Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Kansas Likely D

Kansas — 3rd District

The 2026 general election for Kansas's 3rd Congressional District features three-term Democratic incumbent Sharice Davids facing Republican challenger Eric Jenkins, a retired U.S. Army Colonel and former Shawnee City Council president. Davids and Jenkins won their respective party primaries on August 4, 2026, advancing to the November 3, 2026 general election. Major election handicappers rate the district as Solid Democratic (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections) or Likely Democratic (Sabato's Crystal Ball, DDHQ/The Hill). The matchup hinges on federal spending, border security, healthcare affordability, reproductive rights, clean energy investments, and infrastructure development.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
94.5%
Republicans
5.5%
Kalshi ↗
Sharice Davids
98.1%
Eric Jenkins
8.8%
Kalshi ↗
Eric Jenkins
99.0%
Chase LaPorte
1.0%
Blake Stanley
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Sharice Davids
98.0%
Sarah Preu
3.0%

All markets →

01

Economy, government spending, and taxes

high salience

Davids emphasizes middle-class cost relief, corporate tax accountability, and infrastructure investment, whereas Jenkins advocates for federal spending cuts, a balanced budget requirement, and permanent Trump-era tax cuts.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Lowers living costs through fiscal accountability

Davids focuses on lowering daily costs for families, curbing price gouging, and reducing the national debt through responsible spending and closing corporate tax loopholes. She highlights voting for bipartisan manufacturing and infrastructure legislation while supporting budget rules to ensure fiscal accountability.

  • Voted for the CHIPS and Science Act and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law to spur domestic manufacturing and job creation.
  • Supported deficit reduction legislation lowering the national debt by $300 billion and backed Pay-As-You-Go budget rules.
  • Introduced legislation to curb gas price gouging and secured $41 million in savings for Kansas taxpayers on federal water storage contracts.

“Growing up with a single mom, I understand how hard families work to make ends meet. That’s why I’m focused on lowering costs for everyday essentials, creating good-paying jobs, and ensuring fiscal responsibility in government spending.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Supports spending cuts and balanced budget

Jenkins argues that excessive federal spending drives inflation and a crushing national debt that threatens future generations. He advocates for balancing the federal budget, eliminating duplicative programs, cutting regulatory burdens, and making Trump-era tax cuts permanent.

  • Oppose deficit spending and push for a balanced budget framework.
  • Eliminate wasteful and duplicative federal programs and cut red tape.
  • Extend and make permanent the Trump-era tax cuts for working families while opposing broad-based tax increases.

“Washington has a spending problem — and Kansas families are paying for it through inflation, higher taxes, and a crushing national debt that threatens future generations.”

02

Border security and immigration

high salience

Davids supports pairing border enforcement resources with legal pathways to citizenship for Dreamers, while Jenkins advocates completing the southern border wall, ending catch-and-release, and defunding sanctuary cities.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports comprehensive reform and border security

Davids supports securing the southern border while pursuing comprehensive immigration reform that provides earned pathways to citizenship for Dreamers. She has voted for bipartisan border enforcement bills and enhanced interdiction resources targeting illegal fentanyl.

  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act to detain noncitizens arrested for burglary, theft, or shoplifting.
  • Voted for the Protect Our Communities from DUIs Act to make driving while impaired grounds for deportation or inadmissibility.
  • Advocated for comprehensive reform with border resources and pathways to citizenship for DACA recipients.

“On immigration, we need comprehensive reform that secures our borders, provides pathways to citizenship for Dreamers, and treats those seeking a better life with dignity and fairness.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Supports wall completion and enforcement

Jenkins considers border security a top national security imperative, supporting the completion of the southern border wall. He advocates for ending catch-and-release practices, defunding sanctuary cities, and enforcing existing immigration laws.

  • Complete and maintain a secure southern border wall.
  • End catch-and-release and strictly enforce federal immigration laws on the books.
  • Defund cities that obstruct federal immigration enforcement and stop fentanyl trafficking across the border.

“A nation without borders is not a nation. Eric supports common-sense immigration enforcement that respects the rule of law and puts American workers and communities first.”

03

Abortion and reproductive rights

medium salience

Davids supports federal codification of abortion rights and expanded access to family planning, whereas Jenkins stands on a pro-life platform.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports federal abortion rights and contraception

Davids advocates for codifying abortion rights into federal law and protecting individuals' freedom to make healthcare decisions without government interference. She opposes nationwide abortion bans and supports expanding access to family planning and contraception.

  • Voted for the Women's Health Protection Act to establish federal legal protections for abortion.
  • Introduced the Expanding Access to Family Planning Act to broaden contraception access.
  • Joined amicus briefs supporting continued access to medication abortion like mifepristone.

