2026 Midterms · Governor · Arizona Toss-up
Arizona — Governor
The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election features incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs, running with Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as her lieutenant governor candidate, against Republican U.S. Representative Andy Biggs, running alongside State Senator Sine Kerr. This marks the first election in state history to feature a lieutenant gubernatorial running mate following voters' approval of Proposition 131 in 2022. The matchup hinges on contrasting visions for border security, cost-of-living relief, government ethics, election administration, and healthcare policy. Major nonpartisan handicappers rate the general election as competitive, with Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rating it Lean Democratic, while Inside Elections rates it a Toss-up.
Border Security & Immigration
high salienceHobbs emphasizes executive action deploying the Arizona National Guard to the border, while Biggs focuses on strict federal immigration enforcement and border security legislation.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports state-led border enforcement measures
Hobbs has taken executive action on border security, deploying the Arizona National Guard to the southern border in December 2023 to assist federal immigration enforcement. Her campaign has highlighted her enforcement efforts through television advertising emphasizing border security.
- Issued an executive order deploying the Arizona National Guard to the southern border in December 2023
- Released campaign advertising highlighting her record on state border enforcement
“Katie Hobbs Releases New TV Ad, “Decisive,” Showcasing Her Fight To Secure Arizona’s Border”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports strict federal border enforcement
Biggs has made strict border enforcement and stopping illegal immigration central pillars of his political career. In Congress, he served on the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Immigration Integrity, Security, and Enforcement and advocated for full border security measures.
- Served on the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Immigration Integrity, Security, and Enforcement
- Maintained border security and ending illegal immigration as core campaign priorities
“Securing our borders and ending illegal immigration”
Taxes, Economy & Cost of Living
high salienceHobbs proposes targeted middle-class child tax credits and sales tax exemptions on essential goods, while Biggs favors broad tax cuts, deregulation, and spending reductions.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports targeted tax credits and exemptions
Hobbs proposed creating a $250 state child tax credit for families earning under $100,000 and exempting essential goods like diapers, baby formula, and feminine hygiene products from sales tax. She also advocates for refundable tax credits for career and technical education, eliminating the tipped minimum wage, and implementing an Arizona Jobs First state procurement policy.
- Proposed a $250 state Child Tax Credit capped at $100,000 household income
- Advocated sales tax exemptions on diapers, baby formula, and feminine hygiene products
- Proposed refundable tax credits for career and technical education students
- Supported eliminating the tipped minimum wage and implementing an Arizona Jobs First procurement policy
“create a $250 state-level Child Tax Credit, to be phased out by a $100,000 household income cap.”
“implement a policy to prioritize awarding state contracts to Arizona businesses over out-of-state companies.”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports tax cuts and deregulation
Biggs advocates for broad tax cuts and regulatory rollbacks to stimulate private sector economic growth and lower costs for families. In Congress, he voted for federal tax reform and signed the Americans for Tax Reform Taxpayer Protection Pledge.
- Voted for federal tax reform legislation in Congress
- Signed the Americans for Tax Reform Taxpayer Protection Pledge
- Advocates shrinking government spending and cutting business regulations
“We must also cut taxes and reduce regulations on families and businesses to bring back real prosperity and American industry.”
Government Accountability, Ethics & Governance
high salienceHobbs focuses on stock divestment, dark money disclosure, and bipartisan executive leadership, while Biggs focuses on constitutional term limits, budget balancing, and ethics attacks against Hobbs.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports ethics reforms and spending transparency
Hobbs advocates for stricter conflict-of-interest laws requiring state officials to divest from individual stocks, full disclosure of dark money political spending, and tougher lobbyist spending rules. She also formed a bipartisan gubernatorial ticket by selecting Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as her lieutenant governor running mate.
- Proposed requiring public officials to divest from stocks and assets causing conflicts of interest
- Advocated for full public disclosure of dark money political spending in Arizona
- Pledged to veto legislative bills restricting citizen initiative and referendum rights
- Selected Republican Mayor John Giles as her lieutenant governor candidate
“We will make your government more transparent, because the people deserve to know what their leaders are doing with their money.”
