2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Florida Likely R
Florida — 13th District
The general election for Florida's 13th Congressional District features incumbent Republican Representative Anna Paulina Luna against Democratic challenger Leela Gray, a retired U.S. Army Brigadier General. Luna advanced automatically after the Republican primary was canceled, while Gray won the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary with 65.1% of the vote. Major election handicappers—including The Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—all rate the contest as 'Likely Republican'. The race hinges on local cost-of-living concerns like housing and insurance, ethics and government reform, veteran care, and energy policy in coastal Pinellas County.
The pulse
updated Sep 16Cost of living & Economy
high salienceGray advocates regulating insurance monopolies and providing middle-class tax relief to ease inflation, whereas Luna focuses on cutting taxes, slashing federal regulations, and capping credit card interest rates.
Democratic Leela Gray
Supports tax relief and monopoly regulation
Gray emphasizes tackling inflation by confronting corporate price gouging, insurance monopolies, and rising rent. She advocates for tax relief targeting middle-class families and small businesses rather than corporations, along with expanding affordable housing and ending illegal tariffs.
- Crack down on insurance monopolies and corporate price gouging
- Provide middle-class and small business tax relief instead of cuts for corporations
- Expand affordable housing and address skyrocketing rent and property insurance costs
- End illegal tariffs that increase consumer prices
“Families in Florida’s 13th District are being squeezed from every direction. They are working full time, playing by the rules, and still falling behind.”
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports tax cuts and regulatory deregulation
Luna focuses on curbing inflation by lowering federal taxes, cutting government regulations, and achieving American energy independence. She signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge and supported major House tax and spending legislation, while also introducing a bipartisan initiative to cap credit card interest rates at 10%.
- Signed the Taxpayer Protection Pledge promising to oppose tax increases
- Lower taxes and eliminate senseless business regulations to spur job growth
- Pushed bipartisan legislation to cap credit card interest rates at 10%
- Voted for major House reconciliation and spending reduction legislation
“Anna Paulina Luna will fight to lower taxes and cut senseless regulations to create more jobs and boost the economy.”
Government reform & Ethics
high salienceBoth candidates endorse congressional stock-trading bans and term limits, but Gray stresses lifetime lobbying bans and removing mega-donor influence while Luna emphasizes forcing floor votes on stock bans and supporting a Convention of States.
Democratic Leela Gray
Supports congressional stock bans and lobbying restrictions
Gray campaigns on restoring integrity to government by stripping away corporate donor influence. She advocates banning stock trading by members of Congress, establishing lifetime lobbying bans for former representatives, and instituting congressional term limits.
- Ban insider stock trading for members of Congress
- Enforce a lifetime ban on lobbying for former members of Congress
- Enact term limits and eliminate corporate mega-donor influence
- Implement pay-as-you-go budgeting and regular fiscal order
“I will fight to strip away the corrupting influence of corporate mega-donors and billionaires.”
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports term limits and stock trading bans
Luna positions herself as an anti-corruption reformer, supporting term limits for members of Congress and a ban on former members becoming lobbyists. She signed the U.S. Term Limits pledge, supports a Convention of States for term limits, and forced action on banning congressional stock trading.
- Pushed to force a House vote banning congressional stock trading
- Signed the U.S. Term Limits pledge and supports a Convention of States to cap terms
- Supports banning former members of Congress and staff from becoming lobbyists
“She will support any ban on Congress or its employees becoming lobbyists to cash out after leaving office. She will also work to enact term limits for elected officials.”
Healthcare & Seniors
high salienceGray focuses on expanding healthcare transparency and protecting entitlement funding streams, whereas Luna prioritizes prescription drug cost control and opposing government health mandates.
Democratic Leela Gray
Supports protecting Social Security and Medicare
Gray pledges to protect and strengthen Social Security and Medicare so seniors can age with dignity. She calls for making healthcare more competitive and transparent to reduce costs for small businesses and families.
- Protect and strengthen Social Security and Medicare benefits
- Increase healthcare competition and price transparency to lower costs
- Expand healthcare affordability for small businesses and middle-class families
“Seniors face unprecedented economic strain. We must protect and strengthen Social Security and Medicare so they can age with dignity.”
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports lowering drug costs and medical freedom
Luna supports strengthening Medicare and Social Security for seniors by driving down healthcare and prescription drug costs. She opposes COVID-19 vaccine mandates under the banner of 'Medical Freedom' and voted to nullify CDC vaccination requirements for foreign travelers.
- Drive down prescription drug costs to keep Medicare financially sustainable
- Oppose vaccine mandates and advocate for individual health choices
- Voted for H.R. 185 to terminate CDC COVID-19 vaccine requirements for foreign travelers
“Anna will focus on driving down the cost of health care, including prescription drugs, to bring the cost of Medicare under control.”
Veterans & Military
medium salienceBoth candidates are military veterans who prioritize VA accountability, with Gray leaning on her 30-year Army career to streamline bureaucracy and Luna emphasizing expanded local constituent services near Bay Pines.
