Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Florida Safe D

Florida — 24th District

OG

In Florida's 24th Congressional District, Democratic nominee Oliver Gilbert faces Republican nominee Te Brown in the November 3, 2026 general election for an open seat following the departure of incumbent Representative Frederica Wilson. Gilbert, a Miami-Dade County Commissioner and former Miami Gardens mayor, won a multi-candidate Democratic primary on August 18, while Brown advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled. Major race rating outlets—including The Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—unanimously rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The campaign hinges on sharp contrasts regarding housing affordability, immigration enforcement, federal taxation, healthcare, and education policy.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
96.1%
Republicans
2.2%
Kalshi ↗
Oliver Gilbert
96.5%
Te Brown
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Oliver Gilbert
99.0%
Shevrin Jones
1.0%
Christine Sanon-Jules
1.0%
Frederica Wilson
1.0%
Kendrick Meek
1.0%

All markets →

01

Housing & Homeownership

high salience

Gilbert proposes the HOME Act to reduce monthly housing costs for families, while Brown advocates redirecting federal rental subsidies directly into first-time homebuyer assistance.

Democratic Oliver Gilbert

Supports HOME Act and lowering costs

Gilbert focuses on lowering monthly housing expenses and enabling responsible working families to own homes and build generational wealth. He advocates for passing the HOME Act to provide long-term financial stability without weakening mortgage lending standards.

  • Proposes the HOME Act to lower monthly housing costs for working families.
  • Aims to expand homeownership opportunities to help residents build generational wealth.
  • Maintains financial stability without loosening standard mortgage lending criteria.

“The HOME Act lowers monthly housing costs without weakening lending standards — helping responsible families own a home, build generational wealth, and gain long-term financial stability.”

Republican Te Brown

Redirect rental subsidies to homebuying

Brown supports shifting federal housing funds away from permanent rental subsidies toward first-time homebuyer assistance for low-income families. She believes federal housing policy should foster independence, equity, and stability rather than trapping residents in government dependency.

  • Redirect federal housing assistance away from lifelong rental subsidies.
  • Help low-income district families purchase their first home.
  • Promote equity, stability, and personal independence through property ownership.

“Te Brown supports redirecting federal housing dollars away from lifelong rental subsidies and toward helping low-income families in our district buy their first home.”

02

Immigration & Border Policy

high salience

Gilbert opposes ICE raids and wants to reallocate deportation funding to local communities, whereas Brown advocates mass deportations, zero amnesty, and the total elimination of the H-1B visa program.

Democratic Oliver Gilbert

Opposes ICE raids and mass deportations

Gilbert strongly opposes workplace ICE raids and mass deportation policies, arguing that they tear families apart and harm working communities. He advocates defunding deportation programs and redirecting those federal funds into community investments like universal childcare.

  • End funding for mass deportation policies and ICE raids immediately.
  • Redirect federal spending from enforcement into local community programs.
  • Protect working families and children from being separated by immigration arrests.

“It’s time to end funding for these shameful deportation policies and redirect that investment where it belongs: into our communities.”

Republican Te Brown

Supports mass deportations and ending H-1B

Brown supports strict border enforcement, mass deportations of undocumented immigrants, and an end to all amnesty proposals. Additionally, she calls for eliminating the H-1B visa program to prevent foreign workers from undercutting American wages.

  • Enforce immigration law through mass deportations of undocumented individuals.
  • Oppose amnesty schemes that reward lawbreaking.
  • Eliminate the H-1B visa program to protect domestic American jobs and wages.

“The H-1B program has been abused for decades to undercut American wages and replace qualified U.S. citizens with cheaper foreign labor. It’s time to end it.”

“Enforce the law, deport those who came here illegally, and end the amnesty schemes that reward lawbreaking and punish Americans who play by the rules.”

03

Taxes, Economy & Small Business

high salience

Gilbert proposes eliminating income taxes for working families and passing federal business grant legislation, while Brown focuses economic policy on restricting foreign worker programs to protect domestic labor.

Democratic Oliver Gilbert

Tax relief for workers and small business aid

Gilbert advocates eliminating federal income taxes for working families by indexing tax brackets to local income realities while shifting IRS audit resources to the ultra-wealthy. He also sponsors the BUILD Business Act to assist entrepreneurs through startup grants, low-interest SBA loans, reduced red tape, and profit-sharing incentives.

  • Eliminate federal income taxes for working families based on local income levels.
  • Direct IRS enforcement and audits toward ultra-wealthy taxpayers rather than gig workers.
  • Pass the BUILD Business Act to provide startup grants, low-interest SBA loans, and red tape reductions.

“Oliver supports common sense tax policies indexed to what families in our communities actually earn, so that relief reaches the people who need it most and keeps money in working people’s hands.”

“The IRS should be spending more time auditing the ultra-wealthy than scrutinizing an Uber driver’s gas deduction.”

Republican Te Brown

Protect American workers and business

Brown emphasizes an 'American workers first' economic platform rooted in her background as a small businesswoman. She focuses on eliminating foreign labor competition to boost wages and protecting local businesses from overregulation.

  • Prioritize American workers over foreign labor to drive wage growth.
  • Leverage private-sector experience as a small businesswoman to foster local growth.

“American workers come first.”

04

Healthcare & Prescription Drugs

medium salience

Gilbert supports establishing healthcare as a universal right for all Americans, while Brown focuses specifically on stopping prescription drug price rip-offs.

