-centered reforms
  • Promote market competition to lower health insurance premiums
  • Maintain coverage protections for individuals with pre-existing conditions

“Obamacare was a disaster that took important health care choices away from millions of Americans.”

06

Veterans & Military

medium salience
Democratic Erik Osberg No documented position in our sources

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Supports VA reform and military funding

Fischbach supports expanding resources for the military and improving healthcare access for military veterans through Department of Veterans Affairs reforms.

  • Provide military personnel with tools needed to execute defense missions
  • Improve veteran access to healthcare and job placement programs through VA reform

“I will help President Trump rebuild our military and keep America strong, and I will fight for our veterans to ensure they have access to world-class health care and workforce development programs.”

07

Election Integrity & Democracy

medium salience
Democratic Erik Osberg No documented position in our sources

Republican Michelle Fischbach

Objected to 2020 electoral certification

During the joint session of Congress on January 6-7, 2021, Fischbach voted against certifying the 2020 presidential election electoral votes from Arizona and Pennsylvania.

  • Voted against certifying Arizona's 2020 electoral votes
  • Voted against certifying Pennsylvania's 2020 electoral votes

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

MN-07 House Election Winner

94.5% Republicans
5.5% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 94.5DEMOCRATS 5.5

Kalshi ↗

MN-07 House winner?

97.9% Michelle Fischbach
2.4% Erik Osberg
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16FISCHBACH 97.9PARTY 96.0PARTY 4.0OSBERG 2.4

Kalshi ↗

MN-07 Republican nominee?

99.0% Michelle Fischbach
1.0% Dave Hughes
255075100AUG 2AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16FISCHBACH 99.0HUGHES 1.0

Kalshi ↗

MN-07 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Erik Osberg
4.0% Steve Carlson
2.0% Jared Adams

+1 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16OSBERG 99.0CARLSON 4.0ADAMS 2.0KEELER 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.