Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Michigan Safe D

Michigan — 12th District

In Michigan's 12th Congressional District, three-term Democratic incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces Republican challenger James Hooper in the November 3, 2026 general election, following primary victories on August 4, 2026. Major nonpartisan rating outlets, including The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and DDHQ/The Hill, rate the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The matchup presents a stark ideological contrast between Tlaib's progressive Democratic Socialist platform—centered on Medicare-for-All, anti-poverty initiatives, corporate accountability, and environmental justice—and Hooper's conservative platform emphasizing free-market principles, tax reductions, parental rights, and border security.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
95.9%
Republicans
1.4%
Kalshi ↗
Rashida Tlaib
99.9%
James Hooper
0.1%
Kalshi ↗
Rashida Tlaib
98.0%
Shanelle Jackson
1.0%
Byron Nolen
1.0%

All markets →

01

Healthcare

high salience

Tlaib advocates for a government-funded Medicare-for-All system to guarantee universal coverage, whereas Hooper favors a free-market approach and opposes vaccine mandates and medical requirements.

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Supports Medicare-for-All and universal coverage

Tlaib advocates for a universal Medicare-for-All system that guarantees healthcare as a right rather than a profit-driven enterprise. She supports lowering prescription drug prices, expanding medical access to vulnerable populations, and securing federal resources for clean water as a core public health right.

  • Proposes Medicare-for-All to ensure universal, equitable healthcare access
  • Advocates lowering prescription drug costs and curbing pharmaceutical company influence
  • Secured a $1.5 billion Water is a Human Right Fund during the COVID-19 pandemic

“I’ll fight for Medicare-for-All that guarantees health care as a right, not a privilege.”

Republican James Hooper

Supports free-market healthcare and bodily sovereignty

Hooper promotes a free-market approach to healthcare focusing on holistic practices, preventative medicine, and mental health. He strongly opposes government-mandated medical procedures and vaccine passports, framing them as unconstitutional intrusions on individual liberty.

  • Advocates for free-market solutions emphasizing preventative and holistic care
  • Opposes vaccination passports and mandatory medical procedures
  • Frames bodily sovereignty as an essential liberty against government overreach

“No person should be required to carry ‘papers’ or a vaccination passport.”

02

Economy and Tax Policy

high salience

Tlaib favors raising taxes on corporations and wealthy earners to fund social programs and poverty relief, while Hooper advocates cutting taxes and regulations to drive free-market business growth.

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Supports taxing corporations and raising living wages

Tlaib focuses on economic justice through progressive taxation, a $15 national minimum wage, and federal cash relief programs. She advocates closing corporate tax loopholes and increasing taxes on wealthy individuals to fund poverty alleviation initiatives.

  • Introduced the BOOST Act and Automatic Boost to Communities Act to deliver direct cash relief
  • Supports a $15 national minimum wage and strong labor union protections
  • Advocates increasing taxes on corporations and wealthy earners

“I support an additional tax on the rich of the rich and getting rid of tax loopholes that corporations take advantage of to avoid paying taxes.”

Republican James Hooper

Supports cutting taxes and deregulating business

Hooper advocates cutting taxes for families and businesses to spur job growth, private investment, and domestic manufacturing. He calls for reducing federal bureaucracy, curbing government spending, and tackling the national debt.

  • Proposes lowering tax burdens on working families and businesses
  • Calls for reducing federal regulations to promote domestic production and American jobs
  • Prioritizes fiscal responsibility and national debt reduction

“We need taxation policy that focuses on keeping MORE of your hard-earned dollars in your pocket and LESS going to waste in Washington D.C.”

03

Abortion and Reproductive Rights

high salience

Hooper seeks to ban abortion from conception to natural death, whereas Tlaib supports federal protections for abortion access and reproductive rights.

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Supports reproductive justice and abortion access

Tlaib supports federal protections for abortion access and reproductive healthcare equity. Her stance is endorsed by major national reproductive advocacy organizations.

  • Supports codifying abortion rights and protecting reproductive healthcare services
  • Endorsed by Planned Parenthood Action Fund

Republican James Hooper

Opposes abortion from conception to natural death

Hooper holds a strict pro-life position, maintaining that legal protections should apply to human life from conception until natural death. He advocates for fostering traditional family units and community support systems to value life.

  • Pledges unwavering support for pro-life legislation from conception to natural death
  • Advocates supporting traditional families to strengthen local communities
  • Promotes cultural efforts to reduce unwanted pregnancies

“I am Pro-Life from conception to natural death.”

04

Education

medium salience

Tlaib supports increasing federal funding for public schools and offering tuition-free higher education, while Hooper advocates eliminating the federal Department of Education to return all control to local communities.

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Supports public school funding and tuition-free college

Tlaib advocates expanding federal investments in public elementary and secondary schools while increasing charter school oversight. She supports making public colleges, universities, and trade schools tuition-free for working families.

  • Proposes tuition-free public higher education and vocational training for working families
  • Calls for increased federal funding for public schools and teachers
  • Advocates stricter regulation and accountability for charter schools

“I'll work hard to increase funding for public schools and to ensure charter schools are regulated and held accountable.”

Republican James Hooper

Supports parental rights and eliminating federal education department

Hooper champions parental rights, maintaining that parents are the primary educators of their children. He calls for eliminating the federal Department of Education and returning full educational authority and funding control to state and local levels.

