Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Kansas Likely R

Kansas — 2nd District

In Kansas' 2nd Congressional District, freshman Republican incumbent Derek Schmidt faces Democratic nominee Don Coover, a West Point graduate, Army veteran, veterinarian, and rancher, in the November 3, 2026 general election. Schmidt's campaign highlights his conservative record as former state attorney general and his congressional votes on border security, federal spending, and regulatory reform. Coover's campaign centers on a populist, nonpartisan message focused on inflation, rural hospital closures, and replacing career politicians with working-class leaders. Major rating outlets view the seat as comfortably Republican, with Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rating it Solid Republican, Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Safe Republican, and DDHQ/The Hill rating it Likely Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
92.0%
Democrats
7.5%
Kalshi ↗
Derek Schmidt
90.0%
Don Coover
6.7%
Kalshi ↗
Derek Schmidt
99.0%
Chad Young
3.0%
Kalshi ↗
Don Coover
99.0%
Braeden Curwick
1.0%

All markets →

01

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

Schmidt emphasizes curbing federal spending and extending tax cuts, while Coover focuses on relief from rising grocery and housing costs through working-class representation.

Democratic Don Coover

Supports lowering costs for working families

Coover criticizes Washington politicians for failing to curb inflation and rising living expenses. He advocates for fiscally responsible federal policies that spend within means and reward working-class families struggling with essential costs.

  • Highlights rising costs of groceries and housing as key drivers of local community distress.
  • Calls for congress members to spend within their means and prioritize working people over party leaders.

“We all see it with rising grocery and housing costs and the closing of local hospitals. And politicians in Washington keep making things worse.”

Republican Derek Schmidt

Supports tax cuts and spending reform

Schmidt emphasizes reducing federal spending to curb inflation and extending tax cuts for families, small businesses, and agricultural producers. In the 119th Congress, he voted for major reconciliation and budget legislation aligned with Republican economic priorities.

  • Voted for H.R.1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act), addressing federal tax policy and spending reconciliation.
  • Voted for H.Con.Res.14 to establish the congressional budget framework.
  • Advocates extending tax relief through the Working Families Tax Cut.

“stop the federal government from making daily life increasingly expensive and difficult.”

02

Government Reform and Federal Overreach

medium salience

Schmidt focuses on curbing executive regulations and federal judicial power, whereas Coover emphasizes replacing career politicians with working-class leaders to break Washington gridlock.

Democratic Don Coover

Advocates practical, nonpartisan governance

Coover argues that federal politics is fundamentally broken due to career politicians focusing on party leadership and re-election. He advocates for electing representatives with real-world working experience who will cooperate across party lines.

  • Pledges to bring working-class representation to decision-making in Washington.
  • Criticizes politicians who prioritize national party orders over local district impacts.

“For me, this isn’t about party or politics. We just need to get folks in the room who actually feel the impacts of the policies being made in Washington on communities like mine.”

“I’d like the folks who know what it’s like to put in a hard day’s work to be making the decisions again in Washington.”

Republican Derek Schmidt

Opposes federal overreach and bureaucracy

Schmidt focuses on curbing executive branch regulations and federal overreach. His legislative record includes voting for national election integrity standards and restricting federal court nationwide injunctions.

  • Voted for the SAVE Act (H.R.22) requiring proof of citizenship to register for federal elections.
  • Voted for NORRA of 2025 (H.R.1526) to limit federal district court authority regarding nationwide injunctions.
  • Supported 2022 Kansas Constitutional Amendment 1 to allow legislative vetoes of state executive agency regulations.

“fight overreach from a federal government that doesn't understand or respect our way of life”

03

Border Security and Immigration

high salience
Democratic Don Coover No documented position in our sources

Republican Derek Schmidt

Supports strict border enforcement and deportations

Schmidt advocates for strong southern border enforcement and strict immigration laws. He supported congressional measures to detain non-citizens charged with crimes and authorize state lawsuits over federal border enforcement.

