2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Maine Lean
Maine — 2nd District
Democratic
Matthew Dunlap
Republican
Paul LePage
The 2026 general election for Maine's 2nd Congressional District features an open-seat contest between Democratic State Auditor Matthew Dunlap and former Republican Governor Paul LePage, following incumbent Jared Golden's decision not to seek re-election. The race hinges on voters' views on economic relief, inflation, trade tariffs, healthcare reform, and immigration enforcement. Race rating forecasters overwhelmingly favor the Republican nominee, with Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating the race 'Likely Republican', and DDHQ/The Hill rating it 'Lean Republican'.
Economy, Inflation, and Tariffs
high salienceDunlap advocates lifting blanket tariffs and investing in universal childcare and affordable housing, while LePage focuses on eliminating federal spending, cutting taxes, and reducing regulatory red tape.
Matthew Dunlap
Supports lifting blanket tariffs and expanding middle-class relief
Dunlap attributes rising prices and economic uncertainty to the Trump administration's blanket tariffs, which he argues burden working families. He advocates for lifting blanket tariffs while strategically targeting unfair foreign trade practices, paired with federal investments in universal childcare, good-paying jobs, and affordable housing.
- Lift Trump's blanket tariffs while strategically applying targeted trade tariffs against foreign competitors
- Invest in universal childcare and a surge in affordable housing to lower living costs
- Require billionaires and large corporations to pay higher taxes
“Prices are rising fast, and thanks to the Trump Administration, they’re not coming down.”
“In Congress, I’ll fight for universal childcare, good-paying jobs, and a surge in affordable housing to help our neighbors manage a middle-class life again.”
Paul LePage
Supports tax cuts and federal spending reduction
LePage promises to curb inflation by eliminating wasteful government spending enacted under the Biden administration. He advocates for lower taxes, cutting regulatory red tape, and creating Maine jobs through pro-growth policies.
- Eliminate wasteful federal spending to curb inflation
- Reduce taxes and cut burdensome regulatory red tape
- Promote pro-growth business policies to expand job creation
“He will work to eliminate wasteful spending which drove up inflation under Biden.”
“Lower taxes. Less red tape. More jobs for Maine families.”
Healthcare and Medicare
high salienceDunlap advocates for a transition to a single-payer Medicare for All system and ACA tax credits, whereas LePage pledges to protect existing Medicare benefits while opposing expanding certain healthcare access measures.
Matthew Dunlap
Supports Medicare for All
Dunlap advocates for transitioning to a single-payer Medicare for All healthcare system to remove corporate insurance control and lower consumer costs. He also supports re-establishing ACA tax credits to maintain immediate coverage affordability.
- Transition to a single-payer Medicare for All healthcare system
- Re-establish ACA tax credits to lower insurance costs
- Eliminate the profit motive of health insurance and pharmaceutical conglomerates
“It's past time to move towards a Medicare-for-all system that puts people’s health and financial well-being over private profits for health insurance companies and executives.”
“re-establish [ACA] tax credits, but overall, I think the real answer is Medicare-for-All and just cut to the chase.”
Paul LePage
Supports protecting Medicare benefits
LePage pledges to safeguard Medicare benefits for senior citizens. As governor, he vetoed legislation aimed at expanding access to naloxone and modifying state health insurance laws.
- Protect Medicare benefits for senior citizens
- Opposed expanded access to naloxone during gubernatorial tenure citing concerns over drug use consequences
“Paul has always protected, and will always protect, Social Security and Medicare.”
“Clearly, the lack of consequences for serious drug use is having the opposite effect from what is advertised”
Border Security and Immigration
medium salienceLePage supports completing the border wall and stopping refugee placements, while Dunlap opposes federal ICE raids that separate local communities.
Matthew Dunlap
Opposes disruptive ICE enforcement raids
Dunlap pledges to oppose immigration enforcement raids by federal authorities that divide local communities in Maine.
- Oppose ICE raids that separate local families and communities
“He'll stand up to ICE raids tearing apart Maine communities...”
Paul LePage
Supports finishing the border wall
LePage calls for completing construction of the southern border wall, halting illegal immigration, and restoring law and order. During his term as governor, he strongly opposed placing Syrian refugees in Maine due to national security concerns.
- Finish construction of the southern border wall
- End illegal immigration and restore law and order
- Oppose federal placement of unvetted refugees in Maine
“Paul will fight to finish the wall, end illegal immigration, and restore law and order.”
