Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Florida Toss-up

Florida — 25th District

Portrait of Jared Evan Moskowitz

Democrat

Jared Evan Moskowitz

In Florida's 25th Congressional District, incumbent Democratic Representative Jared Evan Moskowitz faces Republican Scott Singer, the former Mayor of Boca Raton, in a newly drawn district that major forecasters rate as a Toss-up. Redistricting significantly altered District 25, incorporating leftover territory where Donald Trump carried the 2024 presidential vote 54.2% to 45.0%. The race hinges on cost-of-living relief, border security, public safety, and foreign policy regarding Israel. Both candidates bring extensive South Florida local government experience, setting up a competitive general election battleground.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
71.5%
Republicans
29.0%
Kalshi ↗
Jared Moskowitz
73.0%
Scott Singer
27.0%
Kalshi ↗
Scott Singer
99.0%
Joe Kaufman
1.0%
Claudia Villatoro
1.0%
George Moraitis
1.0%
Dan Franzese
1.0%
Raven Harrison
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Jared Moskowitz
99.0%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
1.0%
Oliver Larkin
1.0%

All markets →

01

Economy, Taxes, and Cost of Living

high salience

Singer pledges never to raise taxes and highlights cutting Boca Raton's tax rate seven times, while Moskowitz focuses on targeted federal investments in workforce housing, prescription drug affordability, and middle-class cost reductions.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports middle-class tax relief and cost reductions

Moskowitz emphasizes lowering the cost of living in South Florida through investments in workforce housing, renter protections, and reducing expenses on gasoline and prescription drugs. As a Broward County commissioner, he advocated for over 1,000 affordable housing units, and in Congress, he opposes GOP tax proposals that he argues harm working families.

  • Advocated for over 1,000 new affordable housing units while serving on the Broward County Commission.
  • Voted against H.R. 1 (2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act reconciliation bill) and H.R. 2811 (Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023).
  • Proposes expanding federal funds for workforce housing, renter protections, and lowering gas prices and household goods costs.

“South Florida has become one of the country’s least affordable communities. In Congress, Jared is committed to taking concrete actions to reduce the cost of living when it comes to housing, property insurance, inflation, gasoline, groceries, and other basic household goods.”

Republican Scott Singer

Opposes tax hikes and promotes deregulation

Singer's economic platform focuses on cutting taxes, eliminating red tape, and reducing inflation through free-market policies and spending discipline. Drawing on his mayoral record of lowering property taxes seven consecutive years in Boca Raton, he pledges to oppose all tax hikes, make permanent Trump-era tax cuts, and eliminate taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security.

  • Voted seven consecutive times as Boca Raton mayor to lower city property tax rates, achieving the lowest tax rate of any full-service city in Florida.
  • Pledges to oppose all tax increases and support federal legislation eliminating taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security.
  • Led 21 streamlining initiatives as mayor to cut red tape and bureaucratic costs for local businesses.

“As mayor, I cut tax rates seven straight times so that Boca Raton had the lowest tax-rate of any full-service city in Florida. I led 21 streamlining initiatives to cut red tape and costs, adding thousands of high-paying jobs.”

“Rep. Moskowitz opposed all of this, voting for the biggest tax hike in history, hurting families, business, seniors, and our community.”

02

Immigration and Border Security

high salience

Singer advocates for comprehensive border enforcement, supporting the SAVE Act and merit-based immigration, whereas Moskowitz has voted for select enforcement bills like the Laken Riley Act while opposing broader GOP border measures.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports targeted border enforcement legislation

Moskowitz has taken a selective approach to border security, supporting specific bipartisan immigration enforcement legislation while opposing broader Republican immigration packages. He voted in favor of the Laken Riley Act requiring detention of undocumented immigrants arrested for theft crimes, but opposed measures like the SAVE Act and DUI deportation legislation.

  • Voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) to require detention of undocumented immigrants arrested for burglary, theft, or larceny.
  • Voted Nay on the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register for federal elections.
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 875 making driving while impaired grounds for deportation or inadmissibility.

Republican Scott Singer

Supports border closure and strict enforcement

Singer advocates for securing the U.S. border, reinstating Trump-era border policies, and removing undocumented immigrants convicted of crimes. He frames border security as a public safety and national security imperative vital for halting the influx of fentanyl and opioids.

