2026 Midterms · Governor · Florida Likely R
Florida — Governor
In the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election, former Democratic Representative David Jolly faces Trump-endorsed Republican Representative Byron Donalds to succeed term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis. The race hinges on sharp policy divides over property insurance affordability, public education funding, reproductive rights, and immigration enforcement. Major forecasters rate the general election as Solid Republican or Likely Republican, reflecting sustained GOP control of the governorship since 1999.
Economy and Cost of Living
high salienceJolly proposes replacing private disaster risk with a state catastrophic fund, whereas Donalds focuses on market-based insurance reforms, deregulation, tax cuts, and tech sector growth.
Democratic David Jolly
Proposes state catastrophic fund and tech investment
Jolly focuses on property insurance and housing affordability by proposing a state catastrophic fund to absorb natural disaster risk and lower insurance rates. He also proposes no-interest loans for condo association repairs and economic growth centered on technology, agriculture, and tourism.
- Establish a state catastrophic fund to remove natural disaster risk from private insurers and lower property/car insurance rates.
- Offer no-interest state-backed loans to condominium associations for structural repairs.
- Transition Florida into a leading technology economy while renewing agriculture and tourism.
“A state catastrophic fund that removes natural disaster risk from the private insurance market would dramatically reduce property and car insurance rates, restoring affordability and price stability for millions of Floridians.”
“Florida should become a leading technology economy and invest in a renewed agriculture economy with a vision for the next century.”
Republican Byron Donalds
Supports property insurance reform and tax cuts
Donalds pledges to solve the property insurance crisis, lower housing costs, and cut taxes to keep Florida affordable. He advocates deregulating business, establishing Florida as a national financial capital, and supporting responsible AI data center expansion.
- Solve the property insurance crisis and lower housing costs for families and retirees.
- Cut taxes and reduce business regulations to expand economic opportunity.
- Make Florida a national financial capital and responsibly expand AI data centers.
“Florida is too expensive for many of our families and seniors. Byron will work to solve the property insurance crisis, lower housing costs, and make Florida affordable again.”
“Every cycle of innovation in our economy has expanded economic growth in the United States. AI is just going to be the next step of that. Are there going to be some data centers? Yes. Are we going to make sure that they're responsible to the people of Florida. 100% absolutely.”
Education and School Choice
high salienceJolly seeks to restrict school choice vouchers through income means-testing and boost public school funding, while Donalds advocates expanding universal school choice and parental curriculum controls.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports public school funding and voucher restrictions
Jolly calls for significantly increasing state investment in public schools and boosting teacher salaries. He advocates means-testing private school vouchers and requiring private voucher schools to meet public academic and service standards.
- Increase state investment in public schools to raise quality and pay teachers competitive salaries.
- Means-test the private school voucher program based on demonstrated economic need.
- Require private voucher recipient schools to meet public standards and offer specialized services without extra tuition.
- Provide qualified Florida high school students preferred admission status at state universities.
“We need to dramatically increase investment in Florida's public schools to provide higher quality public schools in more neighborhoods, with more teachers who earn a more competitive salary.”
“The voucher program should be means-tested to ensure funding is provided for families with demonstrated economic need.”
Republican Byron Donalds
Champions school choice and parental rights
Donalds highlights his legislative record expanding school choice vouchers and parental oversight in education. He promises to eliminate radical woke ideology from public schools and empower parents.
- Expanded school choice through the enactment of Hope Scholarships in the Florida House.
- Passed first-in-the-nation legislation allowing parents and community members to review school instructional materials.
- Remove radical woke ideology from school curricula.
“While serving in the Florida House of Representatives, Byron made his mark as a champion for school choice and protecting parental rights in education.”
“From defending Second Amendment rights, to protecting life, and to keeping radical woke ideology out of schools, Byron will always fight the Left’s agenda.”
