Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Florida Lean R

Florida’s 7th District race

The general election for Florida's 7th Congressional District features Democratic nominee Bale Dalton, a Navy combat veteran and former NASA Chief of Staff, facing Republican nominee Ryan Elijah, a former news anchor. The seat became open after Elijah defeated incumbent Republican Congressman Cory Mills in the August 18, 2026, primary.

The pulse

updated Oct 31
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
65.0%
Democrats
34.0%
Kalshi ↗
Ryan Elijah
65.0%
Bale Dalton
35.0%
Kalshi ↗
Ryan Elijah
99.0%
Mike Johnson
1.0%
Sarah Ulrich
1.0%
Cory Mills
1.0%
Kalshi ↗
Bale Dalton
99.0%
George Bock
1.0%
Alan Grayson
1.0%
Marialana Kinter
1.0%
Benjamin Ewers
1.0%
Jennifer Adams
1.0%

All markets →

01

Cost of living and economy

high salience

Dalton favors tax reform targeting upper earners alongside increased regulatory oversight of prices, whereas Elijah prioritizes sweeping tax cuts, deregulation, and overall spending reductions.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports middle-class tax relief and cost oversight

Dalton emphasizes making Florida affordable again by reversing tariffs and healthcare premium increases that he attributes to previous congressional votes. He advocates raising the federal minimum wage, passing the PRO Act to support labor unions, and reforming taxes so middle-class families receive relief rather than corporate giveaways.

  • Reversing tariffs and healthcare premium hikes to reduce everyday family expenses
  • Raising the federal minimum wage and passing the PRO Act
  • Providing tax relief for middle-class families while eliminating corporate and billionaire tax loopholes

“My number one priority is making Florida affordable again.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports lower taxes and spending reduction

Elijah pledges to drive down everyday costs by keeping taxes low, curbing federal regulations, and reducing federal spending to tackle national debt. He argues pro-growth practices and reduced spending will spur job creation and keep consumer costs and interest rates down.

  • Keeping taxes low and reducing federal regulations to spur business investment
  • Cutting out-of-control government spending and fraud to address national debt
  • Promoting energy independence to drive down gas prices and overall consumer costs

“Congress must do its part to keep taxes low and drive down costs for American families.”

02

Healthcare

high salience

Dalton focuses on strengthening federal ACA protections and government drug price negotiations, while Elijah favors free-market solutions, tax-advantaged accounts, and deregulation.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports ACA expansion and drug price negotiation

Dalton calls for restoring funding to Medicaid and Medicare, reversing recent ACA premium cuts, and protecting entitlement programs for future generations. He advocates allowing prescription drug price negotiations in the U.S. to lower out-of-pocket costs and eliminating surprise medical bills.

  • Restoring Medicaid and Medicare funding while reversing ACA premium cuts
  • Negotiating prescription drug prices in the U.S. to lower healthcare costs
  • Building on the ACA to lower deductibles and eliminate surprise medical bills

“I support negotiating drug prices in the United States – like every other wealthy country does – to keep Americans from being ripped off.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports market-driven healthcare and price transparency

Elijah advocates reducing healthcare costs by eliminating unnecessary federal regulations and expanding tax benefits like Health Savings Accounts. He supports pricing transparency for hospitals and insurance providers to give patients clearer options.

  • Eliminating unnecessary federal healthcare regulations to lower premiums
  • Expanding tax benefits such as Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)
  • Mandating price transparency from hospitals, insurers, and medical providers

“He also believes healthcare costs can be reduced by providing individuals with tax benefits, such as expanded Health Savings Accounts.”

03

Government ethics and reform

medium salience

Dalton proposes structural bans on congressional stock trading and prediction market betting, whereas Elijah focuses on curbing taxpayer fraud and government waste.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports stock trading and prediction market bans

Dalton advocates banning federal employees and elected officials from trading stocks in regulated companies and betting on prediction markets. He calls for stricter penalties on corrupt politicians and eliminating the influence of special interest lobbyists.

  • Barring elected officials and federal employees from trading stocks in companies they regulate
  • Prohibiting federal officials from betting on prediction markets
  • Establishing tough penalties for ethics violations and public corruption

“I support barring all federal employees and elected officials from betting on prediction markets.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports eliminating taxpayer fraud and waste

Elijah emphasizes fiscal conservatism and aggressive elimination of waste, fraud, and abuse against taxpayers. Drawing on his investigative background, he vows to pursue those preying on consumers and taxpayers, particularly vulnerable senior citizens.

  • Auditing and cutting wasteful government spending and taxpayer fraud
  • Enacting consumer protection legislation to target fraudsters and protect seniors
  • Ensuring federal tax dollars are spent solely in the best interests of district constituents

“I will fight to reduce our unsustainable national debt by cutting spending and fraud.”