  • Voted for the Laken Riley Act (S.5) requiring detention of undocumented immigrants arrested for theft or burglary.
  • Voted for H.R.875 to make driving while impaired grounds for non-citizen deportation or inadmissibility.
  • Co-sponsored Sarah's Law to address crimes committed by unauthorized migrants.

“In Congress, I will work to secure our border, fight overreach from a federal government that doesn't understand or respect our way of life, and stop the federal government from making daily life increasingly expensive and difficult.”

04

Healthcare and Community Services

medium salience

Democratic Don Coover

Supports preserving rural healthcare facilities

Coover identifies rural hospital closures as a primary symptom of broken policy in Washington. He supports federal initiatives that protect rural infrastructure and maintain local medical services.

  • Highlights the closure of local hospitals as a major issue facing Kansas communities.

“We all see it with rising grocery and housing costs and the closing of local hospitals.”

Republican Derek Schmidt No documented position in our sources
05

Defense and Military Affairs

medium salience
Democratic Don Coover No documented position in our sources

Republican Derek Schmidt

Supports military installations and veterans

Schmidt serves on the House Armed Services Committee and prioritizes resource allocation for Kansas military installations. He advocates for robust national defense funding and comprehensive support for military personnel and veterans.

  • Serves on Armed Services subcommittees for Military Personnel, Readiness, and Tactical Air and Land Forces.
  • Advocates for funding and support for Fort Riley, Fort Leavenworth, and Forbes Field.

“Kansans know me and my longstanding support for our freedoms that generations of Americans have sacrificed so much to defend, for law and order, for Veterans and those currently serving in our armed forces”

06

Agriculture and Rural Affairs

medium salience
Democratic Don Coover No documented position in our sources

Republican Derek Schmidt

Supports Kansas agricultural producers

Schmidt emphasizes strong support for Kansas farmers and ranchers, serving on relevant small business subcommittees and earning endorsements from state agricultural groups.

  • Serves on the House Small Business Subcommittee on Rural Development, Energy, and Supply Chains.
  • Endorsed by the Kansas Farm Bureau, Kansas Livestock Association, and National Sorghum Producers.

“for farmers and ranchers, for small businesses, for our great Kansas colleges and universities, for life, and for the Second Amendment.”

07

Public Safety and Law Enforcement

medium salience
Democratic Don Coover No documented position in our sources

Republican Derek Schmidt

Supports law enforcement and crime victims

Schmidt highlights his record as former state attorney general to advocate for law enforcement agencies, victim support, and fraud prevention. He supported measures protecting local law enforcement structure and increasing federal transparency.

  • Supported 2022 Kansas Constitutional Amendment 2 protecting elected county sheriffs.
  • Voted for the Epstein Files Transparency Act (H.R.4405) to release DOJ records.
  • Endorsed by the Kansas Sheriffs Association and Kansas State Council of Fire Fighters.

“Kansans know me and my longstanding support for our freedoms that generations of Americans have sacrificed so much to defend, for law and order”

08

Women and Girls in Sports

low salience
Democratic Don Coover No documented position in our sources

Republican Derek Schmidt

Restricts transgender participation in female sports

Schmidt voted in favor of federal legislation prohibiting school athletic programs from allowing biological male athletes to compete in sports designated for women or girls.

  • Voted for H.R.28 (Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025).

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

KS-02 House Election Winner

92.0% Republicans
7.5% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 92.0DEMOCRATS 7.5

Kalshi ↗

KS-02 House winner?

90.0% Derek Schmidt
6.7% Don Coover
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16SCHMIDT 90.0COOVER 6.7

Kalshi ↗

KS-02 Republican nominee?

99.0% Derek Schmidt
3.0% Chad Young
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16SCHMIDT 99.0YOUNG 3.0

Kalshi ↗

KS-02 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Don Coover
1.0% Braeden Curwick
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16COOVER 99.0CURWICK 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.