“Hobbs will fight to ensure all dark money groups have to disclose every dollar spent on races in Arizona”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports congressional term limits and spending audits
Biggs emphasizes structural budget balancing, deficit reduction, and legislative term limits to eliminate government waste. His gubernatorial campaign aggressively attacks Hobbs' administration record, accusing her of maintaining a culture of corruption in state government.
- Signed the U.S. Term Limits pledge and co-sponsored House Joint Resolution 6
- Introduced resolutions urging Congress to return to balanced federal budgets
- Campaign launched ads and releases criticizing Hobbs' administration governance record
“We must reduce our deficits and balance the federal budget.”
“Katie Hobbs’s Culture of Corruption Continues to Haunt Campaign”
Voting Rights & Election Integrity
high salienceHobbs opposes state election audits and supports expanding voting access through same-day registration, while Biggs voted against certifying 2020 presidential electors and opposed ranked-choice voting reform.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports expanding ballot access and security
As former Secretary of State and Governor, Hobbs publicly opposed the 2020 Senate election audit, calling it politically motivated. She supports implementing same-day voter registration, making Election Day a state holiday, automatically restoring voting rights to past offenders, and mandating risk-limiting post-election audits.
- Criticized the 2020 Arizona Senate election audit as politically motivated
- Proposed same-day voter registration and establishing Election Day as a state holiday
- Pledged to veto legislation restricting early voting or mail ballot drop boxes
- Supported automatic restoration of voting rights for individuals who completed sentences
“The majority of voters don’t support [the audit]. This is a moment that calls for leadership that the current governor hasn’t displayed.”
“Our democracy isn’t partisan, our Constitution isn’t partisan, and the freedom to exercise our most fundamental democratic right should not be partisan.”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports strict election verification rules
Biggs voted against certifying the 2020 electoral votes from Arizona and Pennsylvania in January 2021. He also formally opposed Proposition 140, an Arizona ballot initiative proposing single open primaries and ranked-choice voting.
- Voted against certifying 2020 electoral votes from Arizona and Pennsylvania
- Opposed Proposition 140 initiative regarding single open primaries and ranked-choice voting
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
medium salienceHobbs campaigns to repeal historical abortion bans and expand reproductive healthcare access, while Biggs consistently opposes abortion rights.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports codifying abortion access and birth control
Hobbs actively supports reproductive rights, pledging to veto any abortion restrictions and urging the repeal of historic Arizona statutes criminalizing abortion providers and birth control advertising. She also expanded Medicaid postpartum coverage to 12 months and supported rulemaking allowing pharmacists to prescribe hormonal contraception.
- Pledged to veto anti-abortion bills and repeal Arizona's 1901 abortion law
- Directed health department rulemaking enabling pharmacists to prescribe hormonal contraception
- Extended AHCCCS Medicaid coverage for postpartum mothers from 60 days to 12 months
“Abortion rights are under attack in Arizona. That is why Katie will veto any legislation that attacks Roe v. Wade”
Republican Andy Biggs
Opposes abortion access
Biggs holds a consistent pro-life record in both state and federal office, opposing abortion rights and earning high marks from social conservative interest groups.
- Maintained a pro-life voting record throughout his tenure in the Arizona Legislature and U.S. House
- Supported by social conservative advocacy organizations like Center for Arizona Policy Action
Healthcare
medium salienceHobbs supported expanding Medicaid and enacted medical debt forgiveness, whereas Biggs joined a lawsuit against Medicaid expansion and supports repealing the Affordable Care Act.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports Medicaid expansion and debt relief
As a state legislator, Hobbs voted to expand Medicaid in Arizona under the Affordable Care Act. As governor, she established a state medical debt forgiveness program utilizing American Rescue Plan Act funds.