Abortion and Reproductive Rights
high salienceJolly advocates enshrining Roe v. Wade abortion protections into state law, whereas Donalds opposes abortion and vows to protect pro-life values.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports codifying federal abortion protections
Jolly supports protecting reproductive healthcare decisions between women and their doctors. He calls for codifying the legal frameworks of Roe v. Wade and Casey v. Planned Parenthood into Florida state law.
- Codify Roe v. Wade and Casey v. Planned Parenthood protections in Florida law.
- Keep reproductive healthcare decisions between women and doctors without state intervention.
“Reproductive healthcare decisions should be made between women and their doctors, not politicians.”
“Absent federal legislation restoring these protections, Florida should codify the Roe/Casey framework.”
Republican Byron Donalds
Opposes abortion and protects life
Donalds opposes abortion access and places protecting unborn life at the core of his conservative values platform.
- Defend conservative pro-life values against progressive abortion policies.
“From defending Second Amendment rights, to protecting life, and to keeping radical woke ideology out of schools, Byron will always fight the Left’s agenda.”
Immigration and Border Security
high salienceDonalds advocates strict border enforcement and ending state assistance to undocumented immigrants, while Jolly supports embracing immigrant communities and correcting criminal justice disparities.
Democratic David Jolly
Opposes demonizing immigrants and culture wars
Jolly opposes divisive political attacks against immigrants and supports recognizing their contributions to Florida's economy and culture. He advocates addressing justice system disparities affecting immigrant communities.
- Celebrate the contributions of immigrant communities to Florida's economy and culture.
- Correct disparities in the criminal justice system facing immigrant communities.
“Florida should embrace our immigrant community and celebrate their contributions to our state's culture and economy.”
Republican Byron Donalds
Supports strict border enforcement and deportation
Donalds aligns with Donald Trump's border platform, calling for strict border enforcement and stopping illegal immigration. He advocates halting taxpayer benefits for undocumented immigrants and stopping illegal drug inflows.
- Enact Trump's border security and immigration agenda.
- End taxpayer handouts to illegal immigrants.
- Stop illegal drug trafficking into Florida and the nation.
“Byron stands with President Trump to secure the border, keep our families and communities safe, end taxpayer handouts to illegals, and stop drugs from pouring into our country.”
Guns and Second Amendment
medium salienceJolly supports banning assault weapons, universal background checks, and expanded red flag laws, whereas Donalds staunchly opposes new gun control legislation.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports assault weapon ban and red flag laws
Jolly advocates common-sense gun safety measures while respecting responsible gun owners. His proposals include banning assault weapons, requiring universal background checks, exploring firearm licensing, and expanding red flag laws.
- Ban the sale of assault weapons in Florida.
- Require universal and comprehensive background checks for firearm purchases.
- Explore firearm licensing options and expand red flag laws enacted after Parkland.
“Florida should ban the sale of assault weapons, require universal and comprehensive background checks, explore licensing, and preserve and expand the red flag laws enacted following the tragedy at Parkland.”
Republican Byron Donalds
Opposes new gun control regulations
Donalds is a staunch defender of Second Amendment rights and opposes attempts by progressive lawmakers to enact gun control restrictions.
- Defend Second Amendment firearm ownership rights against new state and federal restrictions.
“From defending Second Amendment rights, to protecting life, and to keeping radical woke ideology out of schools, Byron will always fight the Left’s agenda.”
Environment and Clean Energy
medium salienceJolly focuses on climate change resiliency and utility renewable energy mandates, while Donalds prioritizes Everglades restoration and state water supply infrastructure.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports climate resiliency and renewable energy
Jolly accepts climate change science and advocates major state investments in coastal resiliency, beach preservation, and clean energy. He proposes requiring public utilities to integrate renewable technologies to lower costs and protect the environment.
- Accept climate change science and invest in state-wide climate resiliency and beach protection.
- Require public utilities to integrate clean and renewable energy technologies.
