2026 Midterms · Governor · New Hampshire Likely R
New Hampshire — Governor
The 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election features incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte facing Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington, a former Executive Councilor, in the November 3 general election following their primary wins on September 8, 2026. The race hinges on opposing economic and social visions for the Granite State, with key clashes over state property taxes, private school voucher programs, energy regulation for big tech data centers, and housing policy. Major election forecasters classify the race as favoring the incumbent, with The Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it 'Likely Republican' and Inside Elections rating it 'Solid Republican'.
Economy and Taxes
high salienceWhile both candidates commit to opposing state sales and income taxes, Warmington proposes a temporary gas tax suspension and blames state policy for rising local property taxes, whereas Ayotte focuses on deregulation and spending cuts to maintain state tax advantages.
Democratic Cinde Warmington
Opposes sales and income taxes
Warmington vows to preserve New Hampshire's lack of a state sales or income tax while offering immediate cost relief to Granite Staters. She advocates for a temporary suspension of the state gas tax and argues that the state's private school voucher program is driving up local property taxes.
- Temporarily suspend the state gas tax to lower fuel costs.
- Oppose the creation of any state sales or income tax.
- Direct state agencies to assess tariff impacts and seek consumer and business refunds.
“As Governor, Cinde will temporarily suspend the state gas tax, giving New Hampshire drivers immediate relief.”
“And make sure we don’t have a sales or income tax.”
Republican Kelly Ayotte
Protects state tax-free status
Ayotte places preserving the 'New Hampshire Advantage' at the core of her administration, promising to block any state income or sales tax. She emphasizes fiscal discipline, cutting regulatory burdens on businesses, and delivering a balanced state budget.
- Pledge to never allow a state income or sales tax to be enacted.
- Reduce regulatory and tax burdens on state businesses to encourage hiring.
- Enact a balanced state budget that limits government growth.
“Kelly will never allow an income or sales tax to be imposed in New Hampshire.”
“She will cut burdensome regulations to give individuals more freedom and allow businesses to thrive and grow.”
Housing
high salienceWarmington seeks aggressive intervention against private equity buyers and landlord pricing practices alongside creating a state housing czar, whereas Ayotte emphasizes market-based deregulation and local municipal incentives.
Democratic Cinde Warmington
Expands affordable housing and bans corporate buyers
Warmington treats housing affordability as an urgent crisis, proposing strict prohibitions on corporate investors and price-fixing practices. She plans to establish a state housing czar, expedite state permits, and expand investments in affordable housing funds.
- Ban private equity firms from buying single-family homes and ban algorithmic rent price fixing.
- Appoint a state housing czar on Day 1 to coordinate housing strategy and track supply.
- Repeal arbitrary eviction laws and expand resident purchase rights for mobile home parks.
- Invest in the Affordable Housing Fund and the Housing Champions Program.
“Build on federal efforts that ban private equity firms from buying up single-family homes across New Hampshire and jacking up rent.”
“On Day 1, Cinde will appoint a housing czar whose sole focus is addressing the housing crisis.”
Republican Kelly Ayotte
Streamlines permitting and incentivizes local development
Ayotte focuses on increasing housing supply by eliminating state permitting bottlenecks and reducing burdensome regulations. She advocates for voluntary municipal incentives, such as infrastructure grants through Invest NH, while respecting local zoning control.
- Streamline the state permitting process and cut regulatory red tape for builders.
- Partner with local communities to incentivize workforce housing through Invest NH grants.
- Bring together municipal officials and private sector leaders to expand housing options.
“Kelly will work to streamline the state permitting process and cut unnecessary red tape to make it easier to build new housing in New Hampshire.”
“She will also fight overly burdensome Washington regulations that impede New Hampshire.”
Education
high salienceWarmington promises to repeal private school vouchers to invest entirely in public neighborhood schools, while Ayotte champions universal school choice, parental rights legislation, and classroom cellphone bans.