- Worked to pass Medicaid expansion in the state legislature
- Created a medical debt forgiveness program funded by federal relief dollars
“In the legislature, she worked across the aisle to expand Medicaid so that hundreds of thousands of Arizonans could finally have access to health care.”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports free-market reform and ACA repeal
Biggs opposes the Affordable Care Act and supported repealing Obamacare in favor of market-based healthcare systems. In 2013, he signed onto a conservative lawsuit attempting to block Arizona's Medicaid expansion.
- Signed onto a 2013 lawsuit attempting to block Arizona's Medicaid expansion
- Advocates repealing Obamacare and replacing it with free-market alternatives
- Co-sponsored federal Right to Try legislation for terminally ill patients
“Repealing Obamacare and replacing it with a free-market system”
Public Safety & Criminal Justice
medium salienceHobbs paused capital punishment and advocates for sentencing reform alongside police pay raises, while Biggs focuses on traditional law enforcement support and attacks Hobbs' public safety record.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports sentencing reform and public safety funding
Hobbs paused capital punishment executions in Arizona, created an advisory panel to reform sentencing laws and expand alternative sentencing, and proposed pay raises for police officers and firefighters in her 2025 State of the State address.
- Paused the execution of capital punishment in Arizona
- Proposed state pay raises for law enforcement officers and firefighters
- Created a panel to reform sentencing laws, encourage alternative sentencing, and fund re-entry programs
“Katie will work to reform Arizona’s antiquated sentencing laws; provide additional funding to support re-entry into society; work with local law enforcement to address systemic racism in policing”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports traditional law enforcement and tough-on-crime policies
Biggs served as Chair of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Federal Government Surveillance. He campaigns heavily on supporting law enforcement and criticizing Hobbs' public safety record.
- Chaired the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Federal Government Surveillance
- Campaign host of police forums highlighting law enforcement support and attacking Hobbs' crime record
“Clear contrast between Biggs’s record of supporting law enforcement while Hobbs endangers Arizonans”
Education
medium salienceHobbs prioritizes state investments in public school facilities and STEM/technical education, while Biggs emphasizes repealing Common Core and returning authority to local school boards.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports public school funding and facilities reform
Hobbs advocates streamlining the Arizona School Facilities Board to accelerate school repairs, expanding STEM grants for diverse students and educators, and providing tax credits for career and technical education.
- Proposed cutting red tape at the School Facilities Board to repair crumbling school buildings
- Advocated expanding grants and scholarships to build a diverse pipeline of STEM educators
- Implemented tax incentives for community college and technical training certificates
“Hobbs will expedite robust fixes to school buildings across the state and aim to lower the costs of long-term maintenance.”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports local control and Common Core repeal
Biggs advocates returning all public education decision-making to local school districts and states, while repealing national Common Core standards.
- Advocates repealing Common Core standards
- Supports returning education policy decisions entirely to local school boards and states
“Repealing Common Core and returning education policy to locals”
Civil Rights & LGBTQ+ Policies
low salienceHobbs advocates for state LGBTQ+ non-discrimination laws and equity officers, whereas Biggs supports ballot measures restricting school sports participation and facility access based on biological sex.
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Supports non-discrimination laws and equal rights
Hobbs supports securing ratification of the Equal Rights Amendment, creating Chief Equity Officer and Civil Rights Policy Advisor positions, and enacting state non-discrimination protections for LGBTQ+ individuals in housing, education, and public accommodations.
- Proposed creating Chief Equity Officer and Civil Rights Policy Advisor roles in state government
- Supported state ratification of the Equal Rights Amendment
- Advocated anti-discrimination legislation protecting LGBTQ+ individuals in housing, adoption, and public accommodations
“A Hobbs Administration will also work to enact anti-discrimination policies that will ensure equality by explicitly banning LGBTQ+ discrimination”
Republican Andy Biggs
Supports restricting sports access based on sex
Biggs endorsed Proposition 318, a 2026 Arizona ballot measure requiring schools and athletic associations to restrict sports participation and private space access based on biological sex.
- Endorsed Proposition 318 to restrict school athletic participation and private facility access based on biological sex