Democratic Leela Gray
Supports cutting VA red tape for healthcare
Drawing on her 30-year military career ending as a Brigadier General, Gray pledges to hold the VA accountable and eliminate bureaucratic delays. She emphasizes ensuring veterans receive world-class, timely healthcare and economic transition assistance.
- Cut red tape and hold the Department of Veterans Affairs accountable
- Ensure timely, world-class healthcare for veterans
- Leverage 30 years of U.S. Army leadership experience to improve military governance
“Veterans served on the front lines, but returned home to a web of red tape. They earned world-class, timely healthcare and a path to stability.”
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports expanding local constituent VA services
As a U.S. Air Force veteran, Luna champions improved veteran healthcare policies based on personal family experience. She advocates for dedicated constituent services in Pinellas County, including opening a local service office near the Bay Pines VA medical facility.
- Improve veteran care policies and reform VA service delivery
- Proposes opening a congressional constituent service office near Bay Pines VA
- Signed pledges supported by Veterans for America First
“As a strong advocate for veterans, Anna will fight to ensure that they get the care, appreciation, and honor deserved.”
Energy & Environment
medium salienceGray prioritizes coastal protection and climate resilience backed by conservation groups, whereas Luna champions domestic fossil fuel drilling and opposition to Green New Deal regulations.
Democratic Leela Gray
Supports protecting coastal environment and economy
Gray emphasizes safeguarding Florida's beaches, land, and coastal economy from natural disasters and ecological decay. She highlights environmental stewardship as vital to Pinellas County's tourism and quality of life.
- Protect coastal ecosystems, beaches, and local marine economies
- Address hurricane resilience and flood vulnerabilities in coastal communities
- Endorsed by the Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund
“Our national security and coastal economy are in chaos while politicians drive hate among our neighbors and distrust among allies.”
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports domestic energy production and coastal protection
Luna advocates for American energy independence by expanding domestic oil and gas leasing and restoring the Keystone XL pipeline. She opposes Green New Deal regulations while committing to protect local beaches and coastlines without raising taxes.
- Restore oil and gas leases and approve the Keystone XL pipeline
- Oppose Green New Deal regulations and federal energy mandates
- Protect beaches and coastlines without raising taxes
“Anna Paulina Luna believes the American people have the right to use American oil from American soil.”
Education & Culture
medium salienceGray stresses student mental health and public school investment, whereas Luna focuses on expanding school choice, parental rights, and restricting CRT and gender theory in schools.
Democratic Leela Gray
Supports youth mental health and online protection
Gray focuses on defending children against an ongoing mental health crisis and online exploitation. Her education platform emphasizes supporting public schools and teachers, earning the endorsement of the Florida Education Association.
- Address youth mental health issues and protect children from online exploitation
- Support public education funding and educators
- Endorsed by the Florida Education Association
“As our kids battle a skyrocketing mental health crisis and online exploitation, I will be the defender they need in Congress.”
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports parental rights and school choice
Luna supports student-centered, parent-guided education, championing school choice, civic literacy, and parents' rights. She strongly opposes Critical Race Theory and gender ideology in schools, and voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act.
- Expand school choice programs and protect parental rights in curriculum decisions
- Oppose Critical Race Theory and gender theory in grade school curricula
- Voted for the Protection of Women and Girls in Sports Act of 2025
“Anna Paulina Luna opposes critical race theory being taught in grade school and stands against radical left-wing gender theory being pushed on our kids.”
Immigration & Border security
medium salienceLuna advocates completing the border wall and eliminating DACA, while Gray provides no detailed immigration policy stance in available campaign platform materials.
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports border wall and strict immigration enforcement
Luna opposes amnesty and pathways to citizenship for undocumented immigrants. She supports completing the southern border wall, ending DACA, restoring the Remain in Mexico policy, and enforcing strict legal consequences for illegal border crossings.
- Finish construction of the southern border wall
- End DACA and restore President Trump's Remain in Mexico policy
- Oppose amnesty or a pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants
- Voted for the Laken Riley Act and the SAVE Act enforcing proof of citizenship
“Anna Paulina Luna will fight to finish the border wall, end DACA, restore President Trump’s Remain in Mexico policy, and crackdown on criminal illegals in America.”
Big Tech & Foreign policy
medium salienceLuna advocates regulating social media platforms as public utilities and reshoring manufacturing from China, while Gray offers no documented policy positions on Big Tech regulation.
Republican Anna Paulina Luna
Supports regulating tech platforms and countering China
Luna positions Big Tech censorship and Chinese influence as dual threats to national security. She advocates regulating major social media platforms like public utilities to protect free speech and supports defunding Chinese manufacturing influence.
- Propose legislation treating social media platforms as public utilities to curb censorship
- Defund Chinese influence and reshore manufacturing jobs to America
- Counter CCP exploitation of youth media apps like TikTok
“One of my first efforts will be to write legislation to treat social media like a public utility vs an app.”
Prediction markets 4
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