Democratic Cinde Warmington
Repeals private school vouchers
Warmington strongly opposes the state's private school voucher program, arguing it drains money away from public schools and forces local property taxes to rise. She vows to end the program and prioritize direct funding for local public education.
- Repeal the state's private school voucher scheme.
- Direct state education funding back to public neighborhood schools.
“As Governor, Cinde will repeal Kelly Ayotte’s private school vouchers scheme that’s hurting public schools and driving up property taxes.”
“Cinde Warmington believes that taxpayer dollars should go to public schools and will put an end to Frank Edelblut’s disastrous voucher program once elected governor.”
Republican Kelly Ayotte
Supports universal education freedom and parental rights
Ayotte supports universal school choice and expanding education freedom vouchers for all families regardless of income. She advocates for passing a Parental Bill of Rights, raising pay for academic teachers, banning cellphones in schools, and barring political or gender ideology from classrooms.
- Enthusiastically support universal school choice and education freedom initiatives.
- Pass and sign the Parental Bill of Rights.
- Reward high-performing academic educators with improved compensation.
- Implement a statewide ban on cellphones in public K-12 classrooms and restrict political indoctrination.
“Kelly will fight for Universal education freedom because every child should have the same learning opportunities and chance at success, regardless of their zip code or family income.”
“As Governor, Kelly will enthusiastically work to pass and sign the Parental Bill of Rights.”
Energy and Big Tech
medium salienceWarmington demands an immediate permit moratorium and strict state regulations on large-scale tech data centers, whereas Ayotte favors an all-of-the-above, market-driven energy strategy aimed at cutting business red tape.
Democratic Cinde Warmington
Supports data center moratorium and strict regulation
Warmington advocates for immediate state oversight of large-scale tech data centers, proposing a permit moratorium on Day 1. She supports a 'Data Center Bill of Rights' to protect local utility bills, grid stability, local water and air quality, and local labor standards.
- Place an immediate temporary moratorium on large data center permits until a regulatory framework is enacted.
- Require data center developers to cover grid upgrade costs and prove grid capacity.
- Establish statutory definitions giving towns local zoning and site review control.
- Mandate project labor agreements and prevailing wages for data center construction.
“On Day 1, Cinde will take immediate action by placing a temporary moratorium on large-scale data center permits while a real regulatory framework is built.”
“Cinde will make sure data centers pay their fair share and cover both.”
Republican Kelly Ayotte
Promotes all-of-the-above market-driven energy solutions
Ayotte focuses on lowering utility bills by modernizing energy infrastructure and removing state barriers to private sector innovation. She favors an all-of-the-above, technology-neutral energy approach driven by market competition.
- Adopt an all-of-the-above, technology-neutral approach to reduce energy costs.
- Modernize state energy infrastructure to expand supply and stabilize future rates.
- Cut red tape to allow private sector innovation in energy production.
“Kelly’s utmost energy priority will be reducing costs for Granite Staters. Kelly will take an all-of-the-above approach to lower energy costs”
“The best solutions don’t come from the government, they are market driven from the private sector.”
Healthcare and Abortion
medium salienceWarmington advocates for codifying abortion rights into state law and funding Planned Parenthood, while Ayotte pledges to veto restrictions prior to 24 weeks without adding new statutory protections.
Democratic Cinde Warmington
Codifies abortion rights and expands healthcare access
Warmington supports codifying abortion rights into state law, repealing existing state restrictions, and guaranteeing state funding for Planned Parenthood. Leveraging her experience as a healthcare attorney, she focuses on lowering prescription drug costs and expanding mental health and substance abuse treatment.
- Repeal state abortion restrictions and put statutory protections for reproductive healthcare into state law.
- Protect state funding contracts for Planned Parenthood and reproductive health clinics.
- Reduce prescription drug co-pays and oppose increases in Medicaid costs.
- Expand community mental health resources and substance use disorder treatment.
“Cinde Warmington will repeal Governor Sununu’s dangerous abortion ban and put into law protections for all Granite Staters to access safe, legal abortion care.”
