Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Colorado Lean R

Colorado — 3rd District

The 2026 election for Colorado's 3rd Congressional District features freshman Republican incumbent Jeff Hurd facing Democratic challenger Dwayne Romero, alongside minor-party and unaffiliated candidates. The race hinges on salient district issues such as water rights management, domestic energy development, rural healthcare funding, and economic cost-of-living pressures facing working families. Major political handicappers consider the district to favor the incumbent, with Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating the contest Likely Republican, while Decision Desk HQ rates it Lean Republican.

The pulse

updated Sep 16
Polymarket ↗
Republicans
65.5%
Democrats
33.5%
Kalshi ↗
Jeff Hurd
67.0%
Dwayne Romero
37.0%

All markets →

01

Cost of living and economy

high salience

Romero proposes repealing federal tariffs and expanding Family Tax Credits to lower household costs, whereas Hurd prioritizes cutting regulations on small businesses and utilizing the Child Tax Credit.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Lowers costs and expands tax credits

Romero focuses on lowering daily expenses for working families, including housing, healthcare, grocery, and fuel costs. He advocates repealing federal tariffs that increase consumer costs and expanding Family Tax Credits.

  • Repeal federal tariffs that drive up prices for local consumers.
  • Expand Family Tax Credits to provide direct relief to working families.
  • Target price pressures across groceries, gas, housing, and medical care.

“Affordability is at the top of my priority list.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Reduces regulations and expands tax credits

Hurd emphasizes economic growth through small business support and regulatory relief. He supports tax relief like the Child Tax Credit and investments that ease childcare and utility burdens for rural working families.

  • Target unnecessary federal regulations and mandates to help small businesses thrive.
  • Support the Child Tax Credit and tax credits for working parents facing high childcare costs.
  • Voted Yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) addressing tax policy, federal spending, and the statutory debt limit.

“Better jobs and a better economy mean healthier families and stronger communities.”

“Jeff is open to balanced and thoughtful solutions that enable parents to work and raise their children.”

02

Immigration and border security

high salience

Romero combines border enforcement with a pathway to citizenship for long-term residents, while Hurd focuses on strict enforcement mechanisms, law enforcement resourcing, and enhanced deportation authorities.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Supports border security and earned citizenship

Romero advocates securing the border while establishing a path to citizenship for long-term, law-abiding residents. He also supports increasing the number of immigration judges to handle asylum claims and detain lawbreakers.

  • Enact immigration reform with a pathway to citizenship for long-term community members.
  • Increase immigration judges to process claims and detain bad actors.
  • Secure the border while upholding human rights and local economic needs.

“Part of immigration reform needs to include a path to citizenship for long-term, law-abiding community members, and provide for more immigration judges to detain the bad guys and protect those seeking safe haven.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Supports strict enforcement and border resources

Hurd frames open borders as a national security crisis and advocates providing full resources to Border Patrol and local law enforcement. He supports expanding legal immigration while enforcing strict deportations and crackdowns on illegal entry.

  • Provide complete resources to Border Patrol and law enforcement to secure the border.
  • Voted Yea on the Laken Riley Act (S. 5) requiring detention of illegal immigrants arrested for theft.
  • Voted Yea on H.R. 875 to make DUI offenses grounds for deportation or inadmissibility.

“Our open border is a national security crisis and a massive political failure.”

03

Water rights and management

high salience

Romero emphasizes keeping water in local home basins and preventing foreign acquisition, whereas Hurd emphasizes forcing lower basin states to curb use and reforming federal permitting for water infrastructure.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Protects local basins and compact rights

Drawing on his experience on a local water and sanitation district board, Romero vows to defend Colorado's water supply. He focuses on holding the line under the Colorado River Compact and blocking transfers out of home basins.

  • Defend district water rights under the Colorado River Compact.
  • Oppose efforts to divert water out of local home basins.
  • Prevent foreign entities from purchasing Colorado water resources.

“We need someone in Congress who will hold the line for our district’s water resources.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Defends upstream users and streamflows

Hurd advocates holding lower Colorado River Basin states accountable to live within their water allocations. He supports federal permitting reform for local water projects and eradication of invasive tamarisk plants.

  • Press lower basin states to reduce overall consumption and respect upstream rights.
  • Reform federal permitting processes to allow faster development of local water infrastructure.
  • Fund programs to eradicate invasive, water-guzzling plant species like tamarisk.

“Protecting Colorado water requires thoughtful advocacy.”