Democratic Oliver Gilbert

Supports universal healthcare as a right

Gilbert supports establishing a federal pathway to guarantee healthcare coverage as a fundamental right for every American. He argues that affordable healthcare is a necessity and criticizes high medical bills and foreign aid spending while Americans lack universal coverage.

  • Establish a federal pathway to guarantee healthcare as a right for all citizens.
  • Lower medical bill costs and guarantee universal access to health coverage.
  • Prioritize domestic healthcare spending over foreign assistance.

“In Congress, Oliver will fight for a pathway to ensure that healthcare is a right for every American.”

“Coverage isn’t a luxury. It’s a foundation.”

Republican Te Brown

Stop prescription drug price rip-offs

Brown identifies curbing prescription drug costs as a primary healthcare priority to protect consumers from financial exploitation by pharmaceutical companies.

  • Stop drug price rip-offs to reduce out-of-pocket costs for consumers.

“Stop Drug Price Rip-Offs”

05

Education & Workforce Development

medium salience

Gilbert promotes universal Pre-K and career-focused public apprenticeships under the BUILD Act, whereas Brown supports universal school choice vouchers that redirect federal funds to parents for private or homeschooling.

Democratic Oliver Gilbert

Supports universal Pre-K and BUILD Act

Gilbert advocates for universal childcare and Pre-K, funded by reallocating money away from mass deportation programs. He also champions the BUILD Act to expand career technical education, teacher support, and trade apprenticeships.

  • Provide universal childcare and Pre-K for all families.
  • Pass the BUILD Act to connect public education directly to career pathways and trade apprenticeships.
  • Invest in job training for technical fields resilient to AI automation.

“The BUILD Act prepares students for the economy of tomorrow by connecting education to real careers, expanding apprenticeships, supporting teachers, rewarding innovation, and building the workforce America needs to compete.”

Republican Te Brown

Supports universal school choice funding

Brown supports universal school choice by diverting federal education funds directly to parents rather than institutional systems. She champions allowing families to use federal funding for public, charter, private, or homeschool options.

  • Fund students directly rather than failing public educational institutions.
  • Empower parents to select public, charter, private, or homeschool environments.
  • Eliminate school assignments based strictly on geographic zip codes.

“Te Brown supports taking federal education dollars that currently prop up failing schools and putting that money directly in the hands of parents by funding students, not systems.”

06

Infrastructure & Public Transit

medium salience

Democratic Oliver Gilbert

Supports rapid transit federal funding

Gilbert advocates securing federal infrastructure funds to expand rapid mass transit in South Florida. He frames long daily commutes as a central cost and family quality-of-life issue for working residents.

  • Secure federal funding to complete long-delayed rapid transit projects.
  • Reduce daily commute times to ease financial and time burdens on working families.

“In Congress, Oliver will fight to secure the federal funding needed to ensure the job gets done, and that our residents get the transit solutions they’ve been promised for decades.”

Republican Te Brown No documented position in our sources
07

Veterans Affairs

low salience
Democratic Oliver Gilbert No documented position in our sources

Republican Te Brown

Supports VA reform and accountability

Brown calls for reforming the Department of Veterans Affairs to ensure military veterans receive faster medical care, robust mental health support, and full institutional accountability.

  • Speed up access to healthcare services for veterans.
  • Expand dedicated mental health resources for former service members.
  • Enforce strict accountability standards across the VA.

“Faster care, real mental health support, and full accountability at the VA — that’s what our veterans have earned.”

08

Social Values & Constitutional Rights

low salience
Democratic Oliver Gilbert No documented position in our sources

Republican Te Brown

Pro-MAGA and pro-Second Amendment conservative

Brown campaigns as a pro-MAGA, pro-Constitution conservative who stands up for Christian values, parental rights, religious freedom, and the Second Amendment against political attacks.

  • Defend religious liberty, parental rights, and Second Amendment gun rights.
  • Align explicitly with pro-MAGA conservative constitutional principles.
  • Promote traditional faith and family foundations.

“Religious liberty, parental rights, the Second Amendment, and the Constitution itself are under attack — and they’re worth fighting for.”

“She is a pro-MAGA, pro-Constitution conservative who isn’t afraid to stand up for what’s right.”

09

Disability Support Services

low salience

Democratic Oliver Gilbert

Supports CARE Act for lifelong disabilities

Gilbert champions the CARE Act to ensure that individuals with lifelong disabilities receive federal support for healthcare, safe housing, personal relationships, and dignified living across every stage of life.

  • Pass the CARE Act for individuals with lifelong disabilities.
  • Guarantee federal support for healthcare, housing, and dignified care.

“Every person with a lifelong disability deserves healthcare, a safe home, meaningful relationships, and the support to live with dignity throughout every stage of life.”

Republican Te Brown No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 3

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

FL-24 House Election Winner

96.1% Democrats
2.2% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 96.1REPUBLICANS 2.2

Kalshi ↗

FL-24 House winner?

96.5% Oliver Gilbert
1.0% Te Brown
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16PARTY 96.5GILBERT 96.5PARTY 2.5BROWN 1.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-24 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Oliver Gilbert
1.0% Shevrin Jones
1.0% Christine Sanon-Jules

+2 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16GILBERT 99.0SANON-JULES 1.0JONES 1.0WILSON 1.0MEEK 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.