“Every Kansan deserves the freedom to make their own health care decisions without interference from politicians. I believe in protecting access to reproductive health care, including the right to safe and legal abortion.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Pro-life

Jenkins identifies as pro-life, listing it among his foundational conservative principles alongside pro-family and pro-Second Amendment values.

  • Maintains a pro-life stance as part of a commonsense conservative platform.

“Pro-Life. Pro-Family. Pro-2nd Amendment. A Commonsense Focus.”

04

Gun safety and Second Amendment rights

medium salience

Davids supports universal background checks and red flag laws, whereas Jenkins pledges to defend Second Amendment rights against any federal restrictions.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports common-sense gun safety laws

Davids supports bipartisan gun safety legislation including universal background checks and red flag laws to protect communities while respecting responsible gun ownership. She refuses campaign contributions from gun rights lobby groups.

  • Voted for the bipartisan Safer Communities Act to enhance background check processes for young buyers.
  • Supports universal background checks and red flag laws to keep firearms away from dangerous individuals.
  • Secured over $27 million in federal grants for local law enforcement and crime prevention.

“Tragedies like these remind us of the urgent need for common-sense, bipartisan gun safety measures that keep our kids and communities safe while respecting responsible gun ownership.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Defends Second Amendment rights against restrictions

Jenkins opposes unconstitutional gun restrictions and pledges to defend Second Amendment rights. He views constitutional protections as God-given rights that government must uphold.

  • Defend Second Amendment rights against any unconstitutional restrictions.
  • Oppose federal mandates that strip states and individuals of their autonomy.

“Defend Second Amendment rights against any unconstitutional restrictions”

05

National security and veterans

medium salience

Both candidates support strong veterans' healthcare and local installations like Fort Leavenworth, though Jenkins highlights military modernization and foreign ally accountability, while Davids emphasizes toxic exposure expansion and veteran entrepreneurship.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports veterans' benefits and defense funding

Davids prioritizes expanding veterans' healthcare and supporting military families, inspired by her mother's 20-year Army career. She voted for the PACT Act for burn pit victims and supported annual defense authorization acts.

  • Voted for the Honoring our PACT Act to expand healthcare to 3.5 million toxic-exposed veterans.
  • Introduced the SERV Act to assist veteran entrepreneurs in launching small businesses.
  • Voted for the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for FY 2024.

“My moms served in the Army for 20 years, so I have a deep appreciation for the sacrifices made by our servicemembers and their families. I’m committed to ensuring that veterans receive the benefits, health care, and support they’ve earned.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Supports military modernization and veterans' care

Jenkins draws on his 34-year Army career as a retired Colonel to advocate for fully funding and modernizing the U.S. military. He focuses on holding allies accountable, strengthening Kansas military bases like Fort Leavenworth, and providing top-quality veterans' healthcare.

  • Fully fund and modernize the U.S. military to deter foreign adversaries.
  • Support veterans with earned healthcare benefits and strengthen Fort Leavenworth.
  • Hold allies accountable for defense commitments and oppose foreign entanglements.

“As a Retired Army Colonel with over three decades of service, Eric Jenkins understands — at a bone-deep level — what our military needs to keep America safe.”

06

Energy and climate policy

medium salience

Davids prioritizes clean energy subsidies, wind expansion, and federal climate investments, whereas Jenkins advocates all-of-the-above energy production and opposes federal mandates like the Green New Deal.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports clean energy investment and renewables

Davids promotes clean energy investments in wind, ethanol, and electric vehicle technology as key economic drivers for Kansas. She supported federal climate provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act to lower utility bills and reduce emissions.

  • Voted for the Inflation Reduction Act, spurring over 20,000 clean energy jobs in Kansas' 3rd District.
  • Worked to increase ethanol-based fuel production to lower vehicle emissions and support local agriculture.
  • Supported investments in electric vehicle infrastructure, transit, and home weatherization.

“Kansas has incredible potential in wind and renewable energy, and by investing in sustainable technologies, we can protect our planet for future generations and create good-paying jobs in the process.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Supports energy independence and opposes Green New Deal

Jenkins advocates for an all-of-the-above energy strategy encompassing oil, natural gas, nuclear, and renewables to achieve energy independence. He strongly opposes the Green New Deal and climate mandates that elevate household utility costs.

  • Support American energy independence across oil, gas, nuclear, and renewables.
  • Oppose the Green New Deal and energy regulations that increase costs for families.

