Pluribus AI 2026 Election

2026 Midterms · Governor · Texas Likely R

Texas — Governor

The 2026 Texas gubernatorial election features incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott seeking re-election against Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa, a member of the Texas House of Representatives. The race hinges on key state policy battles including public education funding versus school vouchers, property tax relief and cost of living, border security interventions, energy grid reliability, and corporate regulations. Major election forecasters rate the contest as Likely Republican (Cook Political Report, Inside Elections) or Safe Republican (Sabato's Crystal Ball).

01

Education

high salience

Hinojosa fights to block school vouchers and direct all state funding to neighborhood public schools, whereas Abbott established a $1 billion universal school choice program while increasing overall public education spending.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Opposes school vouchers and supports public education

Hinojosa prioritizes funding neighborhood public schools and opposes voucher programs that divert tax dollars to private institutions. She advocates investing in teacher pay, school safety, and the Teacher Retirement System rather than corporate or private school interests.

  • Opposes Greg Abbott's voucher program, characterizing it as draining billions from public schools
  • Pledges to protect the Teacher Retirement System and raise teacher pay
  • Advocates investing in neighborhood public school safety and resources

“Greg Abbott’s voucher scam is set to drain billions of taxpayer dollars from our schools and Teacher Retirement System to fund private education for the wealthy few. We need to invest in school safety and teacher pay, not corporate profits.”

Republican Greg Abbott

Supports universal school choice and public school funding

Abbott enacted Texas's first universal school choice program providing $1 billion for Education Freedom Accounts while increasing public school funding. His education platform includes expanding teacher merit pay, banning DEI and sexual orientation topics in K-12, and embedding religious freedoms like displaying the Ten Commandments in classrooms.

  • Created a $1 billion universal school choice program establishing Education Freedom Accounts
  • Invested $8.5 billion in new public education funding and $4 billion for teacher and support staff salaries
  • Banned instruction on gender identity and sexual orientation while adding a Parent's Bill of Rights to the state constitution
  • Passed legislation requiring the Ten Commandments to be displayed in public schools

“Created the first universal school choice program in Texas, investing $1 billion for “Education Freedom Accounts” — making Texas the largest day-one program in U.S. history”

02

Cost of living and taxes

high salience

Hinojosa focuses on reining in corporate greed and putting direct funds into working families' pockets, while Abbott relies on state-level property tax cuts and statutory bans on income and capital gains taxes.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Targets corporate greed to lower household costs

Hinojosa focuses on combating corporate greed that she argues inflates prices for groceries, housing, utilities, and insurance. She proposes direct affordability relief for working families, including a plan to put $1,500 back in people's pockets, while eliminating corporate tax favors.

  • Proposes a plan to put $1,500 into Texans' pockets to combat inflation
  • Targets corporate greed in housing, groceries, utilities, and insurance
  • Promotes opportunities for small businesses and working families over multinational corporations

“Texas needs leaders who are willing to take on the corporate greed that is making life increasingly unaffordable for working families.”

Republican Greg Abbott

Promotes historic property tax cuts and tax bans

Abbott highlights his record of enacting an $18 billion property tax relief package and investing over $50 billion total to compress property tax rates. He supports strict bans on state income, capital gains, transaction, and inheritance taxes to preserve Texas's low-tax climate.

  • Enacted an $18 billion property tax cut in 2023 and invested over $50 billion to reduce property taxes
  • Raised the school district homestead exemption to $140,000 for homeowners and $200,000 for elderly/disabled residents
  • Enshrined bans on state income, capital gains, transaction, and inheritance taxes
  • Increased the business personal property tax exemption from $2,500 to $125,000

“Provided the largest property tax cut in Texas history in 2023 by providing $18 billion to:”

03

Border security and immigration

high salience

Hinojosa opposes Abbott's border enforcement maneuvers as hazardous and unlawful, whereas Abbott has invested over $11 billion in state border wall construction, troop deployments, and migrant bussing.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Criticizes state immigration and border enforcement actions

Hinojosa challenges Abbott's border policies and executive actions, accusing his administration of creating legal conflicts and safety risks. She criticizes Abbott's handling of law enforcement mandates and state sovereignty issues.

  • Criticizes Abbott's border enforcement and legal overreach
  • Accuses Abbott of undermining state safety and failing to cooperate with law enforcement and extradition laws

“Abbott is putting Texans in peril”

Republican Greg Abbott

Deploys state resources for strict border enforcement

Abbott launched Operation Lone Star, spending over $11 billion in state funds to deploy the National Guard and State Troopers to secure the southern border. He authorized building a state border wall, designated drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations, criminalized illegal entry under state law, and mandated county cooperation with ICE.

