Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Michigan Lean R

Michigan — 4th District

The 2026 election for Michigan's 4th Congressional District features Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga facing Democratic nominee Sean McCann, a Michigan State Senator. The race hinges on voters' choices regarding inflation and tariffs, healthcare access, energy development, and reproductive rights across Southwest Michigan. Major nonpartisan handicappers—including The Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—all rate the matchup as Lean Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
55.0%
Democrats
43.0%
Kalshi ↗
Bill Huizenga
55.0%
Sean McCann
48.0%
Kalshi ↗
Bill Huizenga
99.0%
Philip Tanis
3.0%
Kalshi ↗
Sean McCann
98.0%
Diop Harris
2.0%

All markets →

01

Economy, Taxes & Cost of Living

high salience

McCann favors targeted tax relief for working families and federal action against corporate price gouging, whereas Huizenga advocates broad deregulation, spending cuts, and flat-tax reforms.

Democratic Sean McCann

Lowers working family costs and taxes

McCann prioritizes lowering everyday expenses for housing, energy, and groceries while strengthening local manufacturing jobs. In the Michigan Senate, he voted to expand working families tax cuts and eliminate the state retirement tax while speaking out against federal tariffs that raise consumer prices.

  • Voted to expand Michigan's working families tax cut and eliminate the state retirement tax
  • Opposes broad tariff policies that raise prices on everyday goods for families and farmers
  • Supports manufacturing investments to create good-paying local jobs in Southwest Michigan

“My number one priority will be lowering everyday costs while protecting and creating good-paying jobs right here in Southwest Michigan.”

“Backbreaking tariffs are making all aspects of life more expensive—grocery and gas prices are skyrocketing, utility bills are doubling, and housing costs are higher than ever.”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Advocates fiscal discipline and tax relief

Huizenga emphasizes fiscal discipline, tax cuts, and deregulation to stimulate private sector growth and curb inflation. As a former small business owner and senior member of the House Financial Services Committee, he signed the Americans for Tax Reform pledge and voted for federal spending reduction resolutions.

  • Signed the Americans for Tax Reform Taxpayer Protection Pledge
  • Voted for federal reconciliation budget resolutions and spending control measures
  • Supports enacting a federal Balanced Budget Amendment and reforming the tax code toward a Flat Tax system

“Over regulation has forced the private sector to divert resources toward dealing with excessive government intrusion instead of investing in their business and hiring more employees.”

“As Washington spending spiraled out of control, Bill led the fight to rein it in.”

02

Healthcare & Medicaid

high salience

McCann voted to expand Medicaid and supports extending ACA subsidies, while Huizenga opposes the ACA and favors market-centered healthcare options.

Democratic Sean McCann

Expands Medicaid and protects ACA credits

McCann focuses on safeguarding healthcare access, pointing to his vote in the Michigan Legislature to expand Medicaid to over one million residents. In Congress, he promises to protect ACA tax credits, lower prescription drug prices by holding pharmaceutical companies accountable, and support rural hospitals.

  • Voted in the Michigan Legislature to expand Medicaid access to over one million people
  • Pledges to extend Affordable Care Act tax credits and reduce out-of-pocket costs
  • Supports capping prescription drug costs and curbing price gouging by pharmaceutical firms

“That’s why one of my proudest votes in the Michigan Legislature was to expand access to Medicaid to over a million people in Michigan, making it possible for more families to have real, quality health care.”

“But in Washington, Bill Huizenga and Donald Trump’s Medicaid cuts have ripped away health care from hundreds of thousands of people in Michigan...”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Opposes ACA and favors market-based health reforms

Huizenga remains fundamentally opposed to the Affordable Care Act and supports replacing it with market-oriented reforms. He advocates for incremental solutions that emphasize patient choice over federal regulation and provide employers with flexibility.

  • Opposes the Affordable Care Act ('Obama's health care law')
  • Advocates incremental, free-market solutions putting patients in charge of healthcare decisions
  • Supports flexibility for employers providing employee health coverage

“While I remain fundamentally opposed to President Obama’s health care law, I stand ready to address the cost of health care through an incremental approach of common-sense solutions that puts patients, not Washington bureaucrats, in charge of their own health care decisions...”