  • Supports the SAVE America Act and border security policies to turn back illegal crossings.
  • Proposes a merit-based legal immigration system for individuals who respect the law and share American values.
  • Links border enforcement directly to combatting human trafficking and stopping lethal fentanyl and opioid flows.

“Under Biden, millions of people streamed across our border without vetting, leading to violent crime, lawlessness, and human trafficking. We need to secure our borders and remove dangerous criminals from our streets.”

“A secure border is vital to stopping the flow of lethal fentanyl and opioids that kills thousands. Immigration should be a merit-based approach for those who respect the law and share American values.”

03

Foreign Policy, Israel, and Antisemitism

high salience

While both candidates strongly support Israel and combatting antisemitism, Singer frames foreign policy through the America First lens and targeting campus foreign influence, whereas Moskowitz emphasizes traditional alliance-building and military assistance to Ukraine.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports strong U.S.-Israel ties and Ukraine aid

As Ranking Member of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Oversight and Accountability, Moskowitz positions himself as a staunch defender of Israel, support for Ukraine, and a leader in combatting antisemitism. He supports continued U.S. military assistance to Israel, keeping the U.S. embassy in Jerusalem, and aggressively opposing the BDS movement.

  • Ranking Member of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Oversight and Accountability and member of the Subcommittee on East Asia, the Pacific, and the Indo-Pacific.
  • Pledges 100% commitment to U.S. military assistance to Israel, keeping the U.S. embassy in Jerusalem, and fighting the BDS movement.
  • Supports U.S. assistance to Ukraine against Russia's invasion and diplomatic ties across the Western Hemisphere.

“Jared has led on key foreign policy issues, including America’s unwavering support for Israel, backing Ukraine in the face of Russia’s unprovoked war, and strengthening diplomatic ties throughout the Western Hemisphere.”

“Today, antisemitism is on the rise globally and the U.S.-Israel relationship is more important than ever. Jared is 100% committed to continuing U.S. military assistance to Israel; keeping the U.S. embassy in Jerusalem; and strengthening economic, diplomatic and military ties with Israel.”

Republican Scott Singer

Supports America First strategy and Israel

Singer's foreign policy centers on the America First doctrine, supporting Israel, stopping a nuclear Iran, and confronting foreign threats from China, Russia, and Iran. He serves on the U.S. Advisory Board of the Combat Antisemitism Movement and promises to defund universities that accept foreign funding for programming.

  • Serves on the U.S. Advisory Board for the Combat Antisemitism Movement and as Chair of the America First Policy Institute's Mayors Council.
  • Supports President Trump's efforts to prevent a nuclear Iran and maintain peace through strength.
  • Advocates banning federal funding for American universities and schools that receive foreign funding for programming.

“I’ve fought against antisemitism. As a Jewish person, I understand the need to protect our Jewish community and schools that are under attack more than ever. I will stand strongly with Israel, our strongest ally, and against demonizing Israel or Zionists.”

“I oppose the rise in anti-Westernism and pro-socialism by the Left and on campuses. I would ban American universities that receive foreign funding for programming from receiving federal dollars.”

04

Gun Policy, Crime, and Public Safety

medium salience

Moskowitz advocates for banning assault weapons and expanding red flag laws nationwide, whereas Singer opposes new gun restrictions, focusing instead on law enforcement funding and mental health treatment.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports assault weapon bans and red flag laws

A graduate of Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School, Moskowitz has made gun violence prevention a central pillar of his career. In the Florida Legislature, he helped pass the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School Public Safety Act, which raised the gun purchase age to 21 and enacted red flag laws, and in Congress, he advocates for a federal assault weapons ban and co-founded the Bipartisan School Safety and Security Caucus.

  • Primary author/architect of Florida's Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School Public Safety Act raising firearm purchasing age from 18 to 21 and establishing red flag laws.
  • Supports federal legislation to ban assault weapons and standardize red flag laws nationwide.
  • Co-founded the Bipartisan School Safety and Security Caucus in the U.S. House.

“After the tragic 2018 mass shooting at his alma mater, Jared became a leading advocate for gun safety and mental health reform. He played a key role in crafting and passing the bipartisan Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School Public Safety Act...”