  • Spent over $11.1 billion on Operation Lone Star and deployed National Guard and DPS troopers to the border
  • Constructed a state border wall and installed over 100 miles of razor wire and river buoys
  • Banned sanctuary cities, criminalized illegal border entry at the state level (SB4), and mandated full county cooperation with ICE
  • Bussed more than 100,000 migrants to self-declared sanctuary cities

“Texas spent over $11.1 billion to secure the border, deny illegal entry, seize deadly drugs like fentanyl, and keep Texans safe”

04

Energy and data center infrastructure

medium salience

Hinojosa demands limits on data center expansion to protect ratepayers from rising utility costs, whereas Abbott prioritizes expanding dispatchable energy funding and overall grid capacity to support corporate growth.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Opposes unchecked data center expansion straining grid

Hinojosa advocates ending what she terms 'costly data center madness,' arguing that rapid data center proliferation strains the Texas power grid and drives up utility bills for everyday consumers. She calls for accountability regarding how corporate energy consumption affects residential ratepayers.

  • Campaigns to end costly data center expansion that burdens taxpayers and energy resources
  • Raises concerns about data centers driving up electricity prices and utility bills for families
  • Calls for transparency and limits on corporate energy subsidies

“MYTH VS. FACT: Abbott Lies About Data Centers, Ignores Voters’ Concerns About Rising Prices”

Republican Greg Abbott

Expands grid capacity and dispatchable power generation

Abbott supports rapid expansion of power generation across all energy sectors, positioning Texas as a leader in oil, gas, wind, solar, and nuclear power. He created the $10 billion Texas Energy Fund for dispatchable power and oversaw a 35% increase in grid capacity.

  • Signed the $10 billion Texas Energy Fund to support dispatchable power generation
  • Expanded Texas grid power capacity by over 35% (44,000+ MW) since 2021
  • Established the Texas Advanced Nuclear Energy Office and Texas Electric Supply Chain Security and Mapping Committee
  • Maintains Texas as the national leader in total energy production, including wind, solar, and battery storage

“Signed the largest investment for dispatchable energy in Texas history, $10 Billion for Texas Energy Fund”

05

Healthcare

medium salience

Hinojosa focuses on restricting private equity and drug company profiteering in healthcare, while Abbott focuses on rural healthcare grants, mental health facility funding, and nutrition policy reforms.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Supports accessible care and reining in health profiteers

Hinojosa advocates for quality, accessible healthcare by tackling corporate profiteering in the medical industry. She opposes private equity ownership of medical practices and high drug/insurance pricing that burdens Texas families.

  • Aims to rein in big insurance and drug companies putting profits over patients
  • Opposes private equity acquisitions of doctor practices, equipment, and clinics that drive up healthcare costs
  • Pledges to protect quality, affordable healthcare accessibility for all Texans

“We need to reign in these out-of-control profiteers who are making healthcare more expensive and making Texans sicker.”

Republican Greg Abbott

Promotes rural healthcare funding and preventative health reforms

Abbott signed the Make Texas Healthy Again Act to expand nutrition education and reform public food programs, while banning SNAP purchases of sugary drinks. He also directed state funding to rural healthcare stability, ambulance services, and mental health infrastructure.

  • Enacted the Make Texas Healthy Again Act, adding nutrition education and banning SNAP usage for sweetened drinks and candy
  • Established the Rural Health Stabilization and Innovation Act and Rural Ambulance Service Grant Program
  • Allocated $239 million for rural mental health care facility construction and $34 million for a Uvalde mental health campus
  • Passed the Texas No Surprises Billing Act and mandated itemized hospital bills

“Signed the Rural Health Stabilization and Innovation Act to provide strategic planning, technical assistance and funding to ensure sustainability of rural health and clinics”

06

Abortion and reproductive rights

medium salience

Hinojosa advocates restoring reproductive rights and funding Planned Parenthood, whereas Abbott signed strict state bans on abortion and prohibited state funds for abortion-related services.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Supports reproductive rights and Planned Parenthood funding

Hinojosa opposes Republican restrictions on reproductive freedom and supports restoring access to legal abortion. She pledges to restore state funding for family planning organizations like Planned Parenthood.

  • Opposes state restrictions and bans on abortion access
  • Supports restoring state grant funding to Planned Parenthood and reproductive health clinics
  • Advocates protecting women's autonomy over healthcare decisions

“We must stop the Republican assault on women's reproductive rights and restore funding to Planned Parenthood.”

Republican Greg Abbott

Enacted strict abortion prohibitions

Abbott signed into law the Texas Human Life Protection Act and the Texas Heartbeat Act, enforcing a near-total ban on abortions starting at six weeks. He prohibited public funding for abortion providers or related logistics and invested $180 million in the Thriving Texas Families initiative.

