2026 Midterms · Governor · Pennsylvania Likely D
Pennsylvania — Governor
The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election features incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro facing Republican nominee and State Treasurer Stacy Garrity. The matchup hinges on Shapiro's executive record of bipartisan budget investments, public school funding, and targeted tax credits versus Garrity's emphasis on fiscal watchdog oversight, state transparency, tax limitation, and opposition to environmental regulations like the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI). Major nonpartisan election rating outlets view the race as favorable to Democrats, with The Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rating it Solid Democratic and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Likely Democratic.
Government transparency and fiscal oversight
high salienceGarrity emphasizes her record as Treasurer revamping state transparency portals and cutting government waste, while Shapiro points to his record passing bipartisan budgets and targeted tax credits.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Supports bipartisan budget investments and fiscal compromise
Shapiro highlights his ability to enact bipartisan state budgets that fund core state priorities while creating targeted tax relief like the Working Pennsylvanians Tax Credit. He stresses delivering concrete legislative results despite governing alongside a divided state legislature.
- Signed bipartisan state budgets funding public education, child care, and law enforcement
- Enacted the Working Pennsylvanians Tax Credit into law during the 2025 legislative session
- Managed state government operations under a divided legislature to deliver targeted investments
“Even with a divided state legislature — together — we’ve gotten a whole lot done on issues that have been stuck for decades. But there’s always more to do — more people to help, more Pennsylvanians to protect, more bridges to build.”
Republican Stacy Garrity
Advocates full transparency and cutting state waste
Garrity prioritizes government transparency and fiscal accountability, pointing to her record revamping the state Treasury's transparency portal. She stresses her track record of identifying overpayments, eliminating taxpayer fraud, and serving as an aggressive fiscal watchdog.
- Revamped the Pennsylvania Treasury transparency portal to enable citizens to track state spending online
- Identified overpayments and duplicate payments to save taxpayers nearly $50 million annually
- Pledged to bring strict ethics, cost elimination, and full government transparency to the governor's office
“Transparency is the foundation of our democracy. Taxpayers have a right to know how state government functions and how it spends their tax dollars. There is no excuse for anything less than 100 percent transparency.”
Energy and environmental policy
high salienceGarrity strongly opposes ESG policies and the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative as costly burdens on energy jobs, while Shapiro maintains an 'all-of-the-above' energy strategy.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy
Shapiro supports an 'all-of-the-above' energy approach designed to balance economic growth and energy production. Polling indicates broad voter support for his approach to state energy development.
- Pursues an all-of-the-above state energy strategy balancing traditional energy industries and clean energy development
Republican Stacy Garrity
Opposes RGGI tax and ESG mandates
Garrity actively opposes Pennsylvania joining the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), calling it an illegal regulation that will drive up energy prices and destroy jobs. She has also co-signed multi-state treasurer efforts opposing ESG investment mandates and federal pressure on banks to limit funding for fossil fuel energy companies.
- Supported litigation blocking Pennsylvania's entry into the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative
- Co-signed letters opposing federal efforts to discourage bank lending to coal, oil, and natural gas companies
- Opposed Federal Reserve nominations over concerns regarding climate policy restrictions on traditional energy firms
“RGGI is a massive, illegal tax disguised as a regulation. If it’s allowed to be implemented, energy prices for every Pennsylvanian will skyrocket – and thousands of our good, family-sustaining jobs will be lost.”
“This nominee is a risk to reliable energy companies and the millions of people who are employed by them here in Pennsylvania and across the country.”
Taxes and cost of living
high salienceGarrity pledges to prevent state tax increases through fiscal restraint, whereas Shapiro points to targeted tax credits and executive intervention against utility rate increases.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Supports targeted tax credits and utility price intervention
Shapiro focuses on direct cost-of-living relief, including enacting the Working Pennsylvanians Tax Credit and intervening against utility price hikes. His administration prevented PECO from proposing utility rate increases, saving southeastern Pennsylvania consumers $510 million.
- Signed the Working Pennsylvanians Tax Credit into law during the 2025 legislative session
- Demanded utility company PECO withdraw a proposed rate increase, saving 1.7 million consumers $510 million
- Secured expanded child care financial support for families in state budget agreements
Republican Stacy Garrity
Opposes state tax increases
Garrity centers her economic platform on protecting Pennsylvanians from higher taxes and state overspending. She promises to lead as a governor focused on raising hope rather than raising taxes on working families.
