Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Florida Safe D

Florida — 23rd District

Portrait of Deborah Adeimy

Republican

Deborah Adeimy

Incumbent Democratic Representative Lois Frankel faces Republican nominee Deborah Adeimy in Florida's 23rd Congressional District general election on November 3, 2026, following mid-decade state redistricting. Major election rating outlets including Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the district as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. The race hinges on Frankel's extensive tenure and legislative record on Social Security, abortion rights, and infrastructure versus Adeimy's conservative platform focused on federal spending reduction, tax cuts, border enforcement, and Florida coastal environmental management.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Democrats
93.0%
Republicans
5.5%
Kalshi ↗
Lois Frankel
96.0%
Deborah Adeimy
4.1%
Kalshi ↗
Deborah Adeimy
99.0%
Paola Branda
2.0%
Rafael Ortiz
1.0%
Joe Kaufman
1.0%
Jared Gurfein
1.0%
Darlene Cerezo Swaffar
1.0%
Raven Harrison
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Lois Frankel
99.0%
Mark Piper
1.0%
Victoria Doyle
1.0%
Oliver Larkin
0.8%
Jared Moskowitz
0.2%

All markets →

01

Economy, Taxes, and Inflation

high salience

Adeimy attributes inflation strictly to government spending and demands lower tax rates, whereas Frankel emphasizes federal investments in infrastructure and green technologies to lower living costs.

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports federal action to lower costs

Frankel prioritizes lowering everyday costs for working families and middle-class households. She advocates for federal investments in technology, infrastructure, and green energy to modernize the economy and drive local job growth.

  • Focuses on reducing household expenses and protecting middle-class economic stability.
  • Promotes federal infrastructure and clean technology investments to create jobs.
  • Voted in favor of the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 and voted against the 2025 H.R. 1 reconciliation bill.

“Investing in infrastructure and technology to modernize the economy and create jobs.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy

Opposes government spending and tax increases

Adeimy argues that federal dollar creation and excessive government spending are the sole causes of inflation. As a financial planner, she advocates for lower income, capital gains, and corporate tax rates, contending that citizens spend their money more effectively than the government.

  • Blames federal deficit spending and money creation by Washington for driving national inflation.
  • Opposes proposed federal tax increases on individual income, capital gains, and corporate earnings.
  • Advocates for fiscal reforms leveraging her background as a Certified Financial Planner and former wealth management advisor.

“Factually, the one entity and place capable of producing inflation is Washington – only government owns the 'printing press' to create money.”

“Deborah believes Americans know how to spend their earned income better than Government.”

02

Immigration and Border Security

high salience

Adeimy advocates for hardline border enforcement to stem strains on public services, while Frankel has consistently voted against Republican border and immigration enforcement bills.

Democratic Lois Frankel

Voted against Republican immigration enforcement bills

Frankel's record reflects opposition to Republican-led immigration enforcement measures in Congress. In 2025, she voted against the Laken Riley Act requiring the detention of unauthorized immigrants arrested for certain crimes.

  • Voted Nay on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) in the 119th Congress.

Republican Deborah Adeimy

Supports strict border control and legal immigration

Adeimy calls for strict border security, arguing that unchecked illegal immigration strains public welfare systems, healthcare facilities, and local schools. She maintains that immigration must strengthen rather than divide the country.

  • Characterizes illegal and forced entry into the country as a threat to safety and public resources.
  • Asserts that open border policies strain social welfare systems, public hospitals, and local schools.
  • Advocates for enforcing strict legal immigration standards.

“The idea of immigration to America is to join and give and strengthen NOT divide and take and weaken.”

“Chaotic tidal waves of people entering America strains our welfare system, overwhelms our hospitals, weakens schools and threatens the safety of law-abiding tax paying Americans.”

03

Water, Environment, and Local Infrastructure

medium salience

Adeimy focuses specifically on local Florida water flow, drainage, and agricultural compromise alongside Rep. Brian Mast, whereas Frankel emphasizes federal green technology and infrastructure appropriations.

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports environmental protection and infrastructure investments

Frankel highlights infrastructure modernizing and environmental protection as core legislative priorities. Her background includes committee service on the Transportation and Infrastructure Subcommittee on Water Resources & Environment.