04

Abortion and reproductive rights

medium salience

Dalton pledges to codify Roe v. Wade federally, while Elijah maintains a pro-life stance opposed to abortion access.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports codifying federal abortion rights

Dalton opposes Florida's six-week abortion ban, framing it as an government intrusion into personal medical decisions. He explicitly supports passing federal legislation to codify Roe v. Wade into law.

  • Codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law
  • Opposing state-level six-week abortion restrictions
  • Protecting women's reproductive healthcare choices

“That’s why I support codifying Roe into federal law, to put these decisions back where they belong – with patients.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Opposes abortion and supports pro-life policies

Elijah identifies as pro-life, stating that human life is sacred. He pledges to champion family values and support legislative policies that protect unborn children.

  • Maintaining a pro-life platform
  • Supporting policies that defend family values and protect children

“Ryan is pro-life and believes every life is a sacred gift from God.”

05

Immigration and border security

medium salience

Dalton supports broader border security infrastructure, while Elijah champions hardline immigration enforcement policies and strict citizenship-only voting legislation.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports robust border and national security

Dalton supports a secure national border infrastructure that prioritizes national safety while opposing endless military engagements abroad. He emphasizes stopping illicit activity while ensuring enforcement resources target actual threats.

  • Supporting robust border security infrastructure to protect domestic interests
  • Prioritizing national security resources effectively

“I support a robust national security and border security infrastructure that prioritizes the American people and American interests, at home and abroad.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports strict border enforcement and Save America Act

Elijah advocates enforcing the rule of law at the border and opposing policies that favor non-citizens over citizens. He supports the Save America Act to require proof of citizenship for voting and pledges to work with local law enforcement to curb illegal drug flows.

  • Enforcing border laws and opposing measures prioritizing non-citizens
  • Supporting the Save America Act to restrict voting strictly to U.S. citizens
  • Partnering with local law enforcement to halt illegal drug trafficking

“He strongly supports the Save America Act, which ensures only American citizens can vote in our elections — because citizenship must matter.”

06

Gun policy and 2nd Amendment

medium salience

Dalton favors Second Amendment rights combined with restrictions targeting dangerous individuals, while Elijah offers unreserved Second Amendment backing endorsed by the NRA.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports gun rights with commonsense safeguards

Dalton affirms the Second Amendment as a fundamental right for law-abiding citizens while calling for commonsense measures to keep firearms away from violent criminals. He rejects partisan false choices and insists that protecting gun rights can co-exist with keeping communities safe.

  • Upholding Second Amendment rights for law-abiding gun owners
  • Enacting commonsense protections to prevent violent criminals from accessing firearms
  • Funding law enforcement agencies to maintain community safety

“I’m not interested in partisan politicians who refuse to talk about the need to keep firearms out of the hands of dangerous criminals, or who refuse to talk about the need to adequately fund our law enforcement agencies and public safety officers.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports Second Amendment with NRA endorsement

Elijah is a staunch defender of the Second Amendment, earning an 'A' rating from the National Rifle Association. He opposes gun restrictions that infringe upon the rights of law-abiding gun owners.

  • Defending Second Amendment protections without added federal restrictions
  • Earning an 'A' rating from the NRA

“He is a staunch supporter of the Second Amendment and has earned an “A” rating with the NRA.”

07

Law enforcement and public safety

medium salience

Both candidates support full police funding, but Elijah explicitly mandates enhanced criminal penalties for assaulting police officers.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports fully funding police and public safety

Dalton emphasizes that safe schools and safe communities are mandatory for economic growth. He supports fully funding law enforcement agencies and providing them with necessary operational resources.

  • Fully funding local police departments and public safety officers
  • Prioritizing community safety to foster business and family prosperity

“We must ensure that our police departments are fully funded and have the resources they need to do their job well.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports law enforcement and stiffer assault penalties

Elijah positions himself as a strong defender of police, earning endorsements from local sheriffs. He advocates federal funding for law enforcement training, personnel, and equipment, and supports harsher statutory penalties for assaulting or shooting officers.

  • Securing federal grants for police personnel, technology, and training
  • Legislating tougher penalties for assaulting or shooting law enforcement officers
  • Partnering directly with local county sheriffs on community safety

“He will strongly support legislation that protects law enforcement, including tougher penalties for assaulting or shooting officers.”

08

Foreign policy and national defense

medium salience

Dalton advocates ending military intervention in Iran to avoid forever wars, whereas Elijah supports continuing military action in Iran to complete the mission.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Opposes middle east war and foreign debt

Drawing on his 24 years of military experience, Dalton advocates for clear strategic goals in foreign interventions and calls for an end to the war in Iran. He criticizes foreign aid spending that yields little return on investment and warns that national debt owned by foreign adversaries like China poses a severe security risk.

  • Calling for an end to the war in Iran and avoiding Middle East 'forever wars'
  • Countering Chinese influence and reducing foreign ownership of national debt
  • Eliminating wasteful foreign aid to bloated international bureaucracies

“Endorsing an all-of-the-above energy policy means strengthening our nation’s energy independence and reducing our need for foreign oil and Chinese solar while also lowering costs for American consumers.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports strong military and completing Iran mission

Elijah pledges to keep the U.S. military the strongest fighting force globally through advanced technology. On foreign conflicts, he supports completing the military objective in Iran, asserting that freedom carries necessary costs.

