Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · California Safe

California — 38th District

HS

Democratic

Hilda Solis

PC

Republican

Pedro Casas

The 2026 general election for California's 38th Congressional District pits Democratic nominee Hilda Solis against Republican nominee Pedro Casas for an open seat after incumbent Linda Sánchez opted to run in the neighboring 41st District. Both candidates advanced from the top-two primary on June 2, 2026, with Solis receiving 46.2% of the vote and Casas receiving 37.9%. The race hinges on stark contrasts between Solis's progressive county supervisor record and Casas's conservative platform focused on public safety, border security, and economic deregulation. Major election analysis outlets, including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill, universally rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic.

01

Public Safety and Criminal Justice

high salience

Solis advocates shifting justice system priorities from incarceration toward community support resources, while Casas demands strict accountability for offenders and opposes police defunding.

Hilda Solis

Supports criminal justice reform and rehabilitation

Solis advocates shifting local and federal justice system priorities away from mass incarceration and punishment. She supports reallocating focus toward social support, community resources, and rehabilitation services.

  • Reallocate justice system resources toward rehabilitation and supportive services
  • Focus law enforcement policies on community support rather than incarceration

“Supervisor Solis believes that we need to shift the focus from punishment and incarceration to support and resources to get our justice system to work for the people and not against them.”

Pedro Casas

Supports strict law enforcement accountability

Casas emphasizes strict law enforcement measures and holding criminal offenders strictly accountable to eliminate lawlessness. He strongly opposes any efforts to defund law enforcement agencies and pledges to center crime victims in jurisprudence.

  • End incentives for criminal behavior and hold offenders strictly accountable
  • Oppose all measures to defund law enforcement agencies
  • Restore jurisprudence principles focused on crime victim advocacy

“It is imperative to establish a justice system that does not incentivize or reward criminal behavior, which has left communities unsafe, crime victims abandoned, and deteriorating the business community.”

02

Economy and Cost of Living

high salience

Solis focuses on defending labor unions and workforce protections, whereas Casas advocates tax cuts and removing regulatory burdens on small businesses.

Hilda Solis

Supports labor protections and workforce development

Solis emphasizes protecting working-class families and labor unions from federal policy rollbacks. Drawing on her experience as U.S. Secretary of Labor, she supports strengthening workforce programs and affordable living standards.

  • Defend labor union rights and working-class economic protections
  • Expand federal workforce development and job training initiatives

“As the President attacks workers, immigrants, educators, housing that working people can afford, women’s reproductive rights, veterans’ services, labor unions, the Affordable Care Act, Medicaid/Medi-Cal – and democracy itself – we must fight back.”

Pedro Casas

Supports tax cuts and free-market deregulation

Casas proposes broad tax cuts and deregulation to curb inflation and lower household expenses on food, housing, gas, and utilities. He believes removing government red tape will allow the free market to stimulate business growth.

  • Enact tax cuts and reduce bureaucratic red tape for small businesses
  • Leverage free-market dynamics to lower consumer costs for utilities, gas, and groceries

“To stimulate economic growth, I propose tax cuts, reduction of bureaucratic red tape and excessive regulations on small businesses, allowing the free market to recalibrate itself.”

03

Homelessness and Housing

high salience

Solis advocates expanding public funding for supportive housing services and emergency rental aid, while Casas focuses on auditing NGO spending and regulating public spaces.

Hilda Solis

Supports funded supportive housing and rental assistance

Solis advocates dedicated funding streams for permanent supportive housing, emergency rental assistance, and interim housing programs. She highlights her local leadership on Measure H to secure multi-million dollar investments for homeless services.

  • Expand local and federal funding for supportive services at interim housing sites
  • Promote emergency rental assistance programs to prevent housing displacement
  • Preserve and build sustainable affordable housing

“Every day in Los Angeles County Measure H helps house 207 people, but at the same time 227 more people fall into homelessness.”

Pedro Casas

Supports NGO financial audits and treatment facilities

Casas calls for strict oversight and regulation of tax dollars allocated to non-governmental organizations addressing homelessness. He advocates redirecting existing funds toward mental health treatment, substance abuse facilities, job re-entry programs, and public space regulation.

  • Establish strict governance and oversight of homeless funding allocated to NGOs
  • Redirect existing funding into substance abuse and mental health treatment centers
  • Regulate public spaces and implement job re-entry training programs

“develop a governance model to regulate tax dollars used by NGO’s (currently, tax dollars are mismanaged and used for excessive pay and benefit packages of NGO’s as the crisis grows), use existing funds to allocate for homelessness to develop mental health and substance abuse treatment facilities with job re-entry training; regulate public space.”

04

Border Security and Immigration

medium salience

Solis pledges to defend immigrant rights against federal attacks, whereas Casas prioritizes securing the southern border and tightening immigration enforcement.

Hilda Solis

Supports protecting immigrant rights and protections

Solis fights against aggressive federal border policies and supports protecting immigrant families from executive overreach. She views immigrant protections as fundamental to Southern California's community and economic strength.

  • Defend immigrant rights against hostile federal administrative policies
  • Protect vulnerable immigrant workers and families from discrimination

“The working people of Southern California are under assault by the Trump Administration – and I won’t just stand by and let it happen. As the President attacks workers, immigrants, educators...”

Pedro Casas

Supports border security and anti-fentanyl enforcement

Casas prioritizes securing the southern border to protect national security and stop illegal drug trafficking. He ties unsecure border policies directly to the national fentanyl crisis affecting local youth.

