Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · U.S. House · Arizona Toss-up

Arizona — 1st District

Portrait of Amish Shah

Democratic

Amish Shah

Portrait of Jay Feely

Republican

Jay Feely

In Arizona's 1st Congressional District, Democratic nominee Amish Shah faces Republican nominee Jay Feely in a high-stakes open-seat battleground following the retirement of 15-year incumbent Republican David Schweikert to run for governor. Schweikert narrowly won re-election in 2022 and defeated Shah in 2024, but the district favored Democratic U.S. Senator Ruben Gallego in 2024 while voting for Donald Trump for president. Major forecasters rate the general election as a Toss-up or Lean Democratic. The contest hinges on contrasts between Shah's legislative and medical experience and Feely's America First conservative platform across economic policy, border security, healthcare, and reproductive rights.

01

Border security and immigration

high salience

Feely advocates for completing the border wall and executing mass deportations, whereas Shah focuses his border platform on stopping fentanyl trafficking and supporting law enforcement.

Amish Shah

Supports border safety and anti-fentanyl enforcement

Shah addresses border security through the lens of public safety and combating illicit drug trafficking. He commits to stopping the flow of fentanyl across the border and supporting law enforcement agencies to keep local communities secure.

  • Stop the flow of dangerous drugs like fentanyl across the border
  • Improve public safety and support first responders

“In Congress, he'll continue to work to keep our communities safe by taking action to reduce gun violence, fully funding our police, and stopping the flow of fentanyl across the border.”

Jay Feely

Supports strict border enforcement and deportations

Feely blames the Biden-Harris administration for a border crisis marked by illegal immigration, fentanyl, and violent crime. He pledges to finish the border wall, support mass deportations of violent offenders, and back ICE and Border Patrol.

  • Finish construction of the southern border wall
  • Dismantle open-border policies and implement mass deportations of violent offenders
  • Fully back police, Border Patrol, and ICE agents
  • Eradicate fentanyl before it reaches local neighborhoods

“In Congress, I'll fight to finish the wall, dismantle the Biden/Harris open-borders agenda, and deliver results.”

02

Economy and cost of living

high salience

Feely champions expanding Trump-era tax cuts and deregulation, while Shah calls for rolling back Trump-era tariffs and cutting middle-class taxes.

Amish Shah

Supports lowering middle-class living costs

Shah argues that rising costs for groceries, housing, and healthcare are exacerbated by Trump administration tariffs, which he characterizes as a tax on working families. He highlights his state legislative record of cutting middle-class taxes and pledges to roll back tariffs to ease inflation.

  • Roll back tariffs on everyday imported goods
  • Cut middle-class taxes and support small businesses
  • Make housing, groceries, and healthcare more affordable

“In Congress, Amish will continue working to lower costs, including by rolling back reckless tariffs, so families can continue to afford to live and raise a family here.”

Jay Feely

Supports tax cuts and deregulation

Feely attributes high inflation and economic strain to Democratic governance and excessive federal spending. He proposes expanding Trump-era tax cuts, slashing regulatory red tape, unleashing domestic manufacturing, and reducing national debt.

  • Slash regulatory red tape for businesses
  • Expand Trump-era tax cuts
  • Unleash domestic manufacturing to boost stable jobs
  • Reduce national debt and drive down inflation

“In Congress, I'll fight to slash red tape, expand Trump-era tax cuts, unleash domestic manufacturing, and drive down inflation.”

03

Education

medium salience

Shah supports defending the federal Department of Education and boosting public school funding, whereas Feely advocates ending federal mandates on local schools.

Amish Shah

Supports public education funding and teacher pay

Shah champions defending the federal Department of Education, raising teacher pay, and boosting public school funding. He also aims to reduce higher education costs so students can obtain training without crushing debt.

  • Defend the federal Department of Education
  • Increase funding for public K-12 schools and teacher salaries
  • Lower higher education costs and debt burdens

“In Congress, Amish will defend the Department of Education, champion increased funding for public schools, and push for better teacher pay.”

Jay Feely

Opposes federal mandates in local schools

Feely opposes federal interference in local school districts, promising to stop federal mandates that he argues harm Arizona families and local education.

  • Stop out-of-control federal mandates affecting local schools
  • Protect local educational decision-making

“In Congress, I'll be a voice for the Valley—not the D.C. establishment. That means... stopping out-of-control federal mandates that hurt our families, small businesses, and schools.”

04

Public safety and gun policy

medium salience

Shah advocates gun violence reduction measures paired with police funding, while Feely prioritizes defending Second Amendment rights alongside law enforcement support.

Amish Shah

Supports gun violence prevention and police funding

Drawing on his ER background treating gunshot victims, Shah supports common-sense gun safety measures. He pairs this with commitments to fully fund police departments and support first responders.

  • Take legislative action to reduce gun violence
  • Fully fund local police departments and support first responders

“In Congress, he'll continue to work to keep our communities safe by taking action to reduce gun violence, fully funding our police, and stopping the flow of fentanyl across the border.”

Jay Feely

Supports law enforcement and Second Amendment rights

Feely stresses protecting Second Amendment rights and backing police officers. He opposes federal mandates that interfere with constitutional gun rights while promising full support for law enforcement.

