Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Minnesota Likely D

Minnesota — 2nd District

In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, open following Democratic Representative Angie Craig's decision to run for the U.S. Senate, Democratic nominee Matt Little faces Republican nominee Eric Pratt in the November 3, 2026 general election. Little, a former state senator and Mayor of Lakeville, is running on a progressive platform highlighting Medicare for All, Anti-ICE immigration reform, campaign finance restrictions, and working-class tax relief. Pratt, a current state senator with a career in banking and finance, centers his platform on lowering cost of living, supporting law enforcement, and eliminating government fraud and waste. Major election forecasters including The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill rate the general election matchup as Likely Democratic.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
93.0%
Republicans
5.9%
Kalshi ↗
Matt Little
94.0%
Eric Pratt
10.0%
Kalshi ↗
Matt Little
99.9%
Kaela Berg
0.1%
Matt Klein
0.1%

All markets →

01

Immigration & Border Security

high salience

Little advocates cutting ICE funding and imposing strict statutory restrictions on federal agents, whereas Pratt favors consistent and fair enforcement of laws up to the U.S. border.

Democratic Matt Little

Supports cutting ICE funding and reform

Little advocates cutting ICE funding to pre-Trump levels and eventually replacing the agency with a federal immigration entity that adheres to the Constitution. He proposes an Anti-ICE Bill of Rights that bans masked agents, prohibits arrests without judicial warrants, restricts qualified immunity, and limits presidential military deployment powers.

  • Cut ICE funding immediately to pre-Trump levels and replace it with a transparent federal agency
  • Enact an Anti-ICE Bill of Rights banning federal agents from wearing masks and executing arrests without judicial warrants
  • Restrict qualified immunity for federal law enforcement agents
  • Revise the Posse Comitatus and Insurrection Acts to limit presidential power to deploy military forces domestically

“Cut ICE funding immediately to pre-Trump levels, then Replace ICE with a federal immigration agency that Americans can trust and that obeys the Law and Constitution.”

Republican Eric Pratt

Supports consistent border law enforcement

Pratt supports law enforcement and first responders to keep local communities safe and secure. He advocates for enforcing immigration and criminal laws consistently and fairly from neighborhoods to the U.S. border.

  • Enforce laws consistently and responsibly from local neighborhoods to the U.S. border
  • Support law enforcement agencies to protect communities and maintain security

“He believes laws should be enforced fairly, responsibly and consistently from our neighborhoods to the U.S. Border.”

02

Healthcare

high salience

Little supports a universal Medicare for All single-payer system and drug price controls, while Pratt favors market-driven practical solutions to lower costs for families.

Democratic Matt Little

Supports Medicare for All and drug negotiation

Little supports guaranteeing affordable healthcare to all Americans by making Medicare available nationwide. He advocates expanding Medicare and Medicaid authority to negotiate lower prices on most prescription drugs and highlights his state legislative record leading the fight for lower insulin costs.

  • Pass Medicare for All to guarantee affordable healthcare coverage across the country
  • Expand Medicare and Medicaid's power to negotiate lower prescription drug prices
  • Build on state legislative leadership in securing affordable insulin access

“Medicare for All: We CAN guarantee affordable healthcare for everyone by simply making Medicare available for all Americans.”

Republican Eric Pratt

Supports market solutions and family affordability

Pratt emphasizes practical, market-oriented solutions to address rising health and caregiving costs for working families. During his tenure in the Minnesota Senate, he focused on expanding access and affordability for essential family care services.

  • Focus on practical economic solutions to lower caregiving and living costs for families
  • Support small business and community-based healthcare accessibility

“Since being elected to the Minnesota Senate in 2012, Eric has focused on practical solutions, including expanding childcare access and affordability, supporting small businesses, and strengthening local economies.”

03

Economy, Tariffs & Taxes

high salience

Little advocates raising taxes on corporations and high earners to finance working-class tax credits, whereas Pratt favors flattening the tax code and reducing business costs.