  • Advocates federal policies securing parental rights in educational decisions
  • Calls for the rapid elimination of the federal Department of Education
  • Cites Michigan statutory code affirming parents' rights to direct child upbringing and education

“I will advocate for the swift reduction and rapid elimination of the Federal Department of Education and the return to full state and local control.”

05

Immigration and Border Security

medium salience

Hooper prioritizes strict border enforcement to halt illegal immigration, while Tlaib advocates for immigration justice and protections for immigrant communities.

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Supports immigration justice and protections for immigrants

Tlaib frames immigration through human rights and racial justice, opposing xenophobic policies and supporting humane treatment for immigrant families. She advocates for legislative reforms that protect vulnerable migrants and expand legal pathways.

  • Pushes for immigration justice and civil rights protections for immigrant populations
  • Opposes rhetoric and policies that dehumanize or vilify migrant families

Republican James Hooper

Supports strict border control and national sovereignty

Hooper views border security as an urgent national security priority, arguing that porous borders allow drug trafficking, human trafficking, and potential terrorism. He maintains that maintaining physical control of borders is vital to preserving national sovereignty.

  • Calls for immediate, rigorous enforcement to secure U.S. borders
  • Links unchecked illegal immigration directly to drug and human trafficking and national security threats
  • Prioritizes southern border security over military involvement in European conflicts

“It is dangerously unacceptable to have unchecked illegal immigration which disguises drug trafficking, human and child trafficking, and terrorists crossing an abandoned border.”

06

Environmental Policy and Energy

medium salience

Tlaib focuses on environmental justice and holding corporate polluters accountable, whereas Hooper advocates unbridling domestic energy production.

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Supports environmental justice and polluter accountability

Tlaib prioritizes environmental justice, focusing on protecting urban communities from industrial pollution. She advocates for restoring EPA funding, eliminating lead service lines, and holding corporate polluters accountable.

  • Advocates holding corporate polluters accountable for environmental harm
  • Secured federal infrastructure funding for lead pipe replacement and water safety
  • Supports reversing budget cuts to the Environmental Protection Agency

“I’ll fight to undo the terrible cuts the Trump Administration has made to the EPA’s budget and hold polluters accountable, not give them a license to poison us.”

Republican James Hooper

Supports unbridling domestic energy production

Hooper advocates for American energy independence by expanding domestic energy development. He contends that unleashing domestic production will create jobs and lower operational costs for local businesses.

  • Calls for unbridling domestic energy production to achieve full energy independence
  • Views energy sector expansion as essential to economic growth and job creation
07

Defense and Foreign Policy

medium salience

Hooper advocates for a strong military focused purely on defense and combat capability, while Tlaib favors reallocating military funds to domestic needs and ending military aid to Israel.

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Opposes excessive military spending and Israeli military aid

Tlaib champions an anti-war foreign policy grounded in human rights, advocating for reductions in federal defense spending to fund domestic social programs. She is a vocal supporter of Palestinian human rights and advocates conditioning or ending U.S. military aid to Israel.

  • Advocates reallocating military defense budgets toward domestic social programs
  • Supports halting U.S. military assistance to Israel
  • Endorsed by anti-war and Palestinian rights advocacy organizations

“For too long, many have voted to overwhelmingly prioritize war spending and corporate greed, over the needs of everyday people.”

Republican James Hooper

Supports strong military focus without social justice initiatives

Hooper supports maintaining a world-class military focused exclusively on national defense and eliminating enemy threats. He strongly opposes integrating social justice or political initiatives into military operations.

  • Advocates for a highly trained and equipped military focused strictly on eliminating national security threats
  • Opposes social justice and 'wokeness' programs within the armed forces
  • Prioritizes national defense as a key duty of the federal government

“Our Armed Forces should never serve as a social justice or ‘wokeness’ project.”

08

Gun Policy

medium salience
Democratic Rashida Tlaib No documented position in our sources

Republican James Hooper

Supports non-negotiable Second Amendment rights

Hooper opposes federal gun control restrictions, viewing the Second Amendment as an un-infringeable constitutional right. He frames firearm ownership as a crucial defense against government tyranny.

  • Opposes federal firearm regulations and gun control measures
  • Describes Second Amendment rights as non-negotiable safeguards against government tyranny

“The Second Amendment is the necessary prophylactic that prevents unwanted government tyranny.”

09

Housing Policy

low salience

Democratic Rashida Tlaib

Supports housing as a human right and anti-discrimination laws

Tlaib views housing as a fundamental human right and focuses on expanding affordable housing access. She advocates for civil rights updates to target discriminatory lending practices and redlining by financial institutions.

  • Advocates expanding affordable housing options and defining shelter as a human right
  • Pushes civil rights legislation to combat redlining and predatory lending in housing markets

“Housing is a human right and for too many, adequate and affordable shelter is not available, we must change this.”

Republican James Hooper No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

MI-12 House Election Winner

95.9% Democrats
1.4% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 95.9REPUBLICANS 1.4

Kalshi ↗

MI-12 House winner?

99.9% Rashida Tlaib
0.1% James Hooper
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16TLAIB 99.9PARTY 98.0PARTY 5.2HOOPER 0.1

Kalshi ↗

MI-12 Democratic nominee?

98.0% Rashida Tlaib
1.0% Shanelle Jackson
1.0% Byron Nolen
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16TLAIB 98.0JACKSON 1.0NOLEN 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.