- Protect state parks, waterways, and coastlines to sustain tourism and fisheries.
“Florida should accept the science of climate change, protect our beaches and state parks, and invest in resiliency throughout the state.”
“Florida leaders should unleash clean and renewable energies across the Sunshine State, requiring greater integration of clean energy technologies into our public utilities.”
Republican Byron Donalds
Supports Everglades restoration and water quality
Donalds focuses his environmental agenda on completing Everglades restoration, improving water quality, and expanding water supply access while protecting Florida's beaches.
- Complete Everglades Restoration projects.
- Improve water quality and expand water supply capacity.
- Protect Florida's beaches and natural resources.
“As Governor, Byron Donalds will work to complete Everglades Restoration, improve water quality , expand access to water supply, and protect our beaches and natural resources that make Florida the most beautiful state in the nation.”
Public Safety and Criminal Justice
low salienceDonalds stresses strict law-and-order policing, whereas Jolly advocates combining law enforcement accountability with justice reforms addressing racial and immigrant disparities.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports community policing and justice reform
Jolly advocates holding criminals accountable while addressing systemic disparities in criminal justice for minority and immigrant communities. He supports local control over community policing.
- Promote local control over community policing strategies.
- Correct criminal justice system disparities affecting minority and immigrant communities.
“But Florida can also be a state that corrects disparities in criminal justice for communities of color and immigrant communities, promoting local control of community policing.”
Republican Byron Donalds
Supports law and order governance
Donalds emphasizes strict law and order governance and strong support for law enforcement agencies to keep Florida communities safe.
- Maintain strong law and order policies and support law enforcement.
“His website also said he would work to enact Trump's agenda and that he was 'a staunch advocate for the Second Amendment, School Choice, Fiscal Sanity, Secure Borders, Law and Order, and a Limited Federal Government.'”
Healthcare and Medicaid
medium salienceJolly advocates expanding Medicaid to broaden state healthcare coverage, whereas Donalds has not detailed a healthcare platform in the provided sources.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports Medicaid expansion and safety-net funding
Jolly advocates expanding Medicaid in Florida to guarantee healthcare coverage for working families. He promises to protect safety-net funding for maternal care, seniors, special needs care, and local hospitals.
- Expand Medicaid under federal guidelines to increase healthcare access across Florida.
- Protect funding for childbirth, long-term senior care, special needs services, and hospitals.
“In the face of cuts from Washington and Tallahassee, Florida should commit to expanding Medicaid and ensuring healthcare for all Floridians.”
Government Reform and Direct Democracy
medium salienceJolly proposes campaign finance restrictions, ethics reforms, and protections for ballot initiatives and local home rule, while Donalds has not presented a direct democracy platform in the provided sources.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports campaign finance limits and home rule
Jolly proposes ethics and campaign finance reforms to eliminate corporate money and influence in state politics. He advocates respecting local home rule and making citizen ballot initiatives easier to pass and enact.
- Enact campaign finance and ethics packages to restrict corporate political contributions.
- Protect local municipal home rule against state preemption.
- Simplify placing citizen initiatives on the ballot and enforce voter amendments receiving over 50% approval.
“Florida should lead the nation in campaign finance reform and a sweeping ethics package committed to transparency and to protecting Florida taxpayers from legalized graft in Tallahassee.”
“Florida should respect home rule, and support the implementation of successful voter initiatives in communities across the state.”
Veterans Services
low salienceJolly proposes state-funded veteran services to cover federal cutbacks, while Donalds presents no explicit state veteran services platform in the sources.
Democratic David Jolly
Supports expanding state veteran services
Jolly advocates expanding state-funded programs for military veterans to compensate for federal service and budget reductions.
- Expand Florida state services for veterans to cover federal funding cuts and drawbacks.
“In the face of federal cuts and drawback of services, Florida should lead the nation in filling the gap of critical services for those who have served our nation in uniform.”