Democratic Matt Little

Supports taxing wealthy and expanded credits

Little proposes raising corporate tax rates and taxes on high earners while closing the Carried Interest loophole to fund tax relief for middle-class families. He opposes broad tariffs that hurt Minnesota farmers and workers, supports shifting tariff power back to Congress, and champions union collective bargaining.

  • Raise corporate tax rates and top individual tax rates while eliminating the Carried Interest loophole
  • Permanently expand the Child Tax Credit to relieve financial pressure on working families
  • Oppose reckless federal tariffs that burden Minnesota farmers, construction workers, and tradespeople
  • Shift tariff-setting power from the White House back to Congress

“By raising the corporate tax rate, increasing taxes on the highest earners, and eliminating loopholes like Carried Interest, we can finance the most effective tax breaks for working people”

Republican Eric Pratt

Supports tax reduction and business growth

Pratt leverages decades of experience in finance and banking to propose reducing regulatory burdens, lowering business costs, and restoring economic stability. In state policy, he has supported flattening the tax code and expanding the tax base to relieve regressive tax burdens on low-income families.

  • Restore economic stability by lowering everyday costs and supporting small businesses
  • Flatten the tax code and broaden the tax base to eliminate regressive tax impacts
  • Reduce the cost of doing business and invest in infrastructure to attract capital and create stable jobs

“In Congress, Eric will focus on lowering costs, supporting small businesses and restoring stability to an economy that no longer feels affordable for working families.”

04

Reproductive Rights & Abortion

medium salience

Little supports codifying federal abortion protections and expanding clinic access, while Pratt explicitly identifies as pro-life.

Democratic Matt Little

Supports federal reproductive freedom protections

Little supports codifying Roe v. Wade nationwide to guarantee reproductive healthcare freedom for women. He also emphasizes making abortion and reproductive care practically accessible by eliminating healthcare deserts in rural and urban communities.

  • Guarantee women's reproductive rights in federal law and restore Roe v. Wade standards
  • Address physical and financial barriers to reproductive care in healthcare deserts

“I will fight to guarantee women’s reproductive rights, both in law and in life.”

Republican Eric Pratt

Opposes abortion and supports pro-life policies

Pratt explicitly states a pro-life stance on abortion policy. Throughout his tenure in the Minnesota Senate, he was routinely evaluated on voting scorecards produced by anti-abortion advocacy organizations.

  • Maintains an explicitly pro-life stance on abortion

“I am pro-life.”

05

Government Integrity & Anti-Corruption

medium salience

Little champions structural reforms banning stock trading and Super PACs, whereas Pratt focuses on curbing government fraud and implementing voter ID laws.

Democratic Matt Little

Supports strict campaign finance and ethics reform

Little proposes an Anti-Corruption Bill of Rights to eliminate corporate and dark money in politics. He advocates overturning Citizens United, banning Super PACs, prohibiting members of Congress from trading individual stocks, and amending the Constitution to limit presidential pardon powers.

  • Overturn Citizens United and Buckley v. Valeo to remove dark money from elections
  • Ban members of Congress and administration officials from trading individual stocks
  • Ban Super PACs and establish a fully funded public financing system for political campaigns
  • Pass constitutional amendments restricting preemptive presidential pardons and enforcing the Emoluments Clause

“Bar members of Congress and the Administration from trading stocks”

Republican Eric Pratt

Supports cracking down on government waste and fraud

Pratt emphasizes protecting taxpayer funds by cracking down on fraud, abuse, and inefficiency in public programs. In past campaign themes, he has also advocated for voter ID requirements to preserve election credibility.

  • Crack down on fraud, waste, and systemic abuse in government programs
  • Protect election credibility through voter ID requirements
  • Ensure government serves working families rather than political insiders and special interests

“In Congress, Eric will work to crack down on fraud, abuse and the people who exploit the system at everyone else’s expense.”

06

Public Safety & Law Enforcement

medium salience

Little combines funding for police technology with misconduct accountability standards, while Pratt emphasizes broad support for law enforcement officers and consistent prosecution.