03

Energy & Environment

high salience

McCann promotes clean energy initiatives like nuclear plant reopening and renewables, whereas Huizenga focuses on expanding traditional domestic energy production.

Democratic Sean McCann

Promotes domestic clean energy and Great Lakes protection

McCann advocates for domestic solar, wind, and nuclear energy infrastructure to create jobs and lower utility bills. As Chair of the Michigan Senate Energy and Environment Committee, he supported state funding to reopen the Palisades Nuclear Plant and prioritizes protecting Great Lakes water quality.

  • Supported state funding in Michigan to help reopen the Palisades Nuclear Plant
  • Promotes renewable solar, wind, and nuclear energy to build domestic independence
  • Focuses on clean drinking water infrastructure following municipal water crises in Flint and Benton Harbor

“Solar, wind, and nuclear energy here in Michigan will help us support US energy independence, reduce pollution, and create good-paying jobs in our community.”

“The Great Lakes are a national treasure and central to our way of life here. We also know all too painfully what happens when you don’t take care of the water...”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Expands domestic energy production and Great Lakes conservation

Huizenga advocates expanding domestic energy production to ensure energy reliability and lower consumer costs. As a member of the bipartisan Great Lakes Task Force, he has also worked with regional lawmakers to prevent invasive species from entering local waterways.

  • Supports expanding American energy production to lower utility bills for families and businesses
  • Serves on the bipartisan Great Lakes Task Force fighting non-native invasive species
  • Promotes policies to maintain regional manufacturing competitiveness through reliable energy supply

“Bill has supported policies to expand American energy production and reduce dependence on foreign sources, helping bring down energy prices for Michigan families and businesses.”

“As a member of the bipartisan Great Lakes Task Force, I continue to work closely with my Great Lakes colleagues to fight the introduction of non-native species.”

04

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

high salience

McCann voted to repeal Michigan's historic abortion ban and protects reproductive choice, while Huizenga maintains that protection of human life begins at conception.

Democratic Sean McCann

Protects reproductive freedom and abortion access

McCann strongly supports abortion access and reproductive healthcare decisions remaining between patients and doctors. In the Michigan Senate, he voted to repeal the state's 1931 abortion ban, previously served as a board member for Planned Parenthood of South Central Michigan, and holds an endorsement from Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

  • Voted in the Michigan Senate to repeal Michigan's 1931 abortion ban
  • Served as a board member for Planned Parenthood of South Central Michigan
  • Endorsed by Planned Parenthood Action Fund

“In the Michigan Senate, I was proud to vote to repeal the 1931 abortion ban, ensuring these often difficult decisions are made by families and doctors, not politicians.”

“I believe that the decision to start or grow a family is between a woman, her family, and her doctor—NOT politicians who have no place in the doctor’s office.”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Opposes abortion and supports pro-life legislation

Huizenga holds an uncompromising pro-life stance, asserting that human life must be protected beginning at conception. He served as his church's Right to Life representative for ten years and maintains an endorsement from the Right to Life of Michigan PAC.

  • Maintains that life begins at conception and opposes abortion rights
  • Served for 10 years as a Right to Life representative for his church in Zeeland
  • Endorsed by Right to Life of Michigan PAC

“The sanctity of life is close to my heart and dear to my family. Protecting life beginning with conception is a value that cannot be compromised and something that I will continue to fight for.”

05

Immigration & Border Security

medium salience

McCann advocates overhauling ICE and preserving legal immigration pathways, whereas Huizenga supports strict border enforcement, mandatory detentions/deportations for offenses, and opposes amnesty.

Democratic Sean McCann

Combines border security with legal pathways and ICE oversight

McCann supports securing the border against criminal threats while maintaining legal pathways for law-abiding immigrants. He criticizes aggressive conduct by federal immigration authorities and promises to overhaul ICE to ensure agent accountability.

  • Supports border security targeting criminals alongside legal immigration pathways
  • Pledges to overhaul ICE and hold federal agents accountable for unlawful actions
  • Opposes enforcement actions that disrupt local communities

“A world exists where we can have a secure border that stops criminals from entering our country while providing a path for those who follow the rule of law to come here legally.”