“In Congress, Jared will fight to make this law a model for the nation and to ban assault weapons.”

Republican Scott Singer

Supports Second Amendment rights and law enforcement

Singer prioritizes police funding and Second Amendment protections, attributing a 25% drop in crime during his tenure as Boca Raton mayor to high police pay and strong support for law enforcement. He opposes new gun restrictions, arguing that gun safety should focus on stopping criminals, enforcing existing laws, and expanding mental health treatment.

  • Increased police department funding in Boca Raton, maintaining high starting salaries and overseeing a 25% drop in crime rates.
  • Opposes restrictions on lawful gun owners and supports Second Amendment rights.
  • Advocates focusing on enforcement of existing laws, stopping criminals, and expanding mental health treatment.

“At the same time, Scott will protect our Second Amendment rights against attempts to infringe on them. He knows that lawful gun owners deserve our rights and that we need to focus on stopping criminals, greater enforcement of existing laws, and more mental health treatment.”

“As mayor, Scott has consistently increased investment to ensure the best in public safety. While other cities defunded police and refused to prosecute, Boca Raton continued to have one of the highest starting salaries for police officers...”

05

Government Oversight, Governance, and Ethics

medium salience

Singer champions structural governance reforms like term limits and congressional stock trading bans, while Moskowitz focuses on his record of bipartisan executive leadership and transparency legislation.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports transparency, ethics, and bipartisan caucuses

Moskowitz highlights his record of working across party lines, including serving as Florida's Emergency Management Director under Republican Governor Ron DeSantis. In Congress, he voted for maximum public disclosure on high-profile government investigations, such as the Epstein files, while co-founding several bipartisan caucuses.

  • Served in bipartisan roles, including Florida Emergency Management Director under Governor Ron DeSantis.
  • Voted Yea on H.R. 4405 (Epstein Files Transparency Act) to mandate DOJ publication of all unclassified Epstein investigation records.
  • Co-founded the Bipartisan Disaster Preparedness Caucus and the Bipartisan School Safety and Security Caucus.

“From local government to Congress, Jared Moskowitz has always put people over politics, bringing a results-focused, bipartisan mindset to every role he’s held.”

Republican Scott Singer

Supports term limits and stock trading bans

Singer campaigns on institutional ethics reforms, pledging to support a congressional term limits amendment and a ban on members of Congress trading individual stocks. Drawing from his mayoral record of 21 streamlining initiatives, he pledges to eliminate waste, fraud, and un-elected bureaucratic overreach.

  • Pledges to vote for a constitutional amendment establishing congressional term limits.
  • Supports banning members of Congress from trading stocks.
  • Pledges to cut wasteful federal spending and reduce bureaucratic overregulation.

“As congressman, he will vote to prohibit members of Congress from stock trading.”

“I support the SAVE America Act and Congressional term limits, pledged not to raise taxes, will ban Congress from trading stocks, and stop foreign influence in our schools.”

06

Energy, Environment, and Coastal Infrastructure

medium salience

Moskowitz emphasizes greenhouse gas reduction, clean energy transition, and Everglades restoration, whereas Singer focuses on domestic energy production and federal flood and windstorm insurance relief.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports clean energy conversion and Everglades protection

Moskowitz emphasizes environmental protection and disaster preparedness as critical issues for South Florida. He advocates for bold federal action to curb greenhouse gas emissions, transition to renewable energy, protect the Everglades, and fund coastal climate resiliency projects.

  • Co-founded the Bipartisan Disaster Preparedness Caucus to strengthen federal disaster readiness.
  • Advocates for policies reducing greenhouse gas emissions, transitioning to clean energy, and protecting the Everglades.
  • Voted Nay on H.R. 1 (Lower Energy Costs Act of 2023), opposing expanded fossil fuel permitting.

“We’re living through a climate crisis that threatens our way of life, and we must act quickly to mitigate the effects of climate change. Investing in environmental protection isn’t just a long-term plan towards clean air, clean water, and sustainability, it’s also a way to reinvigorate the economy...”

Republican Scott Singer

Supports energy independence and flood insurance relief

Singer promotes energy independence to lower consumer costs and reduce dependence on foreign nations. For coastal Florida, he focuses on streamlining federal permitting for roadways, bridges, and coastlines, alongside expanding federal insurance programs to lower flood and windstorm costs for condo owners and homeowners.