“Oppose the Green New Deal and energy policies that raise household costs”

07

Infrastructure and local development

low salience

Davids highlights her seat on the Transportation Committee and passage of multi-billion dollar federal infrastructure packages, while Jenkins focuses on local budget discipline and expanding rural broadband access.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports federal infrastructure funding for KS-03

As a member of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, Davids secured federal investments to upgrade Kansas roads, bridges, public transit, lead water pipes, and regional airports. She championed funding for critical corridors like U.S. Highway 69.

  • Voted for the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, directing over $3.3 billion to Kansas for transportation and water projects.
  • Secured federal funds to modernize U.S. Highway 69 and replace 54,000 lead pipes across Kansas.
  • Helped secure the Panasonic electric vehicle battery manufacturing facility in De Soto, creating 4,000 jobs.

“Whether it’s the roads we drive on, the bridges we cross, or the water we drink, these investments directly impact our quality of life.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Supports broadband expansion and local budget discipline

Jenkins supports focusing public infrastructure on core essential services while avoiding unnecessary debt. On the federal level, he prioritizes expanding broadband access to underserved areas in the 3rd District.

  • Grow broadband access in underserved areas of the 3rd District.
  • Prioritize funding core public infrastructure efficiently without debt spending.

“Grow broadband access in underserved areas of the 3rd District”

08

Agriculture and food supply

low salience

Davids highlights her House Agriculture Subcommittee leadership and Kansas Farm Bureau endorsement, while Jenkins focuses on rolling back federal regulations and fighting for fair trade deals.

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports Farm Bill reauthorization and crop insurance

Davids serves as Ranking Member on the House Agriculture General Farm Commodities, Risk Management, and Credit Subcommittee, working to protect crop insurance and support Kansas agricultural producers. She earned the Kansas Farm Bureau endorsement for her work on rural economies.

  • Conducted a Farm Bill listening tour across every county in Kansas' 3rd District.
  • Introduced the Resilient Food Supply Chain and Affordability Act to strengthen local food systems.
  • Endorsed by the Kansas Farm Bureau in 2024 for supporting crop insurance and ethanol fuel.

“Agriculture is the backbone of Kansas’ economy, and I’m committed to ensuring that farmers, ranchers, and producers have the tools they need to succeed for generations to come.”

Republican Eric Jenkins

Supports regulatory reduction and fair trade

Jenkins advocates for cutting federal regulatory burdens on Kansas farmers and securing fair trade deals that protect state agricultural and manufacturing products.

  • Reduce the regulatory burden on Kansas businesses and farmers.
  • Fight for fair trade deals that protect Kansas agriculture and manufacturing.

“Fight for fair trade deals that protect Kansas agriculture and manufacturing”

09

Healthcare and prescription drug costs

medium salience

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports expanding healthcare and lowering drug prices

Davids views healthcare as a right and focuses on strengthening the Affordable Care Act, expanding Medicaid in Kansas, and capping out-of-pocket prescription drug costs. She supported provisions empowering Medicare to negotiate lower drug prices for seniors.

  • Voted for the Inflation Reduction Act to cap senior insulin costs at $35/month and out-of-pocket drug costs at $2,000/year.
  • Empowered Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices, delivering savings on essential medications.
  • Advocates expanding Medicaid in Kansas to extend healthcare coverage to 165,000 residents.

“Health care is a right, not a privilege, and every Kansan deserves access to affordable, high-quality care.”

Republican Eric Jenkins No documented position in our sources
10

Elections and voting rights

low salience

Democratic Sharice Davids

Supports federal voting protections and ethics reform

Davids supports federal legislation to protect voting rights, reduce special interest influence, and ban congressional insider trading. She voted against the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voting registration.

  • Voted for the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act and co-sponsored the For the People Act.
  • Voted against the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring proof of citizenship documentation for federal election registration.
  • Supported banning congressional insider trading and voted against congressional pay raises.

“Democracy works best when every voice is heard, and that means protecting the right to vote and ensuring our government serves the people — not special interests.”

Republican Eric Jenkins No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

KS-03 House Election Winner

94.5% Democrats
5.5% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 94.5REPUBLICANS 5.5

Kalshi ↗

KS-03 House winner?

98.1% Sharice Davids
8.8% Eric Jenkins
255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16DAVIDS 98.1JENKINS 8.8PARTY 7.4

Kalshi ↗

KS-03 Republican nominee?

99.0% Eric Jenkins
1.0% Chase LaPorte
1.0% Blake Stanley
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16JENKINS 99.0LAPORTE 1.0STANLEY 1.0

Kalshi ↗

KS-03 Democratic nominee?

98.0% Sharice Davids
3.0% Sarah Preu
255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16DAVIDS 98.0PREU 3.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.