“In Congress, I will do everything in my power to overhaul ICE and hold agents accountable for illegal actions.”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Enforces border security and opposes amnesty

Huizenga supports strict border security, rule of law, and opposes amnesty for undocumented immigrants. In the 119th Congress, he voted for the Laken Riley Act to detain non-citizens arrested for theft and the Protect Our Communities from DUIs Act to deport non-citizens convicted of driving while impaired.

  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act (S.5) requiring detention of non-citizens arrested for theft or shoplifting
  • Voted for the Protect Our Communities from DUIs Act (H.R.875) making DUI grounds for deportation
  • Opposes granting amnesty to individuals residing in the U.S. without legal permission

“I will continue to advocate for immigration reform that respects the rule of law, protects our borders, and does not provide amnesty.”

06

Agriculture & Rural Policy

medium salience

McCann emphasizes enacting 'Right to Repair' laws and ending trade tariffs affecting farm exports, while Huizenga highlights his endorsements from traditional agricultural business groups.

Democratic Sean McCann

Supports Farm Bill, Right to Repair, and tariff relief

McCann focuses on supporting rural communities by pressing for swift reauthorization of the federal Farm Bill and proposing federal 'Right to Repair' legislation for farm machinery. He blames trade tariffs for increasing crop input costs and hurting export sales.

  • Supports passing the Farm Bill Reauthorization for rural infrastructure, workforce training, and conservation
  • Pledges to sponsor federal 'Right to Repair' legislation for agricultural equipment
  • Opposes retaliatory tariffs that harm export markets for Michigan crops like soybeans

“Congress needs to pass the Farm Bill Reauthorization to support farmers and rural communities through investment in infrastructure, workforce training, economic development, and conservation.”

“In Congress, I will push for “Right to Repair” legislation.”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Supports Michigan agricultural sector and rural economy

Huizenga emphasizes agriculture as a vital driver of West Michigan's economy, supporting policies that benefit livestock, pork, fruit, and floriculture growers. He has earned endorsements and honors from the Michigan Farm Bureau AgriPAC and the American Farm Bureau Federation.

  • Endorsed by the Michigan Farm Bureau AgriPAC
  • Received the American Farm Bureau Federation's 'Friend of Farm Bureau' award
  • Supports reduced regulatory burdens for West Michigan agricultural producers

“Agriculture is one of the strongest economic drivers in West Michigan... I have consistently fought for the hard working farmers in the Second District, and will continue to support West Michigan farmers and growers.”

07

Public Safety & Gun Policy

medium salience

McCann supports federal gun-violence prevention measures while funding police, while Huizenga holds an NRA endorsement and opposes gun restrictions.

Democratic Sean McCann

Supports gun violence prevention and police funding

McCann supports gun violence prevention initiatives alongside responsible firearm ownership. In the Michigan Senate, he voted repeatedly to fund police officers, firefighters, and community mental health programs.

  • Voted in the Michigan Legislature to fund police, firefighters, and mental health resources
  • Supports federal gun-violence prevention legislation
  • Promotes responsible gun ownership

“In the Michigan Legislature, I voted time and time again to fully fund our police, our firefighters, and programs that invested in mental health resources.”

“In Congress, I’ll continue to be that champion—supporting local law enforcement and gun-violence prevention while promoting responsible gun ownership in our communities.”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Defends Second Amendment rights and backs law enforcement

Huizenga strongly opposes gun restrictions and defends Second Amendment rights for law-abiding citizens. Endorsed by the National Rifle Association, he also supports policies that assist law enforcement and restore public order.

  • Endorsed by the National Rifle Association (NRA)
  • Opposes firearm restrictions for law-abiding gun owners
  • Supports law enforcement officers and community public safety measures

“As a longtime gun-owner, I support the right of all law-abiding citizens to exercise their constitutional right to own firearms and use firearms for lawful purposes.”

“He has stood with law enforcement and supported policies that restore order and protect Michigan families.”

08

Education

medium salience

McCann advocates expanding federal funding for public K-12 meals and pre-K programs, whereas Huizenga favors reducing federal oversight and expanding local control.