  • Supports unleashing domestic energy production to achieve American energy independence.
  • Pledges to push for expanded federal flood and windstorm insurance programs to lower coastal property owner costs.
  • Advocates streamlining federal permitting processes for infrastructure, coastal defense, and transportation projects.

“Scott supports energy independence to advance our economy free from destabilizing foreign influences and to reduce costs for our nation.”

“This coastal district has unique needs for flooding and windstorms, and Scott will work to increase federal support to lower costs.”

07

Healthcare, Social Security, and Public Health

medium salience

Moskowitz emphasizes strengthening ACA protections, expanding Medicare, and funding pandemic readiness, while Singer focuses on eliminating federal taxes on Social Security and cutting public health spending waste.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports protecting entitlement programs and pandemic research

Moskowitz defends entitlement programs and the Affordable Care Act against GOP spending cuts, advocating for lower prescription drug prices and expanded Medicare coverage. Leveraging his experience managing Florida's COVID-19 emergency response, he also calls for robust federal funding for biosecurity and pandemic preparedness research.

  • Oversee Florida's COVID-19 response as Emergency Management Director, setting up testing sites and vaccine distribution.
  • Supports protecting and expanding Social Security, Medicare, and the Affordable Care Act while lowering prescription drug costs.
  • Advocates for fully funding federal pandemic prevention, vaccine research, and biosecurity protocols.

“In Congress, he’ll fight to expand Medicare, protect Social Security, and reduce prescription drug costs. He will also work to protect and expand the Affordable Care Act...”

“As Florida’s Director of Emergency Management, Jared worked hard to respond to the unprecedented challenges Florida faced by accelerating the statewide vaccine distribution network...”

Republican Scott Singer

Supports Social Security tax relief and spending cuts

Singer advocates for tax relief for seniors by eliminating taxes on Social Security benefits as part of Trump's economic package. He criticizes Biden-era public health spending and regulations, pledging to eliminate government waste and fraud within federal health programs.

  • Supports eliminating federal taxes on Social Security benefits for seniors.
  • Criticizes wasteful federal spending and fraud within healthcare and overseas aid programs.
  • Opposes federal vaccine mandates and excessive public health regulations.

“Republicans in Congress and President Trump passed the biggest tax cuts in American history, with no taxes on tips, overtime, or Social Security.”

08

Abortion and Reproductive Rights

medium salience

Moskowitz explicitly advocates for codifying federal abortion rights and bypassing the Senate filibuster, whereas Singer has no documented position on abortion in the provided sources.

Democratic Jared Evan Moskowitz

Supports codifying Roe v. Wade and reproductive rights

Moskowitz is a staunch advocate for reproductive freedom, having opposed abortion restrictions in the Florida Legislature and called for bypassing the Senate filibuster to codify Roe v. Wade into federal law. He publicly supported Florida's Amendment 4 right-to-abortion initiative in 2024.

  • Supported Florida Amendment 4 (Right to Abortion Initiative) in 2024.
  • Called on the U.S. Senate to bypass the filibuster to codify Roe v. Wade into federal law.
  • Opposed state-level abortion restrictions while serving in the Florida House of Representatives.

“When the draft decision overturning Roe v. Wade was leaked, he immediately called on the U.S. Senate to bypass the filibuster and codify Roe into law.”

Republican Scott Singer No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

FL-25 House Election Winner

71.5% Democrats
29.0% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 71.5REPUBLICANS 29.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-25 House winner?

73.0% Jared Moskowitz
27.0% Scott Singer
255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16MOSKOWITZ 73.0PARTY 68.0PARTY 31.0SINGER 27.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-25 Republican nominee?

99.0% Scott Singer
1.0% Joe Kaufman
1.0% Claudia Villatoro

+3 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16SINGER 99.0KAUFMAN 1.0FRANZESE 1.0MORAITIS 1.0VILLATORO 1.0HARRISON 1.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Jared Moskowitz
1.0% Debbie Wasserman Schultz
1.0% Oliver Larkin
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16MOSKOWITZ 99.0SCHULTZ 1.0LARKIN 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.