  • Promotes federal green technology investments and infrastructure modernization.
  • Served on the House Transportation & Infrastructure Subcommittee on Water Resources & Environment.
  • Supports federal funding for coastal and clean water projects.

“Promoting green technologies to keep us on the cutting edge of new developments in one of the fastest growing fields.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy

Supports water protection and balanced development

Adeimy pledges to partner with Representative Brian Mast to preserve Florida's waterways, intracoastal systems, and Lake Okeechobee. She seeks compromise between the sugar cane industry and efforts to resolve phosphate pollution, drainage issues, and over-development.

  • Pledges to work alongside Rep. Brian Mast on local water preservation solutions.
  • Focuses on delicate water systems from Lake Okeechobee to coastal canals and the Atlantic Ocean.
  • Addresses challenges related to sugar cane industry runoff, phosphates, outdated drainage, and developer overreach.

“I pledge to work with our great Florida warrior, Congressman Brian Mast to find the best solutions to save our waters and the living environment.”

04

Healthcare and Pharmaceutical Costs

medium salience

Adeimy advocates for market-driven collaboration between insurers and pharmaceutical firms to lower costs, while Frankel supports strengthening federal healthcare laws and government reform programs.

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports expanding affordable healthcare coverage

Frankel believes affordable, high-quality healthcare is an essential right for all Americans. She supports preserving, expanding, and improving existing healthcare reform laws and federal funding.

  • Supports preserving and improving provisions of national healthcare reform laws.
  • Voted on health appropriations via the Labor, Health and Human Services Subcommittee.

“Frankel believes that access to good quality affordable health care is essential for all Americans.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy

Supports market-driven lower drug costs and research

Adeimy advocates for lowering healthcare costs through private collaboration between insurance companies and drug manufacturers. She supports protecting pharmaceutical research investments to discover treatments for diseases like cancer and Alzheimer's.

  • Supports protecting upfront capital investment and research in the pharmaceutical sector.
  • Proposes making healthcare affordable through insurance company and drug maker cooperation.
  • Opposes heavy-handed regulations that might stifle medical innovation.

“It is possible to provide affordable healthcare to Americans when insurance companies and drug manufacturers work together.”

05

Defense, Space, and Foreign Policy

medium salience

Both candidates strongly back Israel, but Adeimy highlights space defense and military strength against China and Russia, while Frankel stresses her legislative experience on foreign affairs and international alliances.

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports bipartisan alliance with Israel and measured foreign engagement

Frankel advocates for strong, bipartisan U.S. support for Israel's security and efforts to combat international delegitimization. Drawing on her Foreign Affairs Committee experience, she supports maintaining international alliances and humanitarian assistance while opposing unstrategic foreign troop deployments.

  • Pledges bipartisan leadership to defend Israel's security and counter delegitimization attempts.
  • Served on the House Foreign Affairs Committee and its Middle East and North Africa Subcommittee.
  • Advocates for international humanitarian assistance and clearly defined scope in foreign engagements.

“Frankel will work in a bi-partisan manner to fight any and all attempts to delegitimize Israel in the international arena and to ensure the safety and security of the Jewish state of Israel.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy

Supports strong defense, space leadership, and Israel

Adeimy emphasizes robust military spending, defending the space frontier against foreign adversaries like China and Russia, and maintaining unwavering support for Israel. She criticizes past Democratic administration decisions regarding military operations and space policy.

  • Prioritizes national space defense leadership and support for NASA and commercial satellite partnerships.
  • Pledges support for a strong U.S. military, veterans, and the State of Israel.
  • Criticizes past administration military withdrawals and space program stalls.

“The space race is on again – The United States must lead and defend that frontier.”

06

Education and Parents' Rights

low salience

Adeimy prioritizes parents' rights and curriculum content standards, whereas Frankel emphasizes federal financial aid for college, class size management, and public school funding.

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports public school investment and affordable higher education

Frankel advocates for strengthening public education by managing class sizes, supporting teachers, and expanding parental involvement. She also focuses on keeping college tuition affordable for middle-class families and expanding vocational training.

  • Supports manageable class sizes, teacher support, and public school funding.
  • Advocates for protecting college financial aid and expanding vocational job training.