“Health care is a right, not a privilege, and we must do more to make sure every Granite Stater has access to affordable care options.”
Republican Kelly Ayotte
Maintains current 24-week abortion law and expands mental health
Ayotte promises to veto any legislation restricting abortion access prior to six months (24 weeks) of pregnancy, maintaining current state law with exceptions for medical emergencies. She unequivocally supports IVF treatments and pledges to address healthcare workforce shortages in mental health.
- Pledge to veto any bill restricting abortion prior to 26 weeks (six months) of pregnancy.
- Protect access to IVF treatment and hold insurers accountable to lower costs.
- Strengthen the mental health system by addressing workforce shortages and expanding suicide prevention programs.
“Kelly supports and will not change New Hampshire’s current law, which protects women’s freedom to obtain an abortion for any reason up to six months of pregnancy”
“Kelly also unequivocally supports access to IVF for every couple who wishes to use it.”
Immigration and Border Security
medium salienceWarmington opposes building ICE detention facilities in New Hampshire, whereas Ayotte supports strict state immigration enforcement, mandatory E-Verify, sanctuary city bans, and increased northern border resources.
Democratic Cinde Warmington
Opposes ICE detention facilities in New Hampshire
Warmington rejects federal immigration enforcement expansion within New Hampshire communities, explicitly opposing proposed detention centers. She stresses protecting residents from discrimination based on immigration status.
- Oppose the construction of an ICE detention facility in Merrimack or anywhere else in the state.
- Protect residents from discrimination based on immigration status.
“And, she’ll say no to ICE’s human warehouse in Merrimack or anywhere else.”
Republican Kelly Ayotte
Enforces strict state border security and sanctuary bans
Ayotte links border security directly to preventing illicit drug trafficking into New Hampshire. She advocates for increased state law enforcement resources along the northern border, mandatory E-Verify for employers, a strict prohibition on sanctuary cities, and blocking driver's licenses for undocumented immigrants.
- Provide extra state resources and law enforcement personnel along the northern border.
- Require all businesses in New Hampshire to utilize the federal E-Verify system.
- Strictly enforce zero-tolerance policies against sanctuary cities and block driver's licenses for undocumented immigrants.
“As Governor, Kelly will strictly enforce immigration laws throughout our state and provide additional resources for northern law enforcement to aid in immigration enforcement.”
“Kelly will require businesses to use E-Verify, block any attempt to give driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants, and strictly enforce a zero-tolerance policy for sanctuary cities in New Hampshire.”
Public Safety and Crime
medium salienceWarmington champions gun violence prevention legislation including universal background checks and red flag laws, while Ayotte focuses on supporting law enforcement, increasing drug penalties, and protecting constitutional carry.
Democratic Cinde Warmington
Advocates gun control and safety measures
Warmington frames public safety around reducing gun violence through comprehensive firearm regulation. She supports universal background checks, extreme risk protection orders, and bans on assault weapons.
- Enact universal background checks for all firearm sales.
- Pass extreme risk protection orders (red flag laws) and enforce gun-free school zones.
- Ban assault-style weapons of war from public streets.
“She supports universal background checks, gun-free school zones, extreme risk protection orders, and getting weapons of war off the street.”
Republican Kelly Ayotte
Backs law enforcement, tougher drug penalties, and gun rights
Ayotte emphasizes supporting police officers, toughening penalties for fentanyl dealers, and reversing bail reform laws for dangerous offenders. She remains a strong defender of gun rights, pledging to preserve New Hampshire's constitutional carry laws.
- Increase criminal penalties for heroin and fentanyl drug dealers.
- Reform state bail laws to prevent dangerous criminals from remaining free.
- Fix law enforcement retirement systems to improve recruitment and retention.
- Defend constitutional carry and block federal gun control legislation.
“On day one, Kelly will work to strengthen penalties for heroin and fentanyl dealers.”
“As Governor, Kelly will defend our constitutional carry status and block the Biden Administration’s efforts to infringe on the Second Amendment rights of law-abiding Granite State gun owners.”