  • Signed the Texas Heartbeat Act and Human Life Protection Act banning abortion with medical emergency exceptions
  • Prohibited state entities from financially or logistically assisting abortions or abortion-inducing drugs
  • Allocated $180 million to the Thriving Texas Families program to support mothers and adoption services

“Signed the strongest pro-life protections in the country to protect the unborn and pregnant women, including the Texas Human Life Protection Act, the Texas Heartbeat Act, and the Life of the Mother Act”

07

Gun policy

medium salience

Hinojosa seeks to allow public universities to opt out of campus carry laws, whereas Abbott signed Constitutional Carry and mandatory Campus Carry into law while blocking state assistance with federal gun laws.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Supports campus carry opt-outs and gun safety

Hinojosa supports allowing public universities the option to opt out of state campus carry mandates, aligning them with private institutions. She emphasizes combining gun safety regulation with increased funding for mental health services.

  • Supports allowing public universities to opt out of mandatory campus carry laws
  • Advocates increased state funding for mental health resources alongside gun safety measures

“Public universities need the same right as private universities to opt out of campus carry, and we need more funding for mental health.”

Republican Greg Abbott

Expands gun rights and Second Amendment protections

Abbott signed permitless Constitutional Carry into law, allowing adults to carry handguns without a license, as well as mandatory Campus Carry. He designated Texas a Second Amendment Sanctuary State and prohibited state officials from assisting in federal gun control enforcement.

  • Signed Constitutional Carry permitting legal handgun carry without a license
  • Enacted Campus Carry and declared Texas a Second Amendment Sanctuary State
  • Barred state and local officials from assisting federal authorities in enforcing federal firearm restrictions

“Signed historic second amendment rights legislation to secure the rights of Texans to carry firearms, including Concealed Carry, Campus Carry, and Constitutional Carry laws”

08

Public safety and criminal justice

medium salience

Hinojosa opposes automated police surveillance cameras like Flock, while Abbott enacted state bans on defunding police and restricted pre-trial bail for violent crimes.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Criticizes automated surveillance and executive releases

Hinojosa criticizes the deployment of automated surveillance tech such as Flock license plate cameras. She also attacks Abbott's executive decisions regarding criminal extraditions and public safety.

  • Criticizes the widespread deployment of Flock surveillance cameras in Texas
  • Accuses Abbott of improper executive intervention in criminal justice and extradition matters

“NEW AD: Hinojosa Releases Ad Highlighting Abbott Bringing Flock Cameras to Texas”

Republican Greg Abbott

Prohibits defunding police and restricts bail

Abbott enacted state legislation prohibiting municipalities from defunding police departments and passed bail reforms that prevent personal bonds for violent offenses. He expanded anti-gang centers, increased human trafficking penalties, created Texas Cyber Command, and restricted non-profit bail funds.

  • Passed legislation banning Texas cities from defunding police departments
  • Enacted bail reform packages restricting personal/cash bonds for violent crime defendants and banning non-profit criminal bail funds
  • Increased penalties for human trafficking and child abuse while establishing a state Cyber Command
  • Created grants for bullet-resistant glass on police vehicles

“Passed the strongest bail reform package in state history, allowing judges to deny bail for violent crimes such as murder and rape”

09

Elections and governance

low salience

Hinojosa focuses her governance platform on ending corrupt elite tax carveouts, while Abbott enacted stricter voting penalties, citizen-only voting amendments, and partisan redistricting.

Democratic Gina Hinojosa

Opposes corruption and special interest influence

Hinojosa campaigns on eliminating what she describes as the 'Greg Abbott Corruption Tax,' arguing state resources are funneled to political donors and corrupt elites. She promises to restore ethics and accountability to state decision-making.

  • Pledges to end the 'Greg Abbott Corruption Tax' and special-interest self-dealing
  • Advocates redirecting state tax dollars from corporate insiders back to working families and schools

“Every challenge in Texas boils down to tax dollars being spent to pad the pockets of the well-connected, corrupt elite, instead of what Texans need.”

Republican Greg Abbott

Stiffens voter penalties and restricts foreign ownership

Abbott signed election laws raising penalties for voter fraud to a second-degree felony and supported a constitutional amendment requiring U.S. citizenship to vote. He also enacted redistricting maps shifting five congressional seats toward Republicans and banned real estate purchases by foreign adversaries.

  • Increased penalties for voter fraud to a second-degree felony and empowered the AG to prosecute election crimes
  • Signed a constitutional amendment requiring U.S. citizenship to vote in Texas elections
  • Signed mid-decade congressional redistricting maps shifting five Democratic districts toward Republicans
  • Prohibited foreign adversaries (China, Russia, Iran, North Korea) from buying Texas land or making state investments

“Increased the penalty for voter fraud from a misdemeanor to a second-degree felony”