Democratic Sean McCann

Expands public education funding and K-12 programs

McCann supports expanding investments in public schools, technical education, free pre-K, and universal K-12 school meals. In the state legislature, he voted to fund extra teachers and school therapists while opposing private school voucher plans.

  • Voted in Michigan to fund public school teachers, social workers, free pre-K, and universal school meals
  • Supports technical education pathways alongside college prep programs
  • Opposes private school voucher proposals advocated by wealthy donors

“In the Michigan Legislature, I helped increase funding to hire more public-school teachers, social workers, and therapists; expand access to free pre-K; and make free school breakfasts and lunch available to all K-12 students.”

“Betsy DeVos, Elon Musk, and other billionaires who want to take away funding from public education are wrong, and I’ll stand up to them in Congress.”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Promotes local school control and limits federal intrusion

Huizenga advocates returning education policy decisions to state and local authorities while limiting federal mandates. In the 119th Congress, he voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act to restrict school athletic participation based on biological sex at birth.

  • Opposes federal education programs such as No Child Left Behind and Race to the Top
  • Voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act (H.R.28)
  • Advocates for local control over school governance and expanded educational options

“Programs like No Child Left Behind and Race to the Top constitute an unwarranted and unhelpful intrusion into matters that the people of Michigan and other states can decide on their own.”

09

Government Integrity & Voting Rights

medium salience

McCann champions independent redistricting and dark-money limits, while Huizenga voted for federal proof-of-citizenship voting requirements.

Democratic Sean McCann

Advocates ethics reform, independent redistricting, and voting access

McCann focuses on safeguarding democratic processes, protecting voting rights, and curbing politician self-enrichment. In Michigan, he supported independent redistricting initiatives and released a plan aimed at preventing politicians from profiting from office.

  • Supported independent redistricting efforts in Michigan
  • Released an ethics plan to restore trust in government and ban stock trading/self-enrichment by lawmakers
  • Advocates ending untraceable 'dark money' in political campaigns

“That’s why I’ve stood up for free and fair elections. I pushed forward independent redistricting efforts and will always fight against extremist attempts to undermine our elections.”

“We must have independently drawn district lines that keep politicians accountable. There must also be an end to untraceable “dark money” being spent in politics...”

Republican Bill Huizenga

Supports voter ID requirements and court limits

Huizenga supports federal election integrity measures and limiting judicial overreach. In the 119th Congress, he voted for the SAVE Act to mandate documentary proof of citizenship for federal election registration and the No Rogue Rulings Act to restrict nationwide injunctions by single district judges.

  • Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R.22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register to vote in federal elections
  • Voted for NORRA of 2025 (H.R.1526) limiting federal district court nationwide injunctions
  • Voted for the Epstein Files Transparency Act (H.R.4405)

“He has earned a reputation for fiscal discipline, government accountability, and standing firm on the issues that matter most.”

10

Veterans' Affairs

medium salience

Democratic Sean McCann

Protects VA funding and opposes budget cuts

McCann pledges to defend Veterans Affairs benefits and career training pathways for returning service members. He opposes federal spending cuts associated with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) that affect VA services.

  • Opposes DOGE spending cuts that impact VA programs and healthcare
  • Supports expanding job training and quality career pathways for veterans
  • Pledges to protect full VA benefits earned by military personnel

“In Congress, I’ll fight back against DOGE cuts impacting the VA that are undermining care.”

“Our veterans fought for our freedoms, and we owe it to them to be there when they come home.”

Republican Bill Huizenga No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

MI-04 House Election Winner

55.0% Republicans
43.0% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 55.0DEMOCRATS 43.0

Kalshi ↗

MI-04 House winner?

55.0% Bill Huizenga
48.0% Sean McCann
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16PARTY 66.0HUIZENGA 55.0MCCANN 48.0PARTY 39.0

Kalshi ↗

MI-04 Republican nominee?

99.0% Bill Huizenga
3.0% Philip Tanis
255075100AUG 2AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16HUIZENGA 99.0TANIS 3.0

Kalshi ↗

MI-04 Democratic nominee?

98.0% Sean McCann
2.0% Diop Harris
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16MCCANN 98.0HARRIS 2.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.