  • Defend Second Amendment firearm rights
  • Fully support local police and law enforcement officers

“That means protecting our water, standing up for our farmers and ranchers, defending our Second Amendment rights, and stopping out-of-control federal mandates that hurt our families, small businesses, and schools.”

05

Healthcare and reproductive rights

high salience

Amish Shah

Supports universal healthcare and abortion access

As an emergency physician, Shah advocates expanding universal healthcare, lowering prescription drug prices, and reversing federal Medicaid cuts. He holds a 100% pro-choice voting record, supports codifying Roe v. Wade, and led state efforts to safeguard access to mifepristone.

  • Codify Roe v. Wade federal abortion protections
  • Protect access to the abortion drug mifepristone
  • Expand universal healthcare coverage and lower prescription drug prices
  • Reverse Medicaid cuts

“Dr. Shah has a 100% pro-choice voting record, and he will continue protecting a woman's right to choose in Congress by codifying Roe v. Wade.”

Jay Feely No documented position in our sources
06

Democracy and rule of law

high salience

Amish Shah

Supports voting protections and constitutional integrity

Shah criticizes efforts to cast doubt on election results or restrict voting access. He advocates ending partisan gerrymandering, banning dark money in politics, prohibiting politician self-enrichment, and upholding the rule of law against executive overreach.

  • End partisan gerrymandering
  • Eliminate dark money from political campaigns
  • Protect voting rights and electoral process integrity
  • Counter executive actions that violate the U.S. Constitution

“In Congress, he will continue to uphold our Constitution and protect democratic institutions. Amish will combat partisan gerrymandering and is dedicated to eliminating dark money from politics”

Jay Feely No documented position in our sources
07

Energy and environment

medium salience
Amish Shah No documented position in our sources

Jay Feely

Supports fossil fuel expansion and energy independence

Feely advocates an America-First energy strategy focused on domestic production of oil, natural gas, and clean coal. He rejects Green New Deal policies, promising to cut regulatory hurdles to lower energy costs and boost energy security.

  • Unleash domestic production of oil, natural gas, and clean coal
  • Cut environmental red tape and regulatory barriers
  • Oppose Green New Deal legislation

“I proudly support President Trump's America-First energy agenda—and I'll work to unleash the full power of American oil, natural gas, clean coal, and the next generation of innovation.”

08

Senior benefits (Social Security and Medicare)

medium salience

Amish Shah

Opposes cuts to Social Security and Medicare

Shah pledges to defend Social Security and Medicare from benefit reductions or retirement age increases. He criticizes Republican legislative cuts to Medicaid and vows to safeguard seniors' retirement security.

  • Protect Social Security and Medicare earned benefits
  • Oppose raising the eligibility age for Social Security
  • Reverse Medicaid funding cuts

“In Congress, Amish will always stand up to protect Social Security and Medicare and ensure that all Arizona seniors receive the benefits they paid for and earned.”

Jay Feely No documented position in our sources
09

Transgender rights and women's sports

medium salience
Amish Shah No documented position in our sources

Jay Feely

Opposes transgender women in female sports

Feely opposes biological males competing in female sports divisions, calling it a threat to fair competition. Drawing on his background as an NFL player, coach, and father, he promises to codify federal laws restricting women's sports to biological females.

  • Codify federal laws prohibiting biological males from female sports
  • Protect athletic titles and opportunities for young women

“In Congress, I will fight to protect girls' and women's sports by codifying common-sense laws that ensure fair competition and keep women's titles out of men's hands.”

10

Foreign policy and Israel

medium salience
Amish Shah No documented position in our sources

Jay Feely

Supports Israel and fighting campus antisemitism

Feely pledges strong support for Israel, citing personal visits to the Gaza border. He vows to strengthen the U.S.-Israel relationship and combat antisemitism on domestic college campuses.

  • Strengthen the U.S.-Israel strategic alliance
  • Combat antisemitism on American college campuses

“In Congress, I will stand unapologetically with Israel and fight to strengthen the U.S.-Israel relationship. That includes fighting antisemitism right here at home”

11

Animal welfare

low salience

Amish Shah

Supports federal legislation against animal cruelty

Building on his state legislative record banning puppy mills, cat declawing, and kangaroo part sales, Shah advocates federal animal protection laws. He promises to ban puppy mills, horse slaughter, and animal fighting, while promoting non-animal research testing methods.

  • Ban puppy mills, staged animal fighting, and horse slaughter
  • Promote human-relevant testing methods over dog and primate testing
  • Protect state and local authority to regulate factory farming

“As a State Representative, Dr. Shah led efforts to crack down on puppy mills, to halt the declawing of cats (because it is an unwarranted mutilation procedure), and to halt the sale of kangaroo parts in the United States to stop the mass slaughter of kangaroos in their native habitats.”

Jay Feely No documented position in our sources
12

Arizona water and agriculture

low salience
Amish Shah No documented position in our sources

Jay Feely

Supports local water protection and agriculture

Feely emphasizes protecting Arizona's water rights and defending local farmers and ranchers against federal mandates.

  • Protect Arizona's local water supply
  • Support local farmers and ranchers against federal overreach

“In Congress, I'll be a voice for the Valley—not the D.C. establishment. That means protecting our water, standing up for our farmers and ranchers”