04

Energy policy

high salience

Romero positions energy as a practical transition balancing legacy fuels with clean energy development, whereas Hurd highlights full domestic energy independence, permitting deregulation, and foreign exports.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Supports practical all-of-the-above transition

Romero calls for an all-of-the-above energy strategy that maintains local legacy fossil fuel production while aggressively advancing clean alternative energies. He views utilizing local resources as essential during the transition window.

  • Maintain domestic production of traditional energy resources produced in CO-03.
  • Accelerate the advancement and deployment of alternative and renewable energy.
  • Ensure energy remains reliable and affordable as overall electricity demand grows.

“An all-of-the-above approach is the only way we provide the reliable and affordable energy our communities need and deserve.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Promotes energy abundance and exports

Hurd supports expanding traditional oil and gas alongside renewable and low-carbon resources. He emphasizes energy independence, federal permitting reform, and exporting Colorado energy abroad to bolster global security.

  • Support clean and efficient oil and natural gas production in Colorado.
  • Enact permitting and regulatory reform to accelerate traditional and clean energy projects.
  • Export domestic energy resources to shield international allies from foreign leverage.

“Low cost, abundant energy is good for Colorado and good for national security.”

05

Agriculture and rural economy

medium salience

Romero prioritizes restricting foreign ownership of farmland and water within the Farm Bill, while Hurd focuses on reducing federal regulatory burdens on land use, grazing, and wolf management.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Supports Farm Bill and land protections

Romero stresses passing a robust Farm Bill to strengthen rural agricultural economies. He advocates keeping foreign entities from purchasing local water and agricultural land.

  • Pass a robust Farm Bill to support family farms and ranches.
  • Prohibit foreign entities from acquiring Colorado farmland and water rights.
  • Strengthen rural economies for future generations of agricultural producers.

“We must pass a robust Farm Bill and keep foreign entities out of Colorado water and farmland ownership.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Supports producers and regulatory relief

Hurd pledges to protect agricultural producers of all sizes through Farm Bill reauthorization, favorable trade, and reduced regulatory burdens. He focuses on protecting legacy producers from restrictive federal land, grazing, and wildlife policies.

  • Protect farmers and ranchers through the Farm Bill, trade policies, and grazing protections.
  • Reduce federal regulatory burdens impacting water access and wolf management.
  • Support both first-generation and legacy agricultural producers.

“Jeff will work hard to protect the livelihood of farmers and ranchers throughout rural Colorado—no matter the size, and whether they’re first-generation or legacy producers.”

06

Healthcare and rural hospitals

medium salience

Romero advocates direct protections for rural hospitals, drug price negotiation, and reproductive rights, whereas Hurd voted for H.R. 1 without presenting a separate healthcare platform.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Protects rural hospitals and reproductive rights

Romero vows to keep rural hospitals open and funded following federal budget cuts. He supports allowing Medicare to negotiate lower drug prices and protecting access to reproductive healthcare for women.

  • Secure federal funding to maintain open rural hospitals and local health services.
  • Allow Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices to lower out-of-pocket costs.
  • Protect women's access to reproductive healthcare services.
  • Oppose cuts to Medicare, Medicaid, and SNAP enacted under H.R. 1.

“We’ve got to keep rural hospitals open and funded, allow medicare to negotiate lower drug prices, and protect women’s access to reproductive healthcare.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Voted for federal reconciliation package

Hurd voted Yea on H.R. 1 (the One Big Beautiful Bill Act), a reconciliation package addressing federal appropriations and tax policy. His issue platform does not outline a separate standalone healthcare framework.

  • Voted Yea on H.R. 1 (One Big Beautiful Bill Act) providing federal reconciliation funding.
07

Housing affordability

medium salience

Romero proposes banning Wall Street firms from purchasing single-family homes, while Hurd views housing affordability as an economic recruitment challenge best solved by overall business growth.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Restricts corporate buyers and red tape

Romero targets corporate institutional investors buying single-family homes to lower housing costs. He advocates expanding rural housing construction investments and repealing unnecessary regulatory red tape.

  • Stop Wall Street firms and large institutional investors from purchasing residential homes.
  • Repeal red tape hindering housing construction.
  • Invest directly in residential housing construction across rural communities.

“Let’s stop Wall Street behemoths from buying up homes and driving up rents, repeal outdated red tape that hinders construction, and invest in housing construction in our rural communities.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Addresses housing through economic growth

Hurd identifies high housing costs as a major hurdle for rural employee recruitment and business growth. He advocates broad economic and small business policies to ease overall living costs for families.

  • Identify housing costs as a primary obstacle for rural businesses recruiting workers.
  • Promote general economic development and tax relief to make rural areas affordable.