  • Secure the U.S. southern border to safeguard national security
  • Implement immigration reforms prioritizing border control
  • Interdict illegal drug trafficking to stop the fentanyl epidemic

“I will work to secure our southern border and implement immigration reforms that prioritize national security.”

05

Education

medium salience

Solis emphasizes public educational resources and free transit for students, while Casas advocates for private school vouchers and high school JROTC programs.

Hilda Solis

Supports public education and transit access for students

Solis champions public school educators and initiatives that lower costs for students. On the Metro Board, she implemented programs delivering free public transit to K-12 and community college students.

  • Protect public school resources and educators from federal budget cuts
  • Provide free public transportation passes for K-12 and community college students

“Metro, at the direction of Chair Solis, has launched a 23-month pilot program which will allow K-12 and community college...”

Pedro Casas

Supports private school vouchers and JROTC expansion

Casas advocates for private school voucher implementation to expand school choice options for families. He also supports establishing JROTC programs across high schools to boost university access and address military recruiting deficits.

  • Implement private school vouchers for K-12 students
  • Establish high school JROTC programs to build college pathways and support military staffing
  • Elevate high school academic standards to prepare students for top-tier universities

“Support the implementation of private school vouchers.”

06

Healthcare

medium salience

Solis focuses on defending broad federal safety-net programs like the ACA and Medi-Cal, while Casas targets behavioral and mental health services for veterans and the homeless.

Hilda Solis

Supports expanding ACA and Medicaid access

Solis supports protecting and strengthening the Affordable Care Act, Medicaid, and Medi-Cal against federal legislative rollbacks. Drawing on her federal Cabinet background, she advocates equal healthcare access across all communities.

  • Protect the Affordable Care Act and Medi-Cal from federal cuts
  • Improve medical facility quality and equitable local care access

“In addition to helping implement the Affordable Care Act as a member of President Obama’s Cabinet, she also works at the local level to improve care.”

Pedro Casas

Supports behavioral health care for veterans

Casas emphasizes target-specific healthcare priorities, specifically expanding mental and behavioral health support for military veterans. He also supports dedicated substance abuse and mental health treatment facilities within homeless care models.

  • Expand behavioral health care programs and funding for military veterans
  • Construct mental health and addiction recovery facilities

“Expand behavioral health support for veterans.”

07

Environment and Infrastructure

low salience

Solis emphasizes environmental justice laws and transit-oriented public development, whereas Casas supports addressing environmental issues appropriately.

Hilda Solis

Supports environmental justice and transit development

Solis promotes clean air, clean water, open space investments, and equitable public transit. She highlights her historical work enacting state environmental justice legislation and leading Metro toward transit-oriented communities.

  • Secure state and federal funding for local park developments and open green spaces
  • Advance transit-oriented development and public transit infrastructure

“Hilda Solis has always prioritized fighting for clean air, water, and open green space.”

Pedro Casas

Supports addressing environmental issues appropriately

Casas lists environmental issues among his national priorities, advocating for measured policy approaches.

  • Appropriately address national environmental challenges

“Appropriately address environmental issues.”

08

Democracy and Governance

low salience

Solis supports mid-cycle redistricting to counter conservative national policy moves, whereas Casas emphasizes bipartisan congressional collaboration.

Hilda Solis

Supports mid-cycle redistricting to defend democracy

Solis strongly supports Proposition 50's mid-cycle redistricting map to counter Republican redistricting actions in other states. She pledges to defend democratic institutions against executive overreach.

  • Support Proposition 50 mid-cycle redistricting in California
  • Counter federal administrative actions that threaten democratic norms

“I wish Proposition 50 wasn’t necessary – but Trump and his allies in Texas and elsewhere are undermining our democracy. We must fight fire with fire, because too much is at stake.”

Pedro Casas

Supports congressional bipartisan collaboration

Casas advocates fostering bipartisan collaboration in Congress to break gridlock and pass productive legislation for the country.

  • Foster bipartisan legislative cooperation in Congress

“Foster bipartisan collaboration in Congress to enact positive change for the nation.”

09

Veterans' Services

low salience

Solis focuses on protecting existing veterans' federal services from cuts, while Casas proposes expanding behavioral health resources and high school JROTC pathways.

Hilda Solis

Supports defending veterans' federal benefits

Solis pledges to defend veterans' services against federal budget cuts and service reductions.

  • Protect federal funding for veterans' healthcare and support services

“As the President attacks workers, immigrants, educators, housing that working people can afford, women’s reproductive rights, veterans’ services...”

Pedro Casas

Supports expanded veteran behavioral healthcare

Casas, a retired U.S. Army Colonel, prioritizes expanding mental and behavioral health support services tailored to military veterans.

  • Expand behavioral and mental health services for veterans

“Expand behavioral health support for veterans.”

10

Gender Policy and Athletics

medium salience

Casas explicitly opposes biological males competing in women's sports, while Solis has no documented position on the topic in the provided sources.

Hilda Solis No documented position in our sources

Pedro Casas

Opposes biological males in female sports

Casas advocates restricting biological males from competing in women's athletic competitions to ensure competitive fairness. He opposes political agendas and policy decisions related to transgender issues in schools and sports.

  • Restrict biological males from competing in female sports divisions
  • Oppose transgender policy agendas in athletic and academic settings

“In sports, I advocate for fairness by ensuring that biological males only compete against their counterparts.”