“To bring Syrian refugees into our country without knowing who they are is to invite an attack on American soil...”
Abortion and Reproductive Rights
medium salienceDunlap advocates establishing safe access to reproductive healthcare as a constitutional right, while LePage has no documented stance in the provided sources.
Matthew Dunlap
Supports constitutional right to abortion
Dunlap advocates for establishing safe access to reproductive health care as a constitutional right, arguing women should make their own health decisions without government interference.
- Establish reproductive health care access as a constitutional right
- Protect women's rights to make independent reproductive medical decisions
“The decision to terminate a pregnancy belongs to the woman faced with whatever circumstances that affect her, and no one should have the right to predetermine what health choices any woman makes.”
“Safe access to reproductive health care should be a constitutional right.”
Democracy and Election Administration
medium salienceDunlap highlights his legal victory disbanding Trump's voter-fraud commission and opposes voter ID and absentee ballot restrictions, while LePage has no documented stance in the provided sources.
Matthew Dunlap
Opposes restrictive voting laws
Dunlap highlights his record as Maine Secretary of State suing and successfully disbanding President Trump's voter-fraud commission. He opposes mid-term redistricting pushes, voter ID mandates, and absentee ballot restrictions.
- Sued and disbanded President Trump's voter-fraud commission
- Oppose voter ID requirements and restrictions on absentee voting
- Resist partisan mid-term redistricting initiatives
“When I was Secretary of State, I sued Trump’s sham voter-fraud commission. I won and got it disbanded.”
“Republicans are also pushing for restrictions on absentee ballots and voter identification requirements—proposals recently defeated by Maine voters.”
Labor and Workers' Rights
medium salienceDunlap pledges 100% support for labor unions and the PRO Act, whereas LePage has no documented position in the provided sources.
Matthew Dunlap
Supports PRO Act and labor unions
Dunlap, a former union member, pledges full support for labor unions and legislation protecting workers' rights, such as the PRO Act. He advocates for defending fair wages, safe working environments, and organizing rights.
- Support passage of the PRO Act
- Protect worker organizing rights, fair wages, and workplace safety
- Utilize strategic tariffs to protect domestic workers from unfair foreign competition
“As a former labor union member, I’ll be a steadfast pro-union voice in Congress. That means fighting for workers’ rights through legislation like the PRO Act...”
Gun Policy and Second Amendment
low salienceLePage explicitly pledges to defend Second Amendment rights against government overreach, while Dunlap's 2026 campaign platform contains no documented policy stance.
Paul LePage
Supports Second Amendment rights
LePage promises to defend Second Amendment firearm rights and oppose gun control measures that he views as government overreach.
- Defend Second Amendment gun ownership rights
- Oppose government overreach regarding firearm regulations
“Paul will defend your Second Amendment rights, fight government overreach, and stand up for parents and families.”
Cryptocurrency and Technology Policy
low salienceLePage supports protecting Americans' rights to trade and invest in cryptocurrency without federal interference, while Dunlap has no documented position in the sources.
Paul LePage
Supports cryptocurrency deregulatory policies
LePage supports protecting Americans' freedom to buy, trade, and invest in cryptocurrency without unnecessary government regulation, asserting that the U.S. should lead in financial technology innovation.
- Protect Americans' rights to buy, trade, and invest in cryptocurrency
- Reduce burdensome technology regulations to keep crypto innovation in the U.S.
“Paul supports the right of Americans to buy, trade, and invest in cryptocurrency without unnecessary government interference.”
Veterans Affairs
low salienceLePage promises to protect veterans' healthcare and earned benefits, whereas Dunlap has no documented position in the sources.
Paul LePage
Supports protecting veterans' benefits
LePage highlights his family's advocacy for veterans' organizations and pledges to protect healthcare services and earned benefits for military veterans in Congress.
- Protect veterans' healthcare access and benefits
- Support local veterans' charities and organizations
“In Congress, Paul will fight to protect Veterans healthcare and the benefits earned by the men and women who served.”
Social Security and Senior Benefits
medium salienceBoth candidates pledge to protect Social Security, with Dunlap proposing to fund senior programs by increasing taxes on corporations and high earners.
Matthew Dunlap
Supports strengthening Social Security benefits
Dunlap advocates for strengthening Social Security benefits, funding senior programs by requiring corporations and wealthy individuals to pay higher taxes.
Paul LePage
Supports protecting Social Security benefits
LePage pledges to safeguard Social Security benefits for senior citizens, citing his record of protecting taxpayers and seniors as governor.