  • Maintaining the military as the strongest, best-equipped force in the world
  • Supporting ongoing foreign operations in Iran to finish the job

“We must ensure that the U.S. military remains the strongest and best-equipped fighting force in the world, backed by the most advanced technology.”

09

Veterans affairs

medium salience

Both candidates strongly support military veterans, though Dalton emphasizes his personal combat record and congressional casework history.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports expanded healthcare and benefits for veterans

Leveraging his military service and past congressional casework for Senator Bill Nelson, Dalton advocates ensuring all military veterans receive quality care and earned benefits. He vows to protect funding for veteran healthcare services.

  • Ensuring complete access to earned VA benefits and medical care
  • Leveraging congressional office resources to resolve veteran service backlogs

“...ensuring veterans can access the care they need and benefits they have earned”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports high-quality veteran healthcare

Coming from a military family, Elijah pledges to guarantee that veterans receive top-tier care following their service to the nation.

  • Guaranteeing high-quality healthcare services for military veterans

“We must also guarantee that our veterans receive the best possible care after their service to our nation.”

10

Environment and energy

medium salience

Dalton explicitly highlights coastal drilling bans and local waterway protection, while Elijah highlights lower fuel costs through energy independence and Volusia beach nourishment projects.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports all-of-the-above energy and conservation

Dalton promotes an 'all-of-the-above' energy stance to bolster independence while safeguarding clean air, clean water, and local waterways like Wekiwa Springs. He opposes offshore drilling off Florida's coast to safeguard military and space testing ranges.

  • Promoting an all-of-the-above energy strategy to reduce reliance on foreign energy
  • Protecting Florida waterways and natural conservation areas
  • Preventing offshore oil drilling along Florida's coasts

“Endorsing an all-of-the-above energy policy means strengthening our nation’s energy independence and reducing our need for foreign oil and Chinese solar while also lowering costs for American consumers.”

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports energy independence and beach nourishment

Elijah advocates for American energy independence to lower fuel prices for businesses and families. Locally, he prioritizes securing federal funding for Volusia County beach nourishment and coastal storm protection.

  • Achieving American energy independence to lower gas prices
  • Securing federal beach nourishment and storm mitigation projects for Volusia County

“Energy independence and lower gas prices are critical to our economy.”

11

Housing and property insurance

medium salience

Dalton advocates specific restrictions on institutional real estate buyers and insurance reform, while Elijah has no documented housing policy platform in the context.

Democratic Bale Dalton

Supports housing expansion and Wall Street bans

Dalton advocates increasing housing supply across all income levels and banning Wall Street institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes. He also calls for federal oversight of state-sanctioned property insurance monopolies that spike homeownership costs.

  • Banning institutional Wall Street speculators from buying single-family homes
  • Increasing housing construction across all price points
  • Reforming property insurance markets to increase competition and curb rate hikes

“...we also should ban Wall Street speculators from buying up single-family homes, which further reduces options for families and drives up costs for everyone else.”

Republican Ryan Elijah No documented position in our sources
12

Education

medium salience

Elijah advocates for parental rights and school choice vouchers, whereas Dalton has no documented education platform in the provided materials.

Democratic Bale Dalton No documented position in our sources

Republican Ryan Elijah

Supports parental rights and school choice

Elijah strongly supports school choice and parental rights in education, emphasizing curriculum transparency for both public and private schools. He supports protecting local control of education while preserving vital federal funding streams for district school boards.

  • Championing parental rights, school choice, and curriculum transparency
  • Preserving local control over school governance
  • Maintaining federal education funding for Seminole and Volusia county schools

“That’s why he champions parental rights and school choice, empowering families to make the best decisions for their kids and have transparency on curriculum.”

Prediction markets 4

updated Oct 31

Polymarket ↗

FL-07 House Election Winner

65.0% Republicans
34.0% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31REPUBLICANS 65.0DEMOCRATS 34.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-07 House winner?

65.0% Ryan Elijah
35.0% Bale Dalton
255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 16OCT 9OCT 31PARTY 79.0PARTY 67.0ELIJAH 65.0DALTON 35.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-07 Republican nominee?

99.0% Ryan Elijah
1.0% Mike Johnson
1.0% Sarah Ulrich

+1 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 23SEP 14OCT 6OCT 25ELIJAH 99.0JOHNSON 1.0MILLS 1.0ULRICH 1.0

Kalshi ↗

FL-07 Democratic nominee?

99.0% Bale Dalton
1.0% George Bock
1.0% Alan Grayson

+3 more outcomes

255075100AUG 1AUG 24SEP 15OCT 7OCT 25DALTON 99.0KINTER 1.0EWERS 1.0ADAMS 1.0BOCK 1.0GRAYSON 1.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.