Democratic Matt Little

Supports first responder funding and police accountability

Little balances strong support for police funding, pensions, and specialized anti-crime technology with strict accountability standards for officers who use excessive force or violate due process. He supports non-traditional hiring pathways to recruit officers directly from local communities.

  • Equip first responders with equipment and training to combat cyber crime, fentanyl smuggling, and human trafficking
  • Enforce strict accountability when law enforcement officers use excessive force or violate constitutional rights
  • Support non-traditional hiring pathways to recruit police officers from local communities

“When someone in uniform uses unnecessary force, or violates due process, they must be held accountable. At the same time, we need to equip first responders with the tools, training, and policies they need to succeed.”

Republican Eric Pratt

Supports law enforcement and crime reduction

Pratt pledges dedicated backing for law enforcement officers and first responders to keep families safe. He emphasizes enforcing criminal statutes consistently across all jurisdictions.

  • Provide robust support for law enforcement, first responders, and public safety personnel
  • Enforce criminal laws consistently and fairly across all communities

“Eric Pratt supports law enforcement, first responders and policies that keep families safe and communities secure.”

07

Foreign Policy & Middle East

medium salience

Democratic Matt Little

Supports ending U.S. military aid to Israel

Little condemns the October 7 Hamas terror attack while stating that Israel's military operation in Gaza has crossed into disproportionate acts of genocide. He calls for ending all U.S. military aid and weapons sales to Israel, delivering full humanitarian aid to Gaza, and establishing a negotiated two-state solution.

  • End all U.S. military aid and weapons sales to Israel
  • Require Israel to permit necessary humanitarian aid into Gaza and rebuild destroyed civilian areas
  • Retract illegal settlements in Palestinian territories and negotiate a two-state solution

“The United States must end all military aid and weapons sales to Israel to send a clear signal to the Israeli government”

Republican Eric Pratt No documented position in our sources
08

LGBTQIA2S+ Rights

medium salience

Democratic Matt Little

Supports federal non-discrimination and LGBTQIA2S+ rights

Little pledges to pass the federal Equality Act to ban discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity in employment, housing, and healthcare. His platform includes banning conversion therapy, safeguarding marriage equality, and allowing preferred gender markers on passports.

  • Pass the Equality Act to ban non-discrimination in housing, jobs, education, and healthcare
  • Protect federal marriage equality rights established under Obergefell v. Hodges
  • Ban conversion therapy nationwide and overturn restrictions on transgender military service
  • Allow individuals to choose their preferred gender marker on U.S. passports

“Pass the Equality Act (119th Congress: HR 15; S 1503) which amends the Civil Rights Act, among other laws, to ban discrimination based on sexual orientation, gender identity, and sex”

Republican Eric Pratt No documented position in our sources
09

Environment, Climate & Data Center Regulation

low salience

Democratic Matt Little

Supports clean water, climate action, and data center limits

Little advocates for protecting Minnesota's clean water and outdoor recreation economy against pollution and commercial water transfers. He explicitly calls for a moratorium on Big Tech data centers that deplete local aquifers and farmland.

  • Place a moratorium on Big Tech data centers that consume excessive local water and farmland
  • Protect Minnesota lakes, rivers, and drinking water supplies from industrial waste and transfers
  • Enact federal climate policies to protect agriculture, winter sports, and tourism industries

“Big Tech is coming to Minnesota, and they want to drain our aquifers, gobble up our farmland, and hand the bill to taxpayers.”

Republican Eric Pratt No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

MN-02 House Election Winner

93.0% Democrats
5.9% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 93.0REPUBLICANS 5.9

Kalshi ↗

MN-02 House winner?

94.0% Matt Little
10.0% Eric Pratt
255075100AUG 2AUG 15AUG 26SEP 6SEP 16PARTY 95.3LITTLE 94.0PARTY 13.0PRATT 10.0

Kalshi ↗

MN-02 Democratic nominee?

99.9% Matt Little
0.1% Kaela Berg
0.1% Matt Klein
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16LITTLE 99.9KLEIN 0.1BERG 0.1

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.