“Frankel is committed to ensuring that college education remains within reach for middle class families.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy

Supports parents' rights and accurate history in schools

Adeimy supports parents' rights in their children's education and advocates for accurate history instruction in public schools, highlighting Florida state legislation. She also includes support for teachers on her platform.

  • Advocates for parents' rights regarding public school policy.
  • Supports accurate history education, citing Florida state statutes.
  • Includes 'OUR GREAT TEACHERS' among campaign priority areas.
07

Veterans' Services

low salience

Frankel highlights her committee tenure and specific VA healthcare proposals, while Adeimy frames veteran support around national defense commitments and advocacy endorsements.

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports expanded benefits and services for veterans

As the mother of a military veteran, Frankel advocates for fulfilling federal promises to returning service members. Her priorities include job training, VA funding, and addressing Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD).

  • Served on the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs.
  • Focuses on civilian job training, healthcare access, and PTSD support for veterans.

“It isn't just the struggle of finding a job; it is a lifelong fight to get the basic services that were promised.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy

Supports honoring veterans and military strength

Adeimy lists honoring veterans as a core campaign goal, linking veteran welfare to national defense strength. She highlights endorsements from veteran advocacy groups.

  • Lists 'HONOR VETERANS' among core campaign commitments.
  • Endorsed by Veterans For Trump and Vets for America First.
08

Abortion and Reproductive Rights

high salience

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports federal abortion rights and contraception access

Frankel is a prominent defender of reproductive freedom, supporting Roe v. Wade and access to birth control and emergency contraception without government intervention. She endorsed Florida's 2024 Amendment 4 abortion initiative and previously chaired the Democratic Women's Caucus.

  • Supports codifying Roe v. Wade protections and guaranteeing birth control access.
  • Publicly endorsed Florida Amendment 4 (Right to Abortion Initiative) in 2024.
  • Founded and chaired the Democratic Women's Caucus to prioritize women's rights in federal policy.

“Lois has never wavered in her belief that a woman must have the right to make choices about her body without the involvement of government officials.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy No documented position in our sources
09

Social Security, Medicare, and Senior Care

medium salience

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports protecting Social Security and Medicare

Frankel prioritizes safeguarding Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid from benefit cuts or restructuring. She focuses on protecting senior benefits and combating waste, fraud, and abuse to keep the programs solvent.

  • Pledges to resist any attempts to cut Social Security or Medicare benefits.
  • Advocates combating waste, fraud, and abuse to ensure long-term program solvency.
  • Emphasizes protecting entitlement programs for South Florida's senior population.

“Lois will fight to protect these programs for current and future generations and will resist any efforts to cut benefits.”

Republican Deborah Adeimy No documented position in our sources
10

Governance and Voting Rights

low salience

Democratic Lois Frankel

Supports voting rights protection and democratic integrity

Frankel cites defending democracy as a central pillar of her campaign platform. In the 119th Congress, she voted against the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship for federal election registration.

  • Identifies defending democracy as a core platform issue.
  • Voted Nay on the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship to vote.
Republican Deborah Adeimy No documented position in our sources

Prediction markets 4

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

FL-23 House Election Winner

93.0% Democrats
5.5% Republicans
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16DEMOCRATS 93.0REPUBLICANS 5.5

Kalshi ↗

FL-23 House winner?

96.0% Lois Frankel
4.1% Deborah Adeimy
255075100AUG 5AUG 16AUG 27SEP 7SEP 16FRANKEL 96.0PARTY 94.2PARTY 14.0ADEIMY 4.1

Kalshi ↗

FL-23 Republican nominee?

99.0% Deborah Adeimy
2.0% Paola Branda
1.0% Rafael Ortiz

+4 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 14AUG 26SEP 7SEP 16ADEIMY 99.0BRANDA 2.0GURFEIN 1.0HARRISON 1.0KAUFMAN 1.0ORTIZ 1.0SWAFFAR 1.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-23 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Lois Frankel
1.0% Mark Piper
1.0% Victoria Doyle

+2 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16FRANKEL 99.0DOYLE 1.0PIPER 1.0LARKIN 0.8MOSKOWITZ 0.2

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.