“Businesses struggle to recruit employees because of housing and childcare costs.”

08

Public lands and conservation

medium salience

Romero emphasizes preventing public land transfers and restoring Forest Service field staff, while Hurd points to his committee work advancing multiuse access and resource extraction.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Opposes land sales and boosts staffing

Romero opposes selling or transferring public lands to private interests. He advocates restoring U.S. Forest Service field staff levels and increasing funding for firefighters and wildfire resilience.

  • Oppose efforts to sell or transfer federal public lands to private entities.
  • Restore reduced Forest Service field staffing levels across national forests.
  • Support firefighters and expand wildfire mitigation funding.

“We need to oppose efforts to sell or transfer out public lands to private interests and support our firefighters and increase fire resilience.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Supports multiuse committee oversight

Hurd serves on the House Natural Resources Committee and supports multiuse public land policies that accommodate grazing, mineral development, and local economic activity.

  • Serves on the House Committee on Natural Resources (Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources).
  • Supports multiuse management policies balancing natural resource use with local community interests.
09

Government ethics, reform, and voting

medium salience

Romero champions internal ethics reforms like stock trading bans and congressional term limits, while Hurd focuses on election integrity requirements and judicial reform.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Bans stock trading and enacts term limits

Romero proposes structural ethics reforms, including banning federal officials from trading stocks and ending dark money. He also supports congressional term limits and closing lobbying loopholes.

  • Ban members of Congress and federal officials from trading individual stocks.
  • Enact term limits for members of Congress.
  • Eliminate dark money in campaign finance and close revolving-door lobbying rules.

“This includes banning all federal officials from trading stocks, ending dark money in political spending, enacting term limits, and closing the revolving door between Congress and cushy lobbyist gigs.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Supports voter ID, judicial limits, and transparency

Hurd supports voter integrity legislation requiring proof of citizenship for election registration. He also voted to limit nationwide injunctions by federal courts and supported mandatory disclosure of government files.

  • Voted Yea on the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) requiring documentary proof of citizenship to register for federal elections.
  • Voted Yea on the No Rogue Rulings Act / NORRA (H.R. 1526) limiting federal court injunctions.
  • Voted Yea on the Epstein Files Transparency Act (H.R. 4405) requiring DOJ document disclosure.
10

Veterans and military families

medium salience

Romero highlights his personal military combat service to oppose veteran funding cuts, while Hurd's record rests on voting for federal military construction and veterans appropriations.

Democratic Dwayne Romero

Supports dependable healthcare and VA services

Romero, a combat veteran and Bronze Star recipient, pledges to fight for dependable support and healthcare for veterans. He opposes bureaucratic delays and budget cuts affecting veteran care.

  • Leverage personal military experience as a Gulf War combat veteran to advocate for military families.
  • Oppose budget cuts and bureaucratic delays in VA benefits processing.
  • Ensure dependable healthcare services for returning veterans.

“I know what veterans gave, and I know they deserve real, dependable support when they come home — not bureaucratic delays and budget cuts.”

Republican Jeff Hurd

Voted for military and veterans funding

Hurd voted for federal continuing appropriations bills that provided funding for military construction and veterans affairs programs.

  • Voted Yea on H.R. 5371 providing appropriations for Military Construction and Veterans Affairs through FY2026.
11

Financial technology and digital assets

low salience
Democratic Dwayne Romero No documented position in our sources

Republican Jeff Hurd

Supports digital asset innovation and regulation

Hurd supports regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies and stablecoins to encourage domestic technological leadership. He advocates bipartisan rules to foster blockchain job growth while protecting against fraudulent actors.

  • Support the FIT21 bill (H.R. 4763) for digital asset market structure.
  • Voted Yea on the GENIUS Act (S. 1582) creating a regulatory framework for payment stablecoins.
  • Promote American leadership in blockchain innovation and job creation.

“Jeff believes that new innovations like blockchain technology and cryptocurrency have the potential to radically change our society for the better.”

Prediction markets 2

updated Sep 16

Polymarket ↗

CO-03 House Election Winner

65.5% Republicans
33.5% Democrats
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16REPUBLICANS 65.5DEMOCRATS 33.5

Kalshi ↗

CO-03 House winner?

67.0% Jeff Hurd
37.0% Dwayne Romero
255075100AUG 1AUG 13AUG 25SEP 6SEP 16HURD 67.0ROMERO 37.0

Prices are the market's latest daily close, expressed as an implied win probability. Follow a source link for live prices and volume.