- Pledged to oppose state tax increases on Pennsylvania residents and businesses
- Emphasizes state fiscal discipline and elimination of waste to relieve pressure on family budgets
“Stacy Garrity will be a Governor more interested in raising hope, than raising our taxes.”
Education
medium salienceShapiro advocates historic state budget increases for public K-12 schools and vo-tech training, while Garrity highlights her management of state college savings plans.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Supports historic public school and vo-tech funding
Shapiro signed the largest year-over-year increase in public school funding in Pennsylvania history. He expanded state funding for vocational-technical and career education by 60% and renewed funding for universal free school breakfasts.
- Enacted the largest year-over-year public school funding increase in state history in 2024
- Increased state funding for vocational-technical, career, and technical education by 60%
- Renewed and secured funding for universal free school breakfasts across Pennsylvania public schools
Republican Stacy Garrity
Supports managing and protecting college savings plans
Garrity highlights her leadership overseeing Pennsylvania's 529 College & Career Savings Program as State Treasurer. She worked to reduce administrative fees and save account holders nearly $17 million.
- Managed the PA 529 College & Career Savings Program to assist families saving for higher education and vocational training
- Reduced administrative fees on PA 529 accounts to save account holders nearly $17 million
Healthcare and social safety net
medium salienceShapiro emphasizes expanding insurance mandates and child care funding, while Garrity stresses protecting safety net benefits and savings programs for individuals with disabilities.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Expands insurance mandates and family child care
Shapiro signed bipartisan legislation expanding health insurance coverage requirements for breast cancer screenings. He also secured state budget funding for family child care support.
- Signed legislation expanding health insurance coverage requirements for breast cancer screenings
- Secured state funding for family child care support in the 2026-27 state budget
Republican Stacy Garrity
Supports protecting healthcare benefits and disability savings
Garrity supports protecting healthcare and welfare benefits for vulnerable populations. As Treasurer, she spearheaded the PA ABLE Savings Program and served as national chair of the ABLE Savings Plans Network to support financial independence for individuals with disabilities.
- Supports protecting healthcare and welfare benefits for vulnerable citizens in coordination with federal policies
- Chaired the national ABLE Savings Plans Network to expand tax-advantaged savings options for individuals with disabilities
Voting and election laws
medium salienceShapiro implemented automatic voter registration and promises to veto mail voting restrictions, whereas Garrity has no documented position in the sources.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Supports automatic voter registration and mail voting
Shapiro implemented automatic voter registration at Pennsylvania Department of Transportation centers. He has consistently campaigned on using his gubernatorial veto power to block legislative efforts by the Republican majority to restrict absentee or mail-in voting.
- Implemented automatic voter registration through PennDOT centers statewide
- Committed to vetoing legislative proposals that restrict absentee or mail-in voting access
Abortion and reproductive rights
medium salienceShapiro promises to veto any abortion restrictions passed by the legislature, while Garrity has no documented position in the provided sources.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Protects abortion access via gubernatorial veto
Shapiro made defending abortion access a centerpiece of his executive platform, pledging to use his gubernatorial veto power to block any anti-abortion legislation passed by the Republican-led General Assembly.
- Pledged to use gubernatorial veto power to block any abortion restrictions passed by the state legislature
Veterans affairs and military service
medium salienceGarrity emphasizes her 30-year Army Reserve career and Treasury initiative returning military honors to families, while Shapiro has no specific documented platform on veterans in the sources.
Republican Stacy Garrity
Supports veterans through service and returning military honors
Garrity leverages her 30-year U.S. Army Reserve career, including three overseas deployments and two Bronze Stars, as a foundational element of her executive candidacy. As Treasurer, she prioritized returning lost military decorations, including Purple Hearts and Bronze Stars, to veterans and their families.
- Served 30 years in the U.S. Army Reserve, retiring as a colonel after deployments in Desert Storm, Operation Iraqi Freedom, and Operation Enduring Freedom
- Returned over 450 military decorations—including 11 Purple Hearts and 3 Bronze Stars—from the state Treasury vault to veterans or their surviving families
Public safety and law enforcement
low salienceShapiro emphasizes expanding state trooper recruitment and crime victims' rights, whereas Garrity has no documented policy position in the provided sources.
Democratic Josh Shapiro
Supports state trooper funding and crime victims' rights
Shapiro secured increased state budget funding to recruit and train additional Pennsylvania State Troopers. He also supported constitutional protections for crime victims, backing the Marsy's Law amendment.
- Secured state budget funding for additional Pennsylvania State Trooper positions
- Supported the Marsy's Law Crime Victims